NASDAQ:NVDA

Nvidia Can Clearly Afford a Bigger Dividend. Why Its Payout Hasn’t Grown.

Nvidia left its quarterly dividend unchanged at $0.25 after reporting Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion, even though the company clearly has the cash to pay more.

(finance.yahoo.com)

Analysts Expect Nvidia Stock to Soar 47%, But You Shouldn’t Rush to Buy NVDA Here

Nvidia's mean target price calls for a 47% upside over the next year, but the returns might be much more muted.

(finance.yahoo.com)
NVIDIA and MediaTek Expand AI Partnership With $3.5 Billion Investment

NVIDIA and MediaTek announced an expanded strategic partnership Monday covering AI infrastructure, local AI computing and automotive technology. As part of the agreement, NVIDIA has invested $3.5 billion in convertible bonds issued by MediaTek.

A key part of the collaboration will see MediaTek adopt NVIDIA’s NVLink Fusion platform, allowing hyperscalers, cloud providers and AI developers to build custom XPUs that integrate with NVIDIA’s rack-scale AI infrastructure.

The move is strategically important as major technology companies increasingly develop custom AI accelerators. NVLink Fusion allows these chips to operate within NVIDIA’s broader infrastructure ecosystem, potentially helping NVIDIA maintain a central role in AI data centers even as demand for custom silicon grows.

The companies are also expanding their work in local AI computing. MediaTek previously collaborated with NVIDIA on the GB10 Grace Blackwell Superchip used in DGX Spark, and the companies will now work together across multiple generations of RTX Spark and DGX Spark chips for PCs, developer systems and enterprise workstations.

Their partnership also extends to automotive computing, where MediaTek’s Dimensity Auto platforms integrate NVIDIA AI and RTX technologies for intelligent and software-defined vehicles.

The expanded agreement strengthens NVIDIA’s position across AI data centers, custom silicon, AI PCs and automotive computing. For MediaTek, it provides deeper access to NVIDIA’s AI ecosystem while expanding its opportunities beyond its traditional mobile and connectivity businesses.
AWS and NVIDIA Expand AI Partnership With 2 Million Additional GPUs

Amazon Web Services and NVIDIA announced a major expansion of their AI infrastructure partnership, with AWS planning to deploy 2 million additional NVIDIA GPUs across its global infrastructure in 2027 and 2028.

The expansion comes as demand for AI computing continues to accelerate. AWS said the new capacity will include NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra, Rubin and Rubin Ultra GPUs, supporting workloads ranging from agentic AI and scientific computing to enterprise automation and robotics.

The partnership extends well beyond GPUs. AWS plans to introduce infrastructure based on NVIDIA’s Vera CPUs, expand NVLink Fusion integration with Amazon’s Trainium chips, and use NVIDIA’s new high-bandwidth memory technology. The companies also plan to build secure AI factories for the U.S. government, including infrastructure incorporating 100,000 GPUs for federal and national-security workloads.

The agreement further expands NVIDIA’s presence across AWS software and services. Nemotron open models will remain available through Amazon Bedrock and SageMaker, while NVIDIA technology will accelerate data processing, vector indexing and Amazon’s robotics development.

The scale of the commitment is another strong signal that hyperscaler AI infrastructure spending remains robust. For NVIDIA, the planned deployment strengthens visibility for demand extending into the Rubin generation through 2028. For Amazon, it significantly expands AWS’s ability to compete for increasingly compute-intensive AI workloads.
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NVIDIA Jumps 7.5% Premarket as AI Demand Drives Revenue Above $96 Billion

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares are up about 7.5% in premarket trading after the chipmaker reported another exceptionally strong quarter, with accelerating AI infrastructure demand and a bullish outlook reinforcing confidence in its growth trajectory.

For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, NVIDIA reported revenue of $96.2 billion, up 18% sequentially and 106% year over year. Data Center remained the dominant growth engine, with revenue reaching $89.0 billion, up 117% from a year earlier.

Non-GAAP diluted EPS rose 120% year over year to $2.22, while non-GAAP operating income surged 124% to $64.0 billion. Gross margin remained exceptionally strong at 75.0%.

The outlook appears to be a major reason for the positive market reaction. NVIDIA expects third-quarter revenue of approximately $108 billion, plus or minus 2%, implying another roughly 12% sequential increase at the midpoint. Notably, that forecast assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China, highlighting the strength of demand elsewhere.

CEO Jensen Huang said AI infrastructure deployment is now “at full steam,” with multiple frontier AI labs, startups, sovereign AI projects and physical AI applications expanding simultaneously. NVIDIA's next-generation Vera Rubin platform is already ramping into full production.

The company is also benefiting from an increasingly broad AI ecosystem. During the quarter, NVIDIA announced infrastructure and technology initiatives involving major cloud providers, sovereign AI projects and a planned financing ecosystem aimed at mobilizing more than $500 billion of third-party capital for AI infrastructure.

The 7.5% premarket gain suggests investors are focusing on three key factors: another doubling of annual revenue, 117% Data Center growth, and guidance showing that NVIDIA's extraordinary expansion is continuing even from an increasingly large revenue base.

For investors, the next major question is whether the Vera Rubin ramp and continued hyperscaler and AI-lab spending can sustain this growth while keeping gross margins near the mid-70% range.
IBM Expands AI Infrastructure Push With $240 Million Together AI Agreement

IBM (NYSE: IBM) announced a multi-year $240 million agreement with Together AI to deploy a large-scale artificial intelligence inference cluster on IBM Cloud, further expanding the company’s exposure to growing enterprise AI infrastructure demand.

Under the agreement, IBM plans to deploy NVIDIA HGX B300 systems combined with NVIDIA Spectrum-X Ethernet networking. The cluster, expected to become available in the first quarter of 2027, will be used by Together AI to provide production-scale inference for open-source AI models.

The deployment will be IBM Cloud’s first dedicated large-scale inference cluster based on HGX B300 systems. NVIDIA says the architecture can deliver as much as 30 times greater AI factory output compared with previous generations.

Together AI has been scaling rapidly as demand for open-source AI models grows. The company says its inference platform currently processes around 400 trillion tokens per month and recently raised $800 million at an $8.3 billion valuation.

For IBM, the agreement strengthens its position as an infrastructure provider for increasingly compute-intensive AI workloads. It also deepens IBM’s existing relationship with NVIDIA, spanning GPUs, networking, cloud infrastructure and enterprise AI software.

The $240 million multi-year commitment provides IBM with another significant AI infrastructure customer while demonstrating demand for its GPU-based cloud capacity. The companies expect the platform to help enterprises run open-source AI models with improved performance and lower inference costs.
Semiconductor Stocks Fall as China's Chip Breakthrough Pressures Nvidia and the AI Sector

Semiconductor stocks came under pressure on Monday, dragging the Nasdaq lower as investors weighed China's rapidly advancing semiconductor industry against the latest developments in the global AI infrastructure race. Nvidia led the sector's decline, falling more than 4%, while weakness spread across AI and memory chipmakers.

The latest catalyst on the AI front came after reports that Nvidia is in talks to provide roughly $250 billion in financing guarantees for OpenAI's massive AI data center project in Ohio. The proposed 10-gigawatt facility would rank among the world's largest AI infrastructure projects, underscoring the enormous capital being committed to artificial intelligence. While the news reinforces long-term demand for AI hardware, it also highlights the rapidly evolving competitive landscape and the unprecedented scale of investment required across the industry.

Investor sentiment was also weighed down by developments in China. ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), China's largest memory chipmaker, surged more than 400% in its Shanghai trading debut following Asia's largest IPO of 2026. The emergence of another major Chinese chipmaker renewed concerns that global competition in memory and AI-related semiconductors will intensify. Those concerns were particularly significant for Nvidia, whose growth opportunities in China have already been constrained by U.S. export restrictions.

The weakness extended across the broader semiconductor sector. Memory-related companies including Sandisk, Micron Technology, Western Digital, and SK Hynix posted notable declines, while ASML, AMD, Intel, Marvell Technology, Super Micro Computer, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) also traded lower as investors reassessed the industry's competitive outlook.

Despite Monday's selloff, the semiconductor industry's long-term fundamentals remain supported by accelerating AI adoption and record investment in data center infrastructure. However, the combination of elevated valuations, China's rapid technological progress, and an increasingly competitive global landscape prompted investors to lock in profits following the sector's strong rally.
NVIDIA shares climbed approximately 4.5% today as investors reacted positively to the company’s latest artificial intelligence chip announcements and expanding vision for AI-powered computing.

The rally was fueled by NVIDIA’s unveiling of a powerful new AI supercomputer chip scheduled for release this fall, reinforcing the company’s position at the center of the global artificial intelligence infrastructure boom. Investors view the new product as another step in NVIDIA’s effort to maintain its technological lead as demand for AI training and inference continues to accelerate across enterprises, cloud providers, and government organizations.

Markets also welcomed news highlighting how NVIDIA’s next-generation AI processors could bring advanced artificial intelligence capabilities directly to Windows PCs. The move expands NVIDIA’s opportunity beyond data centers and cloud computing, potentially opening a massive consumer and enterprise PC market for AI-powered applications.

The announcements come just days after NVIDIA delivered another strong earnings report, which showcased continued growth in AI-related revenue and robust demand for its Blackwell platform. Today’s gains suggest investors remain confident that the company can sustain its leadership position despite increasing competition from rivals such as AMD, Intel, and custom chip developers.

With a market value exceeding $5 trillion and analysts maintaining an average price target well above current levels, NVIDIA continues to be viewed as one of the primary beneficiaries of the global AI spending cycle. Investors are betting that the company’s expanding portfolio of AI chips, software, and computing platforms will drive another wave of growth as businesses increasingly adopt artificial intelligence technologies.

Today’s move highlights the market’s belief that NVIDIA’s innovation pipeline remains strong and that demand for advanced AI computing is still in the early stages of a multi-year expansion.
Nvidia Barely Moves in Premarket Despite Historic Quarter as Monster Guidance Already Priced In

Nvidia reported what may be the most extraordinary quarter in semiconductor history yesterday, yet shares edged up just 0.08% in premarket trading — a reaction that speaks volumes about how thoroughly the AI infrastructure bull case has been priced into one of the world's most closely watched stocks.

Revenue for Q1 fiscal 2027 came in at a record $81.6 billion, up 85% year over year and 20% sequentially, beating the consensus expectation of approximately $78 billion. Data Center revenue reached a record $75.2 billion, up 92% year over year, with compute revenue up 77% and networking revenue — a figure that had been less scrutinized — surging 199% to $14.8 billion. GAAP net income tripled to $58.3 billion and GAAP diluted EPS of $2.39 was more than triple the $0.76 reported a year ago. Gross margin expanded to 74.9% from 60.5% a year ago. The company returned a record $20 billion to shareholders in the quarter alone.

The forward guidance was the number the market had been waiting for. Nvidia guided Q2 revenue of $91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, representing another roughly 12% sequential acceleration and approximately 76% year-over-year growth. Critically, the company stated it is not assuming any Data Center compute revenue from China in its outlook — meaning the guidance stands entirely on non-China demand, a significant reassurance given ongoing export restriction concerns.

The company also announced an $80 billion additional share repurchase authorization and a dramatic dividend increase, raising the quarterly payout from $0.01 per share to $0.25 per share — a 2,400% increase that signals management's confidence in sustained cash generation.

CEO Jensen Huang framed the moment in sweeping terms, describing the buildout of AI factories as the largest infrastructure expansion in human history and positioning Nvidia as the only platform running in every cloud, powering every frontier model and scaling from hyperscale data centers to the edge.

The company is also transitioning to a new reporting framework with two market platforms — Data Center and Edge Computing — reflecting its evolution beyond chips into a full-stack AI infrastructure company. The Vera Rubin platform, NVIDIA Dynamo 1.0 and a broad suite of agentic AI tools underscore that the product roadmap extends well beyond the current Blackwell cycle.

The near-flat premarket reaction is not a sign of disappointment — the results were objectively exceptional by any historical standard. It is instead a reflection of a stock that has already rallied 20% in the past month and trades at a valuation that embeds extraordinary future growth. When a company beats $78 billion estimates with $81.6 billion and guides to $91 billion next quarter, and the stock barely moves, it tells you that the market had already bought the dream. The question now is whether $91 billion in Q2 will finally surprise to the upside of even the most bullish expectations — and whether the Vera Rubin ramp can extend this cycle well into 2027 and beyond.
US Markets Open Cautiously Higher as All Eyes Turn to Nvidia

US equity markets opened in positive territory today, with the S&P 500 up 0.31%, the Dow adding 0.14% and the Nasdaq gaining 0.38%, as investors adopted a measured stance ahead of what is arguably the most consequential earnings report of the season — Nvidia's first quarter fiscal 2027 results, due after the closing bell today.

The cautious optimism comes after two consecutive sessions of declines driven by rising bond yields and geopolitical anxiety. The modest green open reflects a market catching its breath rather than making a bold directional call, with most participants holding their positions ahead of Nvidia's numbers.

Nvidia is expected to report roughly $78 billion in revenue and $1.77 in non-GAAP earnings per share, implying approximately 77% to 78% year-on-year revenue growth. Buy-side whispers run higher, with some sell-side desks modeling closer to $79 billion and the most aggressive houses above $80 billion. Nvidia has beaten the Street every quarter of this cycle, meaning a beat alone is already priced in. What markets will be watching most closely is the Q2 guidance and any commentary on the China export restrictions and gross margin sustainability.

The broader earnings backdrop heading into today is genuinely strong. With approximately one-third of S&P 500 companies reported, the blended year-over-year earnings growth rate stood at 15%, up from 13% expected at the end of March, putting the index on track for a sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth. Eighty-four percent of reporting companies have beaten EPS estimates, with the magnitude of beats averaging 12%, well above the five-year historical average of 7.3%.

Today's earnings slate is also busy, with Target, Lowe's, TJX, Analog Devices and Hasbro among the morning reporters. From the earnings covered over the past two days, CAVA's 9.7% same-restaurant sales growth driven by actual traffic gains and 8x8's first GAAP-profitable fiscal year since 2015 were standouts, while Red Robin's margin improvement and Agilysys' record revenue quarter added to a broadly constructive picture across sectors.

On the macro front, the tension between a strong earnings season and a difficult rate environment remains unresolved. Bond yields have been climbing, with the 30-year Treasury recently crossing 5.18%, its highest level in nearly two decades. Iran ceasefire diplomacy continues to generate daily headlines and oil price swings, keeping inflation expectations elevated and Fed rate cut hopes pushed further into the future.

For today, Nvidia is the market. A strong print with confident guidance could provide the catalyst the broader indices need to break decisively higher. Anything short of that, and two days of bond-driven selling could resume.
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Brent Crude

Two Oil Supertankers Hit by Projectiles in Hormuz, Marisks Says

Two oil supertankers were struck by unknown projectiles in quick succession while transiting the Persian Gulf’s Strait of Hormuz chokepoint, maritime security consultant Marisks said.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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Brent Crude Jumps Nearly 2% as U.S.-Iran Fighting Revives Hormuz Supply Fears

Brent crude oil rose sharply on Tuesday as renewed fighting between the United States and Iran increased concerns about further disruptions to energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures climbed 1.88% to $92.19 per barrel in early U.S. trading, extending Monday’s gains. Oil prices have rallied after the U.S. and Iran exchanged direct attacks for the first time in about a month, reviving fears of a broader escalation in the Middle East.

The Strait of Hormuz remains the central concern for oil markets. Roughly one-fifth of global oil supplies normally pass through the waterway, but traffic remains severely constrained. Visible commodity-vessel traffic was recently running well below its 10-day average, while diplomatic efforts led by Qatar and Oman to improve access through the strait have yet to produce a breakthrough. (The Business Times)

Supply fears intensified after a tanker reported being struck by three projectiles while leaving the Strait of Hormuz. No casualties or environmental damage were reported, but the incident highlighted the continuing risk to commercial shipping. (Reuters)

Higher oil prices are also feeding into broader financial markets. The renewed energy shock is increasing inflation concerns and contributing to the global bond selloff, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rising to around 4.8%. That could complicate the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight and strengthen expectations for additional rate increases.

For crude markets, the near-term direction remains heavily dependent on the U.S.-Iran conflict and shipping conditions in Hormuz. Further military escalation or disruption to tanker traffic could keep Brent above $90 and potentially push prices back toward recent highs.
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Brent Crude Jumps Nearly 3% After U.S. Strike on Iran Revives Hormuz Supply Fears

Brent crude rallied sharply on Monday as renewed military confrontation between the United States and Iran revived concerns about oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures were trading around $88.69 per barrel, up $2.57, or 2.98%, in the snapshot above. Prices had climbed above $90 earlier in the session before giving back part of the advance.

A major catalyst was Sunday’s U.S. attack on Iran. U.S. forces struck two Iranian launchers on Larak Island in the Strait of Hormuz, marking the first known U.S. strikes on Iran since late July. Iran subsequently said it retaliated against U.S. air bases in Jordan, adding to fears that the conflict could escalate further. Visible commodity-vessel traffic fell to around five ships per day over the weekend, while a tanker was also reported struck by a projectile on Saturday. (reuters)

Monday’s rebound follows a drop of more than 4% last week, when expectations for improving Gulf oil flows reduced some of the geopolitical premium. The latest U.S.-Iran exchange has reversed part of that optimism.

Brent’s near-term direction is therefore likely to remain dominated by developments between Washington and Tehran and, crucially, whether the latest escalation further restricts shipping through Hormuz. Any significant deterioration in tanker traffic or Gulf exports could quickly push a larger geopolitical risk premium back into crude prices.
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Brent Crude Falls More Than 5% for the Week as Hormuz Supply Fears Ease

Brent crude oil ended a volatile week sharply lower as improving oil flows from the Persian Gulf reduced the geopolitical risk premium that had previously supported prices. Brent finished Friday around $89 a barrel, down more than 5% for the week and snapping a two-week winning streak.

The biggest driver was the Strait of Hormuz. Despite continued U.S.-Iran tensions, more crude has been moving out of the region than markets initially expected. Reports of an Iran-Oman shipping corridor, increased Saudi loadings and alternative Iraqi export routes helped ease fears of a severe supply shortage. The Strait remains strategically critical, accounting for roughly 20% of global oil flows. (Euronext)

However, geopolitical risks continue to provide some support. Ukraine has intensified attacks on Russian refineries, tightening refined-product markets, while Iran said restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz would remain until the U.S. ends military operations against the country. (Reuters)

The oil market therefore enters the new week caught between improving physical supply flows and persistent geopolitical risk. Further normalization of Hormuz traffic could pressure Brent, while any renewed disruption to Gulf exports or Russian energy infrastructure could quickly restore the geopolitical premium.
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Brent Crude Falls Nearly 3% as Iran-Oman Talks Ease Hormuz Supply Fears

Brent crude oil fell about 2.8% on Wednesday, trading near $84.86 per barrel, as renewed diplomatic efforts surrounding the Strait of Hormuz reduced the geopolitical risk premium embedded in oil prices.

The main catalyst is renewed negotiations between Iran and Oman over restoring shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The discussions reportedly include proposals for a temporary navigational corridor and mine-clearing efforts, raising hopes that more oil and LNG shipments could move safely through the waterway. (Reuters)

Diplomatic progress elsewhere is reinforcing the move. Talks involving Iran and Pakistan have shown signs of progress, while the U.S. has refrained from immediately escalating military pressure. Markets have consequently reduced expectations of another major disruption to Middle Eastern oil supplies. (Reuters)

Another bearish factor is rising U.S. supply. American Petroleum Institute data indicated that U.S. crude inventories increased by 4.2 million barrels last week, compared with expectations for an increase of only around 1.8 million barrels.

The combination of easing Hormuz concerns, improving diplomatic expectations and rising U.S. inventories is pushing traders to remove part of the geopolitical premium that had supported crude prices, leaving Brent down nearly 3% in Wednesday trading.
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Brent Crude Falls Nearly 1.6% as Traders Take Profit Ahead of New U.S. Iran Sanctions

Brent crude oil fell sharply on Monday, trading around $92.91 per barrel, down 1.57%, as investors took profits following last week’s strong gains and awaited details of a new U.S. sanctions package against Iran.

Brent had gained more than 5% last week as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations and continued disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz increased concerns about global oil supplies. Monday’s decline therefore appears partly driven by profit-taking after that rally rather than a major improvement in the underlying geopolitical situation.

Iran sanctions create uncertainty

The immediate focus is on U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who is expected to announce additional sanctions against Iran later Monday. Washington has indicated that the measures could significantly increase economic pressure on Tehran and potentially target entities involved in purchasing or facilitating Iranian oil exports.

That creates conflicting forces for crude prices. Tougher sanctions could ultimately restrict Iranian exports and tighten global supply, which would normally support oil. However, investors are reducing positions ahead of the announcement because the scope and effectiveness of the measures remain uncertain.

Iranian exports to China have already fallen substantially. Estimated shipments to China dropped to roughly 534,000 barrels per day in August from 823,000 barrels per day in July, according to Reuters.

Hormuz remains the key risk

The broader supply risk has not disappeared. Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain constrained following the breakdown of U.S.-Iran peace negotiations, while the route historically handled roughly one-fifth of global oil supply.

For now, Brent’s decline toward $93 looks primarily like a pullback following last week’s rally combined with positioning ahead of Washington’s sanctions announcement.

The next major catalyst will be the details of the U.S. measures. If sanctions materially reduce Iranian oil exports or provoke further disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, the current decline could reverse quickly.
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Brent Crude Jumps More Than 2% as U.S. Declares ‘Economic Warfare’ Against Iran

Brent crude oil climbed more than 2% on Thursday, extending its recent gains as the United States sharply escalated economic pressure on Iran, adding another layer of risk to an already fragile Middle East supply outlook.

Brent was trading around $93.70 per barrel in early trading, up approximately 2.3% on the day after starting from a previous reference level near $91.62.

The latest move puts Brent near its highest levels in several weeks, with geopolitical developments once again dominating the oil market.

U.S. Announces ‘Economic Warfare’ Against Iran

The main catalyst behind Thursday’s oil rally is President Donald Trump’s announcement of what he described as “Economic Warfare and Isolation on an unprecedented scale” against Iran.

Trump said the United States would launch what he called the “most crushing economic operation” ever imposed on a country and warned that countries providing Iran with financial, commercial or other economic support could themselves face significant economic consequences. (Reuters)

The announcement represents a significant escalation in Washington’s pressure campaign against Tehran and increases uncertainty surrounding Iranian oil exports and regional energy flows.

For crude markets, the critical issue is not simply the sanctions themselves but the possibility that tougher U.S. measures could restrict Iranian exports further, discourage countries from trading with Tehran and prolong the broader conflict.

Brent has now advanced for several consecutive sessions as concerns over Middle East supplies intensify.

UAE-Iran Tensions Add to Supply Concerns

The U.S. announcement is not the only geopolitical factor supporting oil.

The United Arab Emirates has suspended financial and economic ties with Iran, further reducing prospects for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough and adding another source of uncertainty to regional trade and energy flows.

With diplomatic channels under pressure and Washington shifting toward a more aggressive economic campaign, traders increasingly face the possibility that the disruption surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz could persist longer than previously expected.

What to Watch for Brent Crude

The immediate direction of Brent will remain closely tied to developments between Washington and Tehran.

Markets will be watching for details on how the new U.S. economic measures will be implemented, particularly whether Washington introduces tougher restrictions on Iranian oil buyers, financial institutions or shipping networks.

Any measures that materially reduce Iranian exports or further disrupt traffic through the Strait of Hormuz could push the geopolitical premium in Brent higher. Conversely, renewed negotiations or signs of de-escalation could quickly remove part of that premium.
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Brent Crude Holds Above $91 as Hormuz Uncertainty Supports Oil Prices

Brent crude remained above $91 per barrel on Wednesday as persistent uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S.-Iran conflict continued to support global oil prices.

Brent futures were trading around $91.31, up 0.32%, extending their five-day gain to approximately 2.6%. Prices have climbed to their highest levels since late July as traders continue to price a geopolitical risk premium into crude.

Strait of Hormuz Remains the Key Risk

The central driver remains uncertainty over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Before the conflict, roughly one-fifth of global oil and LNG supplies passed through the Strait. Political signals have remained contradictory. U.S. President Donald Trump said Tuesday that no talks were taking place with Iran and maintained that the Strait was open. Iran, however, said the waterway would remain closed until the U.S. meets conditions including lifting oil sanctions and its blockade of Iranian ports.

Any progress toward restoring normal shipping could remove some of Brent's geopolitical premium, while further disruption or escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict could push prices higher again.
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Brent Crude Rises Above $91 as U.S.-Iran Tensions Renew Supply Fears

Brent crude oil extended its advance on Tuesday, climbing above $91 per barrel as fading hopes for a U.S.-Iran peace agreement and continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz increased concerns about global energy supplies.

Brent crude futures were trading around $91.32 per barrel in early trading, up approximately 0.5%. The benchmark briefly approached $91.75 during the session after settling 2.65% higher at $90.87 on Monday.

U.S.-Iran Diplomacy Stalls

The latest move follows a deterioration in relations between Washington and Tehran. Iran said it would shift to a “fully offensive” military posture after negotiations toward a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while the U.S. ruled out extending the temporary ceasefire agreement.

The breakdown in diplomacy has increased concerns that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz could persist. Shipping activity remains extremely limited.

Supply Risk Keeps Brent Above $90

The geopolitical risk premium has returned rapidly to the oil market. Brent has now risen for a third consecutive session, while restricted tanker traffic and uncertainty over the duration of the Middle East conflict continue to raise concerns about the availability and transportation cost of regional crude supplies.

For oil markets, the Strait of Hormuz remains the critical factor. A diplomatic breakthrough that restores tanker traffic could remove part of the current risk premium, while further military escalation or prolonged shipping disruption could keep Brent elevated and increase the possibility of another move toward $100 per barrel.
Brent Crude Rises 1.5% as U.S. Threatens New Economic Pressure on Iran

Brent crude oil futures are up about 1.5% on Friday, trading near $88.35 per barrel, as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions increased concerns over Middle East oil supplies and the security of flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

The latest move follows comments from U.S. officials indicating that Washington is preparing significantly tougher economic measures against Iran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the administration plans to announce measures next week aimed at imposing an unprecedented level of economic isolation on Tehran. (Reuters)

Iran Sanctions and Hormuz Risks Lift Oil

The prospect of additional sanctions is adding a geopolitical risk premium to crude prices because tighter economic restrictions could further constrain Iranian oil trade and complicate efforts to stabilize regional energy flows. At the same time, the U.S. has indicated that its naval blockade of Iranian ports could be maintained indefinitely.

Friday's rise also represents a reversal from the previous session, when oil prices came under pressure from concerns about weaker demand and rising U.S. crude inventories. Brent is nevertheless on course for a weekly gain of around 4%, highlighting how geopolitical supply risks continue to outweigh some of the bearish demand signals.

The immediate direction for Brent is likely to remain highly sensitive to details of the upcoming U.S. measures, developments surrounding the blockade and any progress—or further deterioration—in negotiations with Iran. A further escalation that threatens physical oil flows could keep upward pressure on prices, while signs of renewed negotiations could quickly reduce the geopolitical premium.
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NYSE:DELL

Dell Stock Rises 1.6% Premarket as Evercore Reiterates Outperform, Sets $500 Price Target

Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) shares gained 4% yesterday and 1.6% in premarket trading on Thursday after Evercore ISI reaffirmed its *Outperform* rating on the stock and set a $500 price target, signaling continued confidence in the company's AI-driven growth outlook.

## Why Is Dell Stock Rising Today?

The latest analyst update reinforced Wall Street's positive view of Dell as one of the leading beneficiaries of the accelerating buildout of artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Evercore maintained its bullish *Outperform* rating while establishing a $500 price target, implying upside potential from the stock's recent trading levels and reflecting optimism about Dell's expanding AI server business.

## AI Server Demand Remains a Key Growth Driver

Dell has emerged as one of the largest suppliers of AI-optimized servers, benefiting from strong enterprise and hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure. Demand for systems powered by advanced GPUs has supported a growing AI server backlog and strengthened the company's position in the rapidly expanding data center market.

Beyond AI, Dell continues to benefit from improving enterprise IT spending and ongoing investments in modernizing data center infrastructure.

## What Investors Are Watching Next

Investors will be watching upcoming earnings for further updates on AI server shipments, backlog growth, and enterprise demand. Continued execution in Dell's Infrastructure Solutions Group and sustained AI-related spending could provide additional catalysts for the stock.

The reaffirmed *Outperform* rating and new $500 price target from Evercore add to the constructive outlook for Dell Technologies, helping lift shares in premarket trading as investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term AI growth opportunities.
Dell Soars 32% as AI Server Boom Drives Record Revenue, Earnings and Massive Guidance Raise

DELL surged 32% after reporting blockbuster fiscal first-quarter 2027 results that highlighted the extraordinary demand being generated by the artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout. Record revenue, record earnings and a sharply higher full-year outlook convinced investors that Dell is emerging as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI spending boom.

The company reported record quarterly revenue of $43.8 billion, up 88% year over year, while diluted earnings per share soared 282% to a record $5.24. Net income more than tripled to $3.44 billion, and operating income jumped 214% to $3.66 billion. Dell also generated a record $4.1 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter, demonstrating that the AI-driven growth is translating directly into cash generation.

The star of the quarter was Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group, where revenue exploded 181% to a record $29.0 billion. AI-optimized server revenue reached an astonishing $16.1 billion, up 757% from the prior year, as hyperscalers, enterprises and cloud providers continued aggressively investing in AI computing infrastructure. Traditional servers and networking revenue also nearly doubled, while storage revenue reached a record $4.3 billion.

Management emphasized that AI demand continues to accelerate rather than slow. Dell booked $24.4 billion in AI orders during the quarter and recognized $16.1 billion of AI server revenue. Chief Operating Officer Jeff Clarke said the company is now increasing its fiscal 2027 AI server revenue expectations to approximately $60 billion, underscoring the scale of demand flowing through the industry.

Importantly, growth was not limited to AI infrastructure. Dell’s Client Solutions Group generated $14.6 billion in revenue, up 17%, driven by record commercial PC sales. Commercial client revenue rose 18% while consumer revenue increased 9%, suggesting that the broader technology spending environment is also improving.

Following the exceptional quarter, Dell significantly raised its full-year outlook. The company now expects fiscal 2027 revenue of approximately $167 billion at the midpoint, representing nearly 50% growth year over year. Full-year non-GAAP earnings per share are projected at approximately $17.90, while AI-optimized server revenue is expected to reach roughly $60 billion.

The explosive stock reaction reflects growing investor recognition that Dell is no longer simply a PC manufacturer. The company has become a critical supplier of AI infrastructure, benefiting from one of the largest technology investment cycles in decades. With record AI orders, rapidly expanding margins and sharply higher guidance, investors appear increasingly convinced that Dell’s AI-driven growth story is still in its early stages.
Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) announces that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.63 per common share, which will be payable on May 1 to shareholders of record as of Apr. 21.
Dell Technologies Inc. reported record fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results, driven by strong AI-related demand.

For the full year ended January 30, 2026, revenue reached a record $113.5 billion, up 19% year over year. Diluted EPS was a record $8.68, up 36%, while non-GAAP diluted EPS rose 27% to $10.30. Cash flow from operations totaled a record $11.2 billion. The company also announced a 20% increase in its cash dividend and a $10 billion increase to its share repurchase authorization.

Fourth-quarter revenue rose 39% year over year to a record $33.4 billion. Diluted EPS increased 57% to $3.37, and non-GAAP diluted EPS grew 45% to $3.89. Quarterly cash flow from operations was a record $4.7 billion.

Management highlighted AI-optimized server momentum, citing more than $64 billion in AI server orders closed during FY26, over $25 billion shipped, and a record $43 billion backlog entering FY27. For fiscal 2027, Dell expects full-year revenue growth of 23% at the midpoint, with diluted EPS growth of 33% and non-GAAP diluted EPS growth of 25% at the midpoint.

Source: Dell Technologies, Business Wire, February 26, 2026.
Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) will conduct a conference call Thursday, Feb. 26, 2026, at 3:30 p.m. CST to discuss its fiscal 2026 fourth quarter and full-year financial results.
Dell Technologies announced that on October 6, 2025, its subsidiaries Dell International L.L.C. and EMC Corporation completed a $4.5 billion public debt offering across four tranches of senior unsecured notes.

The offering included:
• $750 million of 4.150% Senior Notes due 2029
• $1.25 billion of 4.500% Senior Notes due 2031
• $1.25 billion of 4.750% Senior Notes due 2032
• $1.25 billion of 5.100% Senior Notes due 2036
Dell Technologies Reports Share Conversions by Silver Lake Funds

Dell Technologies announced that between September 15 and 22, 2025, Silver Lake-affiliated funds converted a total of 3,915,292 shares of Dell’s Class B common stock into an equal number of Class C common shares. Following the conversions, Dell had 338.6 million Class C shares and 54.8 million Class B shares outstanding as of September 23, 2025.

The conversions were made on a one-for-one basis under Dell’s certificate of incorporation and carried out without registration, relying on the Section 3(a)(9) exemption of the Securities Act. No commissions or remuneration were paid in connection with the exchanges.
Dell Technologies filed an 8-K announcing a $4.5 billion debt offering, including four tranches of senior notes maturing between 2029 and 2036, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds will primarily be used to redeem part of its 6.020% senior notes due 2026, with any remaining funds allocated to general corporate purposes. The offering is expected to close on October 6, 2025.
Dell CFO Transition

Dell Technologies CFO Yvonne McGill will step down on Sept. 9, 2025, after nearly 30 years with the company. David Kennedy, SVP of Global Business Operations, will serve as interim CFO. McGill will advise through Q3 FY2026. Dell reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance and will outline long-term plans at its Oct. 7 analyst meeting.
Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) announces that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.525 per common share, which will be payable on Oct. 31 to shareholders of record as of Oct. 21.

Dell increased its annual cash dividend by 18% to $2.10 per common share following board approval in February of this year.
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US

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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.
US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.
Chicago PMI Plunges to 47.1 in August, Signaling Renewed Contraction

Business activity in the Chicago region deteriorated sharply in August, with the Chicago PMI falling to 47.1 from 57.6 in July. The reading was far below the 57.8 market forecast and dropped beneath the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

The 10.5-point monthly decline pushed the Chicago Business Barometer into contraction territory for the first time since April and to its lowest level since December.
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# S&P 500 Slips 0.25% as Hawkish Fed Message Pressures Technology Stocks

U.S. stocks ended Friday modestly lower as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, with rising Treasury yields weighing particularly heavily on technology and other rate-sensitive sectors.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%. The index had climbed above 7,770 earlier in the session before reversing around midday and remaining under pressure through the afternoon.

Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to bringing it back toward the 2% target. The remarks pushed Treasury yields higher as investors increased expectations for tighter monetary policy. Higher yields tend to pressure equity valuations, particularly for technology and other growth companies whose valuations depend more heavily on future earnings.

The sector breakdown showed a clear rotation. Information technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.29%, followed by utilities at 1.14%, industrials at 0.96% and real estate at 0.49%. In contrast, consumer discretionary jumped 1.69% and communication services gained 1.56%. Energy rose 0.59%, while financials advanced 0.34%.

The relatively small decline in the broader S&P 500 despite the technology selloff suggests investors were rotating rather than abandoning equities altogether. Consumer-oriented and communication stocks provided significant support, limiting the index’s losses.

The Fed and Treasury yields are likely to remain central to the market outlook. If incoming inflation and labor-market data reinforce expectations for higher rates, richly valued technology stocks could remain under pressure even as strength in other sectors provides some support to the broader market.
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U.S. Inflation Expectations Ease as Consumer Sentiment Beats Forecast

U.S. consumer inflation expectations eased in August, while consumer sentiment came in slightly stronger than expected, offering a somewhat favorable signal for the economic outlook.

The University of Michigan’s one-year inflation expectation fell to 4.0% from 4.2%, significantly below the 4.3% forecast. Longer-term five-year inflation expectations remained unchanged at 3.3%, matching expectations.

Consumer sentiment came in at 51.7, above the 51.0 forecast but down from 55.2 previously. Consumer expectations similarly beat forecasts at 51.5 versus 50.6, although they declined from 55.4.

Overall, the report is mixed but relatively favorable for markets. The decline in short-term inflation expectations could ease concerns about persistent price pressures and support expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve, while the better-than-expected sentiment figures suggest consumers are slightly more resilient than feared. However, the sharp decline in sentiment from the previous month still points to considerable caution among U.S. households.
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected, Signaling Continued Labor-Market Strength

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 203,000, below expectations of 208,000 and down from 207,000 previously.

Continuing claims also improved, declining to 1.778 million from 1.796 million, better than the 1.790 million expected.

Both figures point to a still-resilient U.S. labor market. Lower initial claims suggest layoffs remain limited, while the decline in continuing claims indicates unemployed workers may be finding jobs somewhat more easily.

The report is moderately positive for the U.S. economic outlook, but stronger labor conditions could also reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy, particularly if inflation remains elevated.
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Jump 1.1% as Tech Sentiment Strengthens

Nasdaq 100 futures are up about 1.1% early Thursday, pointing to a strong open for U.S. technology stocks. The September contract is trading near 29,608, up roughly 319 points.

The move comes amid broad strength in major technology names following a busy round of earnings. NVIDIA is up around 7.5% in premarket trading after reporting a 106% year-over-year surge in quarterly revenue and 117% growth in Data Center sales. Salesforce is up about 13%, while CrowdStrike, Okta, Veeva and Nutanix are also posting strong premarket gains following their results.

AI remains the central driver of sentiment. NVIDIA’s $108 billion Q3 revenue outlook, continued acceleration in AI infrastructure spending, and strong enterprise AI commentary from Salesforce and CrowdStrike are reinforcing expectations that AI-related investment remains robust.

The futures rally therefore appears to be driven primarily by renewed strength across AI, software and cybersecurity stocks, with NVIDIA’s results providing the most important catalyst ahead of the U.S. market open.
US Stocks Open Slightly Lower as PCE Inflation Remains Elevated

US stocks opened modestly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed July inflation data that showed underlying price pressures remained persistent.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.07% to 7,671.53 shortly after the opening bell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15% to 53,499.19. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.28% to 26,079.36, underperforming the broader market.

Core PCE Holds at 3.3%

The Federal Reserve's closely watched core PCE price index increased 3.3% year over year in July, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations.

On a monthly basis, core PCE rose 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, but accelerating slightly from June's 0.1% increase.

Headline inflation delivered a somewhat firmer signal. The PCE price index rose 0.2% month over month, above the 0.1% expected and reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline. Annual headline PCE inflation came in at 3.7%, slightly above the 3.6% forecast but unchanged from June.

Inflation Data Keeps Fed Outlook in Focus

The figures suggest inflation remains sticky, with both headline and core PCE running well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While the core readings matched expectations, the hotter-than-forecast monthly headline figure offered little evidence of a decisive return toward price stability.

That may be contributing to the cautious start on Wall Street, particularly in rate-sensitive technology stocks, with the Nasdaq posting the largest decline among the three major indexes.

Investors will now assess whether persistent inflation pressures could keep US monetary policy restrictive for longer than previously anticipated.
U.S. Stocks Edge Higher Despite Weak Housing Data and Escalating Canada Trade War

U.S. stocks traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors weighed mixed economic data against a sharp escalation in trade tensions between the United States and Canada.

The Nasdaq Composite led gains, rising 0.60%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.27% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.11%.

U.S. Economic Data Sends Mixed Signals

ADP's weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increasing by 11,800, up from 9,500 previously, signaling continued resilience in the labor market.

Other data were weaker. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 89.4 in August from 90.2, missing the 90.3 forecast. New home sales also dropped sharply to an annualized 607,000 in July from 678,000 and came in below expectations of 620,000.

The softer housing and confidence readings could support expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy outlook, helping offset concerns about the labor market remaining relatively firm.

U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate

Trade developments added uncertainty to the session after Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about C$27.6 billion, or roughly $20 billion, of U.S. goods. The measures, scheduled to take effect September 8, will impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of product categories, including steel, aluminum, appliances, electronics, clothing and agricultural products.

Canada's action follows new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian imports after trade negotiations between the two countries broke down. President Donald Trump has also threatened further tariffs on Canadian automobiles and auto parts, increasing concerns about disruption to highly integrated North American supply chains.

Despite the escalation, U.S. equities remained positive, with technology stocks providing the strongest support to the broader market. Investors are now balancing expectations for easier monetary policy against the inflation and growth risks created by the expanding U.S.-Canada trade dispute.
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US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.
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Germany

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Eurozone Inflation Jumps to 3.3% in August, Strengthening ECB Rate-Hike Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated sharply in August, increasing pressure on the European Central Bank as higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed into consumer prices.

Annual inflation rose to 3.3% from 2.9% in July, matching market expectations and moving further above the ECB’s 2% target. Energy was the main driver, with energy prices surging 14.3% year over year as crude oil and natural gas costs increased.

Underlying inflation offered a more encouraging signal. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, slightly below the 2.5% forecast. Services inflation also slowed to 3.0% from 3.3%, suggesting the energy shock has not yet developed into broad-based price pressure.

Meanwhile, the eurozone unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July, compared with expectations for 6.3%, indicating some softening in the labor market.

The inflation figures strengthen expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its September 10 meeting. Markets are increasingly expecting a 25-basis-point increase in the deposit rate to 2.50%, which would represent the ECB’s second rate hike this year.

The overall picture remains complicated for policymakers: headline inflation is accelerating because of the energy shock while core inflation and labor-market data are showing less pressure. This supports another near-term ECB hike but could make policymakers more cautious about committing to an extended tightening cycle.
German Manufacturing PMI Jumps to 54.3 as Industrial Recovery Accelerates

Germany’s manufacturing sector strengthened sharply in August, providing further evidence that the country’s long-struggling industrial economy is gaining momentum.

The HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.3 from 52.2 in July, exceeding the preliminary estimate and market forecast of 54.1. The reading marked a 51-month high and remained comfortably above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.
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German Retail Sales Plunge 3.4% in July, Far Below Expectations

German retail sales fell sharply in July, signaling renewed weakness in household consumption despite Germany’s broader economic recovery.

Retail sales declined 3.4% month over month in real terms, dramatically missing expectations for a 0.4% increase. June’s reading was revised to unchanged from the previous month.

The much weaker-than-expected report is generally negative for the euro and reinforces concerns about the sustainability of Germany’s economic recovery.
German Inflation Rises to 2.9% in August, Slightly Below Forecast

Germany’s annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.9% in August from 2.8% in July, but came in slightly below the 3.0% market forecast. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2%, below expectations for a 0.3% increase and sharply slower than July’s 0.8% gain.

The latest figures suggest that inflationary pressures are increasing, but not as rapidly as markets had feared.
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German Unemployment Rises by 4,000 in August

Germany’s unemployment increased by 4,000 in August, matching market expectations but improving from the previous month’s 6,000 increase.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4%, also in line with forecasts.

The figures suggest Germany’s labor market remains relatively stable despite weak economic momentum. The smaller increase in unemployment is mildly positive, but the persistently elevated 6.4% rate indicates that labor-market conditions remain soft rather than signaling a meaningful recovery.
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German Consumer Confidence Improves Sharply for September, Beating Forecasts

German consumer sentiment improved significantly heading into September, offering a positive signal for domestic demand in Europe’s largest economy.

The GfK/NIM Consumer Climate index rose to -26.6 for September from -29.4 previously. The reading was also considerably stronger than the -29.5 expected by economists.

Despite the improvement, confidence remains deeply negative, suggesting German households are still cautious about spending. Consumer sentiment has remained under pressure this year amid elevated prices, geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over the economic outlook.
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German Economy Beats Forecasts as GDP Growth and Business Sentiment Improve

Germany’s economy delivered stronger-than-expected signals on Tuesday, with second-quarter GDP growth and August business sentiment both exceeding forecasts.

German GDP expanded 0.3% quarter-over-quarter in Q2, above the 0.2% forecast but slightly below the previous 0.4% growth. On an annual basis, GDP grew 1.0%, beating expectations of 0.9% and accelerating from 0.7% previously.

Business indicators also strengthened. Germany’s Current Assessment index rose to 88.5 from 86.5, well above the 87.0 forecast, while Business Expectations climbed to 89.1 from 86.8, exceeding expectations of 87.5.

The combination of stronger GDP growth and improving business confidence suggests momentum in Europe’s largest economy is strengthening despite persistent global trade and industrial-sector uncertainties.
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Eurozone Manufacturing Accelerates as Services Remain in Expansion

Eurozone business activity remained positive in August, with manufacturing showing a notable improvement.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 from 51.9, beating the 51.8 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

The Services PMI held at 51.7, slightly above expectations of 51.5 and remaining comfortably above the 50 expansion threshold.

Overall, the data point to resilient Eurozone activity, with the manufacturing recovery gaining momentum while services continue to expand at a steady pace.
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German Manufacturing Strengthens in August, but Services Slip Into Contraction

Germany’s August PMI data showed a sharp divergence between manufacturing and services.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI jumped to 54.1 from 52.2, well above the 52.1 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

Services moved in the opposite direction. The Services PMI fell to 48.5 from 49.8, missing expectations of 50.1 and remaining below the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.

Overall, the strong manufacturing reading is encouraging for Germany’s industrial recovery, but renewed weakness in services suggests economic momentum remains uneven.
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German Producer Prices Jump 1.1% in July, Beating Expectations

German producer prices rose sharply in July, signaling renewed price pressures at the factory level and coming in well above market expectations.

Germany’s Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 1.1% month over month in July, compared with expectations for a 0.5% increase. The reading also marked a significant reversal from the 0.3% decline recorded in the previous month.

German PPI Beats Forecast

The latest figures showed:

* German PPI MoM: +1.1%
* Market forecast: +0.5%
* Previous: -0.3%
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COINBASE:XRPUSD

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Bitcoin Surges 8% Above $77,000 as Treasury Bond Buybacks and Crypto Policy Optimism Fuel Rally

Bitcoin extended its powerful rebound on Friday, jumping 8.2% to around $77,757 and briefly approaching $80,000. The cryptocurrency has now gained roughly 24% this week, putting it on course for its strongest weekly performance since March 2023.

The latest advance is closely linked to the U.S. Treasury's decision to substantially increase buybacks of longer-dated government bonds. Treasury plans to at least double liquidity-support buybacks of 10- to 30-year securities to $4 billion per operation. Markets have interpreted the move as an attempt to relieve pressure on long-term yields and improve liquidity in the Treasury market.

While the program is not Federal Reserve quantitative easing, it has nevertheless encouraged a "debasement trade." The dollar has weakened as investors question whether attempts to suppress long-term borrowing costs could shift some of the pressure from the bond market into the currency. That environment has simultaneously supported assets such as Bitcoin and gold.

Crypto-specific developments are providing another tailwind. Investors have become more optimistic about U.S. digital-asset regulation following renewed political momentum around the Clarity Act and broader efforts to establish clearer rules for cryptocurrency markets.

The rally is also broad rather than limited to Bitcoin. Ethereum, Solana and XRP have advanced strongly alongside Bitcoin, while crypto-related equities have benefited from the renewed risk appetite.

Bitcoin's move above $77,000 therefore reflects several catalysts working simultaneously: Treasury bond-market intervention, dollar weakness, expectations for improved financial liquidity and regulatory optimism. The combination has transformed what began as a rebound earlier this week into one of Bitcoin's strongest rallies in several years.

Powell Just Lit the Fuse on Altcoin Season - Fat Tail Daily

Rate cuts aren’t just good for tech stocks. Lower rates mean more investors will also take a chance on higher-risk cryptos. Here’s the opportunity that’s just getting started…

(daily.fattail.com.au)
Fidelity crypto half year report link:
https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/crypto-midyear-outlook-2025?ccsource=em_Promo_1119565_18_0_22171_201

XRP, SOL, ADA's Coinbase Premium Surges to One-Month High After Trump's Crypto Reserve News

Tokens traded at a notable premium on Coinbase relative to Binance after Trump announced plans for establishing strategic crypto reserve.

(finance.yahoo.com)
ripple
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US Dividends

Nvidia Can Clearly Afford a Bigger Dividend. Why Its Payout Hasn’t Grown.

Nvidia left its quarterly dividend unchanged at $0.25 after reporting Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion, even though the company clearly has the cash to pay more.

(finance.yahoo.com)

Dividend Growth Stocks: McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Dividend Stock Analysis

Your source for finding the best dividend growth stocks

(dividend-growth-stocks.com)
National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock Soars After Special Dividend and Fiscal 2026 Results

National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) shares surged approximately 13% on Thursday after the company announced a $3.25 per share special cash dividend alongside its fiscal 2026 financial results, boosting investor sentiment despite relatively flat earnings.

The special dividend, payable on or before July 30 to shareholders of record as of July 13, marks the company's thirteenth special cash dividend over the past 22 years. National Beverage said it has returned more than $1.8 billion to shareholders through special dividends during that period.

For fiscal 2026, the maker of LaCroix sparkling water reported net sales of $1.18 billion, compared with $1.20 billion in the prior fiscal year. Net income slipped slightly to $183.6 million from $186.8 million, while diluted earnings per share declined to $1.96 from $1.99.

Despite the modest year-over-year declines, management expressed confidence in the company's outlook, pointing to continued product innovation, a strong balance sheet, and improving market conditions. Cash increased by $156 million during the year to $350 million, providing significant financial flexibility.

The company also highlighted strong momentum from newer LaCroix flavors, including PineApple CocoNut and Strawberry Peach, while noting that easing commodity costs and improving consumer spending trends could support future growth.

# Why FIZZ Stock Rose

Several developments fueled Thursday's rally:

* National Beverage declared a special cash dividend of $3.25 per share.
* The company ended fiscal 2026 with $350 million in cash, up $156 million from the prior year.
* Management expressed confidence in future growth, citing improving market conditions and continued product innovation.
* Investors welcomed the company's long history of returning capital to shareholders through special dividends.

While fiscal 2026 earnings were largely stable compared with the prior year, the sizeable special dividend and upbeat outlook significantly boosted investor sentiment, sending National Beverage shares approximately 13% higher during Thursday's trading session.
Paychex, Inc. (Nasdaq: PAYX) has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend on Paychex common stock of $1.19 per share, an increase of $0.11 (or 10%) from the prior quarterly dividend of $1.08 per share, payable on May 29, 2026 to shareholders of record as of May 13, 2026.
Kenvue Inc. (NYSE: KVUE) declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2075 per share on its common stock. The quarterly dividend is payable on May 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on May 13, 2026.
The Board of Directors of Prologis, Inc. (NYSE: PLD) declared a regular cash dividend for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, on the following securities:

A dividend of $1.07 per share of the company's common stock, payable on June 30, 2026, to common stockholders of record at the close of business on June 16, 2026; and

A dividend of $1.0675 per share of the company's 8.54% Series Q Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, payable on June 30, 2026, to Series Q stockholders of record at the close of business on June 16, 2026.

PRNewswire
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE: GWW) announced a quarterly cash dividend of $2.49 per share, an increase of 10% from the most recent company dividend. The dividend is payable on June 1, 2026, to shareholders of record on May 11, 2026.
Corteva, Inc. (NYSE: CTVA) announced a common stock dividend of $0.18 cents per share, payable June 15, 2026, to the Company’s shareholders of record on June 1, 2026.
Williams (NYSE: WMB) approved a regular dividend of $0.525 per share, $2.10 annualized, on the company’s common stock, payable on June 29, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on June 12, 2026.
Linde plc (Nasdaq: LIN) declared a quarterly dividend of $1.60 per share.

The dividend is payable on June 18, 2026, to shareholders of record on June 4, 2026.
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NYSE:ORCL

Oracle Stock Falls 3.7% After TD Cowen Cuts Price Target to $240

Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) shares fell about 3.7% Tuesday after TD Cowen lowered its price target on the enterprise software and cloud computing company.

TD Cowen analyst Derrick Wood reduced his Oracle price target to $240 from $300 while maintaining a Buy rating. The revised target still represents substantial upside from the current stock price of $143.64.

Oracle has become increasingly tied to the AI infrastructure investment cycle through Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, where demand for computing capacity has been supported by generative AI workloads and large-scale data center projects. The company competes with major cloud providers including Amazon, Microsoft and Google while partnering with AI companies to expand its infrastructure business.

The large reduction in TD Cowen’s target may have contributed to Tuesday’s selling pressure, although the continued Buy rating indicates the analyst remains constructive on Oracle’s longer-term prospects.

Oracle’s decline also comes amid broader weakness in technology stocks, with the Nasdaq down around 1% as elevated U.S. Treasury yields pressure growth-stock valuations. The combination of a lower analyst target and a difficult market backdrop appears to be weighing on ORCL shares.
Oracle Slides 12% Despite Broad Wall Street Support as Analysts Trim Targets After Earnings

Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) shares fell roughly 12% on Thursday following its earnings report, even as most Wall Street firms maintained bullish ratings and continued to view the company as a major beneficiary of the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom.

The sharp decline appears to be driven less by analyst sentiment and more by investor disappointment relative to elevated expectations after Oracle's strong rally since February. However, today's analyst reactions suggest that Wall Street remains largely constructive on the company's long-term outlook.

Wedbush's Daniel Ives lowered his price target from $275 to $240 while maintaining an Outperform rating, reflecting a more conservative valuation despite continued confidence in Oracle's AI and cloud growth strategy. Scotiabank also reduced its target from $290 to $241 but kept its Sector Outperform rating.

Importantly, the target reductions were not accompanied by rating downgrades. Several major firms reiterated bullish views, including Wolfe Research (Outperform), Citigroup (Market Outperform), and Scotiabank (Sector Outperform). Sanford C. Bernstein established a notably optimistic $325 price target, implying substantial upside from current levels.

The analyst responses suggest that while expectations have been reset following the earnings release, Wall Street still sees Oracle as one of the key infrastructure providers benefiting from the massive wave of AI-related spending. Investors remain focused on the company's cloud business, AI training workloads, and expanding data center footprint, which have become major drivers of future growth expectations.

The stock's decline therefore appears to reflect a valuation adjustment rather than a fundamental shift in analyst opinion. With most firms maintaining positive ratings and price targets that remain well above current trading levels, today's selloff highlights the market's tendency to punish even strong companies when results fail to exceed increasingly ambitious expectations.
Oracle Falls 5% After Earnings as AI Spending Surge and Cloud Growth Questions Weigh on Shares

Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) shares fell 6% in after-hours trading despite reporting record quarterly and full-year results, as investors focused on both the massive capital requirements of its AI expansion and signs that some areas of cloud growth may not be keeping pace with lofty expectations.

The company reported record fourth-quarter revenue of $19.2 billion, up 21% year-over-year, while total cloud revenue rose 47% to $9.9 billion. Cloud Infrastructure (IaaS) remained the standout performer, surging 93% to $5.8 billion as demand for AI computing capacity continued to explode.

However, investors appeared less enthusiastic about Oracle's Cloud Applications (SaaS) business, which grew just 10% to $4.1 billion. While respectable by most software industry standards, that growth rate was far slower than the company's infrastructure business and may have disappointed investors hoping for broader acceleration across Oracle's cloud portfolio.

Software revenue also declined 2% during the quarter, reflecting the ongoing migration from on-premise products to cloud offerings. The contrast between hypergrowth in AI infrastructure and more modest growth in applications likely contributed to concerns that Oracle's cloud momentum remains heavily dependent on AI-related infrastructure demand.

The company also unveiled a staggering $638 billion Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) backlog, up 363% year-over-year, and reaffirmed its goal of reaching $90 billion in revenue during fiscal 2027. First-quarter guidance was strong, with total revenue expected to grow between 27% and 29%.

Despite those positives, investors focused on the enormous spending required to support Oracle's AI ambitions. The company disclosed that it raised $43 billion in debt and $5 billion in equity during fiscal 2026 and expects to raise approximately another $40 billion in fiscal 2027. Oracle also reported negative free cash flow of $23.7 billion as it aggressively builds AI data center capacity.

The market reaction suggests investors are becoming more selective about AI stories. While Oracle's infrastructure growth and AI demand remain exceptionally strong, concerns about capital intensity, future dilution, and slower growth in its SaaS business appear to have overshadowed otherwise record-breaking results.

In short, Oracle delivered impressive headline numbers, but investors were looking for stronger cloud applications growth and may be questioning whether the enormous investment required to capture the AI opportunity will generate sufficient returns in the years ahead.
Oracle Slips Despite Major Price Target Increase from Bank of America

Oracle (ORCL) shares fell 1.24% despite receiving a significant vote of confidence from Bank of America, which raised its price target to $240 from $200 while maintaining a Buy rating.

The target increase reflects growing optimism surrounding Oracle's position in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure markets. Investors and analysts have increasingly focused on Oracle's ability to secure large cloud contracts and benefit from surging demand for AI computing capacity, an area that has become one of the company's most important growth drivers.

Despite the bullish analyst action, the stock traded lower as investors appeared to take profits following Oracle's strong recent performance. Shares have rallied significantly over the past year as the company emerged as one of the major beneficiaries of AI-related infrastructure spending.

Bank of America's higher target suggests confidence that Oracle can continue gaining market share in cloud services while leveraging its extensive enterprise customer base. The firm is also expected to benefit from increasing demand for database services, cloud applications, and AI training workloads hosted on Oracle Cloud Infrastructure.

The modest decline in the stock price appears more related to short-term market dynamics than to any deterioration in Oracle's fundamental outlook. In fact, today's analyst update points in the opposite direction, highlighting expectations for continued revenue growth and expanding opportunities tied to the global AI investment cycle.

With the new $240 target implying meaningful upside from current levels, Wall Street's focus remains on Oracle's ability to convert strong cloud demand into sustained revenue growth and margin expansion over the coming years.
Oracle Drops 9% in Tech Rout Despite Continued Wall Street Optimism

Oracle shares plunged nearly 10% on Friday, closing at $213.41 as investors aggressively sold technology stocks following stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data and rising Treasury yields. The decline came despite a series of bullish analyst updates that underscore Wall Street's confidence in Oracle's long-term AI and cloud computing opportunities.

Several firms reaffirmed positive views on the company during the week. Guggenheim analyst John DiFucci maintained a Buy rating, while BTIG Research also reiterated its Buy recommendation with a notably bullish $400 price target. Meanwhile, Cantor Fitzgerald raised its price target from $229 to $284 and maintained an Overweight rating, signaling growing confidence in Oracle's growth trajectory.

The contrast between Friday's sharp decline and the optimistic analyst commentary highlights the market's current focus on macroeconomic factors rather than company-specific fundamentals. Higher interest rates tend to weigh on technology valuations, particularly among companies expected to generate a significant portion of their growth in future years.
Oracle Extends Rally as Citigroup Reiterates Buy Rating

Oracle (ORCL) shares gained about 1.9% today after Citigroup reiterated its Buy rating, adding to growing optimism surrounding the software giant's position in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence infrastructure market.

The analyst reaffirmation comes as Oracle continues to attract investor attention for its cloud business and increasing role in supporting AI workloads. The company has emerged as one of the key beneficiaries of surging demand for data center capacity, cloud computing resources, and AI training infrastructure.

Oracle's cloud division has been growing at a strong pace, supported by enterprise customers seeking alternatives to larger cloud providers and by AI companies requiring large-scale computing power. Investors have become increasingly optimistic that Oracle's cloud infrastructure business could deliver sustained growth as artificial intelligence adoption accelerates across industries.

Citigroup's decision to maintain a Buy rating suggests continued confidence in Oracle's ability to capitalize on these trends. Analysts remain encouraged by the company's expanding cloud footprint, strong backlog of future business, and strategic positioning within the AI ecosystem.

With shares already among the stronger performers in the technology sector this year, today's gain reflects ongoing investor belief that Oracle remains well positioned to benefit from the multi-year wave of AI and cloud infrastructure spending. The latest analyst endorsement reinforces Wall Street's increasingly positive view of the company's long-term growth prospects.
Oracle reported strong fiscal third-quarter 2026 results, with revenue rising 22% year over year to $17.2 billion and cloud revenue increasing 44% to $8.9 billion. The company’s cloud infrastructure (IaaS) segment grew 84% to $4.9 billion, driven by demand for AI computing, while cloud applications (SaaS) revenue reached $4.0 billion.

GAAP net income totaled $3.7 billion and earnings per share rose 24% to $1.27, while non-GAAP EPS increased 21% to $1.79. Remaining performance obligations surged 325% year over year to $553 billion, largely reflecting major AI-related cloud contracts.

Oracle said demand for AI cloud capacity continues to outpace supply and expects strong growth to continue, guiding fourth-quarter revenue growth of about 19%–21% and non-GAAP EPS of roughly $1.96–$2.00.

PRNewswire
Oracle Corporation announced plans to raise $45–$50 billion in gross proceeds during calendar year 2026 to fund the expansion of its rapidly growing Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business, as it builds capacity to meet rising demand from major customers including AMD, Meta, NVIDIA, OpenAI, TikTok, and xAI.

Oracle said it will use a balanced mix of equity and debt financing to maintain an investment-grade balance sheet. Roughly half of the funding will come from equity, including mandatory convertible preferred securities and a newly authorized at-the-market equity program of up to $20 billion, while the remaining portion will be financed through a single issuance of investment-grade senior unsecured bonds early in 2026.
Oracle (ORCL) posts strong Q2 with surging cloud demand and sharp earnings growth

Oracle (ORCL) reported robust fiscal 2026 second-quarter results, highlighted by a massive increase in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and continued acceleration in cloud revenue. RPO jumped 438 percent year-over-year to 523 billion dollars, supported by major new commitments from customers including Meta and NVIDIA.

Quarterly revenue rose 14 percent to 16.1 billion dollars, driven by cloud revenue of 8.0 billion dollars, up 34 percent from the prior year. Infrastructure-as-a-Service revenue surged 68 percent, while Software-as-a-Service grew 11 percent. Oracle’s Fusion Cloud ERP and NetSuite ERP businesses expanded 18 percent and 13 percent, respectively.

GAAP earnings per share climbed 91 percent to 2.10 dollars, boosted in part by a 2.7 billion dollar pre-tax gain from the sale of Oracle’s stake in chipmaker Ampere. Non-GAAP earnings per share increased 54 percent to 2.26 dollars.

Oracle executives emphasized a strategic pivot toward chip neutrality and continued investment in AI-enabled cloud infrastructure. The company now operates or is building 211 cloud regions globally and is more than halfway through constructing 72 multicloud data centers embedded in AWS, Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure.

AI-related demand remains a key driver, with Oracle noting that its multicloud database business grew 817 percent in the quarter and that all top five AI models run on Oracle Cloud.

The board declared a quarterly dividend of 0.50 dollars per share, payable January 23, 2026, to shareholders of record on January 9.
Oracle Corporation today announced that its second quarter fiscal year 2026 results will be released on Wednesday, December 10th, after the close of the market.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.
US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.
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# S&P 500 Slips 0.25% as Hawkish Fed Message Pressures Technology Stocks

U.S. stocks ended Friday modestly lower as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, with rising Treasury yields weighing particularly heavily on technology and other rate-sensitive sectors.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%. The index had climbed above 7,770 earlier in the session before reversing around midday and remaining under pressure through the afternoon.

Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to bringing it back toward the 2% target. The remarks pushed Treasury yields higher as investors increased expectations for tighter monetary policy. Higher yields tend to pressure equity valuations, particularly for technology and other growth companies whose valuations depend more heavily on future earnings.

The sector breakdown showed a clear rotation. Information technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.29%, followed by utilities at 1.14%, industrials at 0.96% and real estate at 0.49%. In contrast, consumer discretionary jumped 1.69% and communication services gained 1.56%. Energy rose 0.59%, while financials advanced 0.34%.

The relatively small decline in the broader S&P 500 despite the technology selloff suggests investors were rotating rather than abandoning equities altogether. Consumer-oriented and communication stocks provided significant support, limiting the index’s losses.

The Fed and Treasury yields are likely to remain central to the market outlook. If incoming inflation and labor-market data reinforce expectations for higher rates, richly valued technology stocks could remain under pressure even as strength in other sectors provides some support to the broader market.
US Stocks Open Slightly Lower as PCE Inflation Remains Elevated

US stocks opened modestly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed July inflation data that showed underlying price pressures remained persistent.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.07% to 7,671.53 shortly after the opening bell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15% to 53,499.19. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.28% to 26,079.36, underperforming the broader market.

Core PCE Holds at 3.3%

The Federal Reserve's closely watched core PCE price index increased 3.3% year over year in July, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations.

On a monthly basis, core PCE rose 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, but accelerating slightly from June's 0.1% increase.

Headline inflation delivered a somewhat firmer signal. The PCE price index rose 0.2% month over month, above the 0.1% expected and reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline. Annual headline PCE inflation came in at 3.7%, slightly above the 3.6% forecast but unchanged from June.

Inflation Data Keeps Fed Outlook in Focus

The figures suggest inflation remains sticky, with both headline and core PCE running well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While the core readings matched expectations, the hotter-than-forecast monthly headline figure offered little evidence of a decisive return toward price stability.

That may be contributing to the cautious start on Wall Street, particularly in rate-sensitive technology stocks, with the Nasdaq posting the largest decline among the three major indexes.

Investors will now assess whether persistent inflation pressures could keep US monetary policy restrictive for longer than previously anticipated.
U.S. Stocks Edge Higher Despite Weak Housing Data and Escalating Canada Trade War

U.S. stocks traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors weighed mixed economic data against a sharp escalation in trade tensions between the United States and Canada.

The Nasdaq Composite led gains, rising 0.60%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.27% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.11%.

U.S. Economic Data Sends Mixed Signals

ADP's weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increasing by 11,800, up from 9,500 previously, signaling continued resilience in the labor market.

Other data were weaker. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 89.4 in August from 90.2, missing the 90.3 forecast. New home sales also dropped sharply to an annualized 607,000 in July from 678,000 and came in below expectations of 620,000.

The softer housing and confidence readings could support expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy outlook, helping offset concerns about the labor market remaining relatively firm.

U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate

Trade developments added uncertainty to the session after Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about C$27.6 billion, or roughly $20 billion, of U.S. goods. The measures, scheduled to take effect September 8, will impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of product categories, including steel, aluminum, appliances, electronics, clothing and agricultural products.

Canada's action follows new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian imports after trade negotiations between the two countries broke down. President Donald Trump has also threatened further tariffs on Canadian automobiles and auto parts, increasing concerns about disruption to highly integrated North American supply chains.

Despite the escalation, U.S. equities remained positive, with technology stocks providing the strongest support to the broader market. Investors are now balancing expectations for easier monetary policy against the inflation and growth risks created by the expanding U.S.-Canada trade dispute.
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US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.
Health Care and Consumer Stocks Lead U.S. Market as Technology Lags

U.S. equities remained broadly higher Wednesday afternoon, but sector performance showed a sharp divergence, with health care surging while technology and industrial stocks remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was up about 0.32% as of 2:38 p.m. ET, supported by strong gains in health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples and materials.

Moderna Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Fuels Health Care Rally

Health care was by far the strongest S&P 500 sector, jumping 3.59%, with a major catalyst coming from Moderna and Merck’s positive late-stage cancer-treatment results.

Moderna shares more than doubled after the companies reported that the personalized mRNA cancer therapy intismeran, when combined with Merck’s Keytruda, reduced the risk of melanoma recurrence and spread compared with Keytruda alone. Merck shares also jumped about 10%, while the news sparked a broader biotechnology rally. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index climbed more than 4%, with BioNTech and other mRNA-related stocks also advancing sharply.

The results are particularly significant because they provide late-stage evidence that Moderna’s mRNA technology could have substantial applications beyond infectious-disease vaccines, improving sentiment toward the broader biotechnology industry.

Consumer discretionary was the second-strongest S&P 500 sector, rising 1.93%, followed by consumer staples at 1.46% and materials at 1.29%. Communication services gained 0.65%, while real estate advanced 0.52%.

Treasury Support Helps Broader Market

The broader improvement in sentiment also follows the Treasury Department’s move to expand liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government securities. The action helped ease some of the recent pressure on Treasury yields, providing support to rate-sensitive areas of the equity market.

Real estate’s 0.52% advance is consistent with the easing in long-term yield pressure, as lower borrowing costs tend to improve the relative outlook for the sector.

Technology Remains Under Pressure

Despite the broader market advance, technology continued to lag. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector fell 0.65%, helping explain why the Nasdaq was struggling to participate in the broader rally.

Industrials were the weakest sector, declining 0.71%. Financials fell 0.28% and energy slipped 0.16%, while utilities edged 0.11% higher.

Wednesday’s sector performance therefore points to a significant rotation beneath the headline indexes. Rather than technology leading the market, the S&P 500’s advance is being driven primarily by health care — amplified by the Moderna-Merck cancer breakthrough — alongside strength in consumer and materials stocks.
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US Stocks Rise as Treasury Bond-Market Support Eases Yield Pressure

U.S. stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as the Treasury Department’s expanded bond-buyback operations continued to support sentiment by easing pressure in the government debt market.

The S&P 500 was up 0.37% at 7,719.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.46% to 53,588.62. The Nasdaq Composite, however, slipped 0.05% to 26,277.81, giving back its earlier gains as technology stocks lagged the broader market.

Treasury Intervention Brings Relief to Bonds and Stocks

The main catalyst supporting risk sentiment was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s move to bolster liquidity in the Treasury market. The department said it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities, increasing operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion and targeting the 10- to 30-year portion of the curve.

Bond yields dropped sharply following the announcement. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell about 6 basis points to around 4.65%, while the 30-year yield declined roughly 9 basis points to around 5.20%. Treasury prices and yields move inversely.

The action has provided some relief after the recent surge in long-term borrowing costs became a major headwind for equities. The 30-year Treasury yield had climbed to around 5.34% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades, amid concerns over government borrowing, inflation, the U.S.-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices.

Dow Leads While Nasdaq Loses Momentum

The latest market action shows a divergence beneath the headline indexes. The Dow is now outperforming with a 0.46% gain, while the S&P 500 remains moderately higher. The Nasdaq has reversed its earlier advance and is trading slightly lower.

The reversal suggests that lower Treasury yields have not been enough to sustain the initial rebound in technology stocks. Growth and technology shares remain particularly sensitive to changes in long-term rates because higher yields reduce the present value of expected future earnings.

For the broader market, however, Treasury intervention has eased one of Wall Street’s most immediate concerns and helped stabilize financial conditions.

Investors will continue to monitor the Treasury market, oil prices and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes are also in focus for additional clues about the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and interest rates.
S&P 500 Falls as Technology and Industrials Lead Sector Selloff

U.S. stocks remained under pressure Tuesday afternoon, with the S&P 500 down 0.58% as weakness in technology and industrial shares outweighed strong gains across defensive and energy sectors.

Information Technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.93%, making it a major drag on the broader index given its heavy weighting. Industrials followed with a 1.30% decline, while Communication Services fell 0.59% and Materials lost 0.58%.

Investors Rotate Toward Defensive Sectors

The selloff was far from uniform. Health Care led the market with a 1.75% gain, followed by Energy at +1.61% and Consumer Staples at +1.29%. Financials also advanced 0.63%.

The divergence points to a defensive rotation as investors reduce exposure to growth-sensitive areas while favoring sectors typically considered more resilient during periods of uncertainty.

Energy’s strength also comes amid elevated oil prices as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict keeps geopolitical risk and concerns about energy supplies in focus.

With technology falling nearly 2% while Health Care, Energy and Consumer Staples post sizable gains, Tuesday’s sector performance suggests risk appetite remains fragile even as parts of the market continue to outperform.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Iran Conflict, Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher and intensified concerns about inflation and interest rates, with technology stocks leading the decline.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3% to 26,301, underperforming the broader market. The S&P 500 declined 0.49% to 7,707, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% at 53,429.

The risk-off move comes as hopes for a lasting resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict fade. Iran has shifted toward a more offensive military posture after efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while Washington declined to extend the temporary ceasefire.

Oil and Bond Yields Add Pressure

Energy markets remain one of the main channels through which the conflict is affecting U.S. equities. Brent crude rose for a third consecutive session Tuesday, trading around $91 per barrel and reaching its highest level in nearly three weeks as continued restrictions around the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about global oil supplies.

Higher oil prices are feeding concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

Those concerns have spilled into the bond market. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed as high as 5.327%, its highest level since 2007, while the benchmark 10-year yield was also around 4.73%. The rise in long-term yields reflects a combination of inflation concerns related to the conflict and oil prices, alongside broader worries about U.S. borrowing and debt issuance.

The combination of higher energy prices and rising bond yields is particularly challenging for growth and technology stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq's sharper decline.

Latest U.S. Data Point to Softer Economic Momentum

Tuesday's economic releases added another layer of uncertainty.

U.S. housing starts dropped 12.4% month-over-month in July to an annualized 1.239 million units, well below expectations of 1.340 million and down sharply from 1.415 million previously.

Industrial production increased just 0.2% month-over-month in July, below the 0.3% forecast and previous reading. On a year-over-year basis, production growth slowed to 1.08% from 1.29%.

The labor market offered a somewhat stronger signal. Weekly ADP employment growth came in at 9,500 jobs, up from 8,300 previously.

Taken together, the data point to uneven economic momentum: employment continues to expand, but housing activity weakened sharply and industrial production grew more slowly than expected.

For Wall Street, however, geopolitics remains the dominant driver Tuesday. As long as the U.S.-Iran conflict keeps Brent crude elevated and pushes longer-term Treasury yields higher, pressure on equity valuations — particularly in the technology sector — is likely to remain a central market risk.
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Federal Trade Commission and 22 states sue Amazon over inflated advertising prices

The Federal Trade Commission and 22 states filed a lawsuit against online retailer Amazon on Monday claiming that it defrauded advertising customers. The lawsuit, filed in the U.S. District Court in the Western District of Washington, claims that Amazon overcharged 1.2 million advertising customers by misleading them on prices for online auctions for ads. The complaint says Amazon said it was offering competitive prices on several ad products when it was actually inflating auction prices.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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Amazon Rises 4.2% as Evercore ISI Raises Price Target to $355

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares rose 4.2% after Evercore ISI maintained its Outperform rating and raised its price target on the stock.

The firm increased its Amazon price target to $355 from $315. With Amazon trading around $267, the new target implies roughly 33% upside from that level.

The bullish rating provides additional support for Amazon shares, with Evercore ISI signaling greater confidence in the company’s earnings and growth potential through the higher valuation target. The 4.2% gain suggests investors are responding positively to the analyst’s more optimistic outlook.

Amazon remains one of the largest beneficiaries of continued growth in cloud computing and artificial intelligence through AWS, while its dominant e-commerce and advertising businesses provide additional earnings drivers. The combination of these businesses strengthens Amazon’s position across several of the technology sector’s major growth areas.
AWS and NVIDIA Expand AI Partnership With 2 Million Additional GPUs

Amazon Web Services and NVIDIA announced a major expansion of their AI infrastructure partnership, with AWS planning to deploy 2 million additional NVIDIA GPUs across its global infrastructure in 2027 and 2028.

The expansion comes as demand for AI computing continues to accelerate. AWS said the new capacity will include NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra, Rubin and Rubin Ultra GPUs, supporting workloads ranging from agentic AI and scientific computing to enterprise automation and robotics.

The partnership extends well beyond GPUs. AWS plans to introduce infrastructure based on NVIDIA’s Vera CPUs, expand NVLink Fusion integration with Amazon’s Trainium chips, and use NVIDIA’s new high-bandwidth memory technology. The companies also plan to build secure AI factories for the U.S. government, including infrastructure incorporating 100,000 GPUs for federal and national-security workloads.

The agreement further expands NVIDIA’s presence across AWS software and services. Nemotron open models will remain available through Amazon Bedrock and SageMaker, while NVIDIA technology will accelerate data processing, vector indexing and Amazon’s robotics development.

The scale of the commitment is another strong signal that hyperscaler AI infrastructure spending remains robust. For NVIDIA, the planned deployment strengthens visibility for demand extending into the Rubin generation through 2028. For Amazon, it significantly expands AWS’s ability to compete for increasingly compute-intensive AI workloads.
Amazon Stock Surges 12% After Blowout Q2 Results Fueled by AWS and AI Growth

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares jumped 12% in premarket trading on Friday after the e-commerce and cloud giant delivered a strong second-quarter earnings report, with accelerating AWS growth, record profitability and robust AI momentum driving investor optimism.

Second-quarter net sales rose 20% year over year to $200.6 billion, while operating income climbed 43% to $27.5 billion. AWS revenue surged 37% to $42.2 billion—its fastest growth in 18 quarters—lifting AWS operating income to $16.6 billion. Net income more than tripled to $62.6 billion, or $5.75 per diluted share, although results included a significant gain from the company's investment in Anthropic.

AWS and AI Businesses Power Another Strong Quarter

Amazon's cloud business continued to benefit from booming AI demand. CEO Andy Jassy said AWS's AI business and custom chips business each surpassed a $25 billion annual revenue run rate, while Trainium adoption accelerated through multi-year commitments from Anthropic and OpenAI. Amazon also expanded Bedrock with new frontier AI models, including OpenAI's GPT-5.6, and announced a series of new AI infrastructure and enterprise software products.

Outside the cloud segment, the company reported another strong quarter across its retail and advertising businesses. North America sales increased 16%, international sales rose 15%, advertising continued to post robust growth, and Prime delivery speeds reached new records. Amazon also highlighted expanding adoption of Alexa+, Amazon Business, Amazon Pharmacy and its satellite internet initiative.

Guidance Remains Solid

For the third quarter, Amazon expects net sales between $197.0 billion and $202.0 billion, representing 9% to 12% year-over-year growth, while operating income is projected between $22.5 billion and $26.5 billion, well above the prior year's $17.4 billion. Management noted that AI infrastructure investments remain elevated, with capital spending continuing to support long-term growth.

What to Watch

The strong premarket rally reflects investor confidence that Amazon's AI investments are translating into accelerating cloud growth and expanding profitability. Going forward, markets will closely monitor AWS growth, AI monetization, capital spending, retail margins and the company's ability to sustain double-digit revenue growth while maintaining strong earnings momentum.
Amazon Climbs Nearly 3% After Jefferies Reiterates Buy Rating

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) gained 2.9% as Jefferies reiterated its Buy rating, reinforcing Wall Street's positive outlook on the e-commerce and cloud computing giant.

The analyst's bullish stance reflects confidence in Amazon's multiple growth drivers, including its dominant position in online retail, expanding advertising business, and leadership in cloud computing through Amazon Web Services (AWS).

Investors remain particularly focused on AWS, which continues to benefit from accelerating enterprise spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure and cloud services. As companies increase investments in AI applications and data processing, Amazon is viewed as one of the key beneficiaries of the ongoing technology spending cycle.

Amazon's advertising business has also emerged as a significant profit driver, growing faster than the company's core retail operations while generating attractive margins. The combination of cloud computing, advertising, and e-commerce gives Amazon one of the most diversified growth profiles among large-cap technology companies.

The stock's advance comes amid broader strength in technology shares, as investors continue to favor companies with direct exposure to artificial intelligence, cloud infrastructure, and digital transformation trends.

Jefferies' reaffirmed Buy rating suggests the firm expects Amazon to continue benefiting from these long-term growth themes, helping support earnings growth and market-share gains across its major business segments.
Amazon Holds Steady as Barclays Reiterates Overweight Rating

Amazon (AMZN) traded essentially flat despite receiving a supportive analyst update from Barclays, which reiterated its Overweight rating on the stock.

The unchanged positive rating reflects continued confidence in Amazon's long-term growth prospects across its core e-commerce, cloud computing, advertising, and artificial intelligence businesses. Barclays remains constructive on the company's ability to expand profitability while benefiting from ongoing investments in AI infrastructure and AWS cloud services.

The muted market reaction suggests investors largely viewed the rating reaffirmation as expected rather than a catalyst for immediate gains. Amazon has already been one of the primary beneficiaries of the AI investment cycle, and much of that optimism is already reflected in market expectations.

Investors continue to focus on several key drivers for the company, including AWS revenue growth, margins within the retail business, advertising expansion, and the pace at which Amazon can monetize its growing portfolio of AI products and services. The company also remains well positioned to benefit from increasing enterprise demand for cloud computing and generative AI applications.

While today's analyst action did not move the stock significantly, the reaffirmed Overweight rating highlights that many Wall Street analysts continue to view Amazon as one of the strongest long-term growth stories among large-cap technology companies. With shares remaining near record levels, investors appear to be waiting for the next major earnings report or business update before reassessing the stock's near-term direction.
Amazon announced that its Amazon Business platform now offers same-day delivery of fresh groceries to business customers across more than 2,300 U.S. cities and towns.

The expansion allows companies to order perishable items such as dairy, produce, baked goods, and frozen foods alongside office and operational supplies in a single transaction. The move aims to simplify procurement by combining everyday business essentials with fresh food orders, supported by Amazon’s temperature-controlled logistics network.

Business Prime members can access free same-day delivery on grocery orders above $25 in most areas, while Amazon plans to further expand the service throughout 2026. The initiative reflects growing demand from businesses for faster, more integrated purchasing solutions and strengthens Amazon’s position in the B2B and grocery delivery markets.
Business Wire
Amazon unveils new supply chain service, opening logistics network to external businesses

Amazon*com Inc. announced the launch of Amazon Supply Chain Services (ASCS), a new offering that allows businesses of all sizes to access its end-to-end logistics network, marking a significant expansion beyond its core retail and cloud operations.

The new service enables companies to manage freight, distribution, fulfillment, and parcel delivery using Amazon’s infrastructure, which has been built and refined over decades. The move effectively opens Amazon’s internal supply chain capabilities—previously used to support its e-commerce dominance—to third-party businesses across industries such as retail, manufacturing, healthcare, and automotive.

Major companies including Procter & Gamble, 3M, Lands’ End, and American Eagle Outfitters are among the early adopters, leveraging Amazon’s network for transporting goods, managing inventory, and fulfilling orders across multiple sales channels.

ASCS integrates advanced capabilities such as AI-driven demand forecasting, unified inventory management, and end-to-end shipment visibility. Amazon highlighted that its logistics network includes more than 80,000 trailers, 24,000 intermodal containers, and over 100 aircraft, supporting global transportation across air, ocean, rail, and ground.

The initiative is widely seen as Amazon’s attempt to replicate the success of its cloud business, Amazon Web Services, by transforming its internal operational strength into a scalable external service.

By offering faster delivery speeds, operational efficiency, and integrated logistics solutions, Amazon aims to position ASCS as a competitive alternative to traditional third-party logistics providers, potentially reshaping the global supply chain landscape.

The launch signals a new growth avenue for Amazon, as it continues to diversify its revenue streams and monetize its infrastructure beyond its core marketplace.

Business Wire
Amazon Opens Its Logistics Doors — and UPS Pays the Price

May 4, 2026

Shares of United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) are down around 9% today, hit by a double blow of a fierce new competitive threat and a weak earnings backdrop.

Amazon announced the launch of Amazon Supply Chain Services on Monday, opening its logistics network — including 80,000 trailers, 24,000 intermodal containers, and 100 aircraft — to businesses beyond its own operations. This is particularly damaging for UPS given that Amazon is already ramping down the packages it sends via UPS by more than 50% by mid-2026, and now Amazon is actively targeting the very third-party shippers that UPS had been counting on to replace that lost volume. (Investing*com)

The announcement compounds a difficult Q1 2026 earnings backdrop. Although UPS beat pro forma estimates, GAAP earnings were $1.02 per share — down more than 27% year over year — with a 4.0% domestic operating margin weighed down by $350 million in one-time costs related to closing 50 facilities. (Investing*com)

UPS did reaffirm its full-year 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $89.7 billion and a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of about 9.6%, targeting roughly $3 billion in cost savings for the year. (Stocktitan)

For now, Amazon's bold move into third-party logistics has investors questioning whether UPS's second-half recovery story can still materialize as promised.
Amazon Posts 17% Revenue Growth in Q1 2026, AWS Surges 28%

Amazon reported first-quarter net sales of $181.5 billion, up 17% year over year. AWS was the standout, growing 28% to $37.6 billion in revenue with operating income of $14.2 billion. Overall operating income rose to $23.9 billion from $18.4 billion a year earlier. Net income reached $30.3 billion, or $2.78 per diluted share, though results included $16.8 billion in pre-tax gains from the company's investment in Anthropic. Operating cash flow grew 30% to $148.5 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis, while free cash flow fell sharply to $1.2 billion as capital expenditures surged by $59.3 billion year over year, driven primarily by AI infrastructure investment.

Source: Amazon*com,Inc, Business wire
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