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U.S. Stocks Mostly Higher as Services Activity Remains Strong but Price Pressures Rise U.S. stocks traded mostly higher on Monday

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher on Monday as services-sector data continued to point to solid economic growth. The S&P 500 gained 0.43% to 7,755.84...

10-05-26

Schneider Electric to acquire PTC in $22.6 billion deal

The all-cash offer of $205 per share represents a 42% premium to PTC's last closing price and is expected to close by Q3 2027

finance.yahoo.com 10-05-26

Genmab Stock Rises 3.2% as Guggenheim Raises Price Target Following Positive Rina-S Data Genmab shares rose 3.2% to $35.87 after

Genmab shares rose 3.2% to $35.87 after Guggenheim raised its price target to $54 from $45 while maintaining a Buy rating. The more bullish...

10-05-26

Vaxcyte Stock Surges 46.4% as Guggenheim Raises Price Target After Positive VAX-31 Phase 3 Data Vaxcyte shares jumped 46.4% to

Vaxcyte shares jumped 46.4% to $82.68 after Guggenheim raised its price target to $125 from $116 while maintaining a Buy rating. The move followed...

10-05-26

GlobalFoundries Stock Falls 4.2% After BNP Paribas Exane Downgrade GlobalFoundries shares fell 4.2% to $48.07 after BNP Paribas Exane downgraded

GlobalFoundries shares fell 4.2% to $48.07 after BNP Paribas Exane downgraded the stock to Neutral from Outperform. Analyst Karl Ackerman maintained a $51 price...

10-05-26

Credo Technology Stock Falls 4.5% as Stifel Cuts Price Target to $310 Credo Technology shares fell 4.5% to $208.89 after

Credo Technology shares fell 4.5% to $208.89 after Stifel Nicolaus lowered its price target on the stock to $310 from $350 while maintaining a...

10-05-26

Coinbase Stock Rises 3.2% as Bank of America Reiterates Buy Rating Coinbase shares rose 3.2% to $188.83 after Bank of

Coinbase shares rose 3.2% to $188.83 after Bank of America reiterated its Buy rating on the cryptocurrency exchange. The reaffirmed bullish stance may reflect...

10-05-26

Cerebras Systems Stock Jumps 7.5% After Jefferies Upgrade Cerebras Systems shares rose 7.5% to $178.90 after Jefferies upgraded the stock

Cerebras Systems shares rose 7.5% to $178.90 after Jefferies upgraded the stock to Outperform. The positive rating action appears to be supporting renewed investor...

10-05-26

Bristol Myers Squibb Stock Falls 2.8% After Leerink Downgrade Bristol Myers Squibb shares fell 2.8% to $59.41 after Leerink Partners

shares fell 2.8% to $59.41 after Leerink Partners downgraded the stock to Market Perform from Outperform. Analyst David Risinger also cut...

10-05-26

Brent Crude Holds Above $102 After Sharp Intraday Volatility Brent crude futures traded around $102.14 per barrel on Monday, down

Brent crude futures traded around $102.14 per barrel on Monday, down 0.11%, after a highly volatile early session. Prices initially fell below $101 before...

10-05-26

UK Private-Sector Growth Slows in September Despite Better-Than-Expected PMI Readings UK business activity continued to expand in September, although momentum

UK business activity continued to expand in September, although momentum weakened from the previous month. The S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 52.0,...

10-05-26

Eurozone Services Activity Strengthens in September, Led by Spain Eurozone services activity improved in September, with the HCOB Services PMI

improved in September, with the HCOB Services PMI rising to 53.0 from 51.6, matching expectations and signaling a firmer pace of...

10-05-26

S&P 500

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U.S. Stocks Mostly Higher as Services Activity Remains Strong but Price Pressures Rise

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher on Monday as services-sector data continued to point to solid economic growth. The S&P 500 gained 0.43% to 7,755.84 and the Nasdaq rose 0.73% to 27,388.08, while the Dow Jones slipped 0.17% to 51,092.08.

The S&P Global Services PMI came in at 58.8 in September, slightly above the 58.7 consensus, while the Composite PMI held at 58.4. Both readings indicate robust expansion in U.S. private-sector activity.

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI was somewhat softer, declining to 54.9 from 55.4 and missing expectations of 55.1. However, the employment component improved to 50.1 from 47.8, moving back into expansion territory and signaling better hiring conditions within the services sector.

Inflation pressures were the main concern. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index climbed to 74.0 from 72.6, indicating that service-sector input costs remain elevated.

The market reaction suggests investors are balancing resilient economic growth against persistent inflation pressures. Strong activity is supportive for earnings expectations, particularly for growth stocks, but the rise in the prices index could limit expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts.
U.S. Stocks Rally as Weak Jobs Report Boosts Rate-Cut Expectations

U.S. stocks moved sharply higher on Friday after September employment data showed a much weaker labor market than expected, increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative policy stance.

Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, far below the 89,000 consensus and down sharply from 133,000 previously. Private payrolls increased by 46,000, also missing the 85,000 forecast and slowing from 89,000.

The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% from 4.1%, while average hourly earnings growth slowed to 3.0% year over year from 3.1%, below the 3.2% consensus. Together, the figures point to cooling labor demand and easing wage pressures.

Equity markets reacted positively. The S&P 500 rose 0.80%, the Dow gained 0.52%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.24%, with technology stocks outperforming.

The market reaction suggests investors are focusing on the prospect that weaker employment conditions could reduce pressure on the Fed to keep policy restrictive. Softer wage growth also helps ease inflation concerns, creating a particularly supportive backdrop for growth and technology shares.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Strong Jobless Claims Data Clash With Hot Manufacturing Prices

U.S. stocks traded mixed on Thursday as investors weighed resilient labor-market data against renewed inflation concerns from the manufacturing sector. The S&P 500 slipped 0.11% to 7,642.86, while the Dow Jones fell 0.35%. The Nasdaq was nearly flat, edging 0.05% higher.

Initial jobless claims fell to 197,000, below the 201,000 expected and down slightly from 198,000 previously. Continuing claims also declined to 1.701 million, better than the 1.730 million consensus and 1.712 million prior reading. The figures suggest layoffs remain limited and the labor market continues to show resilience.

Manufacturing activity remained firmly in expansion territory. The ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.5 in September, just below the 54.8 forecast and roughly unchanged from 54.6 previously.

The more significant surprise came from prices. The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index jumped to 77.9 from 71.1, far above expectations of 72.9. The sharp increase points to stronger input-cost pressures and could revive concerns that inflation may remain sticky.

For equities, the data create a mixed backdrop: solid employment and manufacturing activity support the economic outlook, but the sharp rise in manufacturing prices may keep Treasury yields and interest-rate expectations elevated, helping explain the more cautious performance in the broader market.
U.S. Stocks Rise as Softer PCE Inflation Offsets Stronger Growth and Jobs Data

U.S. stocks moved higher on Wednesday as investors welcomed softer-than-expected inflation readings alongside signs that the economy remains resilient. The S&P 500 rose 0.52%, the Dow Jones was nearly flat with a 0.03% gain, while the Nasdaq climbed 0.94%, leading the major indexes.

The August PCE price index rose 3.4% year over year, below the 3.7% expected, while monthly inflation came in at 0.3% versus the 0.4% consensus. Core PCE was also softer than forecast, rising 3.0% annually compared with expectations of 3.3%, while the monthly increase of 0.2% was below the 0.3% estimate.

At the same time, economic activity remained firm. Second-quarter GDP growth was revised to 2.2%, above the 1.5% consensus and the previous 2.1% estimate. ADP private payrolls increased by 90,000 in September, beating expectations of 73,000 and accelerating sharply from 36,000 previously.

Manufacturing activity provided another upside surprise, with the Chicago PMI jumping to 58.8 in September from 47.1, well above the 51.2 forecast and moving firmly into expansion territory.

The market reaction reflects a favorable combination for equities: inflation came in cooler than feared while employment, GDP and business activity remained relatively strong. The softer PCE readings appear particularly supportive for technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s outperformance despite the stronger economic data.
U.S. Stocks Mixed as Consumer Confidence Slumps and Job Openings Fall

U.S. stocks were mixed on Tuesday as fresh economic data pointed to softer consumer sentiment and a cooling labor market, while technology shares showed relative resilience.

The S&P 500 was little changed at 7,682.43, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.29% to 51,334.39, and the Nasdaq rose 0.18% to 26,867.67.

The biggest negative surprise came from consumer confidence. The Conference Board’s September index fell to 81.9 from 88.6, well below the 89.2 consensus estimate. The sharp drop suggests households are becoming more cautious about the economic outlook.

Labor-market data also softened. JOLTS job openings declined to 7.079 million in August from 7.335 million and missed expectations for 7.230 million, adding to signs that demand for workers is gradually cooling.

Housing data were more mixed. The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index was flat month over month in July, down from a 0.4% increase previously, while annual home-price growth accelerated to 2.5% from 2.2%, above expectations.

For markets, the combination of weaker confidence and lower job openings may support expectations for easier Federal Reserve policy over time. However, persistent home-price inflation and broader concerns around elevated inflation are keeping the policy outlook complicated, which helps explain the uneven performance across major indexes.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil and Treasury Yields Rise, Reviving Inflation Concerns

U.S. stocks moved lower on Monday as rising oil prices pushed inflation expectations higher and drove Treasury yields back toward multi-decade highs, increasing pressure on equity valuations.

The S&P 500 fell 0.87% to 7,675.86, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.63% to 51,503.20. The Nasdaq was the weakest of the major indexes, dropping 1.19% to 26,746.90 as higher bond yields weighed more heavily on technology and other long-duration growth stocks.

The main pressure came from energy markets. Brent crude rebounded as U.S.-Iran negotiations remained stalled and uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz continued to threaten global supply flows. Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they can feed into transportation, production and consumer costs, making inflation harder to contain. (Market Screener)

Bond markets reflected those concerns. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to about 5.26%, extending a sharp rise that has already taken yields to their highest levels in nearly two decades. Higher oil prices and stronger inflation expectations have contributed to expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep monetary policy tighter for longer.(FXStreet)

Inflation expectations had already been moving higher before Monday’s oil rebound. The University of Michigan’s September survey showed one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.6% from 4.0% in August, while five-year expectations edged up to 3.4% from 3.3%.

Other pressures are also weighing on sentiment. Investors are approaching a busy week of U.S. economic data, including the PCE inflation report and employment figures, while markets continue to assess the possibility of additional Federal Reserve tightening. Elevated government borrowing needs and concern over the U.S. fiscal outlook are also contributing to upward pressure on longer-term yields.

For equities, the combination is uncomfortable: higher oil prices raise inflation risks, higher inflation keeps pressure on the Fed, and higher Treasury yields increase the discount rate applied to future corporate earnings. That dynamic helps explain why the Nasdaq is underperforming the broader market in Monday trading.
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U.S. Stocks Edge Lower as Jobless Claims Stay Low and Home Sales Beat Expectations

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower on Thursday, with the S&P 500 down 0.18% at 7,692.30, the Dow Jones falling 0.25% to 51,381.27 and the Nasdaq declining 0.53% to 26,792.15.

Fresh economic data pointed to continued resilience in parts of the U.S. economy. Initial jobless claims came in at 197,000, below the 201,000 expected and slightly below the previous 198,000, suggesting layoffs remain relatively contained. Continuing claims were 1.719 million, also below the 1.750 million forecast.

Housing data were also stronger than expected. August building permits were revised to 1.403 million from an earlier 1.394 million estimate, while new home sales reached 684,000, well above the 615,000 consensus and up from 643,000 previously.

The relatively firm labor and housing figures may be limiting expectations for faster Federal Reserve easing, putting some pressure on equities and particularly rate-sensitive technology shares. The Nasdaq was the weakest of the three major indexes in early trading.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Strong September PMI Data Revives Rate Concerns

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as stronger-than-expected September business activity data raised concerns that resilient economic growth could keep interest rates elevated for longer.

The S&P 500 fell 0.37% to 7,736.24, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.34% to 51,687.57. The Nasdaq underperformed with a 0.54% drop to 27,095.84.

S&P Global’s U.S. Manufacturing PMI jumped to 57.0 in September from 53.9, well above the 53.6 forecast. Services PMI also strengthened to 58.7 from 56.5, beating expectations of 55.8, while the Composite PMI climbed to 58.4 from 56.0.

The readings point to strong momentum across both manufacturing and services. While that supports the economic outlook, investors may also see the data as reducing the urgency for additional monetary easing and potentially keeping Treasury yields under upward pressure.

Technology stocks were among the weaker areas of the market, contributing to the Nasdaq’s larger decline. Investors will now watch upcoming inflation, labor-market and Federal Reserve signals for further clues on the path of interest rates.
S&P 500 Flat as Materials Lead While Financials and Communication Services Lag

U.S. sector performance was mixed on Monday, with the S&P 500 up just 0.05% as gains in materials, consumer staples and health care offset weakness in financials and communication services.

Materials led the market with a 1.88% gain, followed by consumer staples at 1.25% and health care at 0.73%. Information technology also outperformed, rising 0.55%, while industrials edged up 0.05%.

On the downside, financials were the weakest sector, falling 1.72%. Communication services declined 0.87%, while energy lost 0.43%. Consumer discretionary slipped 0.18%, real estate fell 0.11% and utilities declined 0.08%.

The broad dispersion suggests investors were rotating toward defensive and commodity-linked sectors while taking profits in parts of the financial and communication-services space. Technology remained relatively resilient, helping keep the broader S&P 500 near flat territory.
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as Tech Gains Offset Dow Weakness, ADP Data Shows Firmer Hiring

U.S. stocks traded mixed Tuesday, with technology shares outperforming while the Dow Jones remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was nearly flat, up 0.08% at 7,770.63. The Nasdaq gained 0.55% to 27,270.74, supported by strength in technology and growth stocks, while the Dow Jones fell 0.41% to 51,837.62.

Fresh labor-market data added a somewhat firmer signal to the session. ADP’s weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increased by 20,000, up from 16,300 previously. The improvement suggests hiring momentum remained positive, even as other recent indicators have pointed to some moderation in broader economic activity.

Investors are still balancing the Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate increase against signs of softer growth. Flat August industrial production and a decline in the U.S. Leading Index have raised concerns about economic momentum, while the stronger ADP reading points to continued resilience in the labor market.

Lower oil prices are also helping ease inflation concerns, with Brent crude trading below $100 as Middle East supply fears moderate. That backdrop is supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks, particularly technology, while more cyclical Dow components remain weaker.

For now, the market is showing a clear divergence: technology shares continue to lead, while investors weigh resilient employment against tighter monetary policy and softer industrial indicators.
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US

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U.S. Stocks Mostly Higher as Services Activity Remains Strong but Price Pressures Rise

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher on Monday as services-sector data continued to point to solid economic growth. The S&P 500 gained 0.43% to 7,755.84 and the Nasdaq rose 0.73% to 27,388.08, while the Dow Jones slipped 0.17% to 51,092.08.

The S&P Global Services PMI came in at 58.8 in September, slightly above the 58.7 consensus, while the Composite PMI held at 58.4. Both readings indicate robust expansion in U.S. private-sector activity.

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI was somewhat softer, declining to 54.9 from 55.4 and missing expectations of 55.1. However, the employment component improved to 50.1 from 47.8, moving back into expansion territory and signaling better hiring conditions within the services sector.

Inflation pressures were the main concern. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index climbed to 74.0 from 72.6, indicating that service-sector input costs remain elevated.

The market reaction suggests investors are balancing resilient economic growth against persistent inflation pressures. Strong activity is supportive for earnings expectations, particularly for growth stocks, but the rise in the prices index could limit expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Why is Consumer Sentiment so Low? - A Wealth of Common Sense

Why you can't trust sentiment surveys anymore.

(awealthofcommonsense.com)

El-Erian issues an important reminder about the Fed and the US economy

The Fed can't solve this economic crisis alone.

(finance.yahoo.com)

The Iran war is driving inflation higher — and it's not just because of oil

US spending on the war in Iran is putting upward pressure on bond yields already at multi-decade highs, says Macquarie.

(finance.yahoo.com)
U.S. Stocks Rally as Weak Jobs Report Boosts Rate-Cut Expectations

U.S. stocks moved sharply higher on Friday after September employment data showed a much weaker labor market than expected, increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative policy stance.

Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, far below the 89,000 consensus and down sharply from 133,000 previously. Private payrolls increased by 46,000, also missing the 85,000 forecast and slowing from 89,000.

The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% from 4.1%, while average hourly earnings growth slowed to 3.0% year over year from 3.1%, below the 3.2% consensus. Together, the figures point to cooling labor demand and easing wage pressures.

Equity markets reacted positively. The S&P 500 rose 0.80%, the Dow gained 0.52%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.24%, with technology stocks outperforming.

The market reaction suggests investors are focusing on the prospect that weaker employment conditions could reduce pressure on the Fed to keep policy restrictive. Softer wage growth also helps ease inflation concerns, creating a particularly supportive backdrop for growth and technology shares.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Strong Jobless Claims Data Clash With Hot Manufacturing Prices

U.S. stocks traded mixed on Thursday as investors weighed resilient labor-market data against renewed inflation concerns from the manufacturing sector. The S&P 500 slipped 0.11% to 7,642.86, while the Dow Jones fell 0.35%. The Nasdaq was nearly flat, edging 0.05% higher.

Initial jobless claims fell to 197,000, below the 201,000 expected and down slightly from 198,000 previously. Continuing claims also declined to 1.701 million, better than the 1.730 million consensus and 1.712 million prior reading. The figures suggest layoffs remain limited and the labor market continues to show resilience.

Manufacturing activity remained firmly in expansion territory. The ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.5 in September, just below the 54.8 forecast and roughly unchanged from 54.6 previously.

The more significant surprise came from prices. The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index jumped to 77.9 from 71.1, far above expectations of 72.9. The sharp increase points to stronger input-cost pressures and could revive concerns that inflation may remain sticky.

For equities, the data create a mixed backdrop: solid employment and manufacturing activity support the economic outlook, but the sharp rise in manufacturing prices may keep Treasury yields and interest-rate expectations elevated, helping explain the more cautious performance in the broader market.
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U.S. Crude Inventories Rise as Atlanta Fed GDPNow Estimate Drops to 3.7%

U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 922,000 barrels in the latest weekly report, contrary to expectations for a 700,000-barrel decline. The previous reading showed a much larger 2.969 million-barrel build.

Inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, also rose by 553,000 barrels after increasing by 2.266 million barrels previously, adding to signs of a looser near-term crude supply balance.

Separately, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for third-quarter U.S. economic growth fell sharply to 3.7% from 5.0%. The previous estimate had also stood at 5.0%.

For markets, the inventory build is a negative signal for crude prices because it suggests supply exceeded expectations during the week. At the same time, the lower GDPNow estimate points to softer expected economic growth, which could further weigh on oil demand expectations while supporting expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve stance.
U.S. Stocks Rise as Softer PCE Inflation Offsets Stronger Growth and Jobs Data

U.S. stocks moved higher on Wednesday as investors welcomed softer-than-expected inflation readings alongside signs that the economy remains resilient. The S&P 500 rose 0.52%, the Dow Jones was nearly flat with a 0.03% gain, while the Nasdaq climbed 0.94%, leading the major indexes.

The August PCE price index rose 3.4% year over year, below the 3.7% expected, while monthly inflation came in at 0.3% versus the 0.4% consensus. Core PCE was also softer than forecast, rising 3.0% annually compared with expectations of 3.3%, while the monthly increase of 0.2% was below the 0.3% estimate.

At the same time, economic activity remained firm. Second-quarter GDP growth was revised to 2.2%, above the 1.5% consensus and the previous 2.1% estimate. ADP private payrolls increased by 90,000 in September, beating expectations of 73,000 and accelerating sharply from 36,000 previously.

Manufacturing activity provided another upside surprise, with the Chicago PMI jumping to 58.8 in September from 47.1, well above the 51.2 forecast and moving firmly into expansion territory.

The market reaction reflects a favorable combination for equities: inflation came in cooler than feared while employment, GDP and business activity remained relatively strong. The softer PCE readings appear particularly supportive for technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s outperformance despite the stronger economic data.
U.S. Stocks Mixed as Consumer Confidence Slumps and Job Openings Fall

U.S. stocks were mixed on Tuesday as fresh economic data pointed to softer consumer sentiment and a cooling labor market, while technology shares showed relative resilience.

The S&P 500 was little changed at 7,682.43, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.29% to 51,334.39, and the Nasdaq rose 0.18% to 26,867.67.

The biggest negative surprise came from consumer confidence. The Conference Board’s September index fell to 81.9 from 88.6, well below the 89.2 consensus estimate. The sharp drop suggests households are becoming more cautious about the economic outlook.

Labor-market data also softened. JOLTS job openings declined to 7.079 million in August from 7.335 million and missed expectations for 7.230 million, adding to signs that demand for workers is gradually cooling.

Housing data were more mixed. The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index was flat month over month in July, down from a 0.4% increase previously, while annual home-price growth accelerated to 2.5% from 2.2%, above expectations.

For markets, the combination of weaker confidence and lower job openings may support expectations for easier Federal Reserve policy over time. However, persistent home-price inflation and broader concerns around elevated inflation are keeping the policy outlook complicated, which helps explain the uneven performance across major indexes.
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Slips to 9.8 in September

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index eased to 9.8 in September from 11.6 previously, pointing to a modest loss of momentum in Texas manufacturing activity.

The index remained in positive territory, indicating that business conditions are still expanding overall, but the decline suggests the pace of improvement slowed during the month.

For markets, the reading adds to a mixed U.S. economic picture. Manufacturing remains resilient, but softer regional activity could help offset some of the inflation concerns created by higher oil prices and rising Treasury yields.
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NASDAQ:GMAB

Genmab Stock Rises 3.2% as Guggenheim Raises Price Target Following Positive Rina-S Data

Genmab shares rose 3.2% to $35.87 after Guggenheim raised its price target to $54 from $45 while maintaining a Buy rating.

The more bullish view follows encouraging Phase 1/2 RAINFOL-01 data for rinatabart sesutecan, or Rina-S, in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer. Among 109 treated patients, Rina-S produced a confirmed objective response rate of 45.9%, including five complete responses, with a median duration of response of 12.1 months. Median progression-free survival reached 9.5 months.

Importantly, antitumor activity was observed regardless of folate receptor alpha expression levels, including patients with low or no detectable expression, potentially broadening the addressable patient population. Activity was also seen regardless of prior treatment with mirvetuximab.

The safety profile appeared manageable, with treatment discontinuation due to adverse events reported in 5.5% of patients and no observed safety signals for ocular toxicity, peripheral neuropathy, interstitial lung disease or stomatitis.

The results strengthen the outlook for Rina-S as Genmab advances four Phase 3 trials across ovarian and endometrial cancer. Guggenheim’s higher target likely reflects increased confidence in the asset’s clinical and commercial potential as the program moves deeper into late-stage development.

Germany

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Eurozone Services Activity Strengthens in September, Led by Spain

Eurozone services activity improved in September, with the HCOB Services PMI rising to 53.0 from 51.6, matching expectations and signaling a firmer pace of expansion across the region.

Spain remained the standout performer. Its services PMI climbed to 58.3 from 57.8, beating the 57.1 consensus and pointing to strong growth in the sector.

Germany’s services PMI improved sharply to 52.9 from 49.7, moving back into expansion and matching expectations. France also returned to growth, with its services PMI rising to 51.2 from 48.0, although the reading came in slightly below the 51.4 forecast.

Italy was the main weak spot. Its services PMI fell to 51.7 from 55.2, well below expectations of 54.6, though it still remained above the 50 threshold.

The Eurozone Composite PMI increased to 53.1 from 52.0, confirming broader improvement in overall business activity. Taken together, the data point to stronger regional momentum heading into the fourth quarter, with Spain and Germany providing the clearest support.
Eurozone Inflation Accelerates to 3.8% in September, Slightly Above Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated in September, with headline CPI rising 3.8% year over year, above the 3.7% market consensus and up sharply from 3.2% in August.

Core inflation also edged higher, reaching 2.5% from 2.4% previously, in line with expectations. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.6%, accelerating from a 0.4% rise in August.

The data suggest that inflation pressures in the euro area strengthened heading into the fourth quarter, with both headline and core measures moving higher.

For markets, the stronger inflation backdrop is relatively hawkish for the European Central Bank. The figures could reduce expectations for near-term policy easing and support higher euro-area bond yields, while potentially offering some support to the euro.
Eurozone Manufacturing Expands in September as Major Economies Stay Above 50

Eurozone manufacturing activity strengthened modestly in September, with the HCOB Manufacturing PMI rising to 52.9 from 52.7 and beating the 52.7 consensus.

Germany remained the strongest among the major economies shown, with its manufacturing PMI at 53.9, slightly above expectations of 53.8, though down from 54.3 previously. France also stayed in expansion at 50.6, ahead of the 50.3 forecast but below August’s 51.1.

Italy’s manufacturing PMI improved to 50.4 from 49.6, moving back above the 50 threshold and beating the 50.1 consensus. Spain showed a similar improvement, with its PMI rising to 51.0 from 49.5, clearly above the 50.2 forecast.

Overall, the data point to a broader recovery in euro-area manufacturing, with Spain and Italy returning to expansion and Germany and France remaining above 50. The stronger regional reading is a positive signal for industrial momentum heading into the fourth quarter.
German Inflation Accelerates to 3.3% in September, Above Expectations

Germany’s preliminary consumer price index rose 0.6% month over month in September, above the 0.5% increase expected by economists and up from 0.2% in August.

On an annual basis, inflation accelerated to 3.3%, exceeding the 3.1% consensus and rising from 2.9% previously.

The stronger-than-expected readings suggest inflation pressures in Germany remained persistent heading into the fourth quarter, with both monthly and annual price growth moving higher.

For markets, the data are hawkish for the European Central Bank. A hotter German inflation print could reduce expectations for near-term policy easing and put upward pressure on euro-area bond yields, while providing some support to the euro.
German Unemployment Holds at 6.4% as Jobless Total Rises More Than Expected

Germany’s unemployment rate remained at 6.4% in September, matching both market expectations and the previous month’s reading.

The number of unemployed people, however, increased by 12,000, well above the 1,000 rise expected by economists and accelerating from a 5,000 increase previously.

The data suggest that Germany’s labor market remains under some pressure even though the headline unemployment rate has not moved higher. The larger-than-expected increase in joblessness points to softer hiring conditions and weaker labor demand.

Separately, Germany’s 10-year Bund auction cleared at a yield of 3.58%, up from 3.39% previously, reflecting a higher sovereign borrowing-cost environment.

For markets, the combination of softer labor data and higher bond yields is mixed: the employment figures point to weaker economic momentum, while the rise in Bund yields may reflect broader inflation, rate or supply concerns in European fixed-income markets.
German Retail Sales Rebound 1.3% in August, but Miss Expectations

German retail sales rose 1.3% month over month in August, rebounding sharply from a revised 3.2% decline in the previous month.

The increase, however, came in below the 1.6% gain expected by economists, indicating that the recovery in consumer spending was slightly weaker than anticipated.
German Consumer Confidence Falls Sharply Ahead of October

Germany’s GfK Consumer Climate index fell to -30.6 for October, significantly weaker than the -27.1 expected by economists and below the previous reading of -26.8.
German Business Sentiment Improves in September as Ifo Index Beats Expectations

Germany’s Ifo Business Climate Index rose to 89.9 in September from 88.8, coming in above the 89.1 consensus estimate and pointing to a modest improvement in business sentiment.

The current assessment index increased to 89.5 from 88.5, also beating expectations of 89.0. More notably, business expectations climbed to 90.4 from 89.0, above the 89.3 forecast.

The data suggest German companies became more confident about both present conditions and the months ahead. The stronger expectations component is particularly encouraging, as it indicates businesses see some improvement in the economic outlook despite still-soft overall activity.

For markets, the figures provide a modestly positive signal for the euro-area growth picture and may ease concerns about deeper weakness in Europe’s largest economy.
Eurozone Growth Momentum Strengthens in September as Services Lead

Eurozone business activity improved more than expected in September, led by stronger services growth across the region.

The Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 53.1 from 52.0, beating the 51.7 consensus and signaling a faster pace of overall private-sector expansion. Services PMI increased to 53.0 from 51.6, also well above the 51.4 forecast, while manufacturing PMI held at 52.7, slightly above expectations of 52.6.

Germany showed a similar pattern. Manufacturing PMI eased to 53.8 from 54.3 and missed the 54.1 forecast, but services PMI jumped to 52.9 from 49.7, comfortably above the 49.9 consensus and returning to expansion territory.

France also improved on the services side. Services PMI climbed to 51.4 from 48.0, sharply above the 48.3 forecast, while manufacturing PMI slipped to 50.3 from 51.1 and came in below expectations.

Overall, the data suggest Eurozone growth momentum strengthened in September, with services more than offsetting some moderation in manufacturing. The stronger composite reading points to a more resilient regional economy heading into the final quarter.
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German Producer Prices Rise 1.1% in August, Beating Forecast

German producer prices increased 1.1% month over month in August, exceeding the 0.6% market forecast and matching the previous month’s pace.

The stronger-than-expected reading suggests cost pressures at the producer level remained elevated, even as broader inflation trends across Europe have shown signs of moderation.
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Brent Crude

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Brent Crude Holds Above $102 After Sharp Intraday Volatility

Brent crude futures traded around $102.14 per barrel on Monday, down 0.11%, after a highly volatile early session.

Prices initially fell below $101 before rebounding sharply and briefly moving above $103 per barrel. Brent later gave back part of the advance but remained comfortably above the session’s early lows.

The price action suggests the oil market remains highly sensitive to shifting supply and geopolitical expectations. The rapid rebound from below $101 indicates buyers are still emerging aggressively on dips, while the pullback from above $103 shows resistance at higher levels.

Near term, the $103 area appears to be an important upside level, while the roughly $101–$102 range could provide support if volatility persists. The broader direction will remain heavily dependent on developments affecting global supply expectations and Middle East risk.
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U.S. Crude Inventories Rise as Atlanta Fed GDPNow Estimate Drops to 3.7%

U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 922,000 barrels in the latest weekly report, contrary to expectations for a 700,000-barrel decline. The previous reading showed a much larger 2.969 million-barrel build.

Inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, also rose by 553,000 barrels after increasing by 2.266 million barrels previously, adding to signs of a looser near-term crude supply balance.

Separately, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for third-quarter U.S. economic growth fell sharply to 3.7% from 5.0%. The previous estimate had also stood at 5.0%.

For markets, the inventory build is a negative signal for crude prices because it suggests supply exceeded expectations during the week. At the same time, the lower GDPNow estimate points to softer expected economic growth, which could further weigh on oil demand expectations while supporting expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve stance.
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Brent Crude Rises 1.6% as U.S.-Iran Talks Stall and Hormuz Risks Persist

Brent crude futures rose 1.6% to around $99 a barrel on Monday as geopolitical risk returned to the market following another setback in U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Oil prices gained after U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while both sides remained open to further talks. The unresolved dispute has kept a geopolitical premium in crude because the waterway remains critical to Gulf oil exports.(thenationalnews*com)

At the same time, supply concerns are being partly offset by improving regional export flows. Middle East crude exports are on track to reach about 12.8 million barrels per day in September, their highest level since the conflict began, while shipments through Hormuz have also recovered significantly from earlier disruptions.(Iran International)

Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline has also restarted after being damaged earlier this month, providing another route for crude exports and limiting some of the upside pressure on prices. (Reuters)

The result is a highly volatile oil market: geopolitical tensions continue to support Brent, while improving Gulf exports and alternative Saudi shipping routes are preventing supply fears from escalating further.
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Brent Crude Climbs Back Above $100 as U.S.-Iran Tensions Revive Supply Concerns

Brent crude futures rose 2.08% to $100.16 a barrel on Thursday as renewed concerns over Middle East supply risks outweighed recent optimism around improving Gulf exports.

Oil prices rebounded after hopes for a quick U.S.-Iran diplomatic breakthrough faded. Talks surrounding the UN General Assembly produced limited progress, while uncertainty remained over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global crude shipments. (The National)

The move reverses part of Brent’s recent decline. Earlier this week, prices had fallen below $100 as Saudi Arabia restarted its East-West pipeline and markets anticipated increased exports through the Red Sea, while expectations for U.S.-Iran negotiations reduced the geopolitical risk premium. (FXStreet)

Supply concerns have not disappeared, however. Restrictions around Hormuz remain a major risk, while tight refined-product markets—particularly diesel—are adding support to crude prices. (Kitco)

Near-term direction is likely to remain highly sensitive to developments between Washington and Tehran, shipping flows through Hormuz and the pace of Saudi supply normalization.
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Brent Crude Falls 1.1% as Saudi Pipeline Restarts and Hormuz Reopening Hopes Pressure Prices

Brent crude futures fell 1.14% to around $99.20 a barrel Tuesday, extending recent weakness as improving Middle East supply prospects reduced some of the geopolitical risk premium in oil prices.

The biggest pressure came from Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline. The kingdom has restarted operations after the route was shut following drone attacks, and exports from the Red Sea port of Yanbu could resume. The pipeline had been used to reroute roughly 4 million barrels per day around the Strait of Hormuz, making its restart an important development for regional supply. (Reuters)

Oil prices also weakened after Iran signaled that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen within seven days if the U.S. eases military pressure and lifts its blockade on Iranian ports. The possibility of renewed diplomacy has reduced fears of a prolonged disruption through one of the world’s most important oil transit routes. (Reuters)

At the same time, physical supply flows appear to be adapting. Middle Eastern exporters have increasingly used alternative routes and storage hubs, while Saudi shipments have remained stronger than initially feared.

Still, downside risks are not one-sided. Shipping traffic through Hormuz remains far below pre-conflict levels, and continued regional fighting means oil could remain volatile even if supply conditions improve further.
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Brent Crude Falls 4% as Supply Fears Ease

Brent crude futures fell 4.01% to around $99.71 a barrel Monday, dropping back below the $100 level as traders reduced part of the geopolitical risk premium built into oil prices over the past week.

The decline reflects growing confidence that Saudi crude exports are recovering from recent disruptions and that alternative export routes are helping stabilize regional supply. Reuters reported that Saudi shipments have rebounded sharply in September, easing fears of a prolonged supply shock.

Oil was also pressured by renewed hopes for diplomatic progress involving the U.S. and Iran, which reduced some concern that Middle East tensions could escalate further and disrupt major energy routes.

Despite the pullback, geopolitical risk remains elevated. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is still below normal levels, and recent attacks on regional infrastructure continue to leave the market vulnerable to sudden supply disruptions.

For now, Brent’s move below $100 suggests traders are shifting their focus from worst-case supply scenarios toward improving export flows and the possibility of diplomatic de-escalation.
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Brent Crude Falls Below $100 as Saudi Supply Concerns Ease

Brent crude futures fell 1.37% to around $98.56 a barrel Friday morning, extending a multi-session decline as fears of an immediate Saudi supply disruption continued to fade.

Oil prices had surged earlier in the week after attacks damaged Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline and disrupted loadings from the Yanbu export hub. Since then, Saudi Arabia has begun restoring pipeline capacity and increasing crude movements through alternative routes, including Oman, reducing some of the geopolitical risk premium that had pushed Brent toward $110. (Reuters)

Geopolitical risks remain significant in Middle East and Ukraine, however. That means oil prices could remain volatile even as immediate supply fears ease.
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Brent Crude Falls 1.4% as Middle East Supply Fears Ease

Brent crude futures fell 1.44% to around $104.31 a barrel Thursday morning, extending their retreat from this week’s highs as concerns over immediate Middle East supply disruptions eased.

Oil prices came under pressure as Saudi Arabia worked to maintain crude exports following attacks on its East-West pipeline. Saudi shipments are being redirected through Oman’s Sohar port, while expectations that damaged pipeline infrastructure could return to service within days have reduced some of the geopolitical risk premium that recently pushed Brent toward $110. (Reuters)

Prices also reacted to comments from U.S. President Donald Trump expressing hope that the war with Iran was nearing an end, although fighting involving Saudi Arabia and Houthi forces continued to keep regional supply risks elevated. (Internazionale)

Brent nevertheless remains above $100 as Middle East tensions continue to threaten energy flows.
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Brent Crude Surges Above $109 as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Deepens Supply Fears

Brent crude surged more than 4% on Monday, climbing to $109.33 a barrel as escalating Middle East disruptions intensified concerns over global oil supplies.

The latest rally followed drone attacks that damaged Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, forcing the key route to remain closed over the weekend. The pipeline has become particularly important because it allows Saudi crude to bypass the Strait of Hormuz and reach the Red Sea. Reuters reported that fresh attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and vessels in the region have compounded supply concerns.

Risks are also increasing around the Bab el-Mandeb shipping route, while a planned meeting between Iran and Gulf states to discuss shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was postponed. The setback reduced hopes for an immediate diplomatic solution to disruptions affecting some of the world’s most important energy corridors.(Reuters)

Brent has now returned to the $109 area after briefly retreating toward $104 late last week. The renewed surge is likely to keep inflation concerns elevated ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with higher energy costs adding another complication for the interest-rate outlook.
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Brent Crude Falls 3% as Diplomatic Hopes Trigger Pullback From Near $110

Brent crude futures fell sharply on Friday, retreating 3.02% to $104.38 a barrel after briefly approaching $110 earlier in the session. The decline follows Thursday’s 6.3% surge, when Brent settled at $107.63 amid escalating attacks on shipping in the Middle East.

The pullback came as traders reacted to reports that Gulf ministers are expected to meet Iran next week in an effort to secure temporary access through the Strait of Hormuz. Any improvement in shipping conditions could ease some of the supply-risk premium that has rapidly built into crude prices. (Financial Times)

Still, supply risks remain elevated. Traffic through Hormuz continues to be constrained, while the Iran-aligned Houthis’ seizure of Yemen’s Mocha port has increased concerns over another critical shipping route near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait.

Despite Friday’s decline, Brent remains on track for a weekly gain of roughly 10% and is set to finish the week above $100 for the first time since mid-May, underscoring how strongly the prolonged Middle East conflict continues to influence global energy markets.
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NASDAQ:CBRS

Cerebras Systems Stock Jumps 7.5% After Jefferies Upgrade

Cerebras Systems shares rose 7.5% to $178.90 after Jefferies upgraded the stock to Outperform.

The positive rating action appears to be supporting renewed investor interest in Cerebras as enthusiasm remains strong around AI infrastructure, specialized accelerators and alternatives to traditional GPU-based computing architectures.

Reasons for the upgrade may include continued growth in AI compute demand, increasing interest in purpose-built AI hardware, and the potential for Cerebras to gain share as hyperscalers and enterprise customers look to diversify their compute platforms.

The stock’s sharp move suggests investors are responding not only to the upgrade itself but also to expectations that demand for high-performance AI systems could remain elevated.

Near term, the key questions are likely to center on revenue growth, customer expansion, execution at scale and whether Cerebras can translate strong AI demand into sustained commercial momentum.
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Spain

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Eurozone Services Activity Strengthens in September, Led by Spain

Eurozone services activity improved in September, with the HCOB Services PMI rising to 53.0 from 51.6, matching expectations and signaling a firmer pace of expansion across the region.

Spain remained the standout performer. Its services PMI climbed to 58.3 from 57.8, beating the 57.1 consensus and pointing to strong growth in the sector.

Germany’s services PMI improved sharply to 52.9 from 49.7, moving back into expansion and matching expectations. France also returned to growth, with its services PMI rising to 51.2 from 48.0, although the reading came in slightly below the 51.4 forecast.

Italy was the main weak spot. Its services PMI fell to 51.7 from 55.2, well below expectations of 54.6, though it still remained above the 50 threshold.

The Eurozone Composite PMI increased to 53.1 from 52.0, confirming broader improvement in overall business activity. Taken together, the data point to stronger regional momentum heading into the fourth quarter, with Spain and Germany providing the clearest support.
Eurozone Inflation Accelerates to 3.8% in September, Slightly Above Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated in September, with headline CPI rising 3.8% year over year, above the 3.7% market consensus and up sharply from 3.2% in August.

Core inflation also edged higher, reaching 2.5% from 2.4% previously, in line with expectations. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.6%, accelerating from a 0.4% rise in August.

The data suggest that inflation pressures in the euro area strengthened heading into the fourth quarter, with both headline and core measures moving higher.

For markets, the stronger inflation backdrop is relatively hawkish for the European Central Bank. The figures could reduce expectations for near-term policy easing and support higher euro-area bond yields, while potentially offering some support to the euro.
Eurozone Manufacturing Expands in September as Major Economies Stay Above 50

Eurozone manufacturing activity strengthened modestly in September, with the HCOB Manufacturing PMI rising to 52.9 from 52.7 and beating the 52.7 consensus.

Germany remained the strongest among the major economies shown, with its manufacturing PMI at 53.9, slightly above expectations of 53.8, though down from 54.3 previously. France also stayed in expansion at 50.6, ahead of the 50.3 forecast but below August’s 51.1.

Italy’s manufacturing PMI improved to 50.4 from 49.6, moving back above the 50 threshold and beating the 50.1 consensus. Spain showed a similar improvement, with its PMI rising to 51.0 from 49.5, clearly above the 50.2 forecast.

Overall, the data point to a broader recovery in euro-area manufacturing, with Spain and Italy returning to expansion and Germany and France remaining above 50. The stronger regional reading is a positive signal for industrial momentum heading into the fourth quarter.
Spain Inflation Accelerates to 4.9% in September, Above Expectations

Spain’s annual CPI inflation rate rose to 4.9% in September from 4.3% previously, coming in above the 4.6% market forecast.

The stronger-than-expected increase points to renewed inflation pressure in one of the euro area’s largest economies. The acceleration is notable because it suggests price growth is not only remaining elevated but is moving higher again.
Spain’s Economy Grows 0.7% in the Second Quarter

Spain’s economy expanded 0.7% quarter over quarter in the second quarter, matching economists’ expectations and accelerating slightly from the previous quarter’s 0.6% growth.
Eurozone Growth Momentum Strengthens in September as Services Lead

Eurozone business activity improved more than expected in September, led by stronger services growth across the region.

The Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 53.1 from 52.0, beating the 51.7 consensus and signaling a faster pace of overall private-sector expansion. Services PMI increased to 53.0 from 51.6, also well above the 51.4 forecast, while manufacturing PMI held at 52.7, slightly above expectations of 52.6.

Germany showed a similar pattern. Manufacturing PMI eased to 53.8 from 54.3 and missed the 54.1 forecast, but services PMI jumped to 52.9 from 49.7, comfortably above the 49.9 consensus and returning to expansion territory.

France also improved on the services side. Services PMI climbed to 51.4 from 48.0, sharply above the 48.3 forecast, while manufacturing PMI slipped to 50.3 from 51.1 and came in below expectations.

Overall, the data suggest Eurozone growth momentum strengthened in September, with services more than offsetting some moderation in manufacturing. The stronger composite reading points to a more resilient regional economy heading into the final quarter.
Spain’s Trade Deficit Narrows to €5.22 Billion

Spain’s trade deficit narrowed to €5.22 billion in the latest reading, improving from a €7.69 billion deficit previously.

The smaller shortfall indicates a better balance between exports and imports during the period, although Spain remained in a net trade deficit position.
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 3.2% in August as Core CPI Eases

Eurozone annual inflation accelerated to 3.2% in August from 2.9% previously, though the reading came slightly below the 3.3% market forecast.

Core inflation, which excludes more volatile components, eased to 2.4% year over year from 2.5% and matched expectations. The decline suggests underlying price pressures moderated slightly even as headline inflation moved higher.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, up from a 0.2% increase in the previous month.

The mixed inflation picture leaves the European Central Bank facing competing signals: headline inflation has moved further above its 2% target, while core inflation continues to cool gradually. The data could reinforce a cautious approach to further monetary-policy changes as officials assess whether the latest increase in headline prices proves persistent.
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Eurozone Industrial Production Falls 0.1% in July, Slightly Better Than Expected

Eurozone industrial production declined 0.1% month over month in July, slightly outperforming market expectations for a 0.2% contraction.

The reading was unchanged from the previous month’s 0.1% decline, indicating that industrial activity remained subdued at the start of the third quarter.

While the smaller-than-expected drop offers some relief, the continued contraction suggests the euro-area manufacturing sector is still struggling to build meaningful momentum amid weak demand and broader economic uncertainty.
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Eurozone Trade Surplus Jumps in July as Investor Sentiment Weakens

Eurozone economic data sent mixed signals on Tuesday, with the trade balance strengthening sharply while investor confidence deteriorated.

The trade surplus widened to €14.2 billion in July, well above the €3.7 billion forecast and up from €7.2 billion previously.

However, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell to 25.8 in September from 31.4, significantly below the 39.2 expected.

Overall, stronger trade provides a positive signal for economic activity, but deteriorating expectations suggest investors remain cautious about the Eurozone outlook.
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NASDAQ:GFS

GlobalFoundries Stock Falls 4.2% After BNP Paribas Exane Downgrade

GlobalFoundries shares fell 4.2% to $48.07 after BNP Paribas Exane downgraded the stock to Neutral from Outperform.

Analyst Karl Ackerman maintained a $51 price target, leaving relatively limited upside from the current share price.

Probable reasons behind the downgrade include a more balanced risk-reward profile after recent performance, ongoing softness in parts of the broader semiconductor cycle, and uncertainty around the pace of recovery in end markets such as automotive, industrial and communications.

GlobalFoundries remains strategically positioned in specialty and mature-node semiconductor manufacturing, where demand is generally less tied to leading-edge AI chips than peers focused on advanced-node production. That can provide some stability, but it can also limit participation in the strongest areas of semiconductor growth.

The stock’s decline suggests investors are focusing on the move to a more cautious rating and the modest gap between the current share price and BNP Paribas Exane’s $51 target.

France

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Eurozone Services Activity Strengthens in September, Led by Spain

Eurozone services activity improved in September, with the HCOB Services PMI rising to 53.0 from 51.6, matching expectations and signaling a firmer pace of expansion across the region.

Spain remained the standout performer. Its services PMI climbed to 58.3 from 57.8, beating the 57.1 consensus and pointing to strong growth in the sector.

Germany’s services PMI improved sharply to 52.9 from 49.7, moving back into expansion and matching expectations. France also returned to growth, with its services PMI rising to 51.2 from 48.0, although the reading came in slightly below the 51.4 forecast.

Italy was the main weak spot. Its services PMI fell to 51.7 from 55.2, well below expectations of 54.6, though it still remained above the 50 threshold.

The Eurozone Composite PMI increased to 53.1 from 52.0, confirming broader improvement in overall business activity. Taken together, the data point to stronger regional momentum heading into the fourth quarter, with Spain and Germany providing the clearest support.
Eurozone Inflation Accelerates to 3.8% in September, Slightly Above Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated in September, with headline CPI rising 3.8% year over year, above the 3.7% market consensus and up sharply from 3.2% in August.

Core inflation also edged higher, reaching 2.5% from 2.4% previously, in line with expectations. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.6%, accelerating from a 0.4% rise in August.

The data suggest that inflation pressures in the euro area strengthened heading into the fourth quarter, with both headline and core measures moving higher.

For markets, the stronger inflation backdrop is relatively hawkish for the European Central Bank. The figures could reduce expectations for near-term policy easing and support higher euro-area bond yields, while potentially offering some support to the euro.
Eurozone Manufacturing Expands in September as Major Economies Stay Above 50

Eurozone manufacturing activity strengthened modestly in September, with the HCOB Manufacturing PMI rising to 52.9 from 52.7 and beating the 52.7 consensus.

Germany remained the strongest among the major economies shown, with its manufacturing PMI at 53.9, slightly above expectations of 53.8, though down from 54.3 previously. France also stayed in expansion at 50.6, ahead of the 50.3 forecast but below August’s 51.1.

Italy’s manufacturing PMI improved to 50.4 from 49.6, moving back above the 50 threshold and beating the 50.1 consensus. Spain showed a similar improvement, with its PMI rising to 51.0 from 49.5, clearly above the 50.2 forecast.

Overall, the data point to a broader recovery in euro-area manufacturing, with Spain and Italy returning to expansion and Germany and France remaining above 50. The stronger regional reading is a positive signal for industrial momentum heading into the fourth quarter.
French Inflation Falls in September as Consumer Spending Weakens

France’s preliminary consumer price index fell 0.3% month over month in September, a smaller decline than the 0.5% drop expected by economists. The reading followed a 0.7% increase in August.

The harmonized HICP measure declined 0.4% on the month, also slightly stronger than the 0.5% contraction expected, after rising 0.7% previously.

Consumer spending was weaker. Household spending fell 0.5% month over month in August, missing expectations for no change and reversing a 0.4% increase in the prior month.

The data paint a mixed picture for the French economy. Inflation pressures eased in September, but the decline in consumer spending suggests household demand remains soft.
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France Jobseeker Total Falls to 3.08 Million in August

The number of registered jobseekers in France declined to 3.082 million in August from 3.143 million previously.
Eurozone Growth Momentum Strengthens in September as Services Lead

Eurozone business activity improved more than expected in September, led by stronger services growth across the region.

The Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 53.1 from 52.0, beating the 51.7 consensus and signaling a faster pace of overall private-sector expansion. Services PMI increased to 53.0 from 51.6, also well above the 51.4 forecast, while manufacturing PMI held at 52.7, slightly above expectations of 52.6.

Germany showed a similar pattern. Manufacturing PMI eased to 53.8 from 54.3 and missed the 54.1 forecast, but services PMI jumped to 52.9 from 49.7, comfortably above the 49.9 consensus and returning to expansion territory.

France also improved on the services side. Services PMI climbed to 51.4 from 48.0, sharply above the 48.3 forecast, while manufacturing PMI slipped to 50.3 from 51.1 and came in below expectations.

Overall, the data suggest Eurozone growth momentum strengthened in September, with services more than offsetting some moderation in manufacturing. The stronger composite reading points to a more resilient regional economy heading into the final quarter.
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 3.2% in August as Core CPI Eases

Eurozone annual inflation accelerated to 3.2% in August from 2.9% previously, though the reading came slightly below the 3.3% market forecast.

Core inflation, which excludes more volatile components, eased to 2.4% year over year from 2.5% and matched expectations. The decline suggests underlying price pressures moderated slightly even as headline inflation moved higher.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, up from a 0.2% increase in the previous month.

The mixed inflation picture leaves the European Central Bank facing competing signals: headline inflation has moved further above its 2% target, while core inflation continues to cool gradually. The data could reinforce a cautious approach to further monetary-policy changes as officials assess whether the latest increase in headline prices proves persistent.
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Eurozone Industrial Production Falls 0.1% in July, Slightly Better Than Expected

Eurozone industrial production declined 0.1% month over month in July, slightly outperforming market expectations for a 0.2% contraction.

The reading was unchanged from the previous month’s 0.1% decline, indicating that industrial activity remained subdued at the start of the third quarter.

While the smaller-than-expected drop offers some relief, the continued contraction suggests the euro-area manufacturing sector is still struggling to build meaningful momentum amid weak demand and broader economic uncertainty.
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Eurozone Trade Surplus Jumps in July as Investor Sentiment Weakens

Eurozone economic data sent mixed signals on Tuesday, with the trade balance strengthening sharply while investor confidence deteriorated.

The trade surplus widened to €14.2 billion in July, well above the €3.7 billion forecast and up from €7.2 billion previously.

However, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell to 25.8 in September from 31.4, significantly below the 39.2 expected.

Overall, stronger trade provides a positive signal for economic activity, but deteriorating expectations suggest investors remain cautious about the Eurozone outlook.
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Spain Inflation Accelerates in August as French CPI Rises 0.7%

Inflation data from France and Spain pointed to continued price pressures across the euro area in August, with Spanish inflation showing a particularly sharp acceleration.

France’s consumer price index rose 0.7% month over month, matching expectations and up from 0.6% previously. French HICP inflation also increased 0.7%, slightly below the 0.8% forecast.

In Spain, annual CPI inflation accelerated to 4.3% from 3.6%, matching expectations. HICP inflation climbed to 4.6% from 3.9%, slightly exceeding the 4.5% forecast.

The stronger Spanish readings could reinforce concerns over persistent euro-area inflation and keep the European Central Bank cautious about the path of monetary policy.
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NASDAQ

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U.S. Stocks Mostly Higher as Services Activity Remains Strong but Price Pressures Rise

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher on Monday as services-sector data continued to point to solid economic growth. The S&P 500 gained 0.43% to 7,755.84 and the Nasdaq rose 0.73% to 27,388.08, while the Dow Jones slipped 0.17% to 51,092.08.

The S&P Global Services PMI came in at 58.8 in September, slightly above the 58.7 consensus, while the Composite PMI held at 58.4. Both readings indicate robust expansion in U.S. private-sector activity.

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI was somewhat softer, declining to 54.9 from 55.4 and missing expectations of 55.1. However, the employment component improved to 50.1 from 47.8, moving back into expansion territory and signaling better hiring conditions within the services sector.

Inflation pressures were the main concern. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index climbed to 74.0 from 72.6, indicating that service-sector input costs remain elevated.

The market reaction suggests investors are balancing resilient economic growth against persistent inflation pressures. Strong activity is supportive for earnings expectations, particularly for growth stocks, but the rise in the prices index could limit expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts.
U.S. Stocks Rally as Weak Jobs Report Boosts Rate-Cut Expectations

U.S. stocks moved sharply higher on Friday after September employment data showed a much weaker labor market than expected, increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative policy stance.

Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, far below the 89,000 consensus and down sharply from 133,000 previously. Private payrolls increased by 46,000, also missing the 85,000 forecast and slowing from 89,000.

The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% from 4.1%, while average hourly earnings growth slowed to 3.0% year over year from 3.1%, below the 3.2% consensus. Together, the figures point to cooling labor demand and easing wage pressures.

Equity markets reacted positively. The S&P 500 rose 0.80%, the Dow gained 0.52%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.24%, with technology stocks outperforming.

The market reaction suggests investors are focusing on the prospect that weaker employment conditions could reduce pressure on the Fed to keep policy restrictive. Softer wage growth also helps ease inflation concerns, creating a particularly supportive backdrop for growth and technology shares.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Strong Jobless Claims Data Clash With Hot Manufacturing Prices

U.S. stocks traded mixed on Thursday as investors weighed resilient labor-market data against renewed inflation concerns from the manufacturing sector. The S&P 500 slipped 0.11% to 7,642.86, while the Dow Jones fell 0.35%. The Nasdaq was nearly flat, edging 0.05% higher.

Initial jobless claims fell to 197,000, below the 201,000 expected and down slightly from 198,000 previously. Continuing claims also declined to 1.701 million, better than the 1.730 million consensus and 1.712 million prior reading. The figures suggest layoffs remain limited and the labor market continues to show resilience.

Manufacturing activity remained firmly in expansion territory. The ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.5 in September, just below the 54.8 forecast and roughly unchanged from 54.6 previously.

The more significant surprise came from prices. The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index jumped to 77.9 from 71.1, far above expectations of 72.9. The sharp increase points to stronger input-cost pressures and could revive concerns that inflation may remain sticky.

For equities, the data create a mixed backdrop: solid employment and manufacturing activity support the economic outlook, but the sharp rise in manufacturing prices may keep Treasury yields and interest-rate expectations elevated, helping explain the more cautious performance in the broader market.
U.S. Stocks Rise as Softer PCE Inflation Offsets Stronger Growth and Jobs Data

U.S. stocks moved higher on Wednesday as investors welcomed softer-than-expected inflation readings alongside signs that the economy remains resilient. The S&P 500 rose 0.52%, the Dow Jones was nearly flat with a 0.03% gain, while the Nasdaq climbed 0.94%, leading the major indexes.

The August PCE price index rose 3.4% year over year, below the 3.7% expected, while monthly inflation came in at 0.3% versus the 0.4% consensus. Core PCE was also softer than forecast, rising 3.0% annually compared with expectations of 3.3%, while the monthly increase of 0.2% was below the 0.3% estimate.

At the same time, economic activity remained firm. Second-quarter GDP growth was revised to 2.2%, above the 1.5% consensus and the previous 2.1% estimate. ADP private payrolls increased by 90,000 in September, beating expectations of 73,000 and accelerating sharply from 36,000 previously.

Manufacturing activity provided another upside surprise, with the Chicago PMI jumping to 58.8 in September from 47.1, well above the 51.2 forecast and moving firmly into expansion territory.

The market reaction reflects a favorable combination for equities: inflation came in cooler than feared while employment, GDP and business activity remained relatively strong. The softer PCE readings appear particularly supportive for technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s outperformance despite the stronger economic data.
U.S. Stocks Mixed as Consumer Confidence Slumps and Job Openings Fall

U.S. stocks were mixed on Tuesday as fresh economic data pointed to softer consumer sentiment and a cooling labor market, while technology shares showed relative resilience.

The S&P 500 was little changed at 7,682.43, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.29% to 51,334.39, and the Nasdaq rose 0.18% to 26,867.67.

The biggest negative surprise came from consumer confidence. The Conference Board’s September index fell to 81.9 from 88.6, well below the 89.2 consensus estimate. The sharp drop suggests households are becoming more cautious about the economic outlook.

Labor-market data also softened. JOLTS job openings declined to 7.079 million in August from 7.335 million and missed expectations for 7.230 million, adding to signs that demand for workers is gradually cooling.

Housing data were more mixed. The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index was flat month over month in July, down from a 0.4% increase previously, while annual home-price growth accelerated to 2.5% from 2.2%, above expectations.

For markets, the combination of weaker confidence and lower job openings may support expectations for easier Federal Reserve policy over time. However, persistent home-price inflation and broader concerns around elevated inflation are keeping the policy outlook complicated, which helps explain the uneven performance across major indexes.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil and Treasury Yields Rise, Reviving Inflation Concerns

U.S. stocks moved lower on Monday as rising oil prices pushed inflation expectations higher and drove Treasury yields back toward multi-decade highs, increasing pressure on equity valuations.

The S&P 500 fell 0.87% to 7,675.86, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.63% to 51,503.20. The Nasdaq was the weakest of the major indexes, dropping 1.19% to 26,746.90 as higher bond yields weighed more heavily on technology and other long-duration growth stocks.

The main pressure came from energy markets. Brent crude rebounded as U.S.-Iran negotiations remained stalled and uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz continued to threaten global supply flows. Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they can feed into transportation, production and consumer costs, making inflation harder to contain. (Market Screener)

Bond markets reflected those concerns. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to about 5.26%, extending a sharp rise that has already taken yields to their highest levels in nearly two decades. Higher oil prices and stronger inflation expectations have contributed to expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep monetary policy tighter for longer.(FXStreet)

Inflation expectations had already been moving higher before Monday’s oil rebound. The University of Michigan’s September survey showed one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.6% from 4.0% in August, while five-year expectations edged up to 3.4% from 3.3%.

Other pressures are also weighing on sentiment. Investors are approaching a busy week of U.S. economic data, including the PCE inflation report and employment figures, while markets continue to assess the possibility of additional Federal Reserve tightening. Elevated government borrowing needs and concern over the U.S. fiscal outlook are also contributing to upward pressure on longer-term yields.

For equities, the combination is uncomfortable: higher oil prices raise inflation risks, higher inflation keeps pressure on the Fed, and higher Treasury yields increase the discount rate applied to future corporate earnings. That dynamic helps explain why the Nasdaq is underperforming the broader market in Monday trading.
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U.S. Stocks Edge Lower as Jobless Claims Stay Low and Home Sales Beat Expectations

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower on Thursday, with the S&P 500 down 0.18% at 7,692.30, the Dow Jones falling 0.25% to 51,381.27 and the Nasdaq declining 0.53% to 26,792.15.

Fresh economic data pointed to continued resilience in parts of the U.S. economy. Initial jobless claims came in at 197,000, below the 201,000 expected and slightly below the previous 198,000, suggesting layoffs remain relatively contained. Continuing claims were 1.719 million, also below the 1.750 million forecast.

Housing data were also stronger than expected. August building permits were revised to 1.403 million from an earlier 1.394 million estimate, while new home sales reached 684,000, well above the 615,000 consensus and up from 643,000 previously.

The relatively firm labor and housing figures may be limiting expectations for faster Federal Reserve easing, putting some pressure on equities and particularly rate-sensitive technology shares. The Nasdaq was the weakest of the three major indexes in early trading.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Strong September PMI Data Revives Rate Concerns

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as stronger-than-expected September business activity data raised concerns that resilient economic growth could keep interest rates elevated for longer.

The S&P 500 fell 0.37% to 7,736.24, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.34% to 51,687.57. The Nasdaq underperformed with a 0.54% drop to 27,095.84.

S&P Global’s U.S. Manufacturing PMI jumped to 57.0 in September from 53.9, well above the 53.6 forecast. Services PMI also strengthened to 58.7 from 56.5, beating expectations of 55.8, while the Composite PMI climbed to 58.4 from 56.0.

The readings point to strong momentum across both manufacturing and services. While that supports the economic outlook, investors may also see the data as reducing the urgency for additional monetary easing and potentially keeping Treasury yields under upward pressure.

Technology stocks were among the weaker areas of the market, contributing to the Nasdaq’s larger decline. Investors will now watch upcoming inflation, labor-market and Federal Reserve signals for further clues on the path of interest rates.
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as Tech Gains Offset Dow Weakness, ADP Data Shows Firmer Hiring

U.S. stocks traded mixed Tuesday, with technology shares outperforming while the Dow Jones remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was nearly flat, up 0.08% at 7,770.63. The Nasdaq gained 0.55% to 27,270.74, supported by strength in technology and growth stocks, while the Dow Jones fell 0.41% to 51,837.62.

Fresh labor-market data added a somewhat firmer signal to the session. ADP’s weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increased by 20,000, up from 16,300 previously. The improvement suggests hiring momentum remained positive, even as other recent indicators have pointed to some moderation in broader economic activity.

Investors are still balancing the Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate increase against signs of softer growth. Flat August industrial production and a decline in the U.S. Leading Index have raised concerns about economic momentum, while the stronger ADP reading points to continued resilience in the labor market.

Lower oil prices are also helping ease inflation concerns, with Brent crude trading below $100 as Middle East supply fears moderate. That backdrop is supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks, particularly technology, while more cyclical Dow components remain weaker.

For now, the market is showing a clear divergence: technology shares continue to lead, while investors weigh resilient employment against tighter monetary policy and softer industrial indicators.
U.S. Stocks Rally as AI Shares Surge and Falling Oil Prices Ease Inflation Fears

U.S. stocks traded sharply higher Monday, led by technology shares as falling oil prices and lower Treasury yields improved risk sentiment.

The S&P 500 rose 0.95% to 7,723.01, while the Dow Jones gained 0.43% to 51,903.85. The Nasdaq outperformed with a 1.53% advance to 26,927.20.

Technology and AI-related stocks were the main drivers of the rally. Chipmakers including AMD, Intel and Micron posted strong gains, while Meta also advanced as investors returned to AI-related names after last week’s concerns over the pace of artificial-intelligence development eased.

The broader market also benefited from a sharp decline in crude oil prices. Brent fell back toward $100 a barrel as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased, helping reduce inflation pressure and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield below 5%.

Improving U.S.-China sentiment added to the positive backdrop, with investors looking ahead to high-level discussions covering trade, technology and AI.

For now, the combination of lower energy prices, easing bond yields and renewed enthusiasm for AI is supporting a broad risk-on move, with the Nasdaq clearly leading the major U.S. indexes.
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