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U.S. Stocks Slip as Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded slightly lower Friday after a much stronger-than-expected August employment report revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 7,731.74, while the Dow Jones dropped 0.46% to 53,436.70. The Nasdaq was nearly flat at 26,583.15.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, nearly triple expectations of around 55,000. July's figure was also revised sharply higher to a gain of 21,000 from an initially reported decline of 23,000. Private payrolls rose by 127,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%.

Strong Labor Market Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

The unexpectedly strong report challenged hopes that the Fed could keep rates unchanged. Markets increased bets on a 25-basis-point September hike, with the implied probability rising to around 60% following the data. U.S. Treasury yields moved sharply higher in response.

The report comes just a day after Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested he could support holding rates steady if inflation continues to cool. With the labor market showing renewed strength, next week's inflation data could now prove decisive for the Fed's September decision.

The modest decline in equities suggests investors are balancing evidence of a resilient U.S. economy against the risk that stronger employment gives the Fed more room to tighten monetary policy further.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Strong Services Activity and Lower Treasury Yields Offset Inflation Concerns

U.S. stocks traded higher Thursday as investors weighed stronger-than-expected services activity against signs of a cooling labor market and renewed inflation pressure from rising oil prices. The S&P 500 gained 0.37% to 7,694.65, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.46% to 53,304.90, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.66% to 26,391.59.

Economic data painted a mixed but generally resilient picture. Initial jobless claims increased slightly to 206,000 from 204,000, marginally above the 205,000 consensus, while continuing claims climbed to 1.779 million from 1.771 million. The figures suggest layoffs remain relatively limited even as hiring momentum has weakened ahead of Friday’s closely watched August employment report.

Services activity was considerably stronger. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.4 in August from 54.1, comfortably beating expectations for an unchanged 54.1 reading. S&P Global’s Services PMI also increased to 56.5 from 54.6, although it came slightly below the 56.8 forecast. Together, the readings indicate that the dominant U.S. services sector continues to expand at a healthy pace.

The inflation component, however, complicated the outlook for the Federal Reserve. ISM services prices jumped to 72.6 from 70.3, well above the 70.0 forecast, signaling persistent input-cost pressures. Investors are already sensitive to inflation after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole message increased expectations that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive.

Oil remains another major inflation risk. Brent crude climbed to around $97 a barrel and WTI moved above $93 as renewed U.S. strikes on Iran and threats of further escalation raised concerns about supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Despite those risks, declining Treasury yields are currently providing support to equities, particularly technology stocks, helping the Nasdaq outperform. Markets now turn to Friday’s U.S. employment report, which could determine whether investors focus more heavily on slowing labor demand or the increasingly visible inflation pressures coming from services and energy markets.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Weak Jobs Data Collides With Oil-Driven Inflation Fears

U.S. stocks traded mixed Wednesday as investors weighed softer-than-expected labor-market data against rising oil prices, elevated Treasury yields and renewed concerns that energy costs could keep inflation above the Federal Reserve’s target.

The S&P 500 was nearly flat at 7,638.19, up 0.09%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.39% to 52,975.28. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.08% to 26,079.81, with technology shares remaining more sensitive to elevated bond yields.

Fresh labor data provided some support for equities. ADP reported that private employers added only 38,000 jobs in August, below expectations for 47,000 and down from an upwardly revised 46,000 in July. It was the weakest pace of private-sector job creation since January. Manufacturing lost 17,000 jobs and professional and business services shed 16,000, while education and health services added 45,000.

Ordinarily, weaker employment growth would strengthen expectations for easier monetary policy. This time, however, the signal is being complicated by renewed inflation risks. Escalating U.S.-Iran hostilities have pushed crude prices sharply higher, with Brent trading around $95 a barrel Wednesday after surging in recent sessions. Concerns over disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz have put an additional geopolitical premium into energy markets.

Higher oil prices are feeding directly into inflation expectations and challenging hopes that slowing employment will quickly translate into lower interest rates. U.S. Treasury yields have consequently remained elevated, with the 10-year yield reaching roughly 4.8%, its highest level since late 2023. Markets have also increased expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish comments on inflation.

The result is an increasingly difficult backdrop for equities: labor-market momentum is weakening at the same time that an external energy shock is threatening to revive inflation. That combination helps explain Wednesday’s divergence, with the Dow advancing while the rate-sensitive Nasdaq remains under pressure. Investors will now turn to Friday’s official U.S. employment report for a clearer indication of whether labor-market cooling is becoming significant enough to alter the Fed’s inflation-focused policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.
US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.
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# S&P 500 Slips 0.25% as Hawkish Fed Message Pressures Technology Stocks

U.S. stocks ended Friday modestly lower as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, with rising Treasury yields weighing particularly heavily on technology and other rate-sensitive sectors.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%. The index had climbed above 7,770 earlier in the session before reversing around midday and remaining under pressure through the afternoon.

Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to bringing it back toward the 2% target. The remarks pushed Treasury yields higher as investors increased expectations for tighter monetary policy. Higher yields tend to pressure equity valuations, particularly for technology and other growth companies whose valuations depend more heavily on future earnings.

The sector breakdown showed a clear rotation. Information technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.29%, followed by utilities at 1.14%, industrials at 0.96% and real estate at 0.49%. In contrast, consumer discretionary jumped 1.69% and communication services gained 1.56%. Energy rose 0.59%, while financials advanced 0.34%.

The relatively small decline in the broader S&P 500 despite the technology selloff suggests investors were rotating rather than abandoning equities altogether. Consumer-oriented and communication stocks provided significant support, limiting the index’s losses.

The Fed and Treasury yields are likely to remain central to the market outlook. If incoming inflation and labor-market data reinforce expectations for higher rates, richly valued technology stocks could remain under pressure even as strength in other sectors provides some support to the broader market.
US Stocks Open Slightly Lower as PCE Inflation Remains Elevated

US stocks opened modestly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed July inflation data that showed underlying price pressures remained persistent.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.07% to 7,671.53 shortly after the opening bell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15% to 53,499.19. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.28% to 26,079.36, underperforming the broader market.

Core PCE Holds at 3.3%

The Federal Reserve's closely watched core PCE price index increased 3.3% year over year in July, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations.

On a monthly basis, core PCE rose 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, but accelerating slightly from June's 0.1% increase.

Headline inflation delivered a somewhat firmer signal. The PCE price index rose 0.2% month over month, above the 0.1% expected and reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline. Annual headline PCE inflation came in at 3.7%, slightly above the 3.6% forecast but unchanged from June.

Inflation Data Keeps Fed Outlook in Focus

The figures suggest inflation remains sticky, with both headline and core PCE running well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While the core readings matched expectations, the hotter-than-forecast monthly headline figure offered little evidence of a decisive return toward price stability.

That may be contributing to the cautious start on Wall Street, particularly in rate-sensitive technology stocks, with the Nasdaq posting the largest decline among the three major indexes.

Investors will now assess whether persistent inflation pressures could keep US monetary policy restrictive for longer than previously anticipated.
U.S. Stocks Edge Higher Despite Weak Housing Data and Escalating Canada Trade War

U.S. stocks traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors weighed mixed economic data against a sharp escalation in trade tensions between the United States and Canada.

The Nasdaq Composite led gains, rising 0.60%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.27% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.11%.

U.S. Economic Data Sends Mixed Signals

ADP's weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increasing by 11,800, up from 9,500 previously, signaling continued resilience in the labor market.

Other data were weaker. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 89.4 in August from 90.2, missing the 90.3 forecast. New home sales also dropped sharply to an annualized 607,000 in July from 678,000 and came in below expectations of 620,000.

The softer housing and confidence readings could support expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy outlook, helping offset concerns about the labor market remaining relatively firm.

U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate

Trade developments added uncertainty to the session after Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about C$27.6 billion, or roughly $20 billion, of U.S. goods. The measures, scheduled to take effect September 8, will impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of product categories, including steel, aluminum, appliances, electronics, clothing and agricultural products.

Canada's action follows new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian imports after trade negotiations between the two countries broke down. President Donald Trump has also threatened further tariffs on Canadian automobiles and auto parts, increasing concerns about disruption to highly integrated North American supply chains.

Despite the escalation, U.S. equities remained positive, with technology stocks providing the strongest support to the broader market. Investors are now balancing expectations for easier monetary policy against the inflation and growth risks created by the expanding U.S.-Canada trade dispute.
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US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.
Health Care and Consumer Stocks Lead U.S. Market as Technology Lags

U.S. equities remained broadly higher Wednesday afternoon, but sector performance showed a sharp divergence, with health care surging while technology and industrial stocks remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was up about 0.32% as of 2:38 p.m. ET, supported by strong gains in health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples and materials.

Moderna Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Fuels Health Care Rally

Health care was by far the strongest S&P 500 sector, jumping 3.59%, with a major catalyst coming from Moderna and Merck’s positive late-stage cancer-treatment results.

Moderna shares more than doubled after the companies reported that the personalized mRNA cancer therapy intismeran, when combined with Merck’s Keytruda, reduced the risk of melanoma recurrence and spread compared with Keytruda alone. Merck shares also jumped about 10%, while the news sparked a broader biotechnology rally. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index climbed more than 4%, with BioNTech and other mRNA-related stocks also advancing sharply.

The results are particularly significant because they provide late-stage evidence that Moderna’s mRNA technology could have substantial applications beyond infectious-disease vaccines, improving sentiment toward the broader biotechnology industry.

Consumer discretionary was the second-strongest S&P 500 sector, rising 1.93%, followed by consumer staples at 1.46% and materials at 1.29%. Communication services gained 0.65%, while real estate advanced 0.52%.

Treasury Support Helps Broader Market

The broader improvement in sentiment also follows the Treasury Department’s move to expand liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government securities. The action helped ease some of the recent pressure on Treasury yields, providing support to rate-sensitive areas of the equity market.

Real estate’s 0.52% advance is consistent with the easing in long-term yield pressure, as lower borrowing costs tend to improve the relative outlook for the sector.

Technology Remains Under Pressure

Despite the broader market advance, technology continued to lag. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector fell 0.65%, helping explain why the Nasdaq was struggling to participate in the broader rally.

Industrials were the weakest sector, declining 0.71%. Financials fell 0.28% and energy slipped 0.16%, while utilities edged 0.11% higher.

Wednesday’s sector performance therefore points to a significant rotation beneath the headline indexes. Rather than technology leading the market, the S&P 500’s advance is being driven primarily by health care — amplified by the Moderna-Merck cancer breakthrough — alongside strength in consumer and materials stocks.
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COINBASE:BTCUSD

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Bitcoin Jumps Above $81,000 as Fed Fears Ease; Strategy and Coinbase Rally

Bitcoin climbed above $81,000 on Friday as easing Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations, lower U.S. Treasury yields and improving regulatory sentiment boosted demand for crypto assets.

Bitcoin traded around $81,089, up 4.2% over 24 hours, after briefly topping $82,000 and reaching its highest level in nearly four months.

Fed Shift Fuels Crypto Rally

The rally accelerated after Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for keeping rates unchanged in September if inflation continues to moderate. The comments pushed Treasury yields lower and reduced expectations for another rate hike.

Crypto-related stocks rallied even more sharply. Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) surged roughly 18% Thursday, while Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) gained around 10%, benefiting from Bitcoin's rebound and expectations for stronger crypto trading activity.

Regulatory optimism also helped sentiment, with investors watching potential progress on U.S. crypto legislation.

Attention now turns to Friday's U.S. jobs report. Softer employment data could further reduce Fed rate-hike expectations and support Bitcoin, while a stronger report could push Treasury yields higher and challenge the rebound.
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Gold Jumps 2.2% Above $4,500 as Iran Conflict, Lower Yields and Weaker Dollar Fuel Safe-Haven Demand

Gold surged Thursday, with December COMEX futures climbing 2.24% to $4,513.60 an ounce, as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities combined with falling Treasury yields and a weaker dollar to trigger a sharp rebound in precious metals. Bitcoin also rallied, rising 3.02% to $79,342, as demand strengthened across alternative stores of value.

Gold’s move represents a significant reversal from earlier this week, when rising Treasury yields and expectations for another Federal Reserve rate increase pressured the non-yielding metal. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has since retreated toward 4.75%, while the dollar has weakened, reducing two important headwinds for bullion. Spot gold was already advancing before the U.S. session, supported by the pullback in both yields and the dollar.

Geopolitical demand has added another layer of support. The renewed U.S.-Iran conflict has pushed Brent crude back toward $100 a barrel and raised concerns over energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump has indicated that the latest U.S. military operations may not last long, which has provided some hope that the conflict could be contained, but continued attacks and retaliation have kept uncertainty high. (Reuters)

Gold is therefore benefiting from two competing consequences of the conflict. The immediate geopolitical uncertainty increases demand for safe-haven assets, while the recent retreat in bond yields makes holding gold more attractive. At the same time, oil-driven inflation remains a major risk: persistent energy inflation could force the Fed to maintain a more hawkish stance and eventually send yields higher again.

Bitcoin’s simultaneous 3% advance is also notable. BTC has recently benefited from improving technical momentum after a roughly 30% rally, while the U.S. Treasury’s expansion of long-duration debt buybacks has contributed to the move.

Attention now shifts to Friday’s U.S. employment report. A weak payrolls number could reduce expectations for a September Fed rate hike, potentially extending the decline in yields and providing another catalyst for both gold and Bitcoin. Conversely, a strong jobs report could revive rate-hike expectations and test Thursday’s rally, particularly for gold, which remains highly sensitive to real interest rates.
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Bitcoin Slides Below $78,000 as Hawkish Fed Outlook Pressures Risk Assets

Bitcoin fell sharply into the weekend, dropping below $78,000 as investors reacted to a more hawkish U.S. monetary-policy outlook and rising short-term Treasury yields.

Bitcoin was trading around $77,521 on Saturday, down 2.51% over the previous 24 hours and about 1.9% over five days. The cryptocurrency briefly traded above $81,000 earlier in the week before reversing sharply on Friday, with the chart showing selling accelerating after Bitcoin lost the $79,000 area.

The key macro catalyst was Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech on Friday. Warsh stressed that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to returning inflation to its 2% target. Markets responded by increasing expectations for further monetary tightening, pushing the policy-sensitive two-year U.S. Treasury yield higher.

That environment is generally unfavorable for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Higher Treasury yields increase the return available from relatively low-risk assets, while expectations for tighter monetary policy reduce liquidity and can strengthen the U.S. dollar. Bitcoin’s sharp Friday decline therefore broadly coincided with the selloff in gold and the repricing of Fed expectations.

Bitcoin nevertheless remains caught between competing forces. Institutional adoption and long-term demand continue to provide structural support, but the near-term direction may depend heavily on U.S. inflation data and Treasury yields. After falling through $79,000, the $77,000 area has emerged as an important near-term level; a failure to hold it could leave Bitcoin vulnerable to another leg lower.
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Bitcoin Climbs 1.3% as Treasury Buybacks and ETF Inflows Support Crypto Rally

Bitcoin traded around $77,750 on Monday, up roughly 1.3% over the past 24 hours, extending its recent recovery after one of the cryptocurrency's strongest weeks in years.

The move follows a sharp rally that pushed Bitcoin from below $65,000 earlier this month to above $77,000, with the cryptocurrency gaining more than 20% over the past week.

U.S. Treasury bond buying remains a major catalyst

A key driver continues to be the U.S. Treasury's surprise decision to double planned buybacks of longer-dated Treasury securities. The program is intended to improve liquidity in the government bond market, but investors have also interpreted the increased purchases as supportive for financial-market liquidity.

The announcement initially pushed long-term yields lower and weakened the dollar, improving conditions for risk assets such as Bitcoin. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's strategy involves increasing purchases of longer-term government debt while relying more heavily on short-term Treasury bill issuance.

Institutional demand adds support

Crypto-specific flows are also strengthening the move. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $1.9 billion in net inflows last week, with inflows recorded during five consecutive trading sessions. The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index also turned positive, indicating improving U.S. spot-market demand. Bitcoin is now consolidating near $78,000 after briefly approaching $80,000 last week. The ability to hold the $77,000 area could be important for maintaining the current momentum, while the $79,000-$80,000 region remains a significant near-term resistance zone. (KuCoin)

The combination of Treasury liquidity measures, strong ETF inflows, a softer-dollar narrative and improving regulatory sentiment has therefore created a substantially more supportive backdrop for Bitcoin after months of weakness.
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Bitcoin Surges 8% Above $77,000 as Treasury Bond Buybacks and Crypto Policy Optimism Fuel Rally

Bitcoin extended its powerful rebound on Friday, jumping 8.2% to around $77,757 and briefly approaching $80,000. The cryptocurrency has now gained roughly 24% this week, putting it on course for its strongest weekly performance since March 2023.

The latest advance is closely linked to the U.S. Treasury's decision to substantially increase buybacks of longer-dated government bonds. Treasury plans to at least double liquidity-support buybacks of 10- to 30-year securities to $4 billion per operation. Markets have interpreted the move as an attempt to relieve pressure on long-term yields and improve liquidity in the Treasury market.

While the program is not Federal Reserve quantitative easing, it has nevertheless encouraged a "debasement trade." The dollar has weakened as investors question whether attempts to suppress long-term borrowing costs could shift some of the pressure from the bond market into the currency. That environment has simultaneously supported assets such as Bitcoin and gold.

Crypto-specific developments are providing another tailwind. Investors have become more optimistic about U.S. digital-asset regulation following renewed political momentum around the Clarity Act and broader efforts to establish clearer rules for cryptocurrency markets.

The rally is also broad rather than limited to Bitcoin. Ethereum, Solana and XRP have advanced strongly alongside Bitcoin, while crypto-related equities have benefited from the renewed risk appetite.

Bitcoin's move above $77,000 therefore reflects several catalysts working simultaneously: Treasury bond-market intervention, dollar weakness, expectations for improved financial liquidity and regulatory optimism. The combination has transformed what began as a rebound earlier this week into one of Bitcoin's strongest rallies in several years.

Trump expected to attend White House meeting with crypto CEOs, sources say

Those involved in a meeting of CEOs from the worlds of crypto, prediction markets and AI anticipate President Donald Trump will take part in next week's gathering.

(coindesk.com)

Live updates: Bitcoin holds $62,600 as the Iran conflict reignites and CPI looms

Trump reinstated the Hormuz blockade, sending oil higher and rate-hike bets up, reversing the peace trade that helped bitcoin recover in early July. Today's inflation print is the next test.

(coindesk.com)
Bitcoin (BTC) Falls 1.2% as Cautious Sentiment Keeps Price Below $60,000

Bitcoin (BTC) traded lower on Tuesday, extending its recent weakness as investors remained cautious despite improving sentiment across global equity markets.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $59,273.83, down 1.2% over the past 24 hours after failing to reclaim the key $60,000 level.

# Bitcoin Remains Under Pressure

The world's largest cryptocurrency briefly approached $60,000 but failed to sustain momentum, with sellers pushing prices lower as traders continued to assess the outlook for monetary policy and institutional demand.

Unlike U.S. equities, which benefited from easing geopolitical tensions following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, Bitcoin did not participate in the broader risk-on move and has remained under pressure in recent weeks.

# Macro Headwinds Continue to Weigh

Analysts point to several factors limiting Bitcoin's recovery, including uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest-rate outlook, persistent outflows from crypto investment products, and weaker overall demand for digital assets. Recent reports have also highlighted concerns over potential additional Bitcoin supply entering the market from large holders.

# What Investors Are Watching

Market participants continue to monitor:

* Federal Reserve policy expectations.
* Institutional demand for Bitcoin.
* ETF flows and broader crypto market sentiment.
* Key technical support around the $58,000–$60,000 range.

While long-term adoption trends remain intact, Bitcoin has struggled to regain upward momentum in 2026. Until macroeconomic conditions improve or institutional buying strengthens, the cryptocurrency is likely to remain sensitive to interest-rate expectations and shifts in investor risk appetite.
Bitcoin Holds Above $60,000 as Buyers Return After Sharp Selloff

Bitcoin (BTC) traded around *$60,360* on Saturday, gaining nearly 2% over the past 24 hours as the cryptocurrency rebounded from this week's sharp decline. The recovery comes after Bitcoin briefly slipped below the psychologically important $60,000 level, with buyers stepping in as market sentiment stabilized.

Why is Bitcoin rising?

The latest bounce appears to be driven by bargain hunting following several days of heavy selling that pushed Bitcoin to its lowest levels in months. The price chart shows buyers gradually regaining control, with BTC climbing steadily throughout the past 24 hours and holding above the $60,000 threshold.

While concerns over inflation and the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook continue to weigh on risk assets, Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization after the recent wave of liquidations across the crypto market.

What investors should watch

Although the latest rebound has improved short-term sentiment, Bitcoin remains below the highs seen earlier this week, suggesting volatility could persist. Investors will likely monitor macroeconomic developments, institutional fund flows, and whether BTC can establish support above $60,000 before attempting another move higher.
Bitcoin fell about 2.5% on Friday, extending its recent decline as investors reacted to persistent U.S. inflation and renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. cryptocurrency regulation.

Sentiment weakened after the CLARITY Act, a landmark bill aimed at establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, faced another delay in the U.S. Senate. The setback disappointed investors who had expected the legislation to provide greater regulatory certainty and support broader institutional participation in the crypto market.

Pressure also came from the latest U.S. inflation data. The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, remained at 3.4% year-over-year in May, well above the Fed's 2% target, while headline PCE accelerated to 4.1% from 3.8% in April. The figures reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer, reducing the appeal of risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Despite the pullback investors will continue to monitor progress on U.S. crypto legislation alongside upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve commentary, which are expected to remain the key drivers of digital asset sentiment.
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NASDAQ:LULU

Lululemon Stock Plunges 18% Premarket After Sales Decline and 2026 Outlook Cut

Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU) shares plunged about 18% in premarket trading Friday after the athletic apparel company reported declining second-quarter sales and comparable-store performance while cutting its full-year outlook.

Second-quarter revenue fell 4% year over year to $2.4 billion, or 5% on a constant-currency basis. Comparable sales dropped 9%, with weakness particularly pronounced in the Americas, where revenue declined 8% and comparable sales fell 12%.

International revenue provided some offset, increasing 4%, although international comparable sales declined 3%.

Earnings Benefited Heavily From Tariff Refunds

Diluted EPS fell to $2.92 from $3.10 a year earlier, despite receiving a substantial boost from tariff refunds. Lululemon recognized $134.5 million in tariff refunds plus associated interest, adding $0.86 per share to quarterly earnings.

The refunds also boosted gross margin by 560 basis points. Including this benefit, gross margin increased 200 basis points to 60.5%. Operating income nevertheless declined 13% to $453.7 million.

This suggests underlying profitability was considerably weaker than the headline figures indicate.

Weak Guidance Drives LULU Selloff

The biggest concern for investors is the deteriorating sales outlook. Lululemon expects third-quarter revenue to decline 10% to 11% to between $2.29 billion and $2.32 billion.

For fiscal 2026, management now expects revenue of $10.35 billion to $10.50 billion, representing a 5% to 7% decline. Full-year EPS is projected at $9.48 to $9.73, including the $0.86 benefit already received from tariff refunds.

The 18% premarket selloff reflects growing concerns about weakening demand, particularly in Lululemon's core Americas market. While international expansion and the company's $1.4 billion cash position provide support, sharply falling comparable sales and another double-digit revenue decline expected in Q3 suggest the athletic-wear company faces a difficult turnaround.

Incoming CEO Heidi O'Neill will take over next week as Lululemon seeks to strengthen its product lineup, increase marketing investment and restore growth.
Lululemon Plunges as Weak Outlook Overshadows Modest Revenue Growth

Lululemon Athletica (LULU) shares fell roughly 12% in premarket trading after the athletic apparel retailer cut its full-year outlook and warned of ongoing challenges in its core North American market.

While first-quarter revenue increased 4% to $2.5 billion and comparable sales rose 1%, investors focused on signs of slowing demand and deteriorating profitability. Revenue in the Americas, which remains Lululemon's largest market, declined 3%, while comparable sales in the region fell 5%. International markets remained a bright spot, with revenue climbing 22% and comparable sales increasing 13%.

Profitability came under significant pressure during the quarter. Gross margin declined 410 basis points to 54.2%, while operating income fell 37% year-over-year. Diluted earnings per share dropped sharply to $1.69 from $2.60 a year earlier, highlighting the impact of weaker margins and slower growth.

The biggest concern for investors was management's updated outlook. Lululemon now expects fiscal 2026 revenue between $11.0 billion and $11.15 billion, implying flat to slightly negative growth for the year. The company also lowered its earnings expectations and projected second-quarter revenue to decline between 2% and 3%.

Management acknowledged ongoing macroeconomic pressures, changing consumer spending patterns, and challenges in reigniting growth in North America. Although the company reported encouraging signs in full-price sales and continued strong international momentum, investors appear concerned that the recovery in its largest market is taking longer than expected.

The sharp selloff reflects disappointment with the lowered guidance rather than the quarter itself. Investors had been hoping for stronger evidence that Lululemon's North American business was stabilizing, but the revised outlook suggests meaningful headwinds may persist through the remainder of 2026.

VantagePoint A.I. Stock of the Week Lululemon Athletica ($LULU) - VantagePoint $LULU

This week's ai stock spotlight is Lululemon Athletica ($LULU) Let’s get something straight right up front. Lululemon Athletica does not sell pants. It sells identity. Pants are just the delivery system. And those pants cost more than your first

(vantagepointsoftware.com)
lululemon Plans Expansion Into Six New International Markets in 2026

lululemon announced plans to expand its international footprint in 2026 by entering six new markets through franchise partnerships, marking the largest number of market launches by the brand in a single year. The company will open stores in Greece, Austria, Poland, Hungary, and Romania in partnership with Arion Retail Group, and in India through a previously announced agreement with Tata CLiQ.

The expansion will extend lululemon’s athletic and lifestyle apparel and accessories across Europe and Asia Pacific, supporting activities such as yoga, running, training, tennis, and golf. Customers in the five European markets will be able to shop the full product range online via eu*lululemon*com, while Indian consumers will access the brand through Tata CLiQ Luxury and Tata CLiQ Fashion digital platforms.

lululemon said the move builds on strong international demand and follows recent franchise-based market entries in Italy, Denmark, Turkey, and Belgium. The company emphasized that community engagement, including ambassador programs and local events focused on physical, mental, and social wellbeing, will remain central to its market entry strategy.

With operations already spanning more than 30 markets worldwide, the upcoming launches represent a key step in lululemon’s long-term international growth strategy. Further details on store locations, opening timelines, and community initiatives are expected to be shared during 2026.

Source: Business Wire, lululemon athletica inc.
lululemon athletica said Chief Executive Officer Calvin McDonald will step down effective January 31, 2026, as part of a leadership transition announced in an SEC filing. Board chair Marti Morfitt will become executive chair, while Chief Financial Officer Meghan Frank and President and Chief Commercial Officer Andre Maestrini will serve as interim co-CEOs during the search for a permanent successor. The company also disclosed details of McDonald’s separation agreement, including a $3.05 million cash payment and continued vesting of certain equity awards, and confirmed that its board approved a $1.0 billion increase to the existing share repurchase program earlier in December.
lululemon athletica reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 revenue growth but weaker profitability, while its board authorized a $1.0 billion increase to the company’s share repurchase program. The company said revenue rose 7% to $2.6 billion for the quarter ended Nov. 2, 2025, driven by 33% growth in international markets that offset a 2% decline in the Americas, while comparable sales increased 1%, or 2% on a constant-currency basis. Diluted earnings per share fell to $2.59 from $2.87 a year earlier as operating income declined 11% and margins compressed. Lululemon repurchased $189 million of stock during the quarter and now has about $1.6 billion remaining under its buyback authorization. For the fourth quarter, the company forecast revenue of $3.50–$3.59 billion and EPS of $4.66–$4.76, while maintaining full-year 2025 revenue guidance of roughly $11.0 billion and EPS of $12.92–$13.02, noting potential pressure from higher tariffs.
Lululemon has unveiled Team Canada’s official athlete kit for the Milano Cortina 2026 Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games, marking the company’s third Games as the team’s Official Outfitter. Developed over two years in collaboration with athletes, the collection emphasizes thermoregulation, adaptive and inclusive design features, and visual themes inspired by Canada’s landscapes. The kit incorporates new adaptive footwear, seated-fit styles, abrasion-resistant materials, magnetic zippers, and braille elements.

Lululemon also expanded its roster of Team Canada Ambassadors, adding Sidney Crosby alongside athletes from bobsleigh, figure skating, snowboarding, para sport, and hockey. The Team Canada x Lululemon retail collection launches online in Canada and the United States on November 18, and in select stores in Canada and Milan on November 19. Proceeds from Future Legacy items will support the Canadian Olympic Foundation and Paralympic Foundation of Canada.

The apparel will be worn by athletes, coaches, and staff throughout ceremonies, travel, media appearances, and daily life during the Games.
Lululemon reported Q2 fiscal 2025 results :

Headline Results (Q2 FY25 vs. Q2 FY24)

• Net revenue rose 7% to $2.5B (6% constant currency).
• Comparable sales increased just 1%.
• International strength: revenue up 22% (20% constant currency); comparable sales up 15% (13% constant currency).
• Americas weakness: revenue up only 1%; comparable sales down 4% (–3% constant currency).
• Gross margin fell 110 bps to 58.5%.
• Operating income slipped 3% to $523.8M; margin down 210 bps to 20.7%.
• Diluted EPS $3.10, slightly below last year’s $3.15.
Balance Sheet & Operations
• Ended quarter with $1.2B cash and $393M revolver capacity.
• Inventories up 21% YoY to $1.7B (13% unit growth).
• Repurchased 1.1M shares for $278.5M.
• Added 14 net new stores, reaching 784.

Outlook
• Q3 FY25: Revenue $2.47–$2.50B (+3–4%), EPS $2.18–$2.23.
• FY25: Revenue $10.85–11.0B (+2–4%, or +4–6% excluding 53rd week in FY24). EPS $12.77–12.97.
• Guidance reflects $240M hit to gross profit from higher U.S. tariffs and the end of the de minimis exemption, even after mitigation efforts.
Management Commentary
• CEO Calvin McDonald acknowledged U.S. underperformance and product execution issues, promising adjustments to merchandise mix and growth plans.
• CFO Meghan Frank noted EPS beat but revenue miss, driven mainly by U.S. weakness, and flagged tariff headwinds as a major challenge.

Overall, lululemon continues to benefit from international momentum, but U.S. softness, tariffs, and inventory build weigh on results and guidance.
Lululemon Opens First Store in Italy, Expanding European Presence

Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) will open its first store in Italy on July 19, 2025, in Milan’s famed shopping district at Vittorio Emanuele II 24/28. The two-floor, 5,700-square-foot space will offer the brand’s full athletic apparel range for men and women, including items for yoga, running, tennis, and golf.

The store features a locally inspired design and a unique 3D-printed sculptural façade echoing Lululemon’s signature Define Jacket. It also includes tech-enhanced shopping via its Endless Aisle system and supports Global Blue tax-free shopping for tourists.

The Milan launch is part of Lululemon’s broader international expansion under its “Power of Three ×2” plan, which targets quadrupling international revenue by 2026. The company already has stores across the UK, Germany, France, and several other European countries. Community engagement efforts in Milan will include partnerships, events, and a local ambassador program.
lululemon athletica inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) today announced that its financial results for the first quarter fiscal 2025 will be released Thursday, June 5, 2025. The company will host a conference call at 4:30 p.m. Eastern time to discuss the financial results.
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U.S. Stocks Slip as Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded slightly lower Friday after a much stronger-than-expected August employment report revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 7,731.74, while the Dow Jones dropped 0.46% to 53,436.70. The Nasdaq was nearly flat at 26,583.15.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, nearly triple expectations of around 55,000. July's figure was also revised sharply higher to a gain of 21,000 from an initially reported decline of 23,000. Private payrolls rose by 127,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%.

Strong Labor Market Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

The unexpectedly strong report challenged hopes that the Fed could keep rates unchanged. Markets increased bets on a 25-basis-point September hike, with the implied probability rising to around 60% following the data. U.S. Treasury yields moved sharply higher in response.

The report comes just a day after Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested he could support holding rates steady if inflation continues to cool. With the labor market showing renewed strength, next week's inflation data could now prove decisive for the Fed's September decision.

The modest decline in equities suggests investors are balancing evidence of a resilient U.S. economy against the risk that stronger employment gives the Fed more room to tighten monetary policy further.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Strong Services Activity and Lower Treasury Yields Offset Inflation Concerns

U.S. stocks traded higher Thursday as investors weighed stronger-than-expected services activity against signs of a cooling labor market and renewed inflation pressure from rising oil prices. The S&P 500 gained 0.37% to 7,694.65, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.46% to 53,304.90, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.66% to 26,391.59.

Economic data painted a mixed but generally resilient picture. Initial jobless claims increased slightly to 206,000 from 204,000, marginally above the 205,000 consensus, while continuing claims climbed to 1.779 million from 1.771 million. The figures suggest layoffs remain relatively limited even as hiring momentum has weakened ahead of Friday’s closely watched August employment report.

Services activity was considerably stronger. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.4 in August from 54.1, comfortably beating expectations for an unchanged 54.1 reading. S&P Global’s Services PMI also increased to 56.5 from 54.6, although it came slightly below the 56.8 forecast. Together, the readings indicate that the dominant U.S. services sector continues to expand at a healthy pace.

The inflation component, however, complicated the outlook for the Federal Reserve. ISM services prices jumped to 72.6 from 70.3, well above the 70.0 forecast, signaling persistent input-cost pressures. Investors are already sensitive to inflation after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole message increased expectations that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive.

Oil remains another major inflation risk. Brent crude climbed to around $97 a barrel and WTI moved above $93 as renewed U.S. strikes on Iran and threats of further escalation raised concerns about supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Despite those risks, declining Treasury yields are currently providing support to equities, particularly technology stocks, helping the Nasdaq outperform. Markets now turn to Friday’s U.S. employment report, which could determine whether investors focus more heavily on slowing labor demand or the increasingly visible inflation pressures coming from services and energy markets.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Weak Jobs Data Collides With Oil-Driven Inflation Fears

U.S. stocks traded mixed Wednesday as investors weighed softer-than-expected labor-market data against rising oil prices, elevated Treasury yields and renewed concerns that energy costs could keep inflation above the Federal Reserve’s target.

The S&P 500 was nearly flat at 7,638.19, up 0.09%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.39% to 52,975.28. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.08% to 26,079.81, with technology shares remaining more sensitive to elevated bond yields.

Fresh labor data provided some support for equities. ADP reported that private employers added only 38,000 jobs in August, below expectations for 47,000 and down from an upwardly revised 46,000 in July. It was the weakest pace of private-sector job creation since January. Manufacturing lost 17,000 jobs and professional and business services shed 16,000, while education and health services added 45,000.

Ordinarily, weaker employment growth would strengthen expectations for easier monetary policy. This time, however, the signal is being complicated by renewed inflation risks. Escalating U.S.-Iran hostilities have pushed crude prices sharply higher, with Brent trading around $95 a barrel Wednesday after surging in recent sessions. Concerns over disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz have put an additional geopolitical premium into energy markets.

Higher oil prices are feeding directly into inflation expectations and challenging hopes that slowing employment will quickly translate into lower interest rates. U.S. Treasury yields have consequently remained elevated, with the 10-year yield reaching roughly 4.8%, its highest level since late 2023. Markets have also increased expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish comments on inflation.

The result is an increasingly difficult backdrop for equities: labor-market momentum is weakening at the same time that an external energy shock is threatening to revive inflation. That combination helps explain Wednesday’s divergence, with the Dow advancing while the rate-sensitive Nasdaq remains under pressure. Investors will now turn to Friday’s official U.S. employment report for a clearer indication of whether labor-market cooling is becoming significant enough to alter the Fed’s inflation-focused policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.
US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.
Chicago PMI Plunges to 47.1 in August, Signaling Renewed Contraction

Business activity in the Chicago region deteriorated sharply in August, with the Chicago PMI falling to 47.1 from 57.6 in July. The reading was far below the 57.8 market forecast and dropped beneath the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

The 10.5-point monthly decline pushed the Chicago Business Barometer into contraction territory for the first time since April and to its lowest level since December.
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# S&P 500 Slips 0.25% as Hawkish Fed Message Pressures Technology Stocks

U.S. stocks ended Friday modestly lower as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, with rising Treasury yields weighing particularly heavily on technology and other rate-sensitive sectors.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%. The index had climbed above 7,770 earlier in the session before reversing around midday and remaining under pressure through the afternoon.

Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to bringing it back toward the 2% target. The remarks pushed Treasury yields higher as investors increased expectations for tighter monetary policy. Higher yields tend to pressure equity valuations, particularly for technology and other growth companies whose valuations depend more heavily on future earnings.

The sector breakdown showed a clear rotation. Information technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.29%, followed by utilities at 1.14%, industrials at 0.96% and real estate at 0.49%. In contrast, consumer discretionary jumped 1.69% and communication services gained 1.56%. Energy rose 0.59%, while financials advanced 0.34%.

The relatively small decline in the broader S&P 500 despite the technology selloff suggests investors were rotating rather than abandoning equities altogether. Consumer-oriented and communication stocks provided significant support, limiting the index’s losses.

The Fed and Treasury yields are likely to remain central to the market outlook. If incoming inflation and labor-market data reinforce expectations for higher rates, richly valued technology stocks could remain under pressure even as strength in other sectors provides some support to the broader market.
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U.S. Inflation Expectations Ease as Consumer Sentiment Beats Forecast

U.S. consumer inflation expectations eased in August, while consumer sentiment came in slightly stronger than expected, offering a somewhat favorable signal for the economic outlook.

The University of Michigan’s one-year inflation expectation fell to 4.0% from 4.2%, significantly below the 4.3% forecast. Longer-term five-year inflation expectations remained unchanged at 3.3%, matching expectations.

Consumer sentiment came in at 51.7, above the 51.0 forecast but down from 55.2 previously. Consumer expectations similarly beat forecasts at 51.5 versus 50.6, although they declined from 55.4.

Overall, the report is mixed but relatively favorable for markets. The decline in short-term inflation expectations could ease concerns about persistent price pressures and support expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve, while the better-than-expected sentiment figures suggest consumers are slightly more resilient than feared. However, the sharp decline in sentiment from the previous month still points to considerable caution among U.S. households.
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected, Signaling Continued Labor-Market Strength

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 203,000, below expectations of 208,000 and down from 207,000 previously.

Continuing claims also improved, declining to 1.778 million from 1.796 million, better than the 1.790 million expected.

Both figures point to a still-resilient U.S. labor market. Lower initial claims suggest layoffs remain limited, while the decline in continuing claims indicates unemployed workers may be finding jobs somewhat more easily.

The report is moderately positive for the U.S. economic outlook, but stronger labor conditions could also reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy, particularly if inflation remains elevated.
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Jump 1.1% as Tech Sentiment Strengthens

Nasdaq 100 futures are up about 1.1% early Thursday, pointing to a strong open for U.S. technology stocks. The September contract is trading near 29,608, up roughly 319 points.

The move comes amid broad strength in major technology names following a busy round of earnings. NVIDIA is up around 7.5% in premarket trading after reporting a 106% year-over-year surge in quarterly revenue and 117% growth in Data Center sales. Salesforce is up about 13%, while CrowdStrike, Okta, Veeva and Nutanix are also posting strong premarket gains following their results.

AI remains the central driver of sentiment. NVIDIA’s $108 billion Q3 revenue outlook, continued acceleration in AI infrastructure spending, and strong enterprise AI commentary from Salesforce and CrowdStrike are reinforcing expectations that AI-related investment remains robust.

The futures rally therefore appears to be driven primarily by renewed strength across AI, software and cybersecurity stocks, with NVIDIA’s results providing the most important catalyst ahead of the U.S. market open.
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U.S. Stocks Slip as Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded slightly lower Friday after a much stronger-than-expected August employment report revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 7,731.74, while the Dow Jones dropped 0.46% to 53,436.70. The Nasdaq was nearly flat at 26,583.15.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, nearly triple expectations of around 55,000. July's figure was also revised sharply higher to a gain of 21,000 from an initially reported decline of 23,000. Private payrolls rose by 127,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%.

Strong Labor Market Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

The unexpectedly strong report challenged hopes that the Fed could keep rates unchanged. Markets increased bets on a 25-basis-point September hike, with the implied probability rising to around 60% following the data. U.S. Treasury yields moved sharply higher in response.

The report comes just a day after Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested he could support holding rates steady if inflation continues to cool. With the labor market showing renewed strength, next week's inflation data could now prove decisive for the Fed's September decision.

The modest decline in equities suggests investors are balancing evidence of a resilient U.S. economy against the risk that stronger employment gives the Fed more room to tighten monetary policy further.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Strong Services Activity and Lower Treasury Yields Offset Inflation Concerns

U.S. stocks traded higher Thursday as investors weighed stronger-than-expected services activity against signs of a cooling labor market and renewed inflation pressure from rising oil prices. The S&P 500 gained 0.37% to 7,694.65, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.46% to 53,304.90, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.66% to 26,391.59.

Economic data painted a mixed but generally resilient picture. Initial jobless claims increased slightly to 206,000 from 204,000, marginally above the 205,000 consensus, while continuing claims climbed to 1.779 million from 1.771 million. The figures suggest layoffs remain relatively limited even as hiring momentum has weakened ahead of Friday’s closely watched August employment report.

Services activity was considerably stronger. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.4 in August from 54.1, comfortably beating expectations for an unchanged 54.1 reading. S&P Global’s Services PMI also increased to 56.5 from 54.6, although it came slightly below the 56.8 forecast. Together, the readings indicate that the dominant U.S. services sector continues to expand at a healthy pace.

The inflation component, however, complicated the outlook for the Federal Reserve. ISM services prices jumped to 72.6 from 70.3, well above the 70.0 forecast, signaling persistent input-cost pressures. Investors are already sensitive to inflation after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole message increased expectations that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive.

Oil remains another major inflation risk. Brent crude climbed to around $97 a barrel and WTI moved above $93 as renewed U.S. strikes on Iran and threats of further escalation raised concerns about supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Despite those risks, declining Treasury yields are currently providing support to equities, particularly technology stocks, helping the Nasdaq outperform. Markets now turn to Friday’s U.S. employment report, which could determine whether investors focus more heavily on slowing labor demand or the increasingly visible inflation pressures coming from services and energy markets.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Weak Jobs Data Collides With Oil-Driven Inflation Fears

U.S. stocks traded mixed Wednesday as investors weighed softer-than-expected labor-market data against rising oil prices, elevated Treasury yields and renewed concerns that energy costs could keep inflation above the Federal Reserve’s target.

The S&P 500 was nearly flat at 7,638.19, up 0.09%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.39% to 52,975.28. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.08% to 26,079.81, with technology shares remaining more sensitive to elevated bond yields.

Fresh labor data provided some support for equities. ADP reported that private employers added only 38,000 jobs in August, below expectations for 47,000 and down from an upwardly revised 46,000 in July. It was the weakest pace of private-sector job creation since January. Manufacturing lost 17,000 jobs and professional and business services shed 16,000, while education and health services added 45,000.

Ordinarily, weaker employment growth would strengthen expectations for easier monetary policy. This time, however, the signal is being complicated by renewed inflation risks. Escalating U.S.-Iran hostilities have pushed crude prices sharply higher, with Brent trading around $95 a barrel Wednesday after surging in recent sessions. Concerns over disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz have put an additional geopolitical premium into energy markets.

Higher oil prices are feeding directly into inflation expectations and challenging hopes that slowing employment will quickly translate into lower interest rates. U.S. Treasury yields have consequently remained elevated, with the 10-year yield reaching roughly 4.8%, its highest level since late 2023. Markets have also increased expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish comments on inflation.

The result is an increasingly difficult backdrop for equities: labor-market momentum is weakening at the same time that an external energy shock is threatening to revive inflation. That combination helps explain Wednesday’s divergence, with the Dow advancing while the rate-sensitive Nasdaq remains under pressure. Investors will now turn to Friday’s official U.S. employment report for a clearer indication of whether labor-market cooling is becoming significant enough to alter the Fed’s inflation-focused policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.
US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Jump 1.1% as Tech Sentiment Strengthens

Nasdaq 100 futures are up about 1.1% early Thursday, pointing to a strong open for U.S. technology stocks. The September contract is trading near 29,608, up roughly 319 points.

The move comes amid broad strength in major technology names following a busy round of earnings. NVIDIA is up around 7.5% in premarket trading after reporting a 106% year-over-year surge in quarterly revenue and 117% growth in Data Center sales. Salesforce is up about 13%, while CrowdStrike, Okta, Veeva and Nutanix are also posting strong premarket gains following their results.

AI remains the central driver of sentiment. NVIDIA’s $108 billion Q3 revenue outlook, continued acceleration in AI infrastructure spending, and strong enterprise AI commentary from Salesforce and CrowdStrike are reinforcing expectations that AI-related investment remains robust.

The futures rally therefore appears to be driven primarily by renewed strength across AI, software and cybersecurity stocks, with NVIDIA’s results providing the most important catalyst ahead of the U.S. market open.
US Stocks Open Slightly Lower as PCE Inflation Remains Elevated

US stocks opened modestly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed July inflation data that showed underlying price pressures remained persistent.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.07% to 7,671.53 shortly after the opening bell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15% to 53,499.19. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.28% to 26,079.36, underperforming the broader market.

Core PCE Holds at 3.3%

The Federal Reserve's closely watched core PCE price index increased 3.3% year over year in July, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations.

On a monthly basis, core PCE rose 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, but accelerating slightly from June's 0.1% increase.

Headline inflation delivered a somewhat firmer signal. The PCE price index rose 0.2% month over month, above the 0.1% expected and reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline. Annual headline PCE inflation came in at 3.7%, slightly above the 3.6% forecast but unchanged from June.

Inflation Data Keeps Fed Outlook in Focus

The figures suggest inflation remains sticky, with both headline and core PCE running well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While the core readings matched expectations, the hotter-than-forecast monthly headline figure offered little evidence of a decisive return toward price stability.

That may be contributing to the cautious start on Wall Street, particularly in rate-sensitive technology stocks, with the Nasdaq posting the largest decline among the three major indexes.

Investors will now assess whether persistent inflation pressures could keep US monetary policy restrictive for longer than previously anticipated.
U.S. Stocks Edge Higher Despite Weak Housing Data and Escalating Canada Trade War

U.S. stocks traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors weighed mixed economic data against a sharp escalation in trade tensions between the United States and Canada.

The Nasdaq Composite led gains, rising 0.60%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.27% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.11%.

U.S. Economic Data Sends Mixed Signals

ADP's weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increasing by 11,800, up from 9,500 previously, signaling continued resilience in the labor market.

Other data were weaker. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 89.4 in August from 90.2, missing the 90.3 forecast. New home sales also dropped sharply to an annualized 607,000 in July from 678,000 and came in below expectations of 620,000.

The softer housing and confidence readings could support expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy outlook, helping offset concerns about the labor market remaining relatively firm.

U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate

Trade developments added uncertainty to the session after Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about C$27.6 billion, or roughly $20 billion, of U.S. goods. The measures, scheduled to take effect September 8, will impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of product categories, including steel, aluminum, appliances, electronics, clothing and agricultural products.

Canada's action follows new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian imports after trade negotiations between the two countries broke down. President Donald Trump has also threatened further tariffs on Canadian automobiles and auto parts, increasing concerns about disruption to highly integrated North American supply chains.

Despite the escalation, U.S. equities remained positive, with technology stocks providing the strongest support to the broader market. Investors are now balancing expectations for easier monetary policy against the inflation and growth risks created by the expanding U.S.-Canada trade dispute.
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US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.
Health Care and Consumer Stocks Lead U.S. Market as Technology Lags

U.S. equities remained broadly higher Wednesday afternoon, but sector performance showed a sharp divergence, with health care surging while technology and industrial stocks remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was up about 0.32% as of 2:38 p.m. ET, supported by strong gains in health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples and materials.

Moderna Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Fuels Health Care Rally

Health care was by far the strongest S&P 500 sector, jumping 3.59%, with a major catalyst coming from Moderna and Merck’s positive late-stage cancer-treatment results.

Moderna shares more than doubled after the companies reported that the personalized mRNA cancer therapy intismeran, when combined with Merck’s Keytruda, reduced the risk of melanoma recurrence and spread compared with Keytruda alone. Merck shares also jumped about 10%, while the news sparked a broader biotechnology rally. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index climbed more than 4%, with BioNTech and other mRNA-related stocks also advancing sharply.

The results are particularly significant because they provide late-stage evidence that Moderna’s mRNA technology could have substantial applications beyond infectious-disease vaccines, improving sentiment toward the broader biotechnology industry.

Consumer discretionary was the second-strongest S&P 500 sector, rising 1.93%, followed by consumer staples at 1.46% and materials at 1.29%. Communication services gained 0.65%, while real estate advanced 0.52%.

Treasury Support Helps Broader Market

The broader improvement in sentiment also follows the Treasury Department’s move to expand liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government securities. The action helped ease some of the recent pressure on Treasury yields, providing support to rate-sensitive areas of the equity market.

Real estate’s 0.52% advance is consistent with the easing in long-term yield pressure, as lower borrowing costs tend to improve the relative outlook for the sector.

Technology Remains Under Pressure

Despite the broader market advance, technology continued to lag. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector fell 0.65%, helping explain why the Nasdaq was struggling to participate in the broader rally.

Industrials were the weakest sector, declining 0.71%. Financials fell 0.28% and energy slipped 0.16%, while utilities edged 0.11% higher.

Wednesday’s sector performance therefore points to a significant rotation beneath the headline indexes. Rather than technology leading the market, the S&P 500’s advance is being driven primarily by health care — amplified by the Moderna-Merck cancer breakthrough — alongside strength in consumer and materials stocks.
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NASDAQ:TSLA

Why Tesla (TSLA) Stock Is Up Today

Shares of electric vehicle pioneer Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) jumped 4.9% in the afternoon session as investors continued to focus on the long-term potential of the company’s autonomous driving technology.

(finance.yahoo.com)

Tesla CEO Elon Musk says flying cars are coming

Tesla CEO Elon Musk said that flying cars will be coming to the market, something that his own company has hinted at previously.

(teslarati.com)
Tesla Shares Slide Despite Delivery Beat as Rivian Rally Shifts EV Investor Focus

Tesla shares fell around 8% on Thursday even after the electric vehicle giant reported a much stronger-than-expected second-quarter delivery performance, while Rivian gained about 8% following its own delivery update and increased full-year guidance.

Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles during the second quarter, up 25% year over year and well above Wall Street expectations of roughly 405,000 vehicles. The results marked the company’s strongest second quarter on record and its first annual delivery growth after two years of declining sales. The company also reduced inventory by delivering more vehicles than it produced, another positive signal for investors.

Despite those impressive figures, investors appeared to lock in profits after Tesla’s recent rally. Market participants also focused on the sustainability of the delivery rebound, with some questioning whether aggressive incentives and inventory drawdowns could pressure margins in upcoming earnings. The reaction reflected a classic “sell the news” move rather than disappointment with the headline delivery numbers.

Meanwhile, Rivian provided another positive surprise. The EV maker delivered 12,194 vehicles in the second quarter, beating both its own guidance and analyst expectations. More importantly, management raised its 2026 delivery forecast to 65,000–70,000 vehicles, citing strong demand for its R1 lineup and the early success of its new R2 SUV.

Rivian’s stronger outlook may also have contributed to Tesla’s weakness by reinforcing the view that competition in the U.S. EV market is intensifying. While Tesla remains the industry’s dominant player by volume, Rivian’s improving execution and confidence in future demand shifted some investor attention toward the smaller automaker’s growth story.

Investors will now turn their focus to upcoming quarterly earnings, where both companies will need to demonstrate that stronger deliveries can translate into healthy margins and sustained profitability.
Tesla Rises After Jefferies Raises Price Target

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) gained 2.2% after Jefferies raised its price target on the electric vehicle maker to $375 from $350 while maintaining a Hold rating.

The higher target reflects improving confidence in Tesla's long-term growth opportunities, particularly in autonomous driving, robotics, artificial intelligence, and energy storage. While the analyst maintained a neutral stance, the increased valuation suggests Tesla's strategic initiatives are gaining greater recognition on Wall Street.

Investor sentiment has increasingly shifted beyond Tesla's traditional automotive business toward the company's AI-driven projects, including robotaxis, Full Self-Driving technology, and the Optimus humanoid robot program. These initiatives are viewed as potential long-term growth drivers that could diversify revenue beyond vehicle sales.

The stock's advance also comes as broader technology and AI-related shares continue to attract investor interest. Markets remain focused on companies with exposure to artificial intelligence and automation trends, areas where Tesla is making substantial investments.

Despite ongoing challenges in the global EV market, including increased competition and pricing pressure, investors appear encouraged by Tesla's ability to leverage its software, AI, and manufacturing capabilities across multiple industries.

Jefferies' higher price target suggests analysts see improving long-term value creation potential, even as near-term execution and demand trends remain key areas of focus. The stock's gain indicates investors welcomed the more optimistic outlook and continue to view Tesla as a major participant in the evolving AI and autonomous technology landscape.
Tesla Gains as HSBC Reiterates Hold Rating Amid Focus on AI and Autonomous Driving

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares rose 1.2% on Monday as investors reacted to a fresh analyst update from HSBC, which reiterated its Hold rating on the electric vehicle maker.

The modest gain came despite the neutral stance from HSBC, suggesting investors remain focused on Tesla's longer-term growth opportunities in artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and robotics rather than near-term vehicle delivery trends.

Tesla shares have experienced increased volatility in recent months as the company navigates slowing EV demand in some markets while accelerating investment in its Full Self-Driving platform, robotaxi ambitions, and Optimus humanoid robot program. Supporters argue these initiatives could unlock significant new revenue streams beyond traditional vehicle sales.

The reaffirmed Hold rating reflects a balanced view of Tesla's prospects, with analysts recognizing the company's technological leadership while remaining cautious about valuation and execution risks. With the stock gaining 1.2% despite the neutral recommendation, investors appear to be looking beyond current challenges and positioning for potential catalysts related to autonomous driving and AI-powered products.

Market attention is expected to remain focused on upcoming developments surrounding Tesla's robotaxi rollout, software progress, and broader AI strategy, which many investors view as key drivers of the company's future growth.
Tesla Falls 3.8% Despite Piper Sandler Reaffirming Overweight Rating

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares declined 3.8% today despite receiving continued support from Piper Sandler, which reiterated its Overweight rating on the electric vehicle maker.

The stock's decline came amid broader weakness in growth and technology shares, as investors weighed interest-rate expectations and concerns about the near-term outlook for the automotive sector. Tesla has also faced increased scrutiny in recent months over vehicle demand trends, competitive pressures in key markets, and the pace of its transition toward autonomous driving and AI-related initiatives.

Despite these concerns, Piper Sandler's reaffirmed Overweight rating signals continued confidence in Tesla's long-term growth prospects. Many bullish analysts view Tesla as more than an automaker, pointing to opportunities in autonomous driving software, robotics, energy storage, and artificial intelligence as potential drivers of future value creation.

Investors remain focused on the company's upcoming product launches, progress in self-driving technology, and efforts to expand profitability following industry-wide pricing pressures over the past year. While vehicle sales growth has slowed compared with previous years, supporters argue that Tesla remains one of the best-positioned companies to benefit from the long-term electrification and automation trends reshaping transportation.

Today's decline appears to reflect broader market sentiment rather than a change in analyst views. The reaffirmed Overweight rating suggests that at least some Wall Street firms continue to see attractive long-term upside potential despite the stock's recent volatility.

As Tesla continues to balance automotive execution with ambitious AI and autonomous driving initiatives, investors are likely to remain highly sensitive to both macroeconomic developments and company-specific updates in the months ahead.
Tesla Holds Wall Street Support Despite Recent Pullback

Tesla (TSLA) shares slipped about 1%, but Wall Street remains optimistic about the electric vehicle giant's long-term prospects. TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating on the stock and maintained a $490 price target, implying meaningful upside from the current share price near $418.

The reaffirmed rating suggests analysts continue to look beyond Tesla's near-term challenges, including slowing EV demand growth, increased competition, and ongoing concerns about vehicle deliveries. Instead, many investors remain focused on the company's long-term opportunities in autonomous driving, artificial intelligence, robotics, and energy storage.

Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology and planned robotaxi initiatives remain key parts of the bullish investment thesis. Supporters argue that Tesla is evolving from a traditional automaker into a broader AI and technology company, potentially opening new revenue streams beyond vehicle sales.

The maintained Buy rating also reflects confidence in Tesla's ability to leverage its scale, manufacturing expertise, and technological advantages to strengthen its competitive position over time. While the stock has experienced significant volatility in recent months, analysts continue to view Tesla as one of the most important companies in the EV and AI ecosystems.

Today's decline appears to be driven more by broader market weakness and profit-taking than by any significant change in Tesla's long-term outlook. The latest analyst reiteration indicates that Wall Street remains largely constructive on the company's future growth potential.
Tesla stock volatile as strong earnings overshadowed by weak outlook

Shares of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) showed mixed and volatile performance this week, as solid earnings were offset by concerns over future growth and heavy investment plans.

The Tesla, Inc. reported first-quarter results that beat profit expectations but missed on revenue, highlighting ongoing pressure in its core automotive business. (Guardian)

Despite the earnings beat, investor sentiment turned cautious. Reuters reported that Tesla plans to significantly increase capital expenditures—exceeding $25 billion in 2026—as it accelerates investments in AI, robotics, and autonomous driving, raising concerns about near-term profitability. (Reuters)

Additional pressure came from weaker demand trends. Reports highlighted lower-than-expected vehicle deliveries and intensifying competition, particularly from Chinese manufacturers, as well as the impact of reduced EV incentives in key markets. ([Guardian][1])

At the same time, strategic developments added complexity to the outlook. Business Insider noted that Tesla is pursuing a potential $2 billion AI hardware acquisition, reinforcing its shift toward AI-driven growth beyond traditional automotive operations. (Business Insider)

Market reaction reflected these mixed signals. While the stock initially rose after earnings, it later declined and remained under pressure, with recent trading around the mid-$370 range and noticeable volatility. (Robinhood)

Overall, Tesla’s stock performance this week reflects a transition phase: strong current profitability is being overshadowed by concerns about slowing core demand and the risks associated with aggressive long-term investments in AI, robotics, and autonomous technologies.

Tesla Summon got insanely good in FSD v14.3.2 — Navigation? Not so much

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.3.2 began rolling out to some owners earlier this week, and there are some notable improvements that came with this update.

(teslarati.com)

Tesla isn't joking about building Optimus at an industrial scale: Here we go

Tesla's Q1 2026 report confirms a 5.2 million square foot Optimus factory expansion at Gigafactory Texas, targeting 10 million robots per year, with Fremont's Model S and X lines converted to a 1 million unit pilot line. Public sales targeted for end of 2027 at $20,000 to $30,000.

(teslarati.com)
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NASDAQ:ADBE

Adobe Names Anil Chakravarthy as Next CEO as Shantanu Narayen Moves to Executive Chair

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) announced a major leadership transition, naming Anil Chakravarthy as its next president and CEO as the software giant positions itself for its next phase of growth in artificial intelligence.

Chakravarthy will take over as CEO and join Adobe’s board on December 1, 2026. Longtime CEO Shantanu Narayen will transition to executive chair and work with Chakravarthy during the leadership change.

Adobe Turns to an AI-Focused Insider

Chakravarthy currently leads Adobe’s Customer Experience Orchestration business and worldwide field operations. He joined Adobe in 2020 and has overseen products including Adobe CX Enterprise, GenStudio and Brand Visibility, while helping scale Adobe Experience Platform. He also played a role in the acquisitions and integrations of Workfront and Semrush.

The appointment signals continuity rather than a major strategic reset. Chakravarthy said his priorities include accelerating growth and strengthening Adobe’s position in “agentic software” across creativity, productivity and customer experience.

The leadership transition comes at an important point for Adobe as generative and agentic AI reshape the creative-software industry. Investors will now turn their attention to Adobe’s fiscal third-quarter earnings on September 10 for further indications of growth and AI monetization trends.
Adobe Expands Saudi AI Partnership With Over $4 Billion in Free Creative Tools

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) announced Monday an expanded partnership with Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT) and HUMAIN, providing millions of people across the Kingdom with access to its AI-powered creative tools.

Under the initiative, Adobe plans to give more than 27 million eligible Saudi citizens and residents aged 13 and older 12 months of free access to Adobe Firefly Standard and Adobe Express Premium features. Adobe values the commitment at more than $4 billion.

The partnership also includes a new AI image-generation model jointly developed by Adobe and HUMAIN using Adobe Firefly Foundry. The model will be tuned to Saudi culture and designed to generate culturally relevant imagery using Arabic-language prompts.

Adobe is also expanding Arabic support across its products. Adobe Express now offers Modern Standard Arabic right-to-left support across desktop, web and iOS, including typography, text editing and culturally tailored templates.

The initiative extends beyond consumers. Beginning in early 2027, eligible Saudi startups participating in MCIT-backed entrepreneurship programs will receive free access to selected Adobe tools, training and expertise. Adobe and MCIT also plan to provide AI and creative-skills training through Adobe Digital Academy.

The expanded agreement strengthens Adobe’s position in the growing generative AI market while giving the company large-scale exposure to Saudi Arabia’s rapidly developing AI and digital economy. It also deepens Adobe’s relationship with HUMAIN as Saudi Arabia invests heavily in AI infrastructure, locally relevant models and technology skills.
Adobe (ADBE) Stock Gains After HSBC Upgrades Shares to Buy

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) shares rose approximately 3.1% on Thursday after HSBC upgraded the software giant to Buy from Hold and raised its price target to $308 from $282.

The upgrade comes as Adobe continues to strengthen its position in generative AI, integrating AI-powered features across its Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud platforms. Investors have grown increasingly optimistic that these innovations will drive higher customer engagement and long-term revenue growth.

HSBC upgraded the stock and increased its price target, reflecting a more constructive outlook on Adobe's growth prospects. The analyst action helped reinforce positive sentiment toward the software company following its recent investments in AI-enabled products.

Adobe remains one of the leading software providers benefiting from the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence, as businesses and creative professionals increasingly incorporate AI tools into their workflows. The company also continues to generate strong recurring revenue through its subscription-based business model.

# Why ADBE Stock Rose

Several factors supported the stock:

* HSBC upgraded Adobe to Buy from Hold.
* The firm raised its price target to $308 from $282.
* Continued optimism surrounding generative AI and Adobe's expanding AI product portfolio has improved investor sentiment.
* The company's subscription-based business and leadership in creative software continue to support its long-term growth outlook.

The combination of a rating upgrade and growing confidence in Adobe's AI strategy helped lift the stock approximately 3.1% during Thursday's trading session.
Adobe Slides as Wave of Analyst Target Cuts Overshadows Strong Earnings

Adobe shares fell 6.8% despite reporting record quarterly revenue, raising its full-year outlook, and highlighting strong growth in its artificial intelligence business, as Wall Street analysts lowered their price targets following the earnings release.

Several major firms, including Mizuho, Baird, Piper Sandler, UBS, BMO Capital Markets, and Citigroup, reduced their targets on the stock, while JPMorgan cut its target from $420 to $340 despite maintaining an Overweight rating. Most analysts kept their existing ratings, suggesting confidence in Adobe's business but a more cautious view on valuation.

The company reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of $6.62 billion, up 13% year over year, while AI-first annual recurring revenue exceeded $500 million after more than tripling from a year earlier. Adobe also raised its fiscal 2026 revenue and earnings guidance, citing strong demand for its AI-powered products.

However, the analyst revisions indicate investors were expecting even stronger signs that Adobe can convert growing AI adoption into faster revenue growth. The target cuts suggest Wall Street believes the company's long-term fundamentals remain solid but that expectations for future growth and valuation have become more measured.

The stock's decline highlights the increasingly high bar facing large-cap software companies, where strong earnings and higher guidance are no longer enough if investors believe AI-driven growth could take longer to fully materialize.
Adobe Falls Despite Record Results as Investors Seek Stronger AI Monetization Signals

Adobe shares fell 6.8% on Friday despite the company reporting record fiscal second-quarter results and raising its full-year outlook, as investors appeared unconvinced that the software giant's strong AI momentum will translate into the level of growth needed to justify its premium valuation.

The company reported record revenue of $6.62 billion, up 13% year over year, while non-GAAP earnings per share climbed to $5.96. Adobe also raised its fiscal 2026 revenue forecast to $26.5-$26.6 billion and increased its full-year earnings outlook, reflecting continued demand for its AI-powered creative and productivity tools.

A bright spot was Adobe's AI business, with AI-first annual recurring revenue more than tripling from a year ago to exceed $500 million. The company highlighted strong adoption of generative AI products across creative professionals, marketers, and business users, suggesting that AI is becoming an increasingly important growth driver.

However, the market reaction suggests investors were looking for even stronger evidence that Adobe can fully capitalize on the rapidly expanding generative AI market. While growth remains healthy, some analysts believe investors expected larger AI revenue contributions and more aggressive guidance increases given the strong demand seen across the broader AI sector.

Investor sentiment may also have been affected by the announcement that Chief Financial Officer Dan Durn will leave the company later this month, introducing a degree of uncertainty during a critical period as Adobe continues its AI transformation.

The selloff highlights the high expectations facing large-cap software companies in 2026. Although Adobe delivered solid earnings, raised guidance, generated $2.17 billion in operating cash flow, and repurchased 8.5 million shares during the quarter, investors appear focused on whether the company can accelerate AI monetization fast enough to compete with the market's most favored artificial intelligence beneficiaries.

For now, Adobe remains fundamentally strong, but Friday's decline demonstrates that in the current market environment, simply beating expectations is often not enough—investors want clear signs of accelerating AI-driven growth.
Adobe Gains as Analyst Reiterates Rating, Signaling Stability After Recent Volatility

Adobe (ADBE) shares rose about 2% today, extending recent gains as investors responded positively to a fresh analyst update that reinforced confidence in the software company's outlook.

Piper Sandler reiterated its Neutral rating on Adobe and maintained a $280 price target, implying additional upside from current trading levels. While the firm did not upgrade the stock, the decision to maintain its target and rating suggests analysts continue to see value in Adobe despite ongoing concerns surrounding competition in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence software market.

Adobe has been under close scrutiny over the past year as investors evaluate the impact of generative AI on its creative software franchise. Some market participants have worried that new AI-powered tools could disrupt traditional content creation workflows. However, Adobe has responded aggressively by integrating AI capabilities across its product portfolio, including Photoshop, Illustrator, Acrobat and its Firefly AI platform.

Today's gain reflects growing investor confidence that Adobe remains well positioned to monetize artificial intelligence rather than be disrupted by it. The company continues to benefit from a large installed customer base, recurring subscription revenue and strong adoption of its creative and digital experience products.

While analysts remain somewhat cautious about the pace of future growth, the latest rating update suggests that Wall Street generally views Adobe's fundamentals as stable. Investors appear increasingly focused on the company's ability to leverage AI to enhance its products, improve customer retention and create new revenue opportunities.

As the software sector continues to navigate the AI transition, Adobe remains one of the industry's most closely watched companies. The stock's positive performance today indicates that investors are becoming more comfortable with the company's strategy and long-term competitive position.
Adobe Inc. announced it has completed the acquisition of Semrush Holdings, aiming to strengthen its customer experience (CX) capabilities and expand brand visibility solutions in the growing AI-driven digital landscape.

The deal integrates Semrush’s SEO and brand intelligence platform into Adobe’s CX Enterprise ecosystem, enhancing tools for search optimization, generative engine optimization, and AI-driven customer engagement. The move comes as businesses increasingly rely on AI agents and conversational interfaces for customer discovery and interaction.

Adobe said the acquisition will help marketers better manage brand visibility across both traditional search engines and emerging AI platforms, while delivering more personalized and scalable customer experiences.

Source: Adobe press release
IBM and Adobe announced an expanded collaboration to deliver AI-powered customer experience orchestration solutions, aimed at helping organizations better respond to evolving customer expectations. The initiative combines Adobe’s customer data and experience platforms with IBM’s agentic AI tools, including watsonx, to enable real-time, data-driven decision-making.

New research from IBM highlights the urgency of this approach, showing companies lose an average of $29 million annually due to slow response to customer needs, with many organizations failing to act effectively on available data.

The partnership introduces industry-specific solutions, initially targeting sectors such as airlines and healthcare, where AI-driven orchestration can improve personalization, streamline workflows, and enhance customer engagement.

IBM said the collaboration aims to bridge the gap between insight and action by integrating data, automation, and governance, enabling companies to deliver more connected and responsive customer experiences.
Adobe has partnered with DICK’S Sporting Goods to enhance customer engagement through AI-driven personalization across digital and in-store experiences. The collaboration aims to create a more tailored “athlete journey” by leveraging Adobe’s enterprise solutions and data platforms.

The initiative will introduce AI-powered “digital coaches” that provide personalized product recommendations, training guidance, and interactive experiences via DICK’S mobile app and other channels. It will also integrate customer data across touchpoints to deliver more relevant and timely content.

Additionally, the partnership focuses on scaling content production using generative AI tools, enabling DICK’S to create customized marketing materials more efficiently.

Adobe said the collaboration highlights the growing role of AI in delivering highly personalized retail experiences and strengthening customer loyalty.
San Jose, April 15, 2026 — Adobe unveiled new generative AI innovations in its Firefly platform, including the introduction of a Firefly AI Assistant designed to transform creative workflows.

The new assistant provides a unified conversational interface that allows users to describe desired outcomes, with the system automatically orchestrating complex, multi-step tasks across Adobe’s Creative Cloud applications such as Photoshop, Premiere, and Illustrator. The approach aims to streamline content creation while keeping users in control of creative direction.

Adobe also expanded Firefly’s capabilities with enhanced video and image editing tools, including improved audio quality, advanced color controls, and precision editing features. The platform now integrates more than 30 AI models from both Adobe and third-party providers, offering greater flexibility and customization.

The company said these updates position Firefly as a comprehensive AI-powered creative studio, enabling faster production of high-quality content and marking a shift toward more automated, “agentic” creativity.
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NASDAQ:META

Meta Expands WhatsApp Payments in India With New Bill-Pay Feature

Meta is expanding WhatsApp’s role in India’s digital payments market with the launch of a new feature allowing users to pay household and utility bills directly within the messaging app.

The service, powered by India’s Bharat Connect (BBPS) network, provides access to 22,722 billers across 30 categories, including electricity, gas, water, insurance, credit cards, FASTag and loan repayments.

Users can access the service through the ₹ icon in WhatsApp, view upcoming and previous bills, manage multiple accounts and make payments using UPI, debit cards or credit cards. The feature is being rolled out gradually to Android and iOS users across India.

WhatsApp Pushes Deeper Into India’s Digital Economy

The launch expands WhatsApp beyond messaging and commerce into another high-frequency financial activity. The platform already supports services in India such as mobile recharges, metro-ticket purchases and access to government services.

For Meta, integrating recurring payments could increase engagement with WhatsApp’s payments ecosystem and strengthen the app’s position as an everyday digital platform in one of its most important global markets.
Meta Stock Falls 9% Premarket Despite Strong Revenue Growth as Profit Margins Shrink on AI Spending

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) shares dropped 9% in premarket trading on Thursday after the social media giant reported second-quarter results that highlighted the growing cost of its aggressive artificial intelligence investments, overshadowing another quarter of strong revenue growth.

Revenue increased 28% year-over-year to $60.8 billion, driven by continued strength in digital advertising. Ad impressions rose 14%, while the average price per ad increased 12%. Family Daily Active People (DAP) reached 3.60 billion, up 3% from a year earlier, demonstrating continued user engagement across Meta's platforms.

## AI Investment Weighs on Profitability

Despite the robust top-line growth, investors focused on a sharp deterioration in profitability. Total costs and expenses surged 55% to $42.0 billion, reflecting massive AI infrastructure investments, $2.4 billion in legal-related charges and $1.18 billion in severance costs following the company's May workforce reduction.

As a result, operating income declined 8% to $18.8 billion, while operating margin contracted to 31% from 43% a year ago. Net income fell 14% to $15.8 billion, and diluted earnings per share decreased 13% to $6.18.

Meta also spent $31.1 billion on capital expenditures during the quarter and narrowed its full-year capital expenditure guidance to $130-145 billion, reinforcing expectations that AI infrastructure spending will remain elevated.

## Guidance Offers Limited Relief

For the third quarter, Meta expects revenue between $61 billion and $64 billion, while raising the lower end of its full-year expense guidance to $165-169 billion. The company maintained its expectation that full-year operating income will exceed 2025 levels, but investors appeared more concerned about the pace of spending than the revenue outlook.

## What to Watch

The sharp premarket decline suggests investors are becoming increasingly sensitive to profitability as large technology companies continue investing heavily in AI. Going forward, the market will closely monitor whether Meta can translate its record AI spending into stronger earnings growth while preserving operating margins.
Meta Beats Q1 Estimates, But Surging AI Capex Spooks Investors

Meta Platforms delivered a strong Q1 2026, yet shares slid after hours as Wall Street fixated on a massive spending hike.

Revenue climbed 33% year-over-year to $56.31 billion — the fastest growth since 2021 — beating estimates of $55.45 billion. Adjusted EPS came in at $7.31, topping the $6.79 consensus. Ad impressions jumped 19% year-over-year, while average price per ad rose 12%.

The trouble? AI spending. Meta raised its full-year 2026 capex guidance to $125–$145 billion, up from $115–$135 billion, citing higher component pricing and additional data center costs — and that single line item drove a ~6% after-hours decline.

META shares were trading at $613.00 in pre-market, down 8.39%.

Zuckerberg's AI investments have yet to produce new revenue streams but have strengthened the core advertising business. For now, markets want proof the bet will pay off (CNBC).
Meta Posts 33% Revenue Growth in Q1 2026, Hits $56.3 Billion

Meta Platforms reported first-quarter revenues of $56.3 billion, up 33% year over year, with operating income rising 30% to $22.9 billion at a 41% margin. Net income surged 61% to $26.8 billion, though results were boosted by an $8 billion one-time tax benefit. Daily active users across Meta's family of apps averaged 3.56 billion in March, up 4% from a year ago. Ad impressions grew 19% and average ad prices rose 12%. Capital expenditures reached $19.8 billion for the quarter, with full-year capex guidance raised to $125-145 billion, reflecting higher component costs and expanded data center investment. For Q2, Meta guided revenues of $58-61 billion.

Source: Meta Platforms, Inc. Press Release, April 29, 2026
Meta has signed a major agreement with Amazon Web Services to deploy AWS Graviton processors at scale, supporting its next-generation AI infrastructure. The rollout will begin with tens of millions of Graviton cores, with capacity expected to expand as demand grows.

The partnership reflects increasing demand for CPU-intensive workloads driven by “agentic AI,” including real-time reasoning, code generation, and multi-step task orchestration. While GPUs remain key for training models, Graviton chips are positioned to handle large-scale operational AI processes more efficiently.

The deal strengthens Meta’s long-standing relationship with AWS and supports its broader AI strategy, leveraging Amazon’s cloud infrastructure and services to manage billions of AI-driven interactions.
Business Wire

Get Smart: Is It Too Late to Invest in US Stocks?

It’s never about getting the perfect price. It’s about getting the business right — and staying invested long enough for it to matter.

(thesmartinvestor.com.sg)
Meta Platforms, Inc. and CBRE Group, Inc. announced the launch of “LevelUp,” a multi-year workforce development program aimed at training thousands of technicians to support data center construction across the United States.

Under the initiative, CBRE will establish training centers nationwide, beginning in summer 2026, to prepare workers in installing fiber-optic cables, network infrastructure, and other mission-critical equipment. Graduates will have opportunities to work on Meta’s data center projects through its contractor network.

The program targets the growing shortage of skilled fiber technicians, while creating new career pathways for high school graduates and individuals seeking to enter the skilled trades. It is designed to provide broadly applicable technical skills relevant across the data center and construction industries.

Meta highlighted that the initiative supports its expanding infrastructure footprint, with 27 data centers currently operational or under construction in the U.S., and reinforces its broader investment in workforce development tied to AI-driven infrastructure growth.
Business Wire
Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ: META) announced that the company's first quarter 2026 financial results will be released after market close on Wednesday, April 29th, 2026.
Corning and Meta Platforms announced the start of construction on a major optical cable manufacturing expansion in North Carolina to support growing demand for AI data center infrastructure.

The project is part of a multiyear agreement valued at up to $6 billion, under which Corning will supply advanced optical fiber and connectivity solutions for Meta’s data centers. Meta will serve as the anchor customer for the new facility, which is expected to strengthen domestic manufacturing capabilities and supply chains.

The expansion is also set to boost employment in the region, potentially increasing Corning’s workforce in North Carolina by up to 20%. Both companies highlighted the importance of high-performance connectivity in scaling AI infrastructure and maintaining U.S. leadership in advanced technologies.

The initiative underscores accelerating investment in data center capacity as demand for AI computing continues to grow.
Business Wire

Meta announces 4 new AI chips, raising competitive stakes with Nvidia, AMD

Meta has debuted four new AI chips. increasing competition with Nvidia and AMD.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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US Bonds

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US Stocks Rise as Treasury Bond-Market Support Eases Yield Pressure

U.S. stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as the Treasury Department’s expanded bond-buyback operations continued to support sentiment by easing pressure in the government debt market.

The S&P 500 was up 0.37% at 7,719.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.46% to 53,588.62. The Nasdaq Composite, however, slipped 0.05% to 26,277.81, giving back its earlier gains as technology stocks lagged the broader market.

Treasury Intervention Brings Relief to Bonds and Stocks

The main catalyst supporting risk sentiment was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s move to bolster liquidity in the Treasury market. The department said it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities, increasing operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion and targeting the 10- to 30-year portion of the curve.

Bond yields dropped sharply following the announcement. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell about 6 basis points to around 4.65%, while the 30-year yield declined roughly 9 basis points to around 5.20%. Treasury prices and yields move inversely.

The action has provided some relief after the recent surge in long-term borrowing costs became a major headwind for equities. The 30-year Treasury yield had climbed to around 5.34% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades, amid concerns over government borrowing, inflation, the U.S.-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices.

Dow Leads While Nasdaq Loses Momentum

The latest market action shows a divergence beneath the headline indexes. The Dow is now outperforming with a 0.46% gain, while the S&P 500 remains moderately higher. The Nasdaq has reversed its earlier advance and is trading slightly lower.

The reversal suggests that lower Treasury yields have not been enough to sustain the initial rebound in technology stocks. Growth and technology shares remain particularly sensitive to changes in long-term rates because higher yields reduce the present value of expected future earnings.

For the broader market, however, Treasury intervention has eased one of Wall Street’s most immediate concerns and helped stabilize financial conditions.

Investors will continue to monitor the Treasury market, oil prices and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes are also in focus for additional clues about the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and interest rates.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Iran Conflict, Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher and intensified concerns about inflation and interest rates, with technology stocks leading the decline.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3% to 26,301, underperforming the broader market. The S&P 500 declined 0.49% to 7,707, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% at 53,429.

The risk-off move comes as hopes for a lasting resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict fade. Iran has shifted toward a more offensive military posture after efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while Washington declined to extend the temporary ceasefire.

Oil and Bond Yields Add Pressure

Energy markets remain one of the main channels through which the conflict is affecting U.S. equities. Brent crude rose for a third consecutive session Tuesday, trading around $91 per barrel and reaching its highest level in nearly three weeks as continued restrictions around the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about global oil supplies.

Higher oil prices are feeding concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

Those concerns have spilled into the bond market. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed as high as 5.327%, its highest level since 2007, while the benchmark 10-year yield was also around 4.73%. The rise in long-term yields reflects a combination of inflation concerns related to the conflict and oil prices, alongside broader worries about U.S. borrowing and debt issuance.

The combination of higher energy prices and rising bond yields is particularly challenging for growth and technology stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq's sharper decline.

Latest U.S. Data Point to Softer Economic Momentum

Tuesday's economic releases added another layer of uncertainty.

U.S. housing starts dropped 12.4% month-over-month in July to an annualized 1.239 million units, well below expectations of 1.340 million and down sharply from 1.415 million previously.

Industrial production increased just 0.2% month-over-month in July, below the 0.3% forecast and previous reading. On a year-over-year basis, production growth slowed to 1.08% from 1.29%.

The labor market offered a somewhat stronger signal. Weekly ADP employment growth came in at 9,500 jobs, up from 8,300 previously.

Taken together, the data point to uneven economic momentum: employment continues to expand, but housing activity weakened sharply and industrial production grew more slowly than expected.

For Wall Street, however, geopolitics remains the dominant driver Tuesday. As long as the U.S.-Iran conflict keeps Brent crude elevated and pushes longer-term Treasury yields higher, pressure on equity valuations — particularly in the technology sector — is likely to remain a central market risk.
Inflation is increasingly in focus for the US bond market and the Fed, says Mike Mitchell, head of US Treasury and Inflation Trading at Goldman Sachs.

(goldmansachs.com)
U.S. 6-Month Treasury Bill Yield Falls to 3.830%

The U.S. Treasury's latest six-month bill auction produced a yield of 3.830%, down slightly from 3.855% at the previous auction.
U.S. Treasury Auction Yields Rise Ahead of Fed Decision as Investors Demand Higher Returns

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Monday after the Treasury’s latest debt auctions cleared at higher yields than the previous sales, reflecting investor caution ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and a busy slate of economic data.

The U.S. Treasury’s $69 billion 2-year note auction stopped at a high yield of 4.315%, up from 4.189% at the previous auction. Later in the day, the $70 billion 5-year note auction also cleared at a higher yield of 4.408%, compared with 4.200% previously.

The higher stop-out yields suggest investors demanded greater compensation to hold U.S. government debt, a sign that bond markets remain cautious about the outlook for interest rates and inflation. Treasury auctions are closely watched because they provide insight into investor demand for government securities and can influence borrowing costs across financial markets.

The auctions came just hours after softer-than-expected U.S. durable goods orders data, which pointed to moderating business investment but did little to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at this week’s policy meeting.

Higher Treasury yields can weigh on equity valuations, particularly in growth sectors such as technology, by increasing discount rates used to value future earnings.

With the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement, key inflation data, and earnings from several mega-cap technology companies all due later this week, investors are likely to remain focused on the bond market for further signals about the direction of monetary policy and the broader U.S. economy.
The U.S. Treasury's latest 10-year note auction attracted solid investor demand, with the high yield settling at 4.538%, modestly above the previous auction's 4.468% level.
The US 2-Year Treasury note auction cleared at 4.071%, significantly above the previous 3.812%.
The U.S. 10-year TIPS auction drew a yield of 2.169%, up from the previous 1.896%, indicating investors demanded higher real returns to hold inflation-protected government debt.
U.S. 30-year bond auction yield rose to 5.050%, up from the previous 4.876%.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury note auction came in weaker than the previous auction, due to today's inflation data.


High yield: 4.468%

Previous: 4.282%
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Germany

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German Factory Orders Rise 2.5% in July, Beating Expectations

German factory orders increased more than expected in July, providing another positive signal for Europe’s largest economy, although the headline gain was heavily influenced by large-scale transport equipment orders.

New manufacturing orders rose 2.5% month-over-month on a seasonally and calendar-adjusted basis. The result comfortably exceeded market expectations for a 0.3% increase. June’s growth was also revised higher to 3.7% from the initially reported 3.1%.
Eurozone Services Growth Holds in August as Italy Strength Offsets Weakness in France

Eurozone services activity continued to expand in August, although growth was slightly weaker than expected and performance across the region’s largest economies remained uneven.

The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI came in at 51.6, marginally below both the 51.7 consensus and the previous reading of 51.7. The Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services activity, stood at 52.0, matching the previous month but slightly missing expectations of 52.1. Both readings remained above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.

Italy delivered the strongest upside surprise among the major economies. Its Services PMI jumped to 55.2 from 52.5, comfortably beating expectations of 53.6 and pointing to a significant acceleration in activity.

Germany also performed better than expected, with its Services PMI at 49.7 compared with the 48.5 consensus. However, the reading remained below 50 and was little changed from July’s 49.8, indicating that Germany’s services sector continued to contract, albeit only marginally.

France remained a notable weak spot. Its Services PMI fell to 48.0 from 49.6, below expectations of 48.4 and signaling a deeper contraction. Spain remained the strongest major services economy despite some moderation, with its PMI at 57.8 versus 58.3 previously, although that was below the 59.0 forecast.

Overall, the data show a Eurozone economy still expanding but with significant divergence between member states. Strong growth in Italy and Spain is helping offset contraction in France and Germany, while the broadly stable regional PMI suggests that economic momentum remains positive but modest.
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Eurozone Inflation Jumps to 3.3% in August, Strengthening ECB Rate-Hike Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated sharply in August, increasing pressure on the European Central Bank as higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed into consumer prices.

Annual inflation rose to 3.3% from 2.9% in July, matching market expectations and moving further above the ECB’s 2% target. Energy was the main driver, with energy prices surging 14.3% year over year as crude oil and natural gas costs increased.

Underlying inflation offered a more encouraging signal. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, slightly below the 2.5% forecast. Services inflation also slowed to 3.0% from 3.3%, suggesting the energy shock has not yet developed into broad-based price pressure.

Meanwhile, the eurozone unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July, compared with expectations for 6.3%, indicating some softening in the labor market.

The inflation figures strengthen expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its September 10 meeting. Markets are increasingly expecting a 25-basis-point increase in the deposit rate to 2.50%, which would represent the ECB’s second rate hike this year.

The overall picture remains complicated for policymakers: headline inflation is accelerating because of the energy shock while core inflation and labor-market data are showing less pressure. This supports another near-term ECB hike but could make policymakers more cautious about committing to an extended tightening cycle.
German Manufacturing PMI Jumps to 54.3 as Industrial Recovery Accelerates

Germany’s manufacturing sector strengthened sharply in August, providing further evidence that the country’s long-struggling industrial economy is gaining momentum.

The HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.3 from 52.2 in July, exceeding the preliminary estimate and market forecast of 54.1. The reading marked a 51-month high and remained comfortably above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.
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German Retail Sales Plunge 3.4% in July, Far Below Expectations

German retail sales fell sharply in July, signaling renewed weakness in household consumption despite Germany’s broader economic recovery.

Retail sales declined 3.4% month over month in real terms, dramatically missing expectations for a 0.4% increase. June’s reading was revised to unchanged from the previous month.

The much weaker-than-expected report is generally negative for the euro and reinforces concerns about the sustainability of Germany’s economic recovery.
German Inflation Rises to 2.9% in August, Slightly Below Forecast

Germany’s annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.9% in August from 2.8% in July, but came in slightly below the 3.0% market forecast. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2%, below expectations for a 0.3% increase and sharply slower than July’s 0.8% gain.

The latest figures suggest that inflationary pressures are increasing, but not as rapidly as markets had feared.
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German Unemployment Rises by 4,000 in August

Germany’s unemployment increased by 4,000 in August, matching market expectations but improving from the previous month’s 6,000 increase.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4%, also in line with forecasts.

The figures suggest Germany’s labor market remains relatively stable despite weak economic momentum. The smaller increase in unemployment is mildly positive, but the persistently elevated 6.4% rate indicates that labor-market conditions remain soft rather than signaling a meaningful recovery.
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German Consumer Confidence Improves Sharply for September, Beating Forecasts

German consumer sentiment improved significantly heading into September, offering a positive signal for domestic demand in Europe’s largest economy.

The GfK/NIM Consumer Climate index rose to -26.6 for September from -29.4 previously. The reading was also considerably stronger than the -29.5 expected by economists.

Despite the improvement, confidence remains deeply negative, suggesting German households are still cautious about spending. Consumer sentiment has remained under pressure this year amid elevated prices, geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over the economic outlook.
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German Economy Beats Forecasts as GDP Growth and Business Sentiment Improve

Germany’s economy delivered stronger-than-expected signals on Tuesday, with second-quarter GDP growth and August business sentiment both exceeding forecasts.

German GDP expanded 0.3% quarter-over-quarter in Q2, above the 0.2% forecast but slightly below the previous 0.4% growth. On an annual basis, GDP grew 1.0%, beating expectations of 0.9% and accelerating from 0.7% previously.

Business indicators also strengthened. Germany’s Current Assessment index rose to 88.5 from 86.5, well above the 87.0 forecast, while Business Expectations climbed to 89.1 from 86.8, exceeding expectations of 87.5.

The combination of stronger GDP growth and improving business confidence suggests momentum in Europe’s largest economy is strengthening despite persistent global trade and industrial-sector uncertainties.
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Eurozone Manufacturing Accelerates as Services Remain in Expansion

Eurozone business activity remained positive in August, with manufacturing showing a notable improvement.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 from 51.9, beating the 51.8 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

The Services PMI held at 51.7, slightly above expectations of 51.5 and remaining comfortably above the 50 expansion threshold.

Overall, the data point to resilient Eurozone activity, with the manufacturing recovery gaining momentum while services continue to expand at a steady pace.
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