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etflix Stock Falls 4.4% as Wells Fargo Downgrades Shares to Underweight Netflix shares fell 4.4% to $71.97 after Wells Fargo

Netflix shares fell 4.4% to $71.97 after Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to Underweight from Neutral and cut its price target to $57 from...

09-18-26

MACOM Technology Stock Rises 4.5% as BMO Upgrades Shares to Outperform MACOM Technology Solutions shares rose 4.5% to $274.94 after

MACOM Technology Solutions shares rose 4.5% to $274.94 after BMO Capital Markets upgraded the stock to Outperform from Market Perform and set a $335...

09-18-26

Magna International Stock Falls 3.1% as BMO Cuts Rating to Market Perform Magna International shares fell 3.1% to $62.82 after

Magna International shares fell 3.1% to $62.82 after BMO Capital Markets cut its rating on the auto supplier to Market Perform from Outperform and...

09-18-26

Cognizant Stock Falls 2.4% as TD Cowen Reiterates Hold Rating Cognizant Technology Solutions shares fell 2.4% to $60.37 after TD

Cognizant Technology Solutions shares fell 2.4% to $60.37 after TD Cowen reiterated its Hold rating with a $54 price target. The target sits below...

09-18-26

Accenture Stock Falls 3.4% as Guggenheim Downgrades Shares to Neutral Accenture shares fell 3.4% to $183.84 after Guggenheim downgraded the

Accenture shares fell 3.4% to $183.84 after Guggenheim downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy. The downgrade added pressure to a stock already facing...

09-18-26

U.S. Stocks Slip as Weak Industrial Data and Higher Yields Offset Fed-Driven Optimism U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Friday as

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Friday as investors weighed softer economic data against lingering confidence in the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance. The S&P 500...

09-18-26

Zscaler Stock Rises 3.1%, Extends Gains Premarket as Bernstein Raises Target to $298 Zscaler shares closed Thursday at $197.47, up

Zscaler shares closed Thursday at $197.47, up 3.07%, and were trading another 0.67% higher at $198.80 in Friday premarket trading. The move came as...

09-18-26

Phillips 66 Stock Rises 3.6% as BMO Raises Price Target to $310 Phillips 66 shares rose 3.6% to $274.21 after

Phillips 66 shares rose 3.6% to $274.21 after BMO Capital Markets raised its price target on the refining and energy infrastructure company to $310...

09-18-26

Charles River Laboratories Stock Rises 3%, Extends Gains Premarket After Argus Sets $330 Target Charles River Laboratories shares closed Thursday

shares closed Thursday at $281.67, up 3.02%, and were trading another 1.48% higher at $285.83 in Friday premarket trading. The move...

09-18-26

Circle Stock Rose 5.8% Thursday, Extends Gains in Premarket Trading Circle Internet Group shares closed Thursday at $85.09, up 5.77%,

Circle Internet Group shares closed Thursday at $85.09, up 5.77%, and were trading another 3.34% higher at $87.92 in Friday premarket trading. The Thursday...

09-18-26

Gold and Bitcoin Rise as Investors Seek Safety and Risk Exposure After Fed Decision Gold and Bitcoin moved higher Friday,

moved higher Friday, with both assets benefiting from shifting expectations around inflation, interest rates and broader market risk sentiment. December gold...

09-18-26

Brent Crude Falls Below $100 as Saudi Supply Concerns Ease Brent crude futures fell 1.37% to around $98.56 a barrel

Brent crude futures fell 1.37% to around $98.56 a barrel Friday morning, extending a multi-session decline as fears of an immediate Saudi supply disruption...

09-18-26

US Bonds

Treasury Yields Are Climbing. Can Stocks Hold Their Ground?

Rising Treasury yields, persistent inflation, and weakening small caps put pressure on stocks. Here's what investors should watch next.

(articles.stockcharts.com)
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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 5% as Inflation and Oil Keep Bond Markets Under Pressure

U.S. Treasury yields remained near multi-year highs Friday, with the benchmark 10-year yield trading around 4.94%, just below the psychologically important 5% level. The yield briefly reached about 4.97% earlier as a global bond selloff continued.

The sharp rise in yields has been driven by renewed inflation concerns and expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% in August and 5.4% year-over-year, while the surge in oil prices above $100 a barrel has increased concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike. (Reuters)

Pressure has also emerged from the supply side of the Treasury market. The government bought back $5.2 billion of longer-dated bonds in its latest operation, below the $6 billion maximum and well below the $10.5 billion offered by investors. Concerns about heavy government borrowing are adding to the premium investors demand for holding longer-term debt. (Reuters)

Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading could push the 10-year yield through 5%, while softer inflation could provide some relief to the bond market ahead of the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.

Graph: cnbc*com
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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges Above 4.92% as Oil and Inflation Revive Rate-Hike Fears

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922% on Thursday, rising about 8 basis points and reaching its highest level since 2023 as escalating Middle East tensions, surging oil prices and persistent U.S. inflation fueled a sharp bond-market selloff.

Geopolitical developments remain a major driver. The U.S.-Iran conflict has severely disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea, while attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure have intensified supply concerns.

The resulting oil rally is feeding directly into inflation expectations. Brent crude has climbed above $104 a barrel, while WTI briefly crossed $100 on Thursday. Higher energy costs raise the risk that inflation remains elevated, reducing the likelihood that the Federal Reserve can ease monetary policy and increasing the possibility of another rate hike.

Thursday’s macro data reinforced those concerns. U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% month over month in August, while annual PPI accelerated to 5.4% from 4.8%, slightly exceeding the 5.3% forecast. Traders subsequently raised the probability of at least a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike next week to nearly 70%. (Reuters)

The 10-year yield has now risen sharply from around 4.75% over the past five sessions. With oil prices elevated and Friday’s U.S. CPI report still ahead, the 5% level is increasingly coming into focus as the next major threshold for the Treasury market.

Apple event live updates: First foldable, the iPhone Duo, iPhone 18 Pro, watches, and more

Apple is hosting its annual fall event at its Cupertino, Calif., headquarters.

(finance.yahoo.com)
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Auction Yield Jumps to 4.834% as Oil Fuels Inflation Concerns

The U.S. Treasury’s 10-year note auction cleared at 4.834% on Wednesday, sharply above the 4.683% yield at the previous auction, reflecting the broader rise in long-term U.S. borrowing costs.
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US Stocks Rise as Treasury Bond-Market Support Eases Yield Pressure

U.S. stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as the Treasury Department’s expanded bond-buyback operations continued to support sentiment by easing pressure in the government debt market.

The S&P 500 was up 0.37% at 7,719.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.46% to 53,588.62. The Nasdaq Composite, however, slipped 0.05% to 26,277.81, giving back its earlier gains as technology stocks lagged the broader market.

Treasury Intervention Brings Relief to Bonds and Stocks

The main catalyst supporting risk sentiment was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s move to bolster liquidity in the Treasury market. The department said it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities, increasing operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion and targeting the 10- to 30-year portion of the curve.

Bond yields dropped sharply following the announcement. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell about 6 basis points to around 4.65%, while the 30-year yield declined roughly 9 basis points to around 5.20%. Treasury prices and yields move inversely.

The action has provided some relief after the recent surge in long-term borrowing costs became a major headwind for equities. The 30-year Treasury yield had climbed to around 5.34% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades, amid concerns over government borrowing, inflation, the U.S.-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices.

Dow Leads While Nasdaq Loses Momentum

The latest market action shows a divergence beneath the headline indexes. The Dow is now outperforming with a 0.46% gain, while the S&P 500 remains moderately higher. The Nasdaq has reversed its earlier advance and is trading slightly lower.

The reversal suggests that lower Treasury yields have not been enough to sustain the initial rebound in technology stocks. Growth and technology shares remain particularly sensitive to changes in long-term rates because higher yields reduce the present value of expected future earnings.

For the broader market, however, Treasury intervention has eased one of Wall Street’s most immediate concerns and helped stabilize financial conditions.

Investors will continue to monitor the Treasury market, oil prices and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes are also in focus for additional clues about the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and interest rates.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Iran Conflict, Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher and intensified concerns about inflation and interest rates, with technology stocks leading the decline.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3% to 26,301, underperforming the broader market. The S&P 500 declined 0.49% to 7,707, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% at 53,429.

The risk-off move comes as hopes for a lasting resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict fade. Iran has shifted toward a more offensive military posture after efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while Washington declined to extend the temporary ceasefire.

Oil and Bond Yields Add Pressure

Energy markets remain one of the main channels through which the conflict is affecting U.S. equities. Brent crude rose for a third consecutive session Tuesday, trading around $91 per barrel and reaching its highest level in nearly three weeks as continued restrictions around the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about global oil supplies.

Higher oil prices are feeding concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

Those concerns have spilled into the bond market. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed as high as 5.327%, its highest level since 2007, while the benchmark 10-year yield was also around 4.73%. The rise in long-term yields reflects a combination of inflation concerns related to the conflict and oil prices, alongside broader worries about U.S. borrowing and debt issuance.

The combination of higher energy prices and rising bond yields is particularly challenging for growth and technology stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq's sharper decline.

Latest U.S. Data Point to Softer Economic Momentum

Tuesday's economic releases added another layer of uncertainty.

U.S. housing starts dropped 12.4% month-over-month in July to an annualized 1.239 million units, well below expectations of 1.340 million and down sharply from 1.415 million previously.

Industrial production increased just 0.2% month-over-month in July, below the 0.3% forecast and previous reading. On a year-over-year basis, production growth slowed to 1.08% from 1.29%.

The labor market offered a somewhat stronger signal. Weekly ADP employment growth came in at 9,500 jobs, up from 8,300 previously.

Taken together, the data point to uneven economic momentum: employment continues to expand, but housing activity weakened sharply and industrial production grew more slowly than expected.

For Wall Street, however, geopolitics remains the dominant driver Tuesday. As long as the U.S.-Iran conflict keeps Brent crude elevated and pushes longer-term Treasury yields higher, pressure on equity valuations — particularly in the technology sector — is likely to remain a central market risk.
Inflation is increasingly in focus for the US bond market and the Fed, says Mike Mitchell, head of US Treasury and Inflation Trading at Goldman Sachs.

(goldmansachs.com)
U.S. 6-Month Treasury Bill Yield Falls to 3.830%

The U.S. Treasury's latest six-month bill auction produced a yield of 3.830%, down slightly from 3.855% at the previous auction.
U.S. Treasury Auction Yields Rise Ahead of Fed Decision as Investors Demand Higher Returns

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Monday after the Treasury’s latest debt auctions cleared at higher yields than the previous sales, reflecting investor caution ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and a busy slate of economic data.

The U.S. Treasury’s $69 billion 2-year note auction stopped at a high yield of 4.315%, up from 4.189% at the previous auction. Later in the day, the $70 billion 5-year note auction also cleared at a higher yield of 4.408%, compared with 4.200% previously.

The higher stop-out yields suggest investors demanded greater compensation to hold U.S. government debt, a sign that bond markets remain cautious about the outlook for interest rates and inflation. Treasury auctions are closely watched because they provide insight into investor demand for government securities and can influence borrowing costs across financial markets.

The auctions came just hours after softer-than-expected U.S. durable goods orders data, which pointed to moderating business investment but did little to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at this week’s policy meeting.

Higher Treasury yields can weigh on equity valuations, particularly in growth sectors such as technology, by increasing discount rates used to value future earnings.

With the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement, key inflation data, and earnings from several mega-cap technology companies all due later this week, investors are likely to remain focused on the bond market for further signals about the direction of monetary policy and the broader U.S. economy.
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S&P 500

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U.S. Stocks Slip as Weak Industrial Data and Higher Yields Offset Fed-Driven Optimism

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Friday as investors weighed softer economic data against lingering confidence in the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance.

The S&P 500 fell 0.20% to 7,622.67, while the Dow Jones declined 0.34% to 51,602.07. The Nasdaq was down 0.13% at 26,383.07, giving back part of its earlier gains.

The session followed Thursday’s rally, when falling oil prices and lower long-term Treasury yields helped investors respond positively to the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate increase. The central bank raised its benchmark range to 3.75%–4.00%, and Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high, reinforcing confidence that the Fed is prepared to act against persistent price pressures.

Friday’s economic data were less supportive. U.S. industrial production was unchanged in August, missing expectations for a 0.3% increase, while manufacturing output fell 0.3% after seven consecutive monthly gains. The U.S. Leading Index also declined 0.1%, pointing to some moderation in near-term economic momentum.

At the same time, Treasury yields remained an important headwind. The 10-year yield has recently traded near 5%, keeping pressure on equity valuations, particularly in growth-sensitive sectors. Brent crude’s retreat below $100 has helped ease some inflation concerns, but investors remain focused on whether the Fed will deliver another rate increase later this year.

For now, Wall Street appears caught between confidence in the Fed’s inflation response and concern that tighter monetary policy, high yields and slowing industrial momentum could weigh on growth.
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U.S. Stocks Rally as Technology Leads Broad Market Gains

U.S. stocks traded firmly higher Thursday, with the S&P 500 up 1.09% as investors extended the positive reaction to the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision.

Technology led the advance, with the S&P 500 Information Technology sector rising 2.10%. Consumer Discretionary gained 1.63%, while Utilities, Materials and Real Estate also posted solid gains.

The broad participation suggests investors were not only buying growth stocks but also rotating into rate-sensitive sectors. The market’s strength comes after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 4.00% on Wednesday, a move that appears to have increased confidence that policymakers are taking inflation risks seriously while avoiding a more aggressive tightening step.

Most sectors were higher, with Health Care up 0.47%, Industrials up 0.40%, Communication Services up 0.25% and Financials up 0.16%. Energy was nearly flat, while Consumer Staples was the only sector in negative territory, down 0.21%.

The strong performance in technology and discretionary shares indicates improving risk appetite, while gains in utilities and real estate suggest investors are also responding positively to the broader interest-rate outlook.
U.S. Stocks Rally as Fed Rate Hike Boosts Confidence in Inflation Fight

U.S. stocks opened sharply higher Thursday, with investors responding positively to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision and signs that policymakers remain committed to bringing inflation under control.

The S&P 500 rose 0.93% to 7,621.95, while the Dow Jones gained 0.52% to 51,730.65. The Nasdaq led the advance, climbing 1.28% to 26,312.06 as technology shares attracted renewed buying.

The gains followed Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%–4.00% range. Although the move was widely expected, the unanimous decision under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh appeared to strengthen investor confidence that the central bank is prepared to address persistent inflation pressures.

Sentiment was also supported by a pullback in oil prices, easing some concerns that high energy costs could add further inflation pressure. Reuters reported that U.S. stock futures had already moved higher before the opening bell as lower crude prices reinforced the positive reaction to the Fed decision.

Still, the Fed maintained a hawkish stance, with most policymakers indicating that another rate increase could be appropriate before the end of the year. For now, however, markets appear to be focusing on the credibility of the Fed’s inflation response.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Tech Gains Offset Fed Rate Concerns After Strong Retail Sales

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher Wednesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.37% to 7,613.62 and the Nasdaq gaining 0.69% to 26,160.05. The Dow Jones was nearly flat, slipping 0.08% to 52,048.87, as technology stocks led the market higher ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision.

Fresh economic data showed that U.S. consumers remain surprisingly resilient. Retail sales jumped 1.2% month over month in August, beating the 0.8% forecast and reversing July’s 0.5% decline. Core retail sales were even stronger, rising 1.4% versus the 0.6% expected. The data adds to evidence that the U.S. economy continues to carry solid momentum.

The strength of consumer spending also complicates the interest-rate outlook. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points later Wednesday, as policymakers confront persistent inflation and the inflationary impact of higher energy prices. The 10-year Treasury yield, which recently crossed 5% and reached its highest level since 2007, eased to around 4.97%, providing some relief for growth and technology stocks.

Oil prices also pulled back after their recent surge, with Brent falling around 1.5% today.

Investors are now focused on the Fed decision and Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments for clues on whether an expected rate increase represents a one-time response to renewed inflation pressures or the beginning of a broader tightening cycle.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Fuels Fed Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as surging Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions outweighed signs of continued job creation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.58% and the S&P 500 lost 0.44%. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 as investors prepared for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

Economic data offered a mixed picture. Weekly ADP employment growth accelerated to 16,300 from 12,000, suggesting the labor market continues to add jobs. However, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 7.6 in September from 20.6, well below the 14.8 forecast.

Geopolitical risks remain another major headwind. Oil prices have stayed above $100 as renewed attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and Saudi Arabia increased concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. Higher energy prices are reinforcing inflation fears.

With bond yields around 5% increasing the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets and putting pressure on equity valuations, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision and its guidance on whether additional rate hikes could follow.
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S&P 500 Slips as Tech and Industrials Weigh, Communication Services Leads

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Monday afternoon, with the S&P 500 down 0.24% at 7,638.81 around 1:43 p.m. EDT, as weakness in technology and industrial shares offset strong gains in communication services and health care.

The session showed a sharp divergence across sectors. Communication Services led the S&P 500 with a 2.77% gain, followed by Health Care at 1.39% and Consumer Staples at 1.33%. At the other end, Industrials fell 1.54%, Utilities dropped 1.12%, and Information Technology declined 1.08%.

Technology remained under pressure after calls from leading AI executives to slow development of the most advanced AI models raised questions about the pace of AI infrastructure investment. Semiconductor stocks were particularly exposed, while some large software and internet companies benefited from a rotation within technology-related shares.

Broader sentiment was also pressured by elevated oil prices and Treasury yields. Brent crude traded above $108 following additional Middle East supply disruptions, while the 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached 5%, intensifying inflation concerns. Markets are now pricing a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this week following hotter U.S. inflation data.

Despite these pressures, the S&P 500 had recovered substantially from its intraday lows by early afternoon, suggesting that strength in defensive sectors and selected mega-cap stocks was helping limit the broader market decline.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Surge, Inflation Fears and AI Selloff Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower on Monday as a renewed surge in oil prices intensified inflation concerns while a selloff in artificial intelligence stocks weighed heavily on the technology sector.

The S&P 500 fell 0.49% to 7,619.13, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.23% to 52,454.22. The tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed, dropping 0.73% to 26,140.28.

Brent crude jumped more than 4% to around $109 a barrel, adding to concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer. Those worries are particularly important ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of another rate increase after recent inflation data.

Technology shares faced an additional headwind from a reassessment of the AI boom. AI-linked stocks came under pressure after leading industry executives called for slowing the development of increasingly powerful AI models over safety concerns. Nvidia and several semiconductor stocks fell, helping explain the Nasdaq’s sharper decline.

The combination of higher oil prices, renewed inflation risks and uncertainty over the pace of AI investment is putting pressure on equity valuations, particularly high-growth technology stocks.

Treasury Yields Are Climbing. Can Stocks Hold Their Ground?

Rising Treasury yields, persistent inflation, and weakening small caps put pressure on stocks. Here's what investors should watch next.

(articles.stockcharts.com)
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S&P 500 Rises Nearly 1% as Oil Retreat and Tech Rally Lift Wall Street

U.S. stocks rallied Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.96% to 7,664.52 in afternoon trading as a pullback in oil prices and strength across technology-related sectors helped Wall Street rebound from Thursday’s decline.

Communication services led the S&P 500 with a 1.48% gain, followed by information technology at 1.37%, industrials at 1.13% and consumer discretionary at 1.11%. Ten of the 11 major sectors were higher, while health care fell 0.26% and utilities slipped 0.12%.

Investors were also digesting August inflation data. Headline CPI increased 0.4% month over month and 3.4% from a year earlier, both matching expectations. Core CPI rose a hotter-than-expected 0.3% monthly, strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates next week. Market-implied odds of a quarter-point hike climbed to nearly 90%. (Reuters)

Technology shares benefited from renewed optimism around AI infrastructure following Oracle’s earnings. Meanwhile, Brent crude retreated about 3% to around $104 a barrel after approaching $110 earlier, providing some relief from the inflation concerns that pressured equities and pushed Treasury yields sharply higher earlier in the week.
U.S. Stock Futures Jump After CPI Data as Oracle Rally and Oil Pullback Lift Sentiment

U.S. stock futures moved sharply higher Friday after August inflation data came broadly in line with expectations, while a pullback in oil prices and strong Oracle earnings helped improve sentiment. S&P 500 futures rose 0.92%, Dow futures gained 0.94%, and Nasdaq futures advanced 1.06%.

Headline CPI increased 0.4% month-over-month in August, matching expectations but accelerating from 0.1% in July. Annual inflation held at 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4% from 2.5%. The mixed report leaves inflation concerns alive ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, particularly after Thursday’s hotter producer-price data.

Energy markets provided some relief. Brent crude fell about 3% to around $104 a barrel after briefly approaching $110, although it remains up strongly for the week. Reports of diplomatic efforts to establish temporary shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz helped cool prices. However, geopolitical risks remain elevated as the U.S.-Iran conflict and attacks on regional shipping continue to restrict oil flows.

Technology stocks were also supported by Oracle, which jumped about 6% in premarket trading after reporting a 30% increase in Q1 revenue to $19.3 billion. Cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% to $7.4 billion, while remaining performance obligations reached $664 billion amid strong AI demand.

Despite the equity rebound, bond yields remain a key risk. The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.94%, leaving markets sensitive to inflation, oil prices and changing expectations for the Fed’s September decision.
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US

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U.S. Stocks Slip as Weak Industrial Data and Higher Yields Offset Fed-Driven Optimism

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Friday as investors weighed softer economic data against lingering confidence in the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance.

The S&P 500 fell 0.20% to 7,622.67, while the Dow Jones declined 0.34% to 51,602.07. The Nasdaq was down 0.13% at 26,383.07, giving back part of its earlier gains.

The session followed Thursday’s rally, when falling oil prices and lower long-term Treasury yields helped investors respond positively to the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate increase. The central bank raised its benchmark range to 3.75%–4.00%, and Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high, reinforcing confidence that the Fed is prepared to act against persistent price pressures.

Friday’s economic data were less supportive. U.S. industrial production was unchanged in August, missing expectations for a 0.3% increase, while manufacturing output fell 0.3% after seven consecutive monthly gains. The U.S. Leading Index also declined 0.1%, pointing to some moderation in near-term economic momentum.

At the same time, Treasury yields remained an important headwind. The 10-year yield has recently traded near 5%, keeping pressure on equity valuations, particularly in growth-sensitive sectors. Brent crude’s retreat below $100 has helped ease some inflation concerns, but investors remain focused on whether the Fed will deliver another rate increase later this year.

For now, Wall Street appears caught between confidence in the Fed’s inflation response and concern that tighter monetary policy, high yields and slowing industrial momentum could weigh on growth.
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U.S. Pending Home Sales Rise 0.3% in August as GDPNow Holds at 5.1%

U.S. pending home sales rose 0.3% month over month in August, beating expectations for a 0.2% decline and rebounding from a 2.6% drop in the previous month.

The stronger reading suggests some stabilization in housing demand despite elevated mortgage rates and ongoing affordability pressures. Pending home sales track signed contracts and are often viewed as a leading indicator for future existing-home sales.

Separately, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model kept its estimate for third-quarter U.S. economic growth unchanged at 5.1%.

Together, the data point to continued resilience in the U.S. economy. Housing demand showed a modest improvement, while the GDPNow estimate continued to signal strong overall growth momentum in the third quarter.
U.S. Stocks Rally as Fed Rate Hike Boosts Confidence in Inflation Fight

U.S. stocks opened sharply higher Thursday, with investors responding positively to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision and signs that policymakers remain committed to bringing inflation under control.

The S&P 500 rose 0.93% to 7,621.95, while the Dow Jones gained 0.52% to 51,730.65. The Nasdaq led the advance, climbing 1.28% to 26,312.06 as technology shares attracted renewed buying.

The gains followed Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%–4.00% range. Although the move was widely expected, the unanimous decision under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh appeared to strengthen investor confidence that the central bank is prepared to address persistent inflation pressures.

Sentiment was also supported by a pullback in oil prices, easing some concerns that high energy costs could add further inflation pressure. Reuters reported that U.S. stock futures had already moved higher before the opening bell as lower crude prices reinforced the positive reaction to the Fed decision.

Still, the Fed maintained a hawkish stance, with most policymakers indicating that another rate increase could be appropriate before the end of the year. For now, however, markets appear to be focusing on the credibility of the Fed’s inflation response.
U.S. Housing Starts Fall in August While Philadelphia Manufacturing Beats Forecast

U.S. housing activity weakened in August, with housing starts falling 2.6% month over month to an annualized 1.275 million units. The headline figure came below the 1.320 million market forecast, pointing to continued pressure on residential construction.

Building permits, a forward-looking indicator for future construction, came in at 1.394 million, slightly below expectations of 1.400 million.

At the same time, manufacturing data were stronger. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index registered 37.8 in September, beating the 31.3 consensus estimate, although it slowed from 47.4 previously.

The data present a mixed picture for the U.S. economy: housing remains under pressure from elevated borrowing costs and affordability constraints, while regional manufacturing activity continues to show relatively strong expansion.
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall Below Forecast as Labor Market Remains Resilient

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 196,000 in the latest week, below the 207,000 market forecast and down from 206,000 previously, pointing to continued strength in the labor market.

Continuing claims also declined to 1.730 million, compared with expectations for 1.780 million and a previous reading of 1.769 million. The drop suggests fewer workers remained on unemployment benefits than economists had anticipated.

However, regional employment data showed some cooling. The Philadelphia Fed Employment Index fell to 11.8 in September from 27.9 previously, indicating that hiring momentum in the region slowed despite remaining in positive territory.

Overall, the claims data suggest layoffs remain relatively limited, while the weaker Philadelphia Fed employment reading points to some moderation in labor demand. The combination could reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to watch labor-market conditions closely after its latest rate increase.
Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates to 4.00%

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.00% on Wednesday, matching market expectations and reversing the previous 3.75% rate level.

The increase comes as the Fed confronts renewed inflation pressures, with policymakers balancing persistent price risks against the potential impact of tighter financial conditions on economic growth.

The widely expected move shifts investor attention to the Fed’s policy statement and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for clues about the path ahead.

Markets will be particularly focused on whether Warsh signals that additional rate increases may be needed or suggests that policy could remain at 4.00% while officials assess incoming inflation and labor-market data. Warsh is scheduled to hold the post-meeting press conference following today’s FOMC decision.

The decision also puts Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar and rate-sensitive equity sectors in focus as investors reassess expectations for monetary policy through the remainder of 2026.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Tech Gains Offset Fed Rate Concerns After Strong Retail Sales

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher Wednesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.37% to 7,613.62 and the Nasdaq gaining 0.69% to 26,160.05. The Dow Jones was nearly flat, slipping 0.08% to 52,048.87, as technology stocks led the market higher ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision.

Fresh economic data showed that U.S. consumers remain surprisingly resilient. Retail sales jumped 1.2% month over month in August, beating the 0.8% forecast and reversing July’s 0.5% decline. Core retail sales were even stronger, rising 1.4% versus the 0.6% expected. The data adds to evidence that the U.S. economy continues to carry solid momentum.

The strength of consumer spending also complicates the interest-rate outlook. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points later Wednesday, as policymakers confront persistent inflation and the inflationary impact of higher energy prices. The 10-year Treasury yield, which recently crossed 5% and reached its highest level since 2007, eased to around 4.97%, providing some relief for growth and technology stocks.

Oil prices also pulled back after their recent surge, with Brent falling around 1.5% today.

Investors are now focused on the Fed decision and Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments for clues on whether an expected rate increase represents a one-time response to renewed inflation pressures or the beginning of a broader tightening cycle.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Fuels Fed Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as surging Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions outweighed signs of continued job creation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.58% and the S&P 500 lost 0.44%. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 as investors prepared for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

Economic data offered a mixed picture. Weekly ADP employment growth accelerated to 16,300 from 12,000, suggesting the labor market continues to add jobs. However, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 7.6 in September from 20.6, well below the 14.8 forecast.

Geopolitical risks remain another major headwind. Oil prices have stayed above $100 as renewed attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and Saudi Arabia increased concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. Higher energy prices are reinforcing inflation fears.

With bond yields around 5% increasing the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets and putting pressure on equity valuations, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision and its guidance on whether additional rate hikes could follow.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Surge, Inflation Fears and AI Selloff Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower on Monday as a renewed surge in oil prices intensified inflation concerns while a selloff in artificial intelligence stocks weighed heavily on the technology sector.

The S&P 500 fell 0.49% to 7,619.13, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.23% to 52,454.22. The tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed, dropping 0.73% to 26,140.28.

Brent crude jumped more than 4% to around $109 a barrel, adding to concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer. Those worries are particularly important ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of another rate increase after recent inflation data.

Technology shares faced an additional headwind from a reassessment of the AI boom. AI-linked stocks came under pressure after leading industry executives called for slowing the development of increasingly powerful AI models over safety concerns. Nvidia and several semiconductor stocks fell, helping explain the Nasdaq’s sharper decline.

The combination of higher oil prices, renewed inflation risks and uncertainty over the pace of AI investment is putting pressure on equity valuations, particularly high-growth technology stocks.

Fed rate hike odds surge to 90% on monthly jump in core prices

Markets are now betting on a 90% chance of a rate hike at Wednesday's Fed policy meeting.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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Japan

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Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rate to 1.25% as Inflation Cools

The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate to 1.25% from 1.00% on Friday, matching market expectations and continuing the gradual normalization of monetary policy.

The rate increase came even as Japan’s latest inflation data showed some moderation. National core CPI rose 1.7% year over year in August, slightly below the 1.8% forecast and down from 1.8% previously.

Headline consumer prices increased just 0.1% month over month, slowing sharply from the 0.5% increase recorded in the previous month.

The combination highlights the balancing act facing the BOJ. Inflation pressures are easing, but policymakers are still moving borrowing costs higher as they continue to unwind years of ultra-loose monetary policy. Investor attention will now turn to the BOJ’s guidance for clues on whether further rate increases are likely in the coming months.
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Japan’s Trade Deficit Widens in August Despite Stronger-Than-Expected Exports

Japan recorded a trade deficit of ¥1.106 trillion in August, wider than the ¥1.053 trillion deficit expected by economists and significantly larger than the previous ¥638.3 billion shortfall.

Exports rose 19.3% year over year, beating expectations for an 18.2% increase, although growth slowed from 23.2% in the previous month. The figures suggest overseas demand remained relatively strong but was not enough to prevent the headline trade balance from deteriorating.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the trade deficit came in at ¥840 billion, better than the ¥1.0 trillion deficit forecast but wider than the previous ¥680 billion.

Overall, the report sends a mixed signal for Japan’s economy: export growth remained stronger than expected, while the widening trade deficit points to continued pressure from the country’s import bill.
Japan Industrial Production Falls 0.2% in July, Missing Expectations

Japan’s industrial production declined 0.2% month over month in July, coming in below market expectations for a 0.1% increase.

The decline marked a sharp slowdown from the previous month’s 1.9% expansion, pointing to weaker momentum in Japan’s manufacturing sector at the start of the third quarter.
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Japan’s Large Manufacturers Turn More Optimistic as BSI Jumps to 7.6

Business sentiment among Japan’s large manufacturers improved sharply in the third quarter, signaling stronger confidence in the outlook for the industrial sector.

The BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions index climbed to 7.6 in Q3, well above the 2.5 forecast and reversing the previous quarter’s -1.8 reading.

The move back into positive territory indicates that significantly more large manufacturers reported improving business conditions than deteriorating ones. The stronger-than-expected reading suggests corporate sentiment has recovered despite uncertainty surrounding global trade, external demand and input costs.
Japan’s Q2 GDP Grows 0.4%, Beating Expectations

Japan’s economy expanded slightly more than expected in the second quarter, while a key measure of domestic price pressures showed inflation moderating.

GDP grew 0.4% quarter over quarter in Q2, beating expectations for a 0.3% increase. Growth nevertheless slowed from 0.5% in the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, Japan’s GDP Price Index increased 2.6% year over year, matching forecasts but slowing from the previous 3.2% increase. The decline indicates that economy-wide price pressures moderated during the quarter.

The figures present a relatively positive growth picture, with Japan’s economy outperforming expectations despite the slowdown from Q1. However, easing price growth could complicate the Bank of Japan’s assessment of how quickly it should continue normalizing monetary policy.

Investors will be watching upcoming wage, inflation and consumption data for further clues on the strength of Japan’s economy and the Bank of Japan’s next policy move.
Japan’s Leading and Coincident Indicators Rise 1.7% in July

Japan’s latest economic indicators pointed to improving momentum in July, with both the Leading Index and Coincident Indicator posting stronger monthly gains.

The Coincident Indicator, which reflects current economic conditions, rose 1.7% month over month in July, accelerating from a 0.6% increase previously.

Japan’s Leading Index also increased 1.7% in July after remaining unchanged in the previous month. The indicator is closely watched for signals about the direction of economic activity in the coming months.

The simultaneous improvement in both measures suggests Japan’s economy gained momentum during July, with current conditions strengthening alongside a more favorable near-term outlook.
Japan Household Spending Falls 3.6% in July, Missing Forecasts

Japan’s household spending remained weak in July, with annual consumption declining more sharply than expected and adding to concerns about the strength of domestic demand.

Household spending fell 3.6% year over year in July, worse than the 1.6% decline expected by economists and extending the previous month’s 3.3% contraction. The result indicates that Japanese consumers continued to face pressure despite efforts to support wage growth and household purchasing power.

On a monthly basis, household spending increased 0.5%, rebounding from June’s steep 6.4% decline. However, the recovery was considerably weaker than the 2.6% increase expected by the market, suggesting that the improvement from the previous month was relatively modest.
Japan Services PMI Rises to 52.5 in August, Beating Expectations

Japan’s services sector expanded at a faster pace in August, with the S&P Global Services PMI rising to 52.5 from 51.2 in the previous month.

The reading came slightly above the market consensus of 52.3 and remained above the 50-point threshold separating expansion from contraction.
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Japan Capital Spending Beats Forecast as 10-Year JGB Yield Approaches 3%

Japanese corporate investment strengthened in the second quarter, while government borrowing costs climbed to their highest levels in decades, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of Japan could continue tightening monetary policy.

Capital spending increased 1.6% year over year in Q2, significantly outperforming expectations for a 0.2% decline and accelerating from virtually no growth in the previous quarter.

The stronger investment figures suggest Japanese businesses remain relatively resilient despite geopolitical and energy-price uncertainty. Corporate profits also increased sharply during the quarter, while AI-related investment has been supporting spending in some industries.

Meanwhile, Japan's 10-year government bond auction produced an average yield of 2.995%, up sharply from 2.840% at the previous auction. The highest accepted yield reached 3.011%, as the benchmark 10-year JGB yield touched the psychologically important 3% level for the first time since 1996.

Japanese yields have been rising as investors price in higher inflation risks, fiscal concerns and the possibility of additional Bank of Japan rate hikes. Renewed tensions involving Iran and higher oil prices have added to inflation concerns globally.

The combination of stronger-than-expected business investment and rising bond yields strengthens the case for further BOJ policy normalization. For markets, that could provide support for the yen while keeping upward pressure on Japanese borrowing costs.
Japan’s Industrial Production Unexpectedly Rises 0.1% in July

Japan’s industrial production increased 0.1% month-over-month in July, outperforming market expectations for a 0.7% decline.

The result nevertheless marked a sharp slowdown from the 1.9% increase recorded in the previous month. Still, avoiding the expected contraction suggests Japan’s manufacturing sector remained more resilient than economists had anticipated.
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Brent Crude

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Brent Crude Falls Below $100 as Saudi Supply Concerns Ease

Brent crude futures fell 1.37% to around $98.56 a barrel Friday morning, extending a multi-session decline as fears of an immediate Saudi supply disruption continued to fade.

Oil prices had surged earlier in the week after attacks damaged Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline and disrupted loadings from the Yanbu export hub. Since then, Saudi Arabia has begun restoring pipeline capacity and increasing crude movements through alternative routes, including Oman, reducing some of the geopolitical risk premium that had pushed Brent toward $110. (Reuters)

Geopolitical risks remain significant in Middle East and Ukraine, however. That means oil prices could remain volatile even as immediate supply fears ease.
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Brent Crude Falls 1.4% as Middle East Supply Fears Ease

Brent crude futures fell 1.44% to around $104.31 a barrel Thursday morning, extending their retreat from this week’s highs as concerns over immediate Middle East supply disruptions eased.

Oil prices came under pressure as Saudi Arabia worked to maintain crude exports following attacks on its East-West pipeline. Saudi shipments are being redirected through Oman’s Sohar port, while expectations that damaged pipeline infrastructure could return to service within days have reduced some of the geopolitical risk premium that recently pushed Brent toward $110. (Reuters)

Prices also reacted to comments from U.S. President Donald Trump expressing hope that the war with Iran was nearing an end, although fighting involving Saudi Arabia and Houthi forces continued to keep regional supply risks elevated. (Internazionale)

Brent nevertheless remains above $100 as Middle East tensions continue to threaten energy flows.
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Brent Crude Surges Above $109 as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Deepens Supply Fears

Brent crude surged more than 4% on Monday, climbing to $109.33 a barrel as escalating Middle East disruptions intensified concerns over global oil supplies.

The latest rally followed drone attacks that damaged Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, forcing the key route to remain closed over the weekend. The pipeline has become particularly important because it allows Saudi crude to bypass the Strait of Hormuz and reach the Red Sea. Reuters reported that fresh attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and vessels in the region have compounded supply concerns.

Risks are also increasing around the Bab el-Mandeb shipping route, while a planned meeting between Iran and Gulf states to discuss shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was postponed. The setback reduced hopes for an immediate diplomatic solution to disruptions affecting some of the world’s most important energy corridors.(Reuters)

Brent has now returned to the $109 area after briefly retreating toward $104 late last week. The renewed surge is likely to keep inflation concerns elevated ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with higher energy costs adding another complication for the interest-rate outlook.
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Brent Crude Falls 3% as Diplomatic Hopes Trigger Pullback From Near $110

Brent crude futures fell sharply on Friday, retreating 3.02% to $104.38 a barrel after briefly approaching $110 earlier in the session. The decline follows Thursday’s 6.3% surge, when Brent settled at $107.63 amid escalating attacks on shipping in the Middle East.

The pullback came as traders reacted to reports that Gulf ministers are expected to meet Iran next week in an effort to secure temporary access through the Strait of Hormuz. Any improvement in shipping conditions could ease some of the supply-risk premium that has rapidly built into crude prices. (Financial Times)

Still, supply risks remain elevated. Traffic through Hormuz continues to be constrained, while the Iran-aligned Houthis’ seizure of Yemen’s Mocha port has increased concerns over another critical shipping route near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait.

Despite Friday’s decline, Brent remains on track for a weekly gain of roughly 10% and is set to finish the week above $100 for the first time since mid-May, underscoring how strongly the prolonged Middle East conflict continues to influence global energy markets.
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Brent Crude Surges Above $105 as Middle East Supply Crisis Deepens

Brent crude oil extended its powerful rally Thursday, climbing 4.28% to $105.54 a barrel as escalating Middle East tensions and severe supply disruptions intensified concerns over global oil availability. Brent has now gained more than 10% over the past five sessions.

A sharp deterioration in Saudi Arabian supply has become a major catalyst. Saudi crude production reportedly fell to around 6.2 million barrels per day in August, down roughly 23% and reaching levels last seen in the 1990s, as regional conflict disrupted exports and shipping routes (Financial Times).

The broader supply picture is also tightening. Flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain severely constrained amid the U.S.-Iran conflict. The disruptions have increased concerns that available supply may struggle to compensate for lost Gulf barrels.

The oil rally is also spilling into global financial markets. U.S. producer inflation accelerated to 5.4% year over year in August, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.92% as investors assessed the risk that higher energy costs could prolong inflation and force the Federal Reserve to maintain tighter monetary policy.

With Brent now firmly above $100, markets are closely watching developments around Hormuz and Saudi production. Further supply disruptions could keep upward pressure on crude prices and reinforce inflation concerns across the global economy.
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Brent Crude Touches $100 as U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates and Supply Risks Mount

Brent crude oil futures climbed to the $100-per-barrel threshold on Wednesday as escalating conflict involving the U.S., Iran and regional allies intensified concerns over Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Brent was trading at $99.97, up $2.05, or 2.09%, after briefly rising above $100 earlier in the session. Reuters reported an intraday high of $100.19, marking the benchmark’s first move above $100 since July 24.

The latest rally follows a sharp escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces said they destroyed five Iranian oil tankers on Tuesday, while Iran retaliated by firing ballistic missiles at a U.S.-used base in Jordan and attacking vessels attempting to cross an area of the Strait of Hormuz that Tehran has declared unsafe. (Reuters)

Supply concerns have also increased after Iran-backed Houthis attacked Saudi cities and energy facilities, causing fires and temporarily halting operations at some sites.

Shipping data underline the pressure on regional energy flows. Only six commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, compared with a 10-day average of about 12, according to preliminary Kpler data cited by Reuters.

Brent has now risen roughly 25% since early August as hopes for a lasting resolution to the conflict have faded. A sustained move above $100 would increase inflation concerns globally and could further complicate the outlook for interest rates ahead of upcoming U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s September meeting.
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Brent Nears $100 as U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate, While Gold Falls on Rate-Hike Fears

Brent crude surged toward the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level on Tuesday as the U.S.-Iran conflict intensified, while gold moved sharply lower as rising oil prices reinforced inflation concerns and expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy.

Brent futures climbed 2.51% to $98.70 per barrel, reaching an intraday high above $99. The rally comes as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely disrupted. Geopolitical tensions have continued to deteriorate. Iran has threatened retaliation for further U.S. attacks and warned that energy infrastructure across the Gulf could be targeted. Tehran is also preparing a new restricted maritime zone around the Gulf and Hormuz area. Meanwhile, Iran-backed Houthi forces attacked Saudi energy facilities on Tuesday, further expanding concerns about regional energy infrastructure. (Reuters)

Gold, however, has not benefited from the escalating geopolitical risk. December futures fell *0.83% to $4,439.50*, extending their retreat after Friday’s strong U.S. employment report.

The key connection is oil. Higher crude prices increase the risk that energy costs will reignite inflation, potentially forcing the Fed to maintain tighter monetary policy. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 60% probability of a Fed rate hike. Higher expected rates raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

The U.S.-Iran conflict is therefore producing an unusual divergence: Brent is benefiting directly from fears of physical supply disruption, while gold’s traditional safe-haven support is being overwhelmed by the inflation and interest-rate implications of the oil surge. U.S. inflation data later this week will be crucial for determining whether that divergence continues.
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Brent Oil Holds Near $97 as U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates

Brent crude oil traded higher on Monday as escalating military exchanges between the United States and Iran intensified concerns about prolonged disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Brent was trading around $96.75 per barrel, up 0.49%. The latest escalation came over the weekend. U.S. forces struck three Iranian oil tankers on Saturday after Iran launched ballistic missiles at two U.S. Navy ships. Iran subsequently said it targeted three tankers using unauthorized routes through the Strait of Hormuz as well as additional U.S. vessels. (Reuters)

The Strait of Hormuz remains the central risk for crude prices. Tanker traffic through the waterway has fallen to its lowest level since May, while Iran said Monday that it plans to establish a new restricted shipping zone in the Gulf. (Reuters)

Supply concerns are therefore keeping a substantial geopolitical premium embedded in Brent. Further attacks on tankers or a deeper disruption to Hormuz traffic could push oil toward the psychologically important *$100-per-barrel level*, while any meaningful de-escalation between Washington and Tehran could quickly remove part of that risk premium.

Iran Says It Targeted Oil Tankers in Response to US Strikes

Iran said it targeted three oil tankers using an unauthorized route through the Strait of Hormuz, as well as a number of US-linked ships, in retaliation for American attacks on Iranian tankers over the weekend.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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Brent Crude Jumps 7.8% for the Week as U.S.-Iran Conflict Revives Supply Fears

Brent crude posted a strong weekly gain as renewed fighting between the United States and Iran brought Middle East supply risks back to the forefront.

December Brent futures finished Friday at $96.28 a barrel, up 0.8% on the session and roughly 7.8% over the five-day period. The rally accelerated early in the week after renewed U.S.-Iran strikes raised fears of further disruptions to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

For the coming week, *Hormuz remains the key catalyst*. Further escalation between the U.S. and Iran could push Brent toward the psychologically important $100 level, while improved tanker flows or signs of de-escalation could quickly remove part of the geopolitical premium.
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COINBASE:BTCUSD

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Gold and Bitcoin Rise as Investors Seek Safety and Risk Exposure After Fed Decision

Gold and Bitcoin moved higher Friday, with both assets benefiting from shifting expectations around inflation, interest rates and broader market risk sentiment.

December gold futures rose 0.60% to about $4,426 an ounce, extending gains as investors continued to assess the Federal Reserve’s latest rate increase and the outlook for inflation. Gold remained supported by demand for defensive assets, even as oil prices retreated and some immediate geopolitical supply concerns eased.

Bitcoin climbed 2.13% to around $78,019, recovering further from recent weakness. The cryptocurrency moved steadily higher through the session and briefly approached $78,500 as risk appetite improved.

The moves reflect different parts of the same macro environment. Gold is benefiting from continued demand for inflation protection and safe-haven exposure, while Bitcoin is drawing support from stronger appetite for higher-risk assets and renewed interest in crypto after the Fed’s policy decision reduced some uncertainty around the near-term rate outlook.

For both markets, the next major drivers are likely to be U.S. inflation data, Treasury yields, the dollar and any further signals from Federal Reserve officials about the possibility of additional rate increases.
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Bitcoin Falls Below $76,000 After CLARITY Act Fails to Advance in Senate

Bitcoin fell 1.5% to around $75,794 on Wednesday, extending losses after the U.S. Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act, dealing a setback to hopes for a comprehensive U.S. regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies.

The legislation failed to clear the Senate’s 60-vote procedural threshold on Tuesday. The vote was 50-49 in favor before a procedural switch, with opposition centered partly on ethics provisions and other unresolved regulatory issues. The bill was designed to establish clearer rules for digital-asset issuance and trading and clarify regulatory responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC. [Reuters)

The regulatory disappointment is being compounded by a difficult macro backdrop. Investors are awaiting Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision, while elevated U.S. Treasury yields and expectations for a potential rate increase are supporting the dollar and pressuring risk assets including cryptocurrencies.

For Bitcoin, the combination of delayed U.S. regulatory clarity and tighter monetary-policy expectations has weakened momentum after the cryptocurrency recently traded above $80,000.
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Gold and Bitcoin End Volatile Week Lower as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

Gold and Bitcoin came under pressure this week as surging Treasury yields, persistent U.S. inflation and sharply higher oil prices strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

Gold December futures finished Friday at $4,408.90 per ounce, nearly unchanged on the day but down about 1.8% over five sessions. Spot gold lost roughly 1.5% for the week, marking a third consecutive weekly decline. Rising bond yields were the main headwind, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield approaching 5% as investors repriced the interest-rate outlook. (Reuters)

Inflation remained central to the selloff. August CPI rose 0.4% month over month and 3.4% annually, while core prices increased 0.3%. Markets ended the week pricing an approximately 87% probability of a Fed rate increase next week. Gold nevertheless attracted dip-buying on Friday, while geopolitical uncertainty continued to provide some safe-haven support. (Reuters)

Bitcoin followed a similar risk-off pattern, falling about 2.3% over five days to around $77,300. The cryptocurrency briefly approached $80,000 before retreating toward $77,000 as higher yields reduced investor appetite for non-yielding and higher-risk assets.

Oil added another layer of pressure. Brent gained more than 8% for the week despite retreating Friday to $104.61, as Middle East supply disruptions kept inflation concerns elevated.

Next week’s Federal Reserve decision is therefore the key catalyst for both assets. A rate hike accompanied by a hawkish outlook could keep gold and Bitcoin under pressure, while a less aggressive Fed message and a retreat in Treasury yields could provide room for a rebound.
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Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Fall as Higher Yields Keep Pressure on Alternative Assets

Gold, silver and Bitcoin traded lower Friday as elevated Treasury yields and persistent uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook continued to weigh on non-yielding and risk-sensitive assets.

December gold futures fell 0.51% to $4,384.70 an ounce, although prices recovered substantially from an intraday low near $4,350. December silver declined 0.66% to $64.50 an ounce after also rebounding from earlier losses.

Bitcoin was down 1.04% over the past 24 hours at around $77,151. The cryptocurrency briefly fell toward $76,500 before recovering, but remained well below the $78,000 area seen earlier in the period.

The moves come after Thursday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. producer inflation data pushed Treasury yields sharply higher and revived concerns that the Fed could maintain a tighter policy stance. Meanwhile, oil prices remain above $100 a barrel despite Friday’s pullback, keeping energy-driven inflation risks in focus.

Investors are now turning their attention to Friday’s U.S. consumer inflation data, which could provide the next major signal for Treasury yields, the dollar, precious metals and Bitcoin ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting.
Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Slide as Surging Treasury Yields Trigger Broad Selloff

Gold, silver and Bitcoin fell sharply Thursday as rising U.S. Treasury yields and renewed inflation concerns pressured both precious metals and cryptocurrencies.

December gold futures dropped 1.23% to $4,405.70 an ounce, while December silver futures plunged 4.98% to $65.23. Bitcoin fell 2.71% over 24 hours to around $77,016, briefly approaching $76,700.

The selloff came as the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to around 4.92%, its highest level since late 2023. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and silver and can also tighten financial conditions for risk assets including Bitcoin.

Inflation concerns intensified after August U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% month over month and 5.4% year over year, slightly above the 5.3% annual forecast. At the same time, Brent crude surged above $104 a barrel as supply disruptions and a sharp decline in Saudi production heightened fears that energy costs could keep inflation elevated.

Silver significantly underperformed gold, reflecting its greater volatility and sensitivity to both investment flows and industrial demand. Bitcoin also came under pressure as higher bond yields reduced investors’ appetite for risk.

Markets now turn to Friday’s U.S. CPI report. Another strong inflation reading could reinforce expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy and keep upward pressure on Treasury yields, creating further headwinds for precious metals and cryptocurrencies.
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Gold and Bitcoin Rise as Middle East Tensions Drive Volatility Across Markets

Gold and Bitcoin moved higher Wednesday as escalating Middle East tensions, oil prices above $100 and renewed inflation concerns drove volatility across global markets.

December gold futures rose 0.77% to $4,473.10 per ounce, extending an intraday rebound as investors sought traditional safe-haven assets. Spot gold was also higher on the day as global equities declined.

Geopolitical risk remains a major catalyst. Brent crude climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as renewed U.S.-Iran attacks, strikes on tankers and attacks on Saudi energy facilities intensified concerns over Middle East oil supplies. Brent reached an intraday high of $100.90, while flows through the Strait of Hormuz have fallen sharply.

Bitcoin also advanced, rising 1.76% over the past 24 hours to around $79,303 after trading below $78,000 earlier in the period. The cryptocurrency’s recovery came despite pressure on U.S. equities and rising Treasury yields, suggesting some improvement in crypto risk appetite.

However, higher oil prices create a competing risk for both assets. The energy surge is increasing inflation concerns and strengthening the case for tighter monetary policy. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.81%, near a three-year high, as markets await producer and consumer inflation reports later this week.

Gold is currently benefiting more directly from safe-haven demand, while Bitcoin remains sensitive to the outlook for interest rates and broader risk sentiment. Upcoming U.S. inflation data could therefore be the next major catalyst for both markets.
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Bitcoin Falls Below $79,000 as Fed Rate-Hike Bets and U.S.-Iran Conflict Weigh

Bitcoin extended its decline on Monday, falling below $79,000 as stronger U.S. interest-rate expectations and escalating tensions between the United States and Iran pressured risk appetite.

Bitcoin was trading at $78,866.34, down 1.02% over 24 hours. The cryptocurrency briefly traded above $80,000 earlier in the period before falling toward an intraday low near $78,500.

The decline follows Friday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. employment report. The economy added 162,000 jobs in August versus expectations of roughly 55,000, pushing the probability of a September Federal Reserve rate hike back toward 60%. Higher Treasury yields and tighter financial conditions tend to weigh on speculative assets including cryptocurrencies and gold.

Geopolitical risks are adding another layer of pressure. The U.S.-Iran conflict escalated over the weekend, driving Brent crude toward $97 as investors assessed the risk of further disruptions to Middle Eastern energy supplies. Higher oil prices could reinforce inflation pressures and make it harder for the Fed to adopt a more accommodative stance.

Bitcoin had climbed above $82,000 last week, but the combination of rising rate expectations, higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty has reversed part of that rally.

Attention now shifts to this week’s U.S. inflation data. A stronger-than-expected reading could reinforce expectations for a September rate hike and put further pressure on Bitcoin, while softer inflation could help restore risk appetite.
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Bitcoin Holds Near $80,000 After Strong U.S. Jobs Report Triggers Sharp Reversal

Bitcoin traded near $79,641 on Saturday, up 0.24%, after recovering from a sharp selloff triggered by stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data.

Bitcoin had climbed above $82,000 before the August jobs report, supported partly by Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s comments favoring unchanged rates if inflation continued to cool. The rally reversed after nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000, far above expectations, while unemployment remained at 4.1%.

The strong labor data pushed Treasury yields higher and increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, pressuring rate-sensitive assets including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin subsequently fell below $79,000 before recovering toward $80,000.

Despite the volatility, Bitcoin remains up about 1.4% over the five-day period shown in the chart. Attention now turns to the September 11 U.S. CPI report, which could play a major role in determining the Fed’s next move and Bitcoin’s near-term direction.
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Bitcoin Jumps Above $81,000 as Fed Fears Ease; Strategy and Coinbase Rally

Bitcoin climbed above $81,000 on Friday as easing Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations, lower U.S. Treasury yields and improving regulatory sentiment boosted demand for crypto assets.

Bitcoin traded around $81,089, up 4.2% over 24 hours, after briefly topping $82,000 and reaching its highest level in nearly four months.

Fed Shift Fuels Crypto Rally

The rally accelerated after Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for keeping rates unchanged in September if inflation continues to moderate. The comments pushed Treasury yields lower and reduced expectations for another rate hike.

Crypto-related stocks rallied even more sharply. Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) surged roughly 18% Thursday, while Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) gained around 10%, benefiting from Bitcoin's rebound and expectations for stronger crypto trading activity.

Regulatory optimism also helped sentiment, with investors watching potential progress on U.S. crypto legislation.

Attention now turns to Friday's U.S. jobs report. Softer employment data could further reduce Fed rate-hike expectations and support Bitcoin, while a stronger report could push Treasury yields higher and challenge the rebound.
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Gold Jumps 2.2% Above $4,500 as Iran Conflict, Lower Yields and Weaker Dollar Fuel Safe-Haven Demand

Gold surged Thursday, with December COMEX futures climbing 2.24% to $4,513.60 an ounce, as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities combined with falling Treasury yields and a weaker dollar to trigger a sharp rebound in precious metals. Bitcoin also rallied, rising 3.02% to $79,342, as demand strengthened across alternative stores of value.

Gold’s move represents a significant reversal from earlier this week, when rising Treasury yields and expectations for another Federal Reserve rate increase pressured the non-yielding metal. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has since retreated toward 4.75%, while the dollar has weakened, reducing two important headwinds for bullion. Spot gold was already advancing before the U.S. session, supported by the pullback in both yields and the dollar.

Geopolitical demand has added another layer of support. The renewed U.S.-Iran conflict has pushed Brent crude back toward $100 a barrel and raised concerns over energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump has indicated that the latest U.S. military operations may not last long, which has provided some hope that the conflict could be contained, but continued attacks and retaliation have kept uncertainty high. (Reuters)

Gold is therefore benefiting from two competing consequences of the conflict. The immediate geopolitical uncertainty increases demand for safe-haven assets, while the recent retreat in bond yields makes holding gold more attractive. At the same time, oil-driven inflation remains a major risk: persistent energy inflation could force the Fed to maintain a more hawkish stance and eventually send yields higher again.

Bitcoin’s simultaneous 3% advance is also notable. BTC has recently benefited from improving technical momentum after a roughly 30% rally, while the U.S. Treasury’s expansion of long-duration debt buybacks has contributed to the move.

Attention now shifts to Friday’s U.S. employment report. A weak payrolls number could reduce expectations for a September Fed rate hike, potentially extending the decline in yields and providing another catalyst for both gold and Bitcoin. Conversely, a strong jobs report could revive rate-hike expectations and test Thursday’s rally, particularly for gold, which remains highly sensitive to real interest rates.
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NYSE:CRL

Charles River Laboratories Stock Rises 3%, Extends Gains Premarket After Argus Sets $330 Target

Charles River Laboratories shares closed Thursday at $281.67, up 3.02%, and were trading another 1.48% higher at $285.83 in Friday premarket trading.

The move came as Argus set a $330 price target on the stock. Based on Thursday’s close, the target implies roughly 17% upside.

Broader probable reasons behind the positive momentum include improving sentiment toward life-sciences tools and contract research companies, expectations for a recovery in biotech and pharmaceutical R&D spending, and the potential for stronger demand for outsourced drug-development services.

Charles River provides research models, laboratory services and preclinical development support to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, giving it exposure to changes in drug-development activity across the sector.

Friday’s premarket gain suggests the positive momentum has continued beyond Thursday’s analyst action, with investors focusing on the company’s longer-term earnings potential and a possible improvement in biopharma research spending.
Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. announced that its Chair, President, and CEO, James C. Foster, purchased 6,075 shares of the company’s common stock at an average price of $165.01, totaling approximately $1 million. Additionally, Corporate Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Birgit Girshick, acquired 1,514 shares at an average price of $164.63, amounting to roughly $250,000. Both executives cited confidence in the company’s strategic direction and long-term growth prospects as reasons for their purchases.

To facilitate these transactions, Mr. Foster and Ms. Girshick terminated their respective Rule 10b5-1 Trading Plans, which had previously been established for selling company stock under predetermined conditions. Mr. Foster’s plan, initiated in February 2024, allowed for the sale of up to 129,721 shares, with 25,000 shares sold in August 2024. Ms. Girshick’s plan, established in November 2023, covered up to 22,362 shares, though no sales were made under it.

The company reaffirmed its confidence in its strategic initiatives and growth outlook while cautioning that forward-looking statements are subject to market risks and uncertainties.
Charles River Laboratories reported mixed financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2024, with total annual revenue decreasing 1.9% to $4.05 billion. The company faced challenges in its Discovery and Safety Assessment (DSA) and Research Models and Services (RMS) segments, while its Manufacturing Solutions segment showed modest growth.

For the fourth quarter, revenue declined 1.1% year-over-year to $1.00 billion, with organic revenue contracting by 1.8%. A non-cash goodwill impairment of $215 million in the Biologics Solutions unit resulted in a GAAP net loss of $215.7 million, or $(4.22) per share. On a non-GAAP basis, net income increased 7.4% to $136.6 million, with earnings per share rising to $2.66 from $2.46 in the prior-year quarter.

Full-year GAAP earnings per share dropped sharply to $0.20 from $9.22 in 2023, primarily due to impairment charges and lower earnings from venture capital investments. However, non-GAAP earnings per share declined only 3.3% to $10.32, reflecting cost-saving initiatives and improved performance in Manufacturing Solutions, which saw a 6.6% revenue increase and a higher operating margin.

Looking ahead to 2025, the company expects continued pressure from biopharmaceutical clients' restructuring and pipeline reprioritization efforts but sees stabilizing demand trends, particularly among small and mid-sized biotech firms. To enhance shareholder value, Charles River plans approximately $350 million in stock repurchases while continuing efforts to improve efficiency and profitability.
UBD downgrades CRL from buy to hold
On January 14, 2025, Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. presented at the 43rd Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, sharing insights into their strategic focus, business developments, and the financial outlook for 2025. They forecast a similar decline in 2025 revenue as observed in 2024 due to various factors including restructuring in global biopharma, and stable demand from biotech clients. They also highlighted challenges in their Contract Development and Manufacturing Organiz
On December 13, 2024, Charles River Laboratories amended its credit agreement, reducing commitments from $3 billion to $2 billion and extending maturity to 2029. The agreement includes Charles River and its subsidiary as borrowers, with financing backed by substantial assets and stock pledges. The deal sets strict financial tests and limits on further debt and business activities.
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04-11-25WS Investor

NYSE:VLO

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Valero Energy Stock Rises 2.9% as UBS Raises Price Target to $450

Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO) shares gained 2.9% Tuesday after UBS raised its price target on the refiner while maintaining a Buy rating.

UBS increased its price target to $450 from $355. With Valero trading around $381.32, the new target implies approximately 18% upside from current levels.

The bullish analyst action comes as energy markets remain volatile amid the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict. Brent crude has moved toward $100 per barrel as concerns grow about supply disruptions in the Middle East and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

For refiners such as Valero, however, crude prices alone do not determine profitability. Refining margins and the difference between crude input costs and prices for gasoline, diesel and other refined products are particularly important. Supply disruptions and tight refined-product markets can support those margins.

UBS’s $95 increase in its price target represents a significant upward revision and reinforces its positive view on Valero. Combined with heightened investor interest in the energy sector, the analyst action helped support VLO’s 2.9% gain Tuesday.
Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Climbs After Raymond James Raises Price Target to $340

Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO) shares gained about 3.4% after Raymond James raised its price target on the refiner to $340 from $300 while maintaining its Strong Buy rating.

The higher price target reflects continued confidence in Valero's earnings outlook as the company benefits from solid refining fundamentals, strong free cash flow generation, and disciplined capital allocation. Investors also remain optimistic about Valero's ability to return capital through dividends and share repurchases while maintaining operational efficiency across its refining network.

Recent strength in crude oil prices, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, has also kept investor attention on the energy sector. However, Valero's financial performance is primarily driven by refining margins and demand for refined products rather than crude oil prices alone.

Key factors supporting the stock include:

* Raymond James raised its price target to $340 from $300.
* The firm maintained its Strong Buy rating.
* Investors remain optimistic about Valero's strong refining business, cash flow generation, and shareholder return strategy.
* Supportive refining margins and disciplined capital allocation continue to underpin the company's long-term earnings outlook.

The higher price target reinforced positive investor sentiment, helping Valero Energy shares advance during the trading session.
Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) will release its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 on Thursday, January 29, 2026, before the market opens. Management will host a conference call at 10:00 a.m. ET to discuss the results.
Valero Energy Delivers Strong Third-Quarter Earnings, Returns $1.3 Billion to Shareholders

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, supported by record refining performance and strong cash generation, while reaffirming its commitment to shareholder returns and ongoing strategic investments.

Net income attributable to Valero stockholders surged to $1.1 billion, or $3.53 per share, up from $364 million, or $1.14 per share, a year earlier. Adjusted net income also reached $1.1 billion, or $3.66 per share, compared with $371 million, or $1.16 per share, in the prior-year quarter.

The Refining segment led the performance, with operating income rising sharply to $1.6 billion from $565 million last year, as throughput volumes averaged 3.1 million barrels per day and utilization reached 97%, setting records in the Gulf Coast and North Atlantic regions.

In contrast, the Renewable Diesel segment posted an operating loss of $28 million amid lower margins, while the Ethanol segment delivered $183 million in operating income on record production of 4.6 million gallons per day.

Valero generated $1.9 billion in operating cash flow and invested $409 million in capital projects during the quarter. The company returned $1.3 billion to shareholders through $351 million in dividends and $931 million in share repurchases, representing 78% of adjusted operating cash flow.

CEO Lane Riggs emphasized the company’s operational excellence and financial strength, noting that Valero’s balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation continue to underpin strong shareholder value creation.

The company also highlighted progress on its $230 million St. Charles FCC Unit optimization project, designed to enhance high-value product output, which remains on track to begin operations in the second half of 2026.
Valero Energy Corporation to Announce Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results on October 23, 2025
Valero Energy Reports Q2 2025 Results: Net Income of $714 Million, Dividend Maintained

Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO) reported Q2 2025 net income of $714 million ($2.28/share), down from $880 million ($2.71/share) in Q2 2024.

• Refining segment earned $1.3 billion, with record U.S. Gulf Coast throughput (2.9M bpd).
• Renewable Diesel segment posted a $79 million loss, reversing a $112 million gain last year.
• Ethanol income dropped to $54 million from $105 million.
• Operating cash flow was $936 million; adjusted for JV items, it totaled $1.3 billion.
• Returned $695 million to shareholders, including $1.13/share quarterly dividend and $341 million in stock buybacks.
• Capital investments were $407 million; net debt-to-cap ratio at 19%.
• Ongoing FCC upgrade at St. Charles Refinery to enhance high-value product yield, expected completion in 2026.
Valero Energy Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Valero Energy reported Q2 net income of $714 million ($2.28 per share), down from $880 million a year earlier. The company returned $695 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks and repaid $251 million in debt.

• Refining: $1.3 billion operating income; record Gulf Coast throughput
• Renewable Diesel: $79 million loss (vs. $112M gain in Q2 2024)
• Ethanol: $54 million income (vs. $105M in Q2 2024)
• Cash flow: $1.3 billion adjusted net operating cash
• Dividend: $1.13 per share declared, payable Sept 2
• Capex: $407 million, mostly for maintenance
• Debt: $8.4 billion total; net debt-to-capitalization ratio 19%

Valero continues work on an FCC optimization project at its St. Charles refinery, expected to complete in 2026.
Valero Energy Reports First Quarter 2025 Results

Reported a net loss attributable to Valero stockholders of $595 million, or $1.90 per share
Reported adjusted net income attributable to Valero stockholders of $282 million, or $0.89 per share
Issued $650 million aggregate principal amount of 5.15% Senior Notes due 2030 in February for debt repayment and general corporate purposes
Repaid the outstanding principal balances of $189 million of 3.65% Senior Notes that matured in March and $251 million of 2.85% Senior Notes that matured in April
Declared a regular quarterly cash dividend on common stock of $1.13 per share on January 16
Returned $633 million to stockholders through dividends and stock buybacks
Valero to Idle or Restructure Benicia Refinery by April 2026

Valero Energy Corporation has notified the California Energy Commission of its intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations at its Benicia Refinery by the end of April 2026. The company is also evaluating strategic options for its broader California operations.

In connection with this plan, Valero recorded a $1.1 billion pre-tax impairment charge for its Benicia and Wilmington refineries, including $337 million in expected asset retirement obligations. These charges will be excluded from Q1 2025 adjusted earnings.

Valero owns 15 petroleum refineries and operates in the U.S., Canada, U.K., and Latin America, and is active in renewable fuels and ethanol production.
Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) reported net income of $281 million, or $0.88 per share, for the fourth quarter of 2024, down from $1.2 billion, or $3.55 per share, in the same period of 2023. Adjusted net income was $207 million, or $0.64 per share. Full-year 2024 net income was $2.8 billion, or $8.58 per share, compared to $8.8 billion, or $24.92 per share, in 2023. Adjusted full-year net income was $2.7 billion, or $8.48 per share.

The Refining segment reported fourth-quarter operating income of $437 million, a decline from $1.6 billion in Q4 2023. Refining throughput averaged 3.0 million barrels per day. The Renewable Diesel segment, through the Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture, posted operating income of $170 million, up from $84 million. The Ethanol segment’s operating income dropped sharply to $20 million from $190 million in Q4 2023.

General and administrative expenses were $266 million for the fourth quarter and $961 million for the full year. The effective tax rate for 2024 was 19 percent.

Valero returned $601 million to shareholders in Q4, including $339 million in dividends and $262 million in stock buybacks. Total 2024 shareholder returns reached $4.3 billion, comprising $2.9 billion in buybacks and $1.4 billion in dividends, representing 78 percent of adjusted net cash provided by operating activities.

Capital investments totaled $547 million in Q4 and $2.1 billion for the year. The company completed the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) project at DGD Port Arthur and is advancing an FCC Unit Optimization project at the St. Charles Refinery, expected to be completed in 2026.

Valero ended 2024 with $8.1 billion in total debt, $2.4 billion in finance lease obligations, and $4.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents. The net debt-to-capitalization ratio stood at 17 percent.

CEO Lane Riggs highlighted the company’s strong safety and environmental performance in 2024. Despite market challenges, Valero remains focused on operational excellence, capital discipline, and shareholder returns.
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NASDAQ

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U.S. Stocks Slip as Weak Industrial Data and Higher Yields Offset Fed-Driven Optimism

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Friday as investors weighed softer economic data against lingering confidence in the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance.

The S&P 500 fell 0.20% to 7,622.67, while the Dow Jones declined 0.34% to 51,602.07. The Nasdaq was down 0.13% at 26,383.07, giving back part of its earlier gains.

The session followed Thursday’s rally, when falling oil prices and lower long-term Treasury yields helped investors respond positively to the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate increase. The central bank raised its benchmark range to 3.75%–4.00%, and Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high, reinforcing confidence that the Fed is prepared to act against persistent price pressures.

Friday’s economic data were less supportive. U.S. industrial production was unchanged in August, missing expectations for a 0.3% increase, while manufacturing output fell 0.3% after seven consecutive monthly gains. The U.S. Leading Index also declined 0.1%, pointing to some moderation in near-term economic momentum.

At the same time, Treasury yields remained an important headwind. The 10-year yield has recently traded near 5%, keeping pressure on equity valuations, particularly in growth-sensitive sectors. Brent crude’s retreat below $100 has helped ease some inflation concerns, but investors remain focused on whether the Fed will deliver another rate increase later this year.

For now, Wall Street appears caught between confidence in the Fed’s inflation response and concern that tighter monetary policy, high yields and slowing industrial momentum could weigh on growth.
U.S. Stocks Rally as Fed Rate Hike Boosts Confidence in Inflation Fight

U.S. stocks opened sharply higher Thursday, with investors responding positively to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision and signs that policymakers remain committed to bringing inflation under control.

The S&P 500 rose 0.93% to 7,621.95, while the Dow Jones gained 0.52% to 51,730.65. The Nasdaq led the advance, climbing 1.28% to 26,312.06 as technology shares attracted renewed buying.

The gains followed Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%–4.00% range. Although the move was widely expected, the unanimous decision under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh appeared to strengthen investor confidence that the central bank is prepared to address persistent inflation pressures.

Sentiment was also supported by a pullback in oil prices, easing some concerns that high energy costs could add further inflation pressure. Reuters reported that U.S. stock futures had already moved higher before the opening bell as lower crude prices reinforced the positive reaction to the Fed decision.

Still, the Fed maintained a hawkish stance, with most policymakers indicating that another rate increase could be appropriate before the end of the year. For now, however, markets appear to be focusing on the credibility of the Fed’s inflation response.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Tech Gains Offset Fed Rate Concerns After Strong Retail Sales

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher Wednesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.37% to 7,613.62 and the Nasdaq gaining 0.69% to 26,160.05. The Dow Jones was nearly flat, slipping 0.08% to 52,048.87, as technology stocks led the market higher ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision.

Fresh economic data showed that U.S. consumers remain surprisingly resilient. Retail sales jumped 1.2% month over month in August, beating the 0.8% forecast and reversing July’s 0.5% decline. Core retail sales were even stronger, rising 1.4% versus the 0.6% expected. The data adds to evidence that the U.S. economy continues to carry solid momentum.

The strength of consumer spending also complicates the interest-rate outlook. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points later Wednesday, as policymakers confront persistent inflation and the inflationary impact of higher energy prices. The 10-year Treasury yield, which recently crossed 5% and reached its highest level since 2007, eased to around 4.97%, providing some relief for growth and technology stocks.

Oil prices also pulled back after their recent surge, with Brent falling around 1.5% today.

Investors are now focused on the Fed decision and Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments for clues on whether an expected rate increase represents a one-time response to renewed inflation pressures or the beginning of a broader tightening cycle.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Fuels Fed Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as surging Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions outweighed signs of continued job creation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.58% and the S&P 500 lost 0.44%. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 as investors prepared for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

Economic data offered a mixed picture. Weekly ADP employment growth accelerated to 16,300 from 12,000, suggesting the labor market continues to add jobs. However, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 7.6 in September from 20.6, well below the 14.8 forecast.

Geopolitical risks remain another major headwind. Oil prices have stayed above $100 as renewed attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and Saudi Arabia increased concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. Higher energy prices are reinforcing inflation fears.

With bond yields around 5% increasing the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets and putting pressure on equity valuations, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision and its guidance on whether additional rate hikes could follow.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Surge, Inflation Fears and AI Selloff Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower on Monday as a renewed surge in oil prices intensified inflation concerns while a selloff in artificial intelligence stocks weighed heavily on the technology sector.

The S&P 500 fell 0.49% to 7,619.13, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.23% to 52,454.22. The tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed, dropping 0.73% to 26,140.28.

Brent crude jumped more than 4% to around $109 a barrel, adding to concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer. Those worries are particularly important ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of another rate increase after recent inflation data.

Technology shares faced an additional headwind from a reassessment of the AI boom. AI-linked stocks came under pressure after leading industry executives called for slowing the development of increasingly powerful AI models over safety concerns. Nvidia and several semiconductor stocks fell, helping explain the Nasdaq’s sharper decline.

The combination of higher oil prices, renewed inflation risks and uncertainty over the pace of AI investment is putting pressure on equity valuations, particularly high-growth technology stocks.
U.S. Stock Futures Jump After CPI Data as Oracle Rally and Oil Pullback Lift Sentiment

U.S. stock futures moved sharply higher Friday after August inflation data came broadly in line with expectations, while a pullback in oil prices and strong Oracle earnings helped improve sentiment. S&P 500 futures rose 0.92%, Dow futures gained 0.94%, and Nasdaq futures advanced 1.06%.

Headline CPI increased 0.4% month-over-month in August, matching expectations but accelerating from 0.1% in July. Annual inflation held at 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4% from 2.5%. The mixed report leaves inflation concerns alive ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, particularly after Thursday’s hotter producer-price data.

Energy markets provided some relief. Brent crude fell about 3% to around $104 a barrel after briefly approaching $110, although it remains up strongly for the week. Reports of diplomatic efforts to establish temporary shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz helped cool prices. However, geopolitical risks remain elevated as the U.S.-Iran conflict and attacks on regional shipping continue to restrict oil flows.

Technology stocks were also supported by Oracle, which jumped about 6% in premarket trading after reporting a 30% increase in Q1 revenue to $19.3 billion. Cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% to $7.4 billion, while remaining performance obligations reached $664 billion amid strong AI demand.

Despite the equity rebound, bond yields remain a key risk. The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.94%, leaving markets sensitive to inflation, oil prices and changing expectations for the Fed’s September decision.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Hot PPI, Surging Oil and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Thursday as stronger producer inflation, surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields renewed concerns over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.82% to 26,038.95, while the S&P 500 declined 0.52% to 7,596.27 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.24% to 52,256.80.

August producer prices rose 0.4% month over month, matching expectations but accelerating from July. Annual PPI climbed 5.4%, above the 5.3% forecast and up from 4.8%. Core PPI provided some relief, increasing 0.2% month over month versus the 0.3% expected.

Oil extended its surge Thursday, with Brent crude futures jumping 3.5% to $104.75 a barrel. Supply concerns intensified after Saudi Arabia’s August production reportedly plunged 23% to about 6.2 million barrels per day, its lowest level since 1990, as regional conflict disrupted export routes (Financial Times).

Bond markets reacted sharply to the combination of inflation and energy concerns. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922%, up roughly 8 basis points on the session. Higher yields weighed particularly heavily on technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s underperformance.

With Brent now above $104 and producer inflation accelerating, investors face the risk that the energy shock could keep inflation elevated for longer. Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report, which could play a decisive role in expectations for next week’s Federal Reserve decision.
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U.S. Stocks Open Lower as Oil Tops $100 and Inflation Concerns Persist

U.S. stocks opened lower Wednesday, extending the previous session’s losses as sharply higher oil prices fueled concerns over inflation and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.55% to 52,497.96, while the S&P 500 declined 0.32% to 7,648.70. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.34% to 26,331.54.

Higher oil prices were a key source of pressure. Brent crude climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure increased concerns about prolonged Middle East supply disruptions. Brent was recently up about 2.8% at $100.66, while WTI gained roughly 3% to $95.77.

The oil rally is adding to inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week. Higher energy costs could keep price pressures elevated and complicate the Fed’s interest-rate decision.

Meanwhile, the latest weekly ADP employment estimate showed private payrolls increasing by 12,000, up from the previous week’s 10,000 gain. The modest increase points to continued but relatively subdued hiring momentum.

With oil prices rising and bond yields remaining elevated, investors are increasingly focused on whether renewed energy-driven inflation will force the Fed to maintain a tighter monetary-policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Rising Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Fears Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower Tuesday as surging oil prices fueled renewed inflation concerns, while investors assessed escalating tensions in the Middle East and the possibility of another Federal Reserve rate hike.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 1.2% in morning trading, while the S&P 500 declined 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost roughly 0.5%.

Rising energy prices were a major source of pressure. Brent crude climbed toward the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level as the U.S.-Iran conflict escalated and concerns grew about further disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Higher crude prices present a broader problem for equities because sustained increases in energy costs could feed into inflation and make it more difficult for the Fed to ease monetary policy. The concern has intensified following Friday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, which pushed expectations toward tighter monetary policy.

Treasury yields also remained elevated, adding pressure to equity valuations, particularly in rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks.

Investors are now turning their attention to this week’s U.S. inflation reports. Hotter-than-expected inflation, particularly with oil prices approaching $100, could strengthen expectations for a September Fed rate hike and add further pressure to Wall Street.
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U.S. Stocks Slip as Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded slightly lower Friday after a much stronger-than-expected August employment report revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 7,731.74, while the Dow Jones dropped 0.46% to 53,436.70. The Nasdaq was nearly flat at 26,583.15.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, nearly triple expectations of around 55,000. July's figure was also revised sharply higher to a gain of 21,000 from an initially reported decline of 23,000. Private payrolls rose by 127,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%.

Strong Labor Market Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

The unexpectedly strong report challenged hopes that the Fed could keep rates unchanged. Markets increased bets on a 25-basis-point September hike, with the implied probability rising to around 60% following the data. U.S. Treasury yields moved sharply higher in response.

The report comes just a day after Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested he could support holding rates steady if inflation continues to cool. With the labor market showing renewed strength, next week's inflation data could now prove decisive for the Fed's September decision.

The modest decline in equities suggests investors are balancing evidence of a resilient U.S. economy against the risk that stronger employment gives the Fed more room to tighten monetary policy further.
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NASDAQ:CTSH

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Cognizant Stock Falls 2.4% as TD Cowen Reiterates Hold Rating

Cognizant Technology Solutions shares fell 2.4% to $60.37 after TD Cowen reiterated its Hold rating with a $54 price target.

The target sits below the current share price, implying roughly 11% downside and signaling a cautious view on the stock’s near-term valuation.

Broader reasons behind the weakness include concerns over softer discretionary IT spending, slower growth in traditional outsourcing services and uncertainty around how rapidly generative AI will reshape demand for large technology-services providers.

Cognizant is investing in AI, cloud modernization and digital engineering, but investors remain focused on whether these higher-growth areas can offset pressure on legacy services and support stronger organic growth.

The decline suggests the market is taking a more cautious stance toward IT-services names as clients continue to scrutinize technology budgets and prioritize projects with clearer near-term returns.
Cognizant reported solid first-quarter 2026 results, supported by steady revenue growth and strong deal activity.

Revenue increased 5.8% year-over-year to $5.4 billion (3.9% in constant currency), landing in the upper half of guidance. Bookings were a key highlight, rising 21% in the quarter with seven large deals signed, pushing trailing 12-month bookings up 11% to $29.6 billion.

Profitability showed mixed trends. GAAP operating margin declined 110 basis points to 15.6%, while adjusted operating margin improved slightly by 10 basis points. GAAP EPS rose 3.7% to $1.39, and adjusted EPS increased 13.8% to $1.40, reflecting cost discipline and operational improvements.

Looking ahead, Cognizant maintained its 2026 constant currency revenue growth outlook of 4.0% to 6.5% and raised its adjusted operating margin guidance to 16.0%–16.2%, signaling confidence in margin expansion.

Source: Company press release
Cognizant Technology Solutions announced the launch of its Cognizant Innovation Network, a new investment arm focused on supporting early- to mid-stage enterprise software startups.

The initiative aims to accelerate the company’s AI strategy by creating a pipeline that connects startup innovation with large-scale enterprise deployment. Initial investments will target areas such as artificial intelligence, data, cybersecurity, and cloud technologies.

Cognizant said the network will complement its internal AI Lab, helping clients adopt emerging technologies faster and translate AI investments into measurable business value.

Source: Cognizant press release, PRNewswire
Cognizant announced that its AI Lab has been granted three new U.S. patents, bringing its total to 65 U.S. patents and 88 globally. The new patents focus on improving AI decision-making systems, optimizing neural network performance, and enhancing collaboration in distributed machine learning environments.

The innovations aim to make AI systems more adaptive, efficient, and scalable, supporting enterprise adoption as companies move from experimentation to real-world applications. Cognizant said the advancements strengthen its capabilities in delivering AI-driven solutions that improve business outcomes.

Source: PR Newswire
Cognizant has partnered with OpenAI to integrate Codex into its global software engineering operations, aiming to transform enterprise software development with AI-driven capabilities. The company will embed Codex across its engineering workflows, standardizing its use in coding, testing, and system modernization.

The collaboration positions Cognizant among a select group of global partners chosen by OpenAI to scale Codex adoption in complex enterprise environments. The platform will support tasks such as code generation, refactoring, vulnerability detection, and legacy system upgrades, helping accelerate development cycles and improve code quality.

Cognizant said the integration of AI into its engineering processes is designed to reduce costs and risks associated with large-scale modernization projects, while enhancing productivity and governance.

Both companies aim to bring AI-powered software engineering solutions to clients worldwide, enabling faster innovation and more efficient enterprise technology transformation.
PRNewswire
Cognizant (Nasdaq: CTSH) will announce results for the first quarter of 2026 on Wednesday, April 29, 2026 before market open.
Cognizant has been appointed as a strategic industry partner by the UK government for its TechFirst programme, aimed at expanding access to careers in the technology sector.

Working with the UK Department for Science, Innovation and Technology, Cognizant will support initiatives designed to build digital skills and talent pipelines, including providing work placements, mentoring, and volunteering opportunities.

Over the next four years, the partnership aims to support more than 4,000 graduates, researchers, and innovators, while reaching up to one million secondary school students across the UK. Cognizant plans to offer 100 student placements and contribute 1,000 volunteering hours to help develop future tech talent.

The collaboration is part of the UK’s broader AI-focused strategy to address skills gaps and strengthen the workforce needed for a rapidly evolving technology landscape.
PRNewswire
Cognizant announced the launch of Cognizant AI Factory, a new enterprise platform designed to help organizations deploy and scale artificial intelligence across hybrid and multi-cloud environments.

The AI Factory is a multi-tenant cloud offering built on infrastructure from Dell Technologies and NVIDIA. It aims to provide a unified environment for managing the entire AI lifecycle, from experimentation and development to deployment and operational management.

A key component of the platform is Cognizant’s proprietary “fractional GPU” technology, which uses NVIDIA’s Multi-Instance GPU architecture to divide GPUs into secure slices. This allows multiple teams or clients to run AI workloads simultaneously while maximizing hardware utilization and maintaining data isolation.

The company said internal testing indicates the platform could reduce total cost of ownership by 50–60% and improve AI processing speeds by up to 30%, helping enterprises move from AI pilot projects to full-scale deployment more quickly. The offering includes sandbox environments for experimentation, pre-built AI development pipelines, governance tools and consumption-based pricing to support scalable enterprise adoption of AI.
PRNewswire
Cognizant released new research indicating that “plug-and-play” artificial intelligence solutions are largely ineffective for enterprises, with most organizations preferring customized AI systems developed by specialized IT service providers.

The study, based on a survey of 600 AI decision-makers and interviews with senior executives, found that companies prioritize tailored AI solutions and flexible service models over pricing when choosing an AI partner. Many organizations cited generic off-the-shelf AI tools, limited industry expertise and integration challenges as key reasons for rejecting vendors.

The research also highlights significant gaps between AI ambitions and current capabilities. About 63% of enterprises report moderate to large capability gaps, while major barriers to scaling AI include regulatory compliance concerns, difficulty proving return on investment, talent shortages and insufficient data readiness.

Despite these challenges, companies are increasing investment in AI. Around 84% of organizations maintain formal AI budgets, and 91% expect those budgets to grow over the next two years, with half anticipating double-digit increases.

Cognizant said the findings suggest enterprises are moving away from experimenting with standalone AI tools and instead seeking long-term partners capable of designing, integrating and managing full-scale AI systems across business operations.
PRNewswire
Cognizant Technology Solutions (Nasdaq: CTSH) has been selected by one of the world’s largest commercial vehicle manufacturers to modernize its global workplace services through a multi-year, AI-driven transformation.

The partnership will deploy Cognizant WorkNEXT™, an AI-powered digital workplace platform designed to enhance efficiency, automation and user experience across factories and offices worldwide. The initiative focuses on AI-first operations, zero-touch support and human-centric design to create a more resilient and adaptive work environment.

CEO Ravi Kumar S said the collaboration will embed artificial intelligence and automation at the core of workplace services, helping build a future-ready global workforce environment.

Source: PR Newswire, February 24, 2026.