European Investor
18 Aug 2026, 16:44
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Estimate for Q3 Slips to 4.0%
The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model lowered its estimate for U.S. economic growth in the third quarter of 2026 to 4.0%, down from the previous estimate of 4.3%.
Despite the downward revision, the estimate continues to point to a strong pace of U.S. economic expansion. A 4.0% annualized growth rate would indicate that economic activity remains resilient heading deeper into the second half of the year.
The slight downgrade from 4.3% suggests incoming economic data have modestly softened the model’s assessment of Q3 growth rather than signaling a major deterioration in the economic outlook.
The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model lowered its estimate for U.S. economic growth in the third quarter of 2026 to 4.0%, down from the previous estimate of 4.3%.
Despite the downward revision, the estimate continues to point to a strong pace of U.S. economic expansion. A 4.0% annualized growth rate would indicate that economic activity remains resilient heading deeper into the second half of the year.
The slight downgrade from 4.3% suggests incoming economic data have modestly softened the model’s assessment of Q3 growth rather than signaling a major deterioration in the economic outlook.
