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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.

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WS Investor 09-01-26

US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.

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The Investor 08-31-26

Chicago PMI Plunges to 47.1 in August, Signaling Renewed Contraction

Business activity in the Chicago region deteriorated sharply in August, with the Chicago PMI falling to 47.1 from 57.6 in July. The reading was far below the 57.8 market forecast and dropped beneath the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

The 10.5-point monthly decline pushed the Chicago Business Barometer into contraction territory for the first time since April and to its lowest level since December.

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The Investor 08-31-26

# S&P 500 Slips 0.25% as Hawkish Fed Message Pressures Technology Stocks

U.S. stocks ended Friday modestly lower as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, with rising Treasury yields weighing particularly heavily on technology and other rate-sensitive sectors.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%. The index had climbed above 7,770 earlier in the session before reversing around midday and remaining under pressure through the afternoon.

Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to bringing it back toward the 2% target. The remarks pushed Treasury yields higher as investors increased expectations for tighter monetary policy. Higher yields tend to pressure equity valuations, particularly for technology and other growth companies whose valuations depend more heavily on future earnings.

The sector breakdown showed a clear rotation. Information technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.29%, followed by utilities at 1.14%, industrials at 0.96% and real estate at 0.49%. In contrast, consumer discretionary jumped 1.69% and communication services gained 1.56%. Energy rose 0.59%, while financials advanced 0.34%.

The relatively small decline in the broader S&P 500 despite the technology selloff suggests investors were rotating rather than abandoning equities altogether. Consumer-oriented and communication stocks provided significant support, limiting the index’s losses.

The Fed and Treasury yields are likely to remain central to the market outlook. If incoming inflation and labor-market data reinforce expectations for higher rates, richly valued technology stocks could remain under pressure even as strength in other sectors provides some support to the broader market.

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WS Investor 08-29-26

U.S. Inflation Expectations Ease as Consumer Sentiment Beats Forecast

U.S. consumer inflation expectations eased in August, while consumer sentiment came in slightly stronger than expected, offering a somewhat favorable signal for the economic outlook.

The University of Michigan’s one-year inflation expectation fell to 4.0% from 4.2%, significantly below the 4.3% forecast. Longer-term five-year inflation expectations remained unchanged at 3.3%, matching expectations.

Consumer sentiment came in at 51.7, above the 51.0 forecast but down from 55.2 previously. Consumer expectations similarly beat forecasts at 51.5 versus 50.6, although they declined from 55.4.

Overall, the report is mixed but relatively favorable for markets. The decline in short-term inflation expectations could ease concerns about persistent price pressures and support expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve, while the better-than-expected sentiment figures suggest consumers are slightly more resilient than feared. However, the sharp decline in sentiment from the previous month still points to considerable caution among U.S. households.

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European Investor 08-28-26

U.S. Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected, Signaling Continued Labor-Market Strength

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 203,000, below expectations of 208,000 and down from 207,000 previously.

Continuing claims also improved, declining to 1.778 million from 1.796 million, better than the 1.790 million expected.

Both figures point to a still-resilient U.S. labor market. Lower initial claims suggest layoffs remain limited, while the decline in continuing claims indicates unemployed workers may be finding jobs somewhat more easily.

The report is moderately positive for the U.S. economic outlook, but stronger labor conditions could also reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy, particularly if inflation remains elevated.

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WS Investor 08-27-26

Nasdaq 100 Futures Jump 1.1% as Tech Sentiment Strengthens

Nasdaq 100 futures are up about 1.1% early Thursday, pointing to a strong open for U.S. technology stocks. The September contract is trading near 29,608, up roughly 319 points.

The move comes amid broad strength in major technology names following a busy round of earnings. NVIDIA is up around 7.5% in premarket trading after reporting a 106% year-over-year surge in quarterly revenue and 117% growth in Data Center sales. Salesforce is up about 13%, while CrowdStrike, Okta, Veeva and Nutanix are also posting strong premarket gains following their results.

AI remains the central driver of sentiment. NVIDIA’s $108 billion Q3 revenue outlook, continued acceleration in AI infrastructure spending, and strong enterprise AI commentary from Salesforce and CrowdStrike are reinforcing expectations that AI-related investment remains robust.

The futures rally therefore appears to be driven primarily by renewed strength across AI, software and cybersecurity stocks, with NVIDIA’s results providing the most important catalyst ahead of the U.S. market open.

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European Investor 08-27-26

US Stocks Open Slightly Lower as PCE Inflation Remains Elevated

US stocks opened modestly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed July inflation data that showed underlying price pressures remained persistent.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.07% to 7,671.53 shortly after the opening bell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15% to 53,499.19. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.28% to 26,079.36, underperforming the broader market.

Core PCE Holds at 3.3%

The Federal Reserve's closely watched core PCE price index increased 3.3% year over year in July, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations.

On a monthly basis, core PCE rose 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, but accelerating slightly from June's 0.1% increase.

Headline inflation delivered a somewhat firmer signal. The PCE price index rose 0.2% month over month, above the 0.1% expected and reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline. Annual headline PCE inflation came in at 3.7%, slightly above the 3.6% forecast but unchanged from June.

Inflation Data Keeps Fed Outlook in Focus

The figures suggest inflation remains sticky, with both headline and core PCE running well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While the core readings matched expectations, the hotter-than-forecast monthly headline figure offered little evidence of a decisive return toward price stability.

That may be contributing to the cautious start on Wall Street, particularly in rate-sensitive technology stocks, with the Nasdaq posting the largest decline among the three major indexes.

Investors will now assess whether persistent inflation pressures could keep US monetary policy restrictive for longer than previously anticipated.

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The Investor 08-26-26

U.S. Stocks Edge Higher Despite Weak Housing Data and Escalating Canada Trade War

U.S. stocks traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors weighed mixed economic data against a sharp escalation in trade tensions between the United States and Canada.

The Nasdaq Composite led gains, rising 0.60%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.27% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.11%.

U.S. Economic Data Sends Mixed Signals

ADP's weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increasing by 11,800, up from 9,500 previously, signaling continued resilience in the labor market.

Other data were weaker. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 89.4 in August from 90.2, missing the 90.3 forecast. New home sales also dropped sharply to an annualized 607,000 in July from 678,000 and came in below expectations of 620,000.

The softer housing and confidence readings could support expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy outlook, helping offset concerns about the labor market remaining relatively firm.

U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate

Trade developments added uncertainty to the session after Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about C$27.6 billion, or roughly $20 billion, of U.S. goods. The measures, scheduled to take effect September 8, will impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of product categories, including steel, aluminum, appliances, electronics, clothing and agricultural products.

Canada's action follows new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian imports after trade negotiations between the two countries broke down. President Donald Trump has also threatened further tariffs on Canadian automobiles and auto parts, increasing concerns about disruption to highly integrated North American supply chains.

Despite the escalation, U.S. equities remained positive, with technology stocks providing the strongest support to the broader market. Investors are now balancing expectations for easier monetary policy against the inflation and growth risks created by the expanding U.S.-Canada trade dispute.

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WS Investor 08-25-26

US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.

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European Investor 08-20-26

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