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Eurozone Inflation Jumps to 3.3% in August, Strengthening ECB Rate-Hike Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated sharply in August, increasing pressure on the European Central Bank as higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed into consumer prices.

Annual inflation rose to 3.3% from 2.9% in July, matching market expectations and moving further above the ECB’s 2% target. Energy was the main driver, with energy prices surging 14.3% year over year as crude oil and natural gas costs increased.

Underlying inflation offered a more encouraging signal. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, slightly below the 2.5% forecast. Services inflation also slowed to 3.0% from 3.3%, suggesting the energy shock has not yet developed into broad-based price pressure.

Meanwhile, the eurozone unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July, compared with expectations for 6.3%, indicating some softening in the labor market.

The inflation figures strengthen expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its September 10 meeting. Markets are increasingly expecting a 25-basis-point increase in the deposit rate to 2.50%, which would represent the ECB’s second rate hike this year.

The overall picture remains complicated for policymakers: headline inflation is accelerating because of the energy shock while core inflation and labor-market data are showing less pressure. This supports another near-term ECB hike but could make policymakers more cautious about committing to an extended tightening cycle.

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European Investor 09-01-26

French Economy Stagnates in Q2 as Inflation Edges Higher

France’s economy showed weaker-than-expected growth in the second quarter of 2026, with GDP unchanged on a quarterly basis. The 0.0% reading missed expectations for 0.2% growth and followed a 0.2% contraction in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP grew 0.5%, below the 0.7% forecast and slowing from 0.9% previously. The figures point to continued weakness in France’s economic activity.

Meanwhile, French consumer prices rose 0.7% month over month in August, matching expectations and slightly accelerating from the previous 0.6% increase.

Overall, the combination of stagnant growth and continued price pressures presents a challenging backdrop, reinforcing concerns about weak economic momentum while limiting the scope for more aggressive monetary easing.

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The Investor 08-28-26

France Jobseekers Rise in July, Signaling Softer Labor Market

The number of registered jobseekers in France increased to 3.143 million in July, up from 3.122 million in the previous period.

That represents an increase of roughly 21,500 jobseekers, or 0.7%, pointing to some weakening in French labor-market conditions.

The rise is a mildly negative signal for the French economy, suggesting employment conditions remain under pressure as businesses face subdued domestic demand and broader economic uncertainty.

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WS Investor 08-27-26

Eurozone Manufacturing Accelerates as Services Remain in Expansion

Eurozone business activity remained positive in August, with manufacturing showing a notable improvement.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 from 51.9, beating the 51.8 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

The Services PMI held at 51.7, slightly above expectations of 51.5 and remaining comfortably above the 50 expansion threshold.

Overall, the data point to resilient Eurozone activity, with the manufacturing recovery gaining momentum while services continue to expand at a steady pace.

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Global Finance News 08-21-26

France Manufacturing Rebounds in August While Services Contract Further

France’s private-sector data sent mixed signals in August, with manufacturing improving while services weakened.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 from 49.8, comfortably beating the 50.1 forecast and moving above the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

In contrast, the Services PMI fell to 48.4 from 49.6, missing expectations of 49.4 and signaling a deeper contraction in France’s much larger services sector.

Overall, the strong manufacturing rebound is encouraging, but continued services weakness suggests France’s broader economic recovery remains fragile.

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Global Finance News 08-21-26

Eurozone Inflation Rises to 2.9% in July, Core CPI Climbs to 2.5%

Eurozone inflation accelerated in July, with both headline and core consumer price growth moving higher from the previous month, keeping inflation pressures above the European Central Bank’s 2% target.

Annual CPI inflation came in at 2.9% in July, matching market expectations but rising from 2.8% previously. Core CPI, which excludes more volatile components and is closely watched for underlying price pressures, increased to 2.5% from 2.4%, also in line with forecasts.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2% after declining 0.1% in the previous month.

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WS News 08-19-26

Eurozone Investor Sentiment Rises More Than Expected in August

Eurozone investor confidence improved further in August, adding to signs that expectations for the region’s economic outlook are gradually strengthening.

The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index rose to 31.4 in August from 23.4 previously, comfortably beating market expectations of 25.9. A reading above zero indicates that more surveyed analysts expect economic conditions to improve rather than deteriorate over the coming six months.

The stronger Eurozone reading coincides with a notable improvement in Germany, where the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index climbed to 34.2 from 26.3 and also exceeded expectations.

The latest figures suggest financial-market participants are becoming increasingly optimistic about the European economic outlook. The European Commission’s broader sentiment indicators had already shown improvement in July, with economic sentiment strengthening in both the EU and Eurozone.

Overall, the August ZEW reading provides another positive forward-looking signal for the Eurozone economy. However, improving expectations will still need to translate into stronger underlying business activity for confidence in a sustained economic recovery to strengthen.

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Global Finance News 08-18-26

Eurozone Economy Expands 0.4% in Q2 as Growth Accelerates

The eurozone economy expanded by 0.4% quarter over quarter in the second quarter of 2026, matching market expectations and improving sharply from flat growth in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 1.0%, also in line with expectations and accelerating from 0.5% growth in the first quarter.

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Global Finance News 08-14-26

French Inflation Rebounds 0.6% in July, Matching Forecasts

French consumer prices rose 0.6% month over month in July 2026, matching market expectations and reversing the 0.3% decline recorded in June. France’s EU-harmonized HICP also increased 0.6% during the month, in line with forecasts.

The rebound was driven largely by higher services prices, including seasonal increases in transportation and accommodation, alongside rising energy costs. On an annual basis, headline CPI accelerated to 2.1% from 1.8%, while HICP inflation increased to 2.4% from 2.0%.

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WS Investor 08-14-26

Eurozone and UK Services Activity Improves in July as Germany Returns to Near Stability

Services sector activity across Europe showed further signs of stabilization in July, with the Eurozone and the UK both posting stronger-than-expected PMI readings, while Germany's services sector moved closer to returning to expansion.

Key July Services PMI Results

Germany HCOB Services PMI: 49.8 (Expected: 49.6 | Previous: 48.6)
Eurozone HCOB Services PMI: 51.7 (Expected: 51.6 | Previous: 49.4)
UK S&P Global Services PMI: 52.1 (Expected: 51.8 | Previous: 48.8)
France HCOB Services PMI: 49.6 (Expected: 49.8 | Previous: 46.8)

The Eurozone services sector remained in expansion territory, with the PMI rising to 51.7, comfortably above the 50-point threshold that separates growth from contraction. The stronger-than-expected reading suggests demand across the region continued to recover despite lingering geopolitical uncertainty and softer manufacturing activity.

Germany also delivered an encouraging report. Although its services PMI remained just below the 50 mark at 49.8, the improvement from 48.6 indicates that the country's services sector is approaching stabilization after several months of weakness.

The UK posted one of the strongest reports among the major European economies. The Services PMI climbed to 52.1, beating expectations and rebounding sharply from 48.8 in June, pointing to renewed momentum in the country's largest economic sector.

France remained the weakest performer. While the Services PMI improved significantly from 46.8 to 49.6, it still stayed just below the expansion threshold, indicating that activity continues to contract, albeit at a much slower pace.

Overall, the July PMI releases suggest that Europe's services sector is becoming an increasingly important source of economic resilience. The data may ease concerns about slowing growth and reinforce expectations that domestic demand remains relatively healthy even as manufacturing continues to face headwinds.

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Global Finance News 08-05-26

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