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Gold and Silver Rise After Weak U.S. Jobs Data Boosts Rate-Cut Expectations

Gold and silver moved higher on Friday after weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data strengthened expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy outlook.

December gold futures rose 0.57% to about $4,226 per ounce, while December silver futures gained 1.09% to around $61.84.

The move followed a notably soft September jobs report. Nonfarm payrolls increased by just 29,000, well below expectations of 89,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. Wage growth also cooled, with average hourly earnings rising 3.0% year over year, below the 3.2% consensus.

For precious metals, weaker labor-market data are supportive because they can increase expectations for lower interest rates and reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and silver.

Silver outperformed gold during the session, with the stronger percentage gain also reflecting its higher volatility and dual role as both a precious and industrial metal.

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WS News 10-02-26

Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Fall as Rising Treasury Yields Pressure Alternative Assets

Gold, silver and Bitcoin moved sharply lower on Monday as rising U.S. Treasury yields and renewed inflation concerns weighed on assets that do not generate income.

Gold futures fell 3.9% to about $4,151.80 an ounce, while silver dropped 5.5% to $61.24. Bitcoin declined 1.9% to around $82,924, extending the broader risk-off move across markets.

The selloff comes as U.S. bond yields continue to climb, with the 10-year Treasury yield moving above 5.2%. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold and silver, while also tightening financial conditions for speculative assets such as Bitcoin.

Rising oil prices are adding to the pressure by pushing inflation expectations higher. That makes investors less confident that the Federal Reserve will be able to ease monetary policy quickly and increases the possibility that interest rates remain elevated for longer.

Silver is underperforming gold because it carries both precious-metal and industrial exposure, making it more sensitive to shifts in growth expectations and market volatility. Bitcoin is also being pressured by the same higher-rate environment as investors reduce exposure to riskier assets.

The common theme across all three markets is the sharp rise in real and nominal yields. Unless Treasury yields stabilize, gold, silver and Bitcoin could remain vulnerable despite their different long-term investment narratives.

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The Investor 09-28-26

Gold steadies above $4,300 as oil eases and yields stay high - Kitco AM Report | Kitco News

Gold steadies above $4,300 as oil eases and ...

(kitco.com)

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The Investor 09-21-26

Gold and Bitcoin Rise as Investors Seek Safety and Risk Exposure After Fed Decision

Gold and Bitcoin moved higher Friday, with both assets benefiting from shifting expectations around inflation, interest rates and broader market risk sentiment.

December gold futures rose 0.60% to about $4,426 an ounce, extending gains as investors continued to assess the Federal Reserve’s latest rate increase and the outlook for inflation. Gold remained supported by demand for defensive assets, even as oil prices retreated and some immediate geopolitical supply concerns eased.

Bitcoin climbed 2.13% to around $78,019, recovering further from recent weakness. The cryptocurrency moved steadily higher through the session and briefly approached $78,500 as risk appetite improved.

The moves reflect different parts of the same macro environment. Gold is benefiting from continued demand for inflation protection and safe-haven exposure, while Bitcoin is drawing support from stronger appetite for higher-risk assets and renewed interest in crypto after the Fed’s policy decision reduced some uncertainty around the near-term rate outlook.

For both markets, the next major drivers are likely to be U.S. inflation data, Treasury yields, the dollar and any further signals from Federal Reserve officials about the possibility of additional rate increases.

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European Investor 09-18-26

Gold price holding near session highs as US pending home sales rise 0.3% | Kitco News

Gold price holding near session highs as ...

(kitco.com)

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The Investor 09-17-26

Gold Rises Nearly 1% as Treasury Yields and Dollar Ease Ahead of Fed Decision

Gold prices moved higher Wednesday, with December futures rising 0.98% to around $4,375 an ounce, recovering after recent pressure as investors prepared for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision later in the day.

The rebound was supported by a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and a softer dollar. The 10-year Treasury yield had climbed above 5% on Tuesday, its highest level since 2007, before easing Wednesday. Lower yields improve the relative appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold and bitcoin.

Oil prices also retreated after their recent surge, easing some concerns that higher energy costs could intensify inflation. Markets nevertheless continue to expect the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points, making the central bank’s guidance on the path of future rates particularly important for gold.

Geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East continues to provide some safe-haven support. For gold, the immediate focus is now on whether the Fed’s message pushes Treasury yields and the dollar higher again.

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European Investor 09-16-26

Gold Slides as Treasury Yields Surge, While Oil Rally Fuels Fed Rate-Hike Bets

Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday as surging U.S. Treasury yields and growing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike outweighed safe-haven demand generated by geopolitical tensions.

December gold futures dropped 1.13% to around $4,302.60 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

Oil prices are adding to the pressure. Brent crude remained above $100 a barrel, futures up 1.76% at $102.77. Escalating Middle East tensions and risks to energy infrastructure have intensified concerns that elevated oil prices could keep inflation persistent.

Those concerns have dramatically shifted expectations for this week’s Fed meeting. Markets are now pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate increase, compared with much lower expectations before the latest inflation and energy-price developments.

The combination of higher oil prices, rising Treasury yields and increasingly hawkish Fed expectations is currently overpowering gold’s traditional geopolitical safe-haven support. Investors will now focus on Wednesday’s Fed decision and, particularly, signals about whether further rate increases could follow.

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Global Finance News 09-15-26

The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike | Kitco News

The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike
...

(kitco.com)

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The Investor 09-12-26

Gold and Bitcoin End Volatile Week Lower as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

Gold and Bitcoin came under pressure this week as surging Treasury yields, persistent U.S. inflation and sharply higher oil prices strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

Gold December futures finished Friday at $4,408.90 per ounce, nearly unchanged on the day but down about 1.8% over five sessions. Spot gold lost roughly 1.5% for the week, marking a third consecutive weekly decline. Rising bond yields were the main headwind, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield approaching 5% as investors repriced the interest-rate outlook. (Reuters)

Inflation remained central to the selloff. August CPI rose 0.4% month over month and 3.4% annually, while core prices increased 0.3%. Markets ended the week pricing an approximately 87% probability of a Fed rate increase next week. Gold nevertheless attracted dip-buying on Friday, while geopolitical uncertainty continued to provide some safe-haven support. (Reuters)

Bitcoin followed a similar risk-off pattern, falling about 2.3% over five days to around $77,300. The cryptocurrency briefly approached $80,000 before retreating toward $77,000 as higher yields reduced investor appetite for non-yielding and higher-risk assets.

Oil added another layer of pressure. Brent gained more than 8% for the week despite retreating Friday to $104.61, as Middle East supply disruptions kept inflation concerns elevated.

Next week’s Federal Reserve decision is therefore the key catalyst for both assets. A rate hike accompanied by a hawkish outlook could keep gold and Bitcoin under pressure, while a less aggressive Fed message and a retreat in Treasury yields could provide room for a rebound.

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The Investor 09-12-26

Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Fall as Higher Yields Keep Pressure on Alternative Assets

Gold, silver and Bitcoin traded lower Friday as elevated Treasury yields and persistent uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook continued to weigh on non-yielding and risk-sensitive assets.

December gold futures fell 0.51% to $4,384.70 an ounce, although prices recovered substantially from an intraday low near $4,350. December silver declined 0.66% to $64.50 an ounce after also rebounding from earlier losses.

Bitcoin was down 1.04% over the past 24 hours at around $77,151. The cryptocurrency briefly fell toward $76,500 before recovering, but remained well below the $78,000 area seen earlier in the period.

The moves come after Thursday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. producer inflation data pushed Treasury yields sharply higher and revived concerns that the Fed could maintain a tighter policy stance. Meanwhile, oil prices remain above $100 a barrel despite Friday’s pullback, keeping energy-driven inflation risks in focus.

Investors are now turning their attention to Friday’s U.S. consumer inflation data, which could provide the next major signal for Treasury yields, the dollar, precious metals and Bitcoin ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting.

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European Investor 09-11-26

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Gold steadies above $4,300 as oil eases and yields stay high - Kitco AM Report | Kitco News

Gold price holding near session highs as US pending home sales rise 0.3% | Kitco News

The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike | Kitco News

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