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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.

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WS Investor 09-01-26

US Stocks Fall as Iran Tensions, Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday as renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher and revived concerns about inflation and interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 370 points, or 0.69%, to 53,189.64. The S&P 500 declined 0.50% to 7,673.22, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.45% to 26,284.22.

The main pressure came from the renewed U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces carried out fresh strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliation and raising fears of further disruption to one of the world's most important oil-shipping routes. Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel as geopolitical risk returned to energy markets.

Higher oil prices are particularly important for equities because they could add another layer of inflationary pressure just as investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish message at Jackson Hole last week, saying borrowing costs may need to rise if inflation does not move toward the central bank's 2% target. Markets now see a greater than 60% probability of a September rate increase, up sharply from 41.4% a week earlier (Reuters).

Economic data added another concern. The Chicago PMI plunged to 47.1 in August from 57.6, far below the 57.8 forecast. The move below 50 signaled a return to contraction in regional business activity, creating an uncomfortable combination of weaker growth signals and renewed inflation risks.

Treasury yields also remained elevated following Friday's jump after Warsh's comments. The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.76%, while longer-term yields remained under pressure from inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Energy stocks were among the few beneficiaries of the geopolitical escalation, with higher crude prices supporting oil producers, while most other S&P 500 sectors traded lower.

Investors will now turn their attention to this week's U.S. labor-market data, culminating in Friday's August jobs report. A weak employment report could reinforce concerns about slowing economic growth, while stronger data could further strengthen expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates despite signs of softer activity.

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The Investor 08-31-26

# S&P 500 Slips 0.25% as Hawkish Fed Message Pressures Technology Stocks

U.S. stocks ended Friday modestly lower as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, with rising Treasury yields weighing particularly heavily on technology and other rate-sensitive sectors.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%. The index had climbed above 7,770 earlier in the session before reversing around midday and remaining under pressure through the afternoon.

Warsh emphasized that inflation remains too high and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to bringing it back toward the 2% target. The remarks pushed Treasury yields higher as investors increased expectations for tighter monetary policy. Higher yields tend to pressure equity valuations, particularly for technology and other growth companies whose valuations depend more heavily on future earnings.

The sector breakdown showed a clear rotation. Information technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.29%, followed by utilities at 1.14%, industrials at 0.96% and real estate at 0.49%. In contrast, consumer discretionary jumped 1.69% and communication services gained 1.56%. Energy rose 0.59%, while financials advanced 0.34%.

The relatively small decline in the broader S&P 500 despite the technology selloff suggests investors were rotating rather than abandoning equities altogether. Consumer-oriented and communication stocks provided significant support, limiting the index’s losses.

The Fed and Treasury yields are likely to remain central to the market outlook. If incoming inflation and labor-market data reinforce expectations for higher rates, richly valued technology stocks could remain under pressure even as strength in other sectors provides some support to the broader market.

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WS Investor 08-29-26

US Stocks Open Slightly Lower as PCE Inflation Remains Elevated

US stocks opened modestly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed July inflation data that showed underlying price pressures remained persistent.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.07% to 7,671.53 shortly after the opening bell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15% to 53,499.19. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.28% to 26,079.36, underperforming the broader market.

Core PCE Holds at 3.3%

The Federal Reserve's closely watched core PCE price index increased 3.3% year over year in July, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations.

On a monthly basis, core PCE rose 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, but accelerating slightly from June's 0.1% increase.

Headline inflation delivered a somewhat firmer signal. The PCE price index rose 0.2% month over month, above the 0.1% expected and reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline. Annual headline PCE inflation came in at 3.7%, slightly above the 3.6% forecast but unchanged from June.

Inflation Data Keeps Fed Outlook in Focus

The figures suggest inflation remains sticky, with both headline and core PCE running well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While the core readings matched expectations, the hotter-than-forecast monthly headline figure offered little evidence of a decisive return toward price stability.

That may be contributing to the cautious start on Wall Street, particularly in rate-sensitive technology stocks, with the Nasdaq posting the largest decline among the three major indexes.

Investors will now assess whether persistent inflation pressures could keep US monetary policy restrictive for longer than previously anticipated.

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The Investor 08-26-26

U.S. Stocks Edge Higher Despite Weak Housing Data and Escalating Canada Trade War

U.S. stocks traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors weighed mixed economic data against a sharp escalation in trade tensions between the United States and Canada.

The Nasdaq Composite led gains, rising 0.60%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.27% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.11%.

U.S. Economic Data Sends Mixed Signals

ADP's weekly employment estimate showed private-sector employment increasing by 11,800, up from 9,500 previously, signaling continued resilience in the labor market.

Other data were weaker. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell to 89.4 in August from 90.2, missing the 90.3 forecast. New home sales also dropped sharply to an annualized 607,000 in July from 678,000 and came in below expectations of 620,000.

The softer housing and confidence readings could support expectations for a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy outlook, helping offset concerns about the labor market remaining relatively firm.

U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate

Trade developments added uncertainty to the session after Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on about C$27.6 billion, or roughly $20 billion, of U.S. goods. The measures, scheduled to take effect September 8, will impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of product categories, including steel, aluminum, appliances, electronics, clothing and agricultural products.

Canada's action follows new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian imports after trade negotiations between the two countries broke down. President Donald Trump has also threatened further tariffs on Canadian automobiles and auto parts, increasing concerns about disruption to highly integrated North American supply chains.

Despite the escalation, U.S. equities remained positive, with technology stocks providing the strongest support to the broader market. Investors are now balancing expectations for easier monetary policy against the inflation and growth risks created by the expanding U.S.-Canada trade dispute.

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WS Investor 08-25-26

US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.

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European Investor 08-20-26

Health Care and Consumer Stocks Lead U.S. Market as Technology Lags

U.S. equities remained broadly higher Wednesday afternoon, but sector performance showed a sharp divergence, with health care surging while technology and industrial stocks remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was up about 0.32% as of 2:38 p.m. ET, supported by strong gains in health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples and materials.

Moderna Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Fuels Health Care Rally

Health care was by far the strongest S&P 500 sector, jumping 3.59%, with a major catalyst coming from Moderna and Merck’s positive late-stage cancer-treatment results.

Moderna shares more than doubled after the companies reported that the personalized mRNA cancer therapy intismeran, when combined with Merck’s Keytruda, reduced the risk of melanoma recurrence and spread compared with Keytruda alone. Merck shares also jumped about 10%, while the news sparked a broader biotechnology rally. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index climbed more than 4%, with BioNTech and other mRNA-related stocks also advancing sharply.

The results are particularly significant because they provide late-stage evidence that Moderna’s mRNA technology could have substantial applications beyond infectious-disease vaccines, improving sentiment toward the broader biotechnology industry.

Consumer discretionary was the second-strongest S&P 500 sector, rising 1.93%, followed by consumer staples at 1.46% and materials at 1.29%. Communication services gained 0.65%, while real estate advanced 0.52%.

Treasury Support Helps Broader Market

The broader improvement in sentiment also follows the Treasury Department’s move to expand liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government securities. The action helped ease some of the recent pressure on Treasury yields, providing support to rate-sensitive areas of the equity market.

Real estate’s 0.52% advance is consistent with the easing in long-term yield pressure, as lower borrowing costs tend to improve the relative outlook for the sector.

Technology Remains Under Pressure

Despite the broader market advance, technology continued to lag. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector fell 0.65%, helping explain why the Nasdaq was struggling to participate in the broader rally.

Industrials were the weakest sector, declining 0.71%. Financials fell 0.28% and energy slipped 0.16%, while utilities edged 0.11% higher.

Wednesday’s sector performance therefore points to a significant rotation beneath the headline indexes. Rather than technology leading the market, the S&P 500’s advance is being driven primarily by health care — amplified by the Moderna-Merck cancer breakthrough — alongside strength in consumer and materials stocks.

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WS News 08-19-26

US Stocks Rise as Treasury Bond-Market Support Eases Yield Pressure

U.S. stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as the Treasury Department’s expanded bond-buyback operations continued to support sentiment by easing pressure in the government debt market.

The S&P 500 was up 0.37% at 7,719.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.46% to 53,588.62. The Nasdaq Composite, however, slipped 0.05% to 26,277.81, giving back its earlier gains as technology stocks lagged the broader market.

Treasury Intervention Brings Relief to Bonds and Stocks

The main catalyst supporting risk sentiment was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s move to bolster liquidity in the Treasury market. The department said it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities, increasing operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion and targeting the 10- to 30-year portion of the curve.

Bond yields dropped sharply following the announcement. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell about 6 basis points to around 4.65%, while the 30-year yield declined roughly 9 basis points to around 5.20%. Treasury prices and yields move inversely.

The action has provided some relief after the recent surge in long-term borrowing costs became a major headwind for equities. The 30-year Treasury yield had climbed to around 5.34% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades, amid concerns over government borrowing, inflation, the U.S.-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices.

Dow Leads While Nasdaq Loses Momentum

The latest market action shows a divergence beneath the headline indexes. The Dow is now outperforming with a 0.46% gain, while the S&P 500 remains moderately higher. The Nasdaq has reversed its earlier advance and is trading slightly lower.

The reversal suggests that lower Treasury yields have not been enough to sustain the initial rebound in technology stocks. Growth and technology shares remain particularly sensitive to changes in long-term rates because higher yields reduce the present value of expected future earnings.

For the broader market, however, Treasury intervention has eased one of Wall Street’s most immediate concerns and helped stabilize financial conditions.

Investors will continue to monitor the Treasury market, oil prices and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes are also in focus for additional clues about the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and interest rates.

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Global Finance News 08-19-26

S&P 500 Falls as Technology and Industrials Lead Sector Selloff

U.S. stocks remained under pressure Tuesday afternoon, with the S&P 500 down 0.58% as weakness in technology and industrial shares outweighed strong gains across defensive and energy sectors.

Information Technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.93%, making it a major drag on the broader index given its heavy weighting. Industrials followed with a 1.30% decline, while Communication Services fell 0.59% and Materials lost 0.58%.

Investors Rotate Toward Defensive Sectors

The selloff was far from uniform. Health Care led the market with a 1.75% gain, followed by Energy at +1.61% and Consumer Staples at +1.29%. Financials also advanced 0.63%.

The divergence points to a defensive rotation as investors reduce exposure to growth-sensitive areas while favoring sectors typically considered more resilient during periods of uncertainty.

Energy’s strength also comes amid elevated oil prices as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict keeps geopolitical risk and concerns about energy supplies in focus.

With technology falling nearly 2% while Health Care, Energy and Consumer Staples post sizable gains, Tuesday’s sector performance suggests risk appetite remains fragile even as parts of the market continue to outperform.

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WS News 08-18-26

U.S. Stocks Fall as Iran Conflict, Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher and intensified concerns about inflation and interest rates, with technology stocks leading the decline.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3% to 26,301, underperforming the broader market. The S&P 500 declined 0.49% to 7,707, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% at 53,429.

The risk-off move comes as hopes for a lasting resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict fade. Iran has shifted toward a more offensive military posture after efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while Washington declined to extend the temporary ceasefire.

Oil and Bond Yields Add Pressure

Energy markets remain one of the main channels through which the conflict is affecting U.S. equities. Brent crude rose for a third consecutive session Tuesday, trading around $91 per barrel and reaching its highest level in nearly three weeks as continued restrictions around the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about global oil supplies.

Higher oil prices are feeding concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

Those concerns have spilled into the bond market. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed as high as 5.327%, its highest level since 2007, while the benchmark 10-year yield was also around 4.73%. The rise in long-term yields reflects a combination of inflation concerns related to the conflict and oil prices, alongside broader worries about U.S. borrowing and debt issuance.

The combination of higher energy prices and rising bond yields is particularly challenging for growth and technology stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq's sharper decline.

Latest U.S. Data Point to Softer Economic Momentum

Tuesday's economic releases added another layer of uncertainty.

U.S. housing starts dropped 12.4% month-over-month in July to an annualized 1.239 million units, well below expectations of 1.340 million and down sharply from 1.415 million previously.

Industrial production increased just 0.2% month-over-month in July, below the 0.3% forecast and previous reading. On a year-over-year basis, production growth slowed to 1.08% from 1.29%.

The labor market offered a somewhat stronger signal. Weekly ADP employment growth came in at 9,500 jobs, up from 8,300 previously.

Taken together, the data point to uneven economic momentum: employment continues to expand, but housing activity weakened sharply and industrial production grew more slowly than expected.

For Wall Street, however, geopolitics remains the dominant driver Tuesday. As long as the U.S.-Iran conflict keeps Brent crude elevated and pushes longer-term Treasury yields higher, pressure on equity valuations — particularly in the technology sector — is likely to remain a central market risk.

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The Investor 08-18-26

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