NYSE:AAP

Advance Auto Parts Stock Plunges 20% as Weak DIY Demand Overshadows Margin Improvement

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE: AAP) shares plunged about 20% Thursday after the auto-parts retailer reported weak comparable sales and warned that tighter household budgets are weighing more heavily than expected on its DIY business.

Weak Consumer Demand Hits Sales

Second-quarter net sales were roughly flat at $2.0 billion, while comparable-store sales declined 0.5%. Management said professional sales grew at a low-single-digit rate, but DIY demand weakened sharply during the final four weeks of the quarter as consumers reduced discretionary spending.

Profitability improved substantially. Adjusted operating margin rose to 5.6% from 3.0%, while adjusted EPS increased to $1.03 from $0.69. However, tariff refunds contributed about $0.31 per share to adjusted EPS, meaning a meaningful portion of the earnings improvement came from a non-recurring benefit.

Outlook Signals a Cautious Second Half

Advance Auto Parts maintained its full-year comparable-sales guidance of 1%-2% and adjusted operating margin outlook of 3.8%-4.5%. Adjusted EPS guidance was actually raised to $2.60-$3.30, primarily because of higher expected interest income.

However, the company reduced planned store openings to 30-35 from 40-45, another indication of a more cautious operating environment.

Why AAP Stock Is Down 20%

The sharp selloff appears to reflect concern about the quality and sustainability of the turnaround. Margins and earnings improved, but comparable sales remained negative, DIY demand deteriorated late in the quarter, and part of the EPS improvement came from tariff refunds.

Investors therefore appear to be focusing less on the headline earnings improvement and more on weakening consumer demand and uncertainty over whether Advance Auto Parts can sustain its margin recovery through the second half of 2026.
Advance Auto Parts Slips 1.14% as Turnaround Progress Meets Modest Full-Year Guidance

Advance Auto Parts edged down 1.14% on Friday after the automotive aftermarket parts retailer reported its strongest comparable sales growth in five years and a dramatic swing to profitability, yet failed to generate positive market momentum as investors weighed the modest full-year guidance against a valuation that demands more convincing evidence of a durable recovery.

First quarter net sales were $2.6 billion, essentially flat year over year, but this comparison is distorted by approximately $51 million in sales from stores closed during Q1 2025 as part of the 2024 Restructuring Plan. On a comparable store basis, sales grew 3.5% — the strongest performance in five years — with mid-single digit growth in the professional installer channel and low-single digit growth in DIY. Gross margin expanded 220 basis points to 45.1%, driven by merchandising initiatives and the absence of approximately 90 basis points of atypical headwind from the prior year store optimization program.

The operating turnaround was the headline achievement. Adjusted operating income swung from a loss of $8 million in Q1 2025 to a profit of $99 million, representing a 410 basis point expansion in adjusted operating income margin to 3.8%. Adjusted diluted EPS turned sharply positive at $0.77, compared to a loss of $0.22 a year ago. SG&A as a percentage of net sales improved to 41.3% from 43.2% on an adjusted basis.

CEO Shane O'Kelly pointed to sequential improvement in transactions and strong customer service execution as the drivers of the comparable sales improvement, framing the quarter as evidence that the company's strategic priorities are gaining traction after a painful restructuring period.

Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed at net sales of $8.485 billion to $8.575 billion, comparable store sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0%, adjusted operating income margin of 3.8% to 4.5% and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.40 to $3.10. The wide EPS guidance range and modest comparable sales outlook signal that management is still operating with limited visibility into the recovery trajectory.

The 1.14% decline likely reflects a market that found the Q1 improvement encouraging but the full-year guidance uninspiring — adjusted EPS of $2.40 to $3.10 implies meaningful deceleration from Q1's $0.77 annualized run rate, and with comparable sales guided to slow from 3.5% to 1.0% to 2.0% for the full year, the momentum question remains open. For a stock that has fallen dramatically from its peak, the turnaround needs to show more consistent acceleration before investors are willing to step in with conviction.
Advance Auto Parts Releases Preliminary Q2 2025 Results: Sales Flat, Margin Improving

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE: AAP) announced preliminary Q2 2025 results, with net sales of $1.98–$2.00 billion and comparable store sales flat to up 0.1%. Adjusted operating margin is expected between 2.8% and 3.0%.
CEO Shane O’Kelly noted progress in the company’s turnaround efforts. CFO Ryan Grimsland added that a revised debt structure will boost liquidity and support vendor financing programs.

Final Q2 results will be released on August 14, 2025.
Advance Auto Parts Reports Q1 2025 Loss Amid Store Closures, Reaffirms Full-Year Outlook

Advance Auto Parts reported a first quarter 2025 operating loss of $131 million on net sales of $2.6 billion, compared to operating income of $53 million on $2.8 billion in sales a year earlier. The decline was driven by store closure-related liquidation sales and higher labor expenses. Comparable store sales decreased 0.6%, excluding over 500 stores closed as part of the company’s ongoing footprint optimization initiative.

Gross profit fell to $1.1 billion (42.9% margin), down from $1.2 billion (43.4%) last year, and SG&A expenses increased to 48.0% of sales due to restructuring costs. On an adjusted basis, the company posted an operating loss of $8 million and an adjusted EPS loss of $0.22. Despite the weak results, GAAP net income rose to $24 million ($0.40 per diluted share), aided by a one-time $126 million tax benefit.

Cash flow from operations worsened to an outflow of $156 million from $3 million in Q1 2024, with free cash flow at negative $198 million.

The company reaffirmed its 2025 full-year guidance:
• Net sales between $8.4 billion and $8.6 billion
• Comparable store sales growth of 0.5% to 1.5%
• Adjusted EPS between $1.50 and $2.50
• Up to 30 new stores and 10 new market hubs

CEO Shane O’Kelly noted encouraging trends in Pro segment sales and emphasized the company's focus on turnaround initiatives despite headwinds from recently imposed tariffs.
Advance Auto Parts Executive Herman Word to Retire After 20+ Years

Raleigh, NC – March 20, 2025 – Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE: AAP) announced the upcoming retirement of Herman L. Word, Jr., Executive Vice President of Professional, Independents and Canada. Mr. Word will step into a transition role effective April 15, 2025, and fully retire on May 16, 2025.

In accordance with his amended employment agreement, Mr. Word will receive compensation for resignation for good reason. The company expressed its gratitude for his more than two decades of service and leadership.
Advance Auto Parts reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, reflecting a year of restructuring and strategic realignment. The company focused on repositioning itself for long-term success by divesting non-core assets, closing non-strategic stores, and optimizing its supply chain. Leadership changes and enhanced frontline support were also part of these initiatives.

For the fourth quarter of 2024, net sales reached $2.0 billion, a 0.9% decline from the previous year, with comparable store sales down 1.0%. Gross profit was $347.1 million or 17.4% of net sales, while adjusted gross profit stood at $778.6 million or 39.0%. The operating loss was $820.0 million, primarily due to restructuring costs, with an adjusted operating loss of $99.4 million. The diluted loss per share was $10.16, with an adjusted diluted loss per share of $1.18.

For the full year 2024, net sales totaled $9.1 billion, a 1.2% decrease from 2023. Comparable store sales declined by 0.7%. Gross profit was $3.4 billion or 37.5% of net sales, while adjusted gross profit reached $3.8 billion or 42.2%. The operating loss for the year was $713.3 million, with an adjusted operating income of $35.2 million. The full-year diluted loss per share was $9.80, with an adjusted diluted loss per share of $0.29. Free cash flow resulted in an outflow of $40.3 million, an improvement from the previous year’s $83.9 million outflow.

The company outlined its strategic priorities for 2025-2027, focusing on merchandising excellence, supply chain improvements, and store operations standardization. Plans include consolidating distribution centers, opening 60 market hubs, and accelerating new store openings. For 2025, the company forecasts net sales between $8.4 billion and $8.6 billion, comparable store sales growth of 0.5% to 1.5%, adjusted operating income margin of 2.0% to 3.0%, and adjusted diluted EPS between $1.50 and $2.50.

First-quarter 2025 expectations include net sales of approximately $2.5 billion, a 2% decline in comparable store sales, and an adjusted operating income margin of approximately -2.0%. The company aims to reach $9 billion in net sales and a 7.0% adjusted operating margin by 2027.

Advance Auto Parts continues its restructuring efforts, including closing around 500 stores, 200 independent locations, and four distribution centers by mid-2025. The company also finalized the sale of its Worldpac business, which contributed to its net income from discontinued operations. Liquidity remains strong, with $1.9 billion in cash and cash equivalents at year-end.

An investor conference call is scheduled for February 26, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results and strategic plans.
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08-20-26WS Investor