Canada

Canada Adds 75,100 Jobs in July as TSX Rises 0.4%

Canada's labor market delivered a much stronger-than-expected performance in July, while Canadian stocks traded higher as investors assessed the implications of the latest economic data.

The S&P/TSX Composite Index was up 0.39% at 36,275.76 in late-morning trading, gaining about 139 points on the session.

Employment increased by 75,100 in July, dramatically exceeding expectations for a gain of 17,800 and accelerating from the previous month's 18,200 increase.

The unemployment rate also unexpectedly improved, falling to 6.4% from 6.5%. Economists had expected the rate to remain at 6.5%.

Strong Jobs Report Signals Labor Market Resilience

The combination of significantly stronger job creation and a lower unemployment rate points to greater resilience in Canada's labor market than economists had anticipated.

The magnitude of the employment surprise is particularly notable, with Canada adding more than four times the number of jobs expected by economists.

For monetary policy, the report could reduce the urgency for the Bank of Canada to provide additional easing. A stronger labor market can support household income and consumer demand, potentially limiting the need for lower interest rates if inflationary pressures remain persistent.

Ivey PMI Shows Slower but Continued Expansion

Separate data offered a somewhat softer signal on Canadian economic activity.

The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index fell to 55.1 in July from 56.2 previously and came in slightly below the 55.4 consensus estimate.

However, the index remained comfortably above 50, indicating that activity continued to expand despite the slowdown from June.

TSX Advances Despite Reduced Rate-Cut Expectations

Canadian equities remained positive following the data, with the S&P/TSX Composite gaining 0.39% to 36,275.76.

The market reaction suggests investors are currently placing greater weight on the economic resilience indicated by the strong employment numbers than on the possibility that a stronger labor market could reduce expectations for additional Bank of Canada rate cuts.

Overall, Friday's data paint a relatively constructive picture of the Canadian economy. Employment growth substantially exceeded expectations, unemployment declined and business activity remained in expansion territory. The key question for markets will be whether this resilience continues without generating renewed inflation pressure that could keep Canadian interest rates higher for longer.
Canada's Trade Surplus Expands More Than Expected in June

Canada's trade surplus widened to C$3.86 billion in June, exceeding market expectations of C$3.00 billion and improving from a revised C$3.70 billion in May, signaling continued resilience in the country's external trade position.

The stronger-than-expected surplus suggests Canadian exports remained solid despite ongoing uncertainty in the global economy, providing additional support for overall economic growth.
Canadian Economy Grows More Than Expected in June

Canada's economy expanded faster than expected in June, providing another sign of resilience despite elevated interest rates.

Monthly GDP rose 0.3% in June, exceeding economists' expectations of a 0.2% increase. The stronger-than-expected reading suggests economic activity gained momentum toward the end of the second quarter, supported by broad-based growth across the economy.
Canada’s Inflation Cools Sharply in June, Reinforcing Expectations for Policy Easing

Canada’s inflation slowed more than expected in June, adding to evidence that price pressures continue to ease and strengthening expectations that the Bank of Canada could have room to further ease monetary policy.

Headline consumer prices fell 0.4% month over month, a larger decline than the expected 0.2% decrease, following a 1.0% increase in May. The softer reading points to a notable moderation in inflationary pressures after the previous month’s strong rebound.

Underlying inflation also cooled significantly. Core CPI increased just 0.1% from the previous month, slowing sharply from May’s 0.6% gain.
Canada's Economy Rebounds in April, Slows in Preliminary May Estimate

Canada's economy rebounded in April, with monthly GDP rising 0.5%, exceeding economists' expectations of 0.4% and recovering from a 0.1% contraction in March.

The stronger-than-expected April reading suggests economic activity regained momentum, supported by improvements across key sectors despite ongoing global economic uncertainty.

Statistics Canada's preliminary estimate indicated GDP growth moderated to 0.1% in May.
Canada's wholesale sales declined in May, signaling softer business activity and pointing to weaker momentum in the country's distribution sector.

Wholesale sales fell 0.7% month-over-month in May, reversing April's 0.6% increase. The decline suggests businesses experienced slower demand, likely reflecting a combination of cautious inventory management and a moderation in economic activity.
Canadian Inflation Accelerates Sharply in May

Canadian inflation accelerated in May, with consumer prices rising 1.0% month-over-month, well above economists' expectations of 0.7% and up from 0.4% in April.

Underlying inflation pressures also strengthened. Core CPI increased 0.6% from the previous month, accelerating significantly from April's 0.2% rise. The stronger core reading suggests price increases were broad-based and not limited to a few volatile categories.
Canadian Retail Sales Rise as Consumer Spending Remains Resilient

Canadian retail sales increased 1.0% month-over-month in May, accelerating from April's 0.6% gain and pointing to stronger consumer spending momentum.

However, underlying trends were less robust. Core retail sales, which exclude certain volatile categories, rose just 0.1% in April, well below economists' expectations of 0.8% and slowing sharply from the previous month's 1.2% increase.
Canadian Housing Market Shows Resilience as Wholesale Sales Beat Expectations

Canada's economy delivered mixed but generally encouraging signals on Monday, as housing construction activity exceeded expectations and wholesale sales posted stronger-than-forecast growth.

Housing starts came in at an annualized rate of 261,400 units in May, surpassing economists' expectations of 255,000 units. While the figure was below April's 278,400 units, the result suggests that homebuilding activity remains relatively resilient despite elevated borrowing costs and affordability challenges.

Meanwhile, wholesale sales increased 0.6% month-over-month in April, significantly outperforming forecasts for a 0.1% gain. Although sales growth slowed from March's robust 1.6% increase, the latest data points to continued strength in business activity and inventory movement across the Canadian economy.

Overall, the data indicate that Canada's economy remains on stable footing, with key sectors continuing to expand even as growth moderates from earlier highs.
Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rates Steady at 2.25%

The Bank of Canada left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, matching market expectations and marking another pause in its monetary policy easing cycle.
Video Thumbnail
05-23-26Global Finance News
Video Thumbnail
05-21-26WS News
Video Thumbnail
04-27-26European Investor
Video Thumbnail
04-08-26Global Finance News
Video Thumbnail
03-13-26WS Investor