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Gold and Bitcoin Rise as Investors Seek Safety and Risk Exposure After Fed Decision

Gold and Bitcoin moved higher Friday, with both assets benefiting from shifting expectations around inflation, interest rates and broader market risk sentiment.

December gold futures rose 0.60% to about $4,426 an ounce, extending gains as investors continued to assess the Federal Reserve’s latest rate increase and the outlook for inflation. Gold remained supported by demand for defensive assets, even as oil prices retreated and some immediate geopolitical supply concerns eased.

Bitcoin climbed 2.13% to around $78,019, recovering further from recent weakness. The cryptocurrency moved steadily higher through the session and briefly approached $78,500 as risk appetite improved.

The moves reflect different parts of the same macro environment. Gold is benefiting from continued demand for inflation protection and safe-haven exposure, while Bitcoin is drawing support from stronger appetite for higher-risk assets and renewed interest in crypto after the Fed’s policy decision reduced some uncertainty around the near-term rate outlook.

For both markets, the next major drivers are likely to be U.S. inflation data, Treasury yields, the dollar and any further signals from Federal Reserve officials about the possibility of additional rate increases.

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European Investor 09-18-26

Gold price holding near session highs as US pending home sales rise 0.3% | Kitco News

Gold price holding near session highs as ...

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The Investor 09-17-26

Gold Rises Nearly 1% as Treasury Yields and Dollar Ease Ahead of Fed Decision

Gold prices moved higher Wednesday, with December futures rising 0.98% to around $4,375 an ounce, recovering after recent pressure as investors prepared for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision later in the day.

The rebound was supported by a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and a softer dollar. The 10-year Treasury yield had climbed above 5% on Tuesday, its highest level since 2007, before easing Wednesday. Lower yields improve the relative appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold and bitcoin.

Oil prices also retreated after their recent surge, easing some concerns that higher energy costs could intensify inflation. Markets nevertheless continue to expect the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points, making the central bank’s guidance on the path of future rates particularly important for gold.

Geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East continues to provide some safe-haven support. For gold, the immediate focus is now on whether the Fed’s message pushes Treasury yields and the dollar higher again.

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European Investor 09-16-26

Gold Slides as Treasury Yields Surge, While Oil Rally Fuels Fed Rate-Hike Bets

Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday as surging U.S. Treasury yields and growing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike outweighed safe-haven demand generated by geopolitical tensions.

December gold futures dropped 1.13% to around $4,302.60 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

Oil prices are adding to the pressure. Brent crude remained above $100 a barrel, futures up 1.76% at $102.77. Escalating Middle East tensions and risks to energy infrastructure have intensified concerns that elevated oil prices could keep inflation persistent.

Those concerns have dramatically shifted expectations for this week’s Fed meeting. Markets are now pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate increase, compared with much lower expectations before the latest inflation and energy-price developments.

The combination of higher oil prices, rising Treasury yields and increasingly hawkish Fed expectations is currently overpowering gold’s traditional geopolitical safe-haven support. Investors will now focus on Wednesday’s Fed decision and, particularly, signals about whether further rate increases could follow.

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Global Finance News 09-15-26

The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike | Kitco News

The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike
...

(kitco.com)

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The Investor 09-12-26

Gold and Bitcoin End Volatile Week Lower as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

Gold and Bitcoin came under pressure this week as surging Treasury yields, persistent U.S. inflation and sharply higher oil prices strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

Gold December futures finished Friday at $4,408.90 per ounce, nearly unchanged on the day but down about 1.8% over five sessions. Spot gold lost roughly 1.5% for the week, marking a third consecutive weekly decline. Rising bond yields were the main headwind, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield approaching 5% as investors repriced the interest-rate outlook. (Reuters)

Inflation remained central to the selloff. August CPI rose 0.4% month over month and 3.4% annually, while core prices increased 0.3%. Markets ended the week pricing an approximately 87% probability of a Fed rate increase next week. Gold nevertheless attracted dip-buying on Friday, while geopolitical uncertainty continued to provide some safe-haven support. (Reuters)

Bitcoin followed a similar risk-off pattern, falling about 2.3% over five days to around $77,300. The cryptocurrency briefly approached $80,000 before retreating toward $77,000 as higher yields reduced investor appetite for non-yielding and higher-risk assets.

Oil added another layer of pressure. Brent gained more than 8% for the week despite retreating Friday to $104.61, as Middle East supply disruptions kept inflation concerns elevated.

Next week’s Federal Reserve decision is therefore the key catalyst for both assets. A rate hike accompanied by a hawkish outlook could keep gold and Bitcoin under pressure, while a less aggressive Fed message and a retreat in Treasury yields could provide room for a rebound.

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The Investor 09-12-26

Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Fall as Higher Yields Keep Pressure on Alternative Assets

Gold, silver and Bitcoin traded lower Friday as elevated Treasury yields and persistent uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook continued to weigh on non-yielding and risk-sensitive assets.

December gold futures fell 0.51% to $4,384.70 an ounce, although prices recovered substantially from an intraday low near $4,350. December silver declined 0.66% to $64.50 an ounce after also rebounding from earlier losses.

Bitcoin was down 1.04% over the past 24 hours at around $77,151. The cryptocurrency briefly fell toward $76,500 before recovering, but remained well below the $78,000 area seen earlier in the period.

The moves come after Thursday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. producer inflation data pushed Treasury yields sharply higher and revived concerns that the Fed could maintain a tighter policy stance. Meanwhile, oil prices remain above $100 a barrel despite Friday’s pullback, keeping energy-driven inflation risks in focus.

Investors are now turning their attention to Friday’s U.S. consumer inflation data, which could provide the next major signal for Treasury yields, the dollar, precious metals and Bitcoin ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting.

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European Investor 09-11-26

Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Slide as Surging Treasury Yields Trigger Broad Selloff

Gold, silver and Bitcoin fell sharply Thursday as rising U.S. Treasury yields and renewed inflation concerns pressured both precious metals and cryptocurrencies.

December gold futures dropped 1.23% to $4,405.70 an ounce, while December silver futures plunged 4.98% to $65.23. Bitcoin fell 2.71% over 24 hours to around $77,016, briefly approaching $76,700.

The selloff came as the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to around 4.92%, its highest level since late 2023. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and silver and can also tighten financial conditions for risk assets including Bitcoin.

Inflation concerns intensified after August U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% month over month and 5.4% year over year, slightly above the 5.3% annual forecast. At the same time, Brent crude surged above $104 a barrel as supply disruptions and a sharp decline in Saudi production heightened fears that energy costs could keep inflation elevated.

Silver significantly underperformed gold, reflecting its greater volatility and sensitivity to both investment flows and industrial demand. Bitcoin also came under pressure as higher bond yields reduced investors’ appetite for risk.

Markets now turn to Friday’s U.S. CPI report. Another strong inflation reading could reinforce expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy and keep upward pressure on Treasury yields, creating further headwinds for precious metals and cryptocurrencies.

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WS News 09-10-26

Gold and Bitcoin Rise as Middle East Tensions Drive Volatility Across Markets

Gold and Bitcoin moved higher Wednesday as escalating Middle East tensions, oil prices above $100 and renewed inflation concerns drove volatility across global markets.

December gold futures rose 0.77% to $4,473.10 per ounce, extending an intraday rebound as investors sought traditional safe-haven assets. Spot gold was also higher on the day as global equities declined.

Geopolitical risk remains a major catalyst. Brent crude climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as renewed U.S.-Iran attacks, strikes on tankers and attacks on Saudi energy facilities intensified concerns over Middle East oil supplies. Brent reached an intraday high of $100.90, while flows through the Strait of Hormuz have fallen sharply.

Bitcoin also advanced, rising 1.76% over the past 24 hours to around $79,303 after trading below $78,000 earlier in the period. The cryptocurrency’s recovery came despite pressure on U.S. equities and rising Treasury yields, suggesting some improvement in crypto risk appetite.

However, higher oil prices create a competing risk for both assets. The energy surge is increasing inflation concerns and strengthening the case for tighter monetary policy. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.81%, near a three-year high, as markets await producer and consumer inflation reports later this week.

Gold is currently benefiting more directly from safe-haven demand, while Bitcoin remains sensitive to the outlook for interest rates and broader risk sentiment. Upcoming U.S. inflation data could therefore be the next major catalyst for both markets.

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WS Investor 09-09-26

Brent Nears $100 as U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate, While Gold Falls on Rate-Hike Fears

Brent crude surged toward the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level on Tuesday as the U.S.-Iran conflict intensified, while gold moved sharply lower as rising oil prices reinforced inflation concerns and expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy.

Brent futures climbed 2.51% to $98.70 per barrel, reaching an intraday high above $99. The rally comes as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely disrupted. Geopolitical tensions have continued to deteriorate. Iran has threatened retaliation for further U.S. attacks and warned that energy infrastructure across the Gulf could be targeted. Tehran is also preparing a new restricted maritime zone around the Gulf and Hormuz area. Meanwhile, Iran-backed Houthi forces attacked Saudi energy facilities on Tuesday, further expanding concerns about regional energy infrastructure. (Reuters)

Gold, however, has not benefited from the escalating geopolitical risk. December futures fell *0.83% to $4,439.50*, extending their retreat after Friday’s strong U.S. employment report.

The key connection is oil. Higher crude prices increase the risk that energy costs will reignite inflation, potentially forcing the Fed to maintain tighter monetary policy. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 60% probability of a Fed rate hike. Higher expected rates raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

The U.S.-Iran conflict is therefore producing an unusual divergence: Brent is benefiting directly from fears of physical supply disruption, while gold’s traditional safe-haven support is being overwhelmed by the inflation and interest-rate implications of the oil surge. U.S. inflation data later this week will be crucial for determining whether that divergence continues.

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Global Finance News 09-08-26

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