Brazil

Brazil Retail Sales Rise 0.2% in September, Beating Expectations

Brazilian retail sales increased 0.2% month over month in September, outperforming expectations for a 0.2% decline and matching the previous month’s gain.

On an annual basis, retail sales rose 1.7%, above the 1.0% forecast and accelerating from 0.5% previously.

The stronger-than-expected figures suggest consumer spending remained resilient heading into the fourth quarter, with both monthly and yearly growth exceeding market expectations.
Brazil Inflation Rises to 4.63% in October but Comes in Below Forecast

Brazil’s consumer price inflation accelerated to 4.63% year over year in October, up from 4.58% in the previous month but below the 4.74% market forecast.

The softer-than-expected reading suggests inflation pressures increased only modestly and may provide some relief to policymakers, particularly after concerns that price growth could reaccelerate more sharply.
Brazil Retail Sales Barely Rise in August, Missing Expectations

Brazilian retail sales increased just 0.1% month over month in August, well below the 0.7% gain expected by economists. The reading nevertheless marked an improvement from the previous month’s 0.8% decline.

On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 0.4%, also significantly weaker than the 1.5% consensus estimate and slowing from 1.3% previously.
Brazil Inflation Accelerates to 4.58% in September, Above Expectations

Brazil’s annual consumer inflation rate rose to 4.58% in September, exceeding the 4.50% consensus estimate and accelerating from 4.22% previously.

The stronger-than-expected reading suggests inflation pressures picked up again during the month, potentially complicating the outlook for monetary policy.
Brazil Gross Debt-to-GDP Ratio Rises to 82.9% in August

Brazil’s gross debt-to-GDP ratio increased to 82.9% in August from 82.5% previously, though the reading came in slightly below the 83.1% expected by economists.

The increase points to continued fiscal pressure, with public debt remaining elevated relative to the size of the economy.
Brazil Unemployment Rate Holds at 5.3% in August

Brazil’s unemployment rate remained at 5.3% in August, matching both market expectations and the previous reading.

The unchanged figure suggests the labor market remained relatively tight, with no clear deterioration in employment conditions during the month.
Brazil Foreign Direct Investment Reaches $7.4 Billion in August

Brazil recorded $7.40 billion in foreign direct investment in August, above the $6.90 billion market forecast.

The figure was only slightly below the previous month’s $7.46 billion, suggesting foreign investment inflows remained relatively strong despite broader global financial-market volatility
Brazil Cuts Interest Rate to 13.75%, Matching Expectations

Brazil’s central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 13.75% on September 17, continuing the gradual easing of monetary policy.

The decision was in line with market expectations. The Selic rate had previously stood at 14.00%, meaning the latest move represents another step down from the considerably higher interest-rate levels seen earlier in the cycle.
Brazil Retail Sales Fall 0.8% in July, Missing Forecasts

Brazilian retail sales weakened more than expected in July, adding to signs of softer consumer demand in Latin America’s largest economy.

Retail sales fell 0.8% month over month, compared with expectations for a 0.2% decline and following a 0.3% increase previously. On an annual basis, sales rose just 1.2%, well below the 2.2% forecast and slowing from 2.8%
Brazil Inflation Slows to 4.22% in August, Below Expectations

Brazil’s annual inflation rate eased more than expected in August, providing a positive signal for the country’s inflation outlook.

Consumer prices increased 4.22% year-over-year, below the 4.27% market forecast and slowing from 4.44% previously. The decline indicates that inflationary pressures continued to moderate during the month.
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07-10-25WS News