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Gold and Bitcoin Rally as Democratic Midterm Sweep Reshapes U.S. Market Outlook

Gold and Bitcoin moved sharply higher on Wednesday while market volatility declined as investors digested a sweeping Democratic victory in the U.S. midterm elections that handed the party control of both the House and Senate.

Democrats captured both chambers of Congress in the November 3 elections, creating a divided government with Republican President Donald Trump and raising expectations that parts of the administration’s legislative agenda could face greater resistance during the second half of his term.

Gold futures jumped 2.9% to about $4,055 an ounce in early trading, rebounding strongly above the $4,000 level. The move coincided with a weaker U.S. dollar and a post-election rally in Treasuries. The move is particularly notable because gold had struggled as a traditional safe haven in the weeks leading into the election. The post-election rebound suggests that falling yields, dollar weakness and renewed political uncertainty may be providing support for the non-yielding metal.

Bitcoin also recovered strongly, rising 1.6% to around $78,200 after briefly falling below $76,000 overnight. The rebound came as broader risk sentiment stabilized following the election result. Lower interest-rate expectations can provide support for speculative assets such as cryptocurrencies, although Bitcoin has also been dealing with crypto-specific volatility following recent market disruptions.

Treasury markets showed an important shift around the election. The 10-year yield had closed November 3 at about 4.95%, up 1.2% on the day, but yields subsequently moved lower as investors assessed the implications of Democratic congressional control.

Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index fell 8.2% to 19.13. The decline in the VIX suggests that the removal of election uncertainty outweighed immediate concerns about political confrontation in Washington.

The market response therefore presents an unusual combination: gold is benefiting from lower yields and political uncertainty, Bitcoin is rebounding alongside improving risk appetite, and volatility is declining as investors gain greater clarity over the political landscape.

The Democratic sweep could still create significant sector-level consequences. With Congress now positioned to challenge Trump administration policies and increase oversight, markets are likely to focus increasingly on fiscal spending, tariffs, energy policy and regulation of the rapidly expanding AI and data-center industries.

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European Investor 11-04-26

U.S. 2-Year Treasury Yield Falls at Auction

The U.S. Treasury’s latest 2-year note auction cleared at a yield of 4.708%, down from 4.787% at the previous auction.

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Global Finance News 10-26-26

### U.S. 3-Year Treasury Auction Yield Jumps to 4.932%

The U.S. Treasury’s latest 3-year note auction cleared at a yield of 4.932%, sharply above the 4.474% yield at the previous auction.

The higher yield indicates investors demanded significantly more compensation to hold short- to intermediate-term government debt, reflecting renewed upward pressure on Treasury borrowing costs.

The result may reinforce market concerns that interest rates could remain elevated for longer, particularly as investors continue to assess inflation, labor-market resilience and the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.

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The Investor 10-06-26

The deeper reason behind the relentless rise in bond yields

Ignore hysteria calls on rising bond yields.

(finance.yahoo.com)

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WS News 09-28-26

U.S. 7-Year Treasury Auction Yield Jumps to 5.085%

The U.S. Treasury’s latest 7-year note auction cleared at a yield of 5.085%, sharply above the previous auction’s 4.512%.

The roughly 57-basis-point increase signals a materially higher yield environment for intermediate-term U.S. government debt and may reflect investors demanding greater compensation amid persistent inflation, resilient economic data and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate path.

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WS Investor 09-24-26

10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007 as market prices in another Fed rate hike

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to its highest level since 2007 on Wednesday.

(finance.yahoo.com)

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WS News 09-23-26

Treasury Yields Are Climbing. Can Stocks Hold Their Ground?

Rising Treasury yields, persistent inflation, and weakening small caps put pressure on stocks. Here's what investors should watch next.

(articles.stockcharts.com)

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The Investor 09-12-26

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 5% as Inflation and Oil Keep Bond Markets Under Pressure

U.S. Treasury yields remained near multi-year highs Friday, with the benchmark 10-year yield trading around 4.94%, just below the psychologically important 5% level. The yield briefly reached about 4.97% earlier as a global bond selloff continued.

The sharp rise in yields has been driven by renewed inflation concerns and expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% in August and 5.4% year-over-year, while the surge in oil prices above $100 a barrel has increased concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike. (Reuters)

Pressure has also emerged from the supply side of the Treasury market. The government bought back $5.2 billion of longer-dated bonds in its latest operation, below the $6 billion maximum and well below the $10.5 billion offered by investors. Concerns about heavy government borrowing are adding to the premium investors demand for holding longer-term debt. (Reuters)

Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading could push the 10-year yield through 5%, while softer inflation could provide some relief to the bond market ahead of the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.

Graph: cnbc*com

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European Investor 09-11-26

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges Above 4.92% as Oil and Inflation Revive Rate-Hike Fears

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922% on Thursday, rising about 8 basis points and reaching its highest level since 2023 as escalating Middle East tensions, surging oil prices and persistent U.S. inflation fueled a sharp bond-market selloff.

Geopolitical developments remain a major driver. The U.S.-Iran conflict has severely disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea, while attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure have intensified supply concerns.

The resulting oil rally is feeding directly into inflation expectations. Brent crude has climbed above $104 a barrel, while WTI briefly crossed $100 on Thursday. Higher energy costs raise the risk that inflation remains elevated, reducing the likelihood that the Federal Reserve can ease monetary policy and increasing the possibility of another rate hike.

Thursday’s macro data reinforced those concerns. U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% month over month in August, while annual PPI accelerated to 5.4% from 4.8%, slightly exceeding the 5.3% forecast. Traders subsequently raised the probability of at least a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike next week to nearly 70%. (Reuters)

The 10-year yield has now risen sharply from around 4.75% over the past five sessions. With oil prices elevated and Friday’s U.S. CPI report still ahead, the 5% level is increasingly coming into focus as the next major threshold for the Treasury market.

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The Investor 09-10-26

Apple event live updates: First foldable, the iPhone Duo, iPhone 18 Pro, watches, and more

Apple is hosting its annual fall event at its Cupertino, Calif., headquarters.

(finance.yahoo.com)

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WS Investor 09-09-26

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