NYSE:CVX

Chevron and Shell Stocks Rise After Positive Analyst Calls Despite Oil Price Weakness

Shares of major energy companies Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and Shell (NYSE: SHEL) traded higher on Thursday after receiving supportive analyst actions, with investors focusing on their long-term earnings potential despite recent weakness in crude oil prices.

Chevron gained around 2% after Wolfe Research upgraded the stock to Outperform from Peer Perform and set a $210 price target. Analyst Doug Leggate cited confidence in Chevron's high-quality asset portfolio, resilient cash flow generation, and disciplined capital allocation, signaling that the recent pullback in energy shares presents an attractive opportunity for investors.

Meanwhile, Shell advanced approximately 1.6% after TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating on the stock. The firm reaffirmed its positive view of Shell's diversified business model, highlighting the company's exposure to LNG, upstream production, refining, and energy trading as key strengths that should help support earnings across different commodity price environments.

The analyst actions came as Brent crude remained under pressure this week, with oil prices retreating as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased and investors shifted their focus back to global demand fundamentals. Despite the softer commodity backdrop, analysts continue to favor high-quality integrated energy companies with strong balance sheets and shareholder-friendly capital allocation strategies.

# Why CVX and SHEL Stocks Moved Higher

Several factors supported the two energy stocks:

* Wolfe Research upgraded Chevron to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $210 price target.
* TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating on Shell.
* Analysts expressed confidence in both companies' long-term cash flow generation and disciplined capital allocation.
* Investors continue to favor large integrated energy companies capable of delivering resilient earnings despite lower oil prices.

The positive analyst commentary helped lift both Chevron and Shell shares, outperforming broader energy markets during Thursday's trading session.
Chevron Slips Despite Expanding Into AI Data Center Power Market With Microsoft

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) edged 0.15% lower despite announcing a major strategic move into the rapidly growing AI infrastructure market through a new power-generation project supporting a Microsoft data center.

The company revealed plans to develop a large-scale natural gas-powered facility designed to provide dedicated electricity to a Microsoft data center. The project, being developed with Engine No. 1, represents Chevron's first major step into supplying power directly to AI-driven computing infrastructure.

The announcement is strategically significant because one of the biggest challenges facing the AI industry is access to reliable electricity. As data centers expand to support artificial intelligence workloads, demand for continuous power is rising sharply. Chevron aims to capitalize on this trend by leveraging its natural gas resources and energy expertise to provide dedicated, behind-the-meter power solutions.

While the news highlights a potentially attractive long-term growth opportunity, investors appeared largely unmoved. The project remains in its early stages and is unlikely to have a meaningful near-term impact on Chevron's earnings, which continue to be driven primarily by oil and gas production.

In addition, energy stocks have recently faced pressure from lower crude oil prices following improving prospects for U.S.-Iran diplomacy and expectations of increased global oil supply. Those broader commodity market concerns likely overshadowed the positive AI-related announcement.

Nevertheless, the move demonstrates how traditional energy companies are seeking new growth avenues as artificial intelligence drives unprecedented demand for electricity. If successful, Chevron's partnership with Microsoft could position the company to benefit from one of the fastest-growing segments of the global energy market while diversifying beyond its traditional upstream business.
Chevron Posts Its Biggest Earnings Beat Since 2020 but Gains Are Modest as Hedging Losses Cloud the Picture

Chevron shares are up less than 1% in trading on May 1, a muted reaction to a Q1 2026 earnings report that delivered its biggest EPS beat since October 2020, as investors weighed a sharp year-on-year profit decline and a significant downstream loss against an otherwise solid operational performance.

Chevron reported adjusted EPS of $1.41, crushing the Wall Street estimate of 95 cents per share in the biggest earnings beat in nearly six years. However, reported net income fell 36% year-on-year to $2.2 billion as the company booked a $2.9 billion charge related to financial hedges that proved unfavorable when the Iran war triggered a sudden and massive oil supply disruption. Revenue came in at $48.61 billion, missing the $52.1 billion estimate as lower refining margins weighed on the top line. (Meyka)

The hedging story is the defining narrative of the quarter. Chevron's refining segment swung to a loss of $817 million compared to a profit of $325 million a year ago, due to lower margins, the timing effects on financial hedges and higher transportation costs. These effects are temporary and expected to resolve in subsequent quarters. The upstream business held firm, with production posting a 15% year-on-year increase to 3.9 million barrels per day following the integration of Hess, and upstream earnings growing modestly to $3.9 billion. (Meyka)

Speaking to CNBC, CEO Mike Wirth said the global energy system is under extreme stress and that the world will face rising oil prices until the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. Brent averaged $81 per barrel in Q1, up from $76 a year ago, though much of that benefit was offset by the hedging losses. The average Brent price of $81 also compares favorably with Q4 2025's $64, suggesting Q2 cash flows should be significantly cleaner once the timing effects roll off. (Meyka)

On shareholder returns, Chevron remained disciplined. The company returned $6.0 billion to shareholders in Q1, marking its 16th consecutive quarter above the $5 billion threshold, supported by a structural cost savings program that has already delivered $1.5 billion in savings in 2025 toward a $3 to $4 billion cumulative target by end-2026. (Unusual Whales)
**Chevron Confirms Oil Discovery in Gulf of America**

Chevron Corporation confirmed an oil discovery at the Bandit prospect in the Gulf of America, highlighting continued exploration success in deepwater assets.

The well, located about 125 miles off the Louisiana coast, encountered high-quality oil-bearing reservoirs. The project is operated by Occidental Petroleum, which holds a 45.375% stake, alongside Chevron and Woodside Energy.

The partners are evaluating the discovery’s potential, with possible development through subsea tie-backs to existing nearby infrastructure, which could enhance project economics.

Chevron said the find reinforces the strong resource potential of the Gulf of America and aligns with its strategy of leveraging existing infrastructure to develop high-impact exploration opportunities efficiently.
Chevron has signed lease agreements with the Hellenic Republic to explore four offshore blocks in Greece, strengthening its Mediterranean exploration portfolio.

The blocks are located south of Crete (South Crete 1 and South Crete 2) and offshore the Peloponnese (South of Peloponnese and Block A2). The consortium, in which Chevron holds a 70% operating interest and HELLENiQ ENERGY holds 30%, was selected following an international tender launched by the Greek government in 2025.

Under the lease terms, the consortium will conduct 2D and 3D seismic surveys during the first exploration phase to assess hydrocarbon potential. The agreements are subject to ratification by the Greek Parliament.

Chevron said the award supports its strategy to expand its exploration footprint in the Mediterranean, where it already operates gas-producing assets offshore Israel and is developing the Aphrodite gas field offshore Cyprus. In Egypt, the company operates two exploration blocks and participates in a Mediterranean joint venture.

Earlier in February, Chevron secured an onshore exploration block in Libya and signed memoranda of understanding with Turkey and Syria to evaluate additional opportunities.

The move reinforces Chevron’s focus on frontier exploration and portfolio growth in the Eastern Mediterranean region.
Chevron announced it has entered Libya after being designated the winning bidder for onshore Contract Area 106 in the Sirte Basin as part of the country’s 2025 Bid Round. The award follows a Memorandum of Understanding signed January 24, 2026 with Libya’s National Oil Corporation to evaluate onshore exploration and development opportunities.

The contract area award is subject to execution of a Production Sharing Agreement. Chevron said the move aligns with its strategy to expand high-quality exploration acreage in North Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean.

The company already holds a significant exploration and production portfolio across Africa and the Mediterranean, including positions in Nigeria, Angola, Equatorial Guinea, Namibia, Guinea-Bissau and Egypt, and recently signed an MoU in Syria.

Source: Chevron press release.
Chevron reported solid fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, supported by record production and strong cash generation despite lower oil prices.

In Q4 2025, Chevron posted earnings of $2.8 billion, or $1.39 per share, with adjusted earnings of $3.0 billion. Cash flow from operations reached $10.8 billion, while adjusted free cash flow totaled $4.2 billion. For full-year 2025, worldwide and U.S. production rose 12% and 16%, respectively, supported by the Hess acquisition, growth in the Permian Basin, and major project start-ups. Proved reserves increased to about 10.6 billion barrels of oil-equivalent, with a reserve replacement ratio of 158%.

Chevron returned $27.1 billion to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases and announced a 4% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.78 per share, marking the 39th consecutive year of dividend growth.
Chevron has taken a Final Investment Decision to expand the Leviathan offshore gas field in Israel, increasing production capacity to around 21 billion cubic meters per year. The project includes drilling three new wells, adding subsea infrastructure, and upgrading processing facilities, with start-up expected toward the end of the decade. The expansion aims to strengthen energy supply for Israel, Egypt, and Jordan and enhance regional energy security.
Chevron Issues 154.2 Million Dollar Floating Rate Notes Due 2075

Chevron U.S.A. Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Chevron Corporation, has issued 154.204 million dollars in floating rate notes maturing on December 9, 2075. The notes, fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Chevron Corporation, were issued under the company’s 2020 base indenture and a new Fifth Supplemental Indenture dated December 9, 2025.

The notes pay interest quarterly beginning March 9, 2026, at a floating rate equal to Compounded SOFR minus 45 basis points, as outlined in the final prospectus supplement.
TotalEnergies has expanded its global exploration partnership with Chevron through a new farmout agreement in Nigeria. Announced on 1 December 2025, the deal transfers a 40 percent stake in offshore exploration licenses PPL 2000 and PPL 2001 to Chevron’s Star Deep Water Petroleum, while TotalEnergies remains operator with a 40 percent interest and South Atlantic Petroleum holds 20 percent.

The licenses, covering about 2,000 square kilometers in the prolific West Delta basin, were awarded in Nigeria’s 2024 Exploration Round. The agreement builds on the companies’ June collaboration in the U.S., where Chevron sold TotalEnergies a 25 percent interest in 40 offshore blocks. TotalEnergies said the joint venture will help derisk and develop new resource opportunities aligned with Nigeria’s goals.

The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals. TotalEnergies, active in Nigeria for more than 60 years, continues to view the country as a major contributor to its global hydrocarbon portfolio.
Video Thumbnail
06-24-26WS Investor
Video Thumbnail
06-14-26Global Finance News
Video Thumbnail
05-29-26WS News
Video Thumbnail
05-01-26The Investor