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Eurozone Inflation Cools More Than Expected in June

Inflation across the eurozone eased more than expected in June, reinforcing signs that price pressures continue to moderate and strengthening expectations for a more accommodative monetary policy outlook.

The annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed to 2.8%, below economists' expectations of 3.0% and down from 3.2% in May.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also declined to 2.4% from 2.6% in the previous month, coming in below the consensus forecast of 2.5%.
Eurozone Inflation Accelerates as Core Prices Rise Faster Than Expected

Inflation in the Eurozone accelerated in May, with headline consumer prices rising 3.2% year-over-year, matching expectations and increasing from 3.0% in April.

More notably, Core CPI—which excludes volatile food and energy prices—rose 2.6%, exceeding forecasts of 2.5% and accelerating from 2.2% in the previous month. The stronger-than-expected core reading suggests underlying inflationary pressures remain more persistent than policymakers had hoped.
Eurozone Investor Sentiment Turns Positive as ZEW Index Surges

Investor confidence in the Eurozone improved sharply in June, with the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index rising to 9.5 from -9.1 in May, easily beating expectations for a reading of -7.2.
Eurozone Economy Shows Signs of Weakness as Trade Balance Turns Negative and Factory Output Misses Expectations

Fresh economic data pointed to a softer start to the second quarter for the Eurozone, with both trade and industrial production figures coming in below market expectations.

The Eurozone recorded a trade deficit of €1.0 billion in April, a sharp deterioration from the €4.9 billion surplus reported in the previous month and well below economists' expectations for a €7.8 billion surplus. The unexpected swing into deficit suggests external demand conditions weakened during the month and highlights ongoing challenges facing the region's export-oriented economies.

Industrial production also disappointed. Factory output rose just 0.1% month-over-month in April, missing forecasts for a 0.2% increase and slowing from the previous month's 0.4% gain.

The weaker-than-expected figures reinforce concerns that the region's recovery remains fragile. Europe's industrial sector continues to face headwinds from soft global demand, trade uncertainty, and uneven economic growth among key trading partners.
The final May PMI data paint a mixed picture for the Eurozone economy.

The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI rose to 47.7, comfortably above the 46.4 forecast and slightly higher than April's 47.6. While this is an improvement, the index remains below the 50 threshold, indicating that the services sector is still contracting, albeit at a slower pace.

More importantly, the HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services activity, came in at 48.5. This was stronger than the 47.5 consensus estimate but slightly below April's 48.8.
Eurozone inflation accelerated in May, reinforcing concerns that underlying price pressures remain persistent despite the European Central Bank’s easing efforts. Headline CPI rose 3.2% year-over-year, matching expectations and increasing from 3.0% in April, while monthly inflation slowed sharply to 0.1% from 1.0% previously.

More importantly for policymakers, core inflation—which excludes volatile food and energy prices—climbed to 2.5% year-over-year, exceeding expectations of 2.4% and accelerating from 2.2% in April. The stronger-than-expected core reading suggests that underlying inflationary pressures remain more stubborn than anticipated.
Eurozone manufacturing activity remained in expansion territory in May, but the pace of growth slowed more than expected. The HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI declined to 51.6 from 52.2 in April, although it still came in slightly above economists' expectations of 51.4.
Eurozone business activity weakened further in May, with the HCOB Services PMI falling to 46.4 from 47.6, missing expectations of 47.8 and signaling a deeper contraction in the services sector. Meanwhile, the HCOB Composite PMI declined to 47.5 from 48.8, also below forecasts of 48.8, indicating that overall private sector activity across the eurozone continued to deteriorate. The figures point to slowing economic momentum and reinforce concerns about weak growth conditions in the region.
Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% year-over-year in April, matching expectations and rising from 2.6% previously, while core inflation eased slightly to 2.2% from 2.3%, in line with forecasts.
Eurozone Trade Surplus Narrows in March

The Eurozone recorded a trade surplus of €7.8 billion in March, above market expectations of €5.4 billion but down from the previous €11.1 billion surplus.
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