NYSE:MPC

Marathon Petroleum Stock Rises 1.5% Premarket as Jefferies Sets $335 Price Target

Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) shares gained 1.5% in premarket trading on Monday after Jefferies initiated coverage of the refining giant with a Buy rating and a $335 price target, reinforcing optimism as oil prices climbed on escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Why Is Marathon Petroleum Stock Rising Today?

The premarket gain was driven by a combination of bullish analyst sentiment and strengthening energy markets.

Jefferies began coverage of Marathon Petroleum with a Buy rating and a $335 price target, highlighting confidence in the company's refining business, strong cash flow generation, and shareholder return strategy. The target implies further upside from the stock's recent trading levels.

Higher Oil Prices Support Energy Stocks

Energy shares broadly strengthened as Brent crude climbed after renewed military tensions between the United States and Iran raised concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East.

Although refiners can experience mixed effects from higher crude prices, sustained volatility in energy markets often supports investor interest in the sector, particularly for companies with diversified operations and strong refining margins.

Marathon Petroleum remains one of the largest independent refiners in the United States and continues to benefit from its integrated refining network, midstream assets through MPLX, and disciplined capital allocation strategy.

What Investors Are Watching Next

Investors will focus on Marathon Petroleum's upcoming quarterly results for updates on refining margins, fuel demand, and capital returns through dividends and share repurchases. Market participants will also monitor crude oil prices and developments in the Middle East, which could continue influencing sentiment across the energy sector.

The combination of Jefferies' new Buy rating, a $335 price target, and rising oil prices appears to be supporting Marathon Petroleum shares in Thursday's premarket trading.
Marathon Petroleum said it will report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 3, 2026, and will host a conference call the same day at 11:00 a.m. EST to discuss the results. The earnings release and related materials will be made available on the company’s website ahead of the call, with a webcast replay accessible for two weeks.

Source: PR Newswire, Marathon Petroleum press release, January 5, 2026.
Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) will host a conference call on Tuesday, February 3, 2026, at 11 a.m. EST to discuss 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.
Marathon Petroleum reports strong Q3 results with higher earnings and dividend increase

Marathon Petroleum posted third-quarter 2025 net income of $1.4 billion, or $4.51 per diluted share, up from $622 million a year earlier. Adjusted net income reached $915 million, or $3.01 per share, supported by strong Refining & Marketing performance and steady Midstream growth. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $3.2 billion from $2.5 billion last year. The company returned $926 million to shareholders, including $650 million in buybacks, and announced a 10% dividend increase. MPLX, its midstream unit, raised its quarterly distribution by 12.5%, resulting in an expected $2.8 billion in annual payouts to Marathon. CEO Maryann Mannen highlighted the company’s focus on cash generation, portfolio optimization, and disciplined capital allocation.
Marathon Petroleum Reports Q1 2025 Loss Amid Major Maintenance and Refining Margin Decline

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) reported a Q1 2025 net loss of $74 million, or $(0.24) per diluted share, compared to net income of $937 million, or $2.58 per diluted share, in Q1 2024. The loss was largely attributed to heavy planned refinery maintenance activity, the second largest in company history.
Key Financials and Segment Results:
• Adjusted EBITDA totaled $2.0 billion, down from $3.3 billion a year earlier.
• Midstream segment EBITDA rose to $1.72 billion, up 8% year-over-year.
• Refining & Marketing segment EBITDA dropped to $489 million from $1.99 billion, driven by narrower crack spreads.
• Renewable Diesel losses narrowed, with EBITDA at $(42) million vs. $(90) million in Q1 2024.
• Total capital returned to shareholders reached $1.3 billion, including $1.1 billion in share repurchases.
Strategic and Operational Developments:
• MPLX, the midstream subsidiary, will acquire full ownership of the BANGL pipeline for $715 million and has taken FID on the 1.75 bcf/d Traverse Pipeline.
• Additional investments include expanding its stake in the Matterhorn Express Pipeline and acquiring Whiptail Midstream’s crude gathering business.
• Ongoing projects include Gulf Coast fractionators, LPG export terminal, and major investments at Los Angeles, Galveston Bay, and Robinson refineries targeting emissions compliance, distillate upgrading, and jet fuel flexibility.
Refining & Throughput Data:
• Crude throughput was 2.8 million bpd with 89% utilization.
• R&M margin declined to $13.38 per barrel from $19.35.
• West Coast refining remained strongest by margin at $17.94/bbl, while the Gulf Coast fell to $11.75/bbl.
Outlook for Q2 2025:
• Planned turnaround costs expected to decline to $265 million.
• Refining throughput estimated at 2.945 million bpd.
• Corporate expenses projected at $220 million, including $20 million of D&A.
Despite the quarterly loss, MPC emphasized long-term growth through targeted infrastructure investments and remained optimistic about refining margin recovery into summer.
The board of directors of Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) has declared a dividend of $0.91 per share on common stock.

The dividend is payable June 10, 2025, to shareholders of record as of the close of business May 21, 2025.
Fitch Assigns 'BBB' Rating to Marathon Petroleum Corporation's Senior Unsecured Notes
Marathon Petroleum Corp. reported its fourth-quarter 2024 results, showing net income attributable to MPC of $371 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, compared to $1.5 billion, or $3.84 per diluted share, in the same quarter of 2023. Adjusted net income for Q4 2024 was $249 million, or $0.77 per diluted share, compared to $1.5 billion, or $3.98 per diluted share, in Q4 2023.

The company also reported a full-year 2024 net income of $3.4 billion, or $10.08 per diluted share, a decline from $9.7 billion, or $23.63 per diluted share, in 2023. Adjusted net income for 2024 was $3.3 billion, or $9.51 per diluted share.

MPC returned $10.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through share repurchases and dividends. It also progressed its Midstream Gulf Coast NGL strategy, including MPLX’s announcement of a new fractionation complex and export terminal. The company expects that MPLX distributions in 2025 will cover MPC’s dividends and $1.25 billion capital outlook.

Additionally, MPC introduced a Renewable Diesel segment, which includes its Dickinson, North Dakota facility and the Martinez Renewable Fuels joint venture with Neste Corporation.

For the fourth quarter, the company's adjusted EBITDA from refining & marketing was $559 million, down from $2.25 billion in Q4 2023. The Midstream segment's adjusted EBITDA increased to $1.71 billion from $1.57 billion. The Renewable Diesel segment had an adjusted EBITDA loss of $28 million for Q4 2024, compared to a loss of $47 million in Q4 2023.

Overall, adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $2.12 billion, compared to $3.57 billion for Q4 2023.
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04-30-26The Investor