#US
ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr) 69.8 Forecast 72.9

ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr) 69.8 Forecast 72.9


Initial Jobless Claims 241K Forecast 224K


Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Mar) 2.6% Forecast 2.6%
Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Mar) 0.0% Forecast 0.1%

interesting data indeed

JOLTS Job Openings (Mar) 7.192M Forecast 7.490M

US Tariffs: What’s the Impact? | J.P. Morgan Research
The situation surrounding U.S. tariffs is constantly evolving. Read the latest analysis of their economic impact from J.P. Morgan Research.

How I’d Invest $250,000 Cash In Today’s Market
A bear market provides opportunity. For those of you with cash, specifically $250,000 in cash, here's how I'd invest it today.

U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 587 Previous 585


Existing Home Sales (Mar) 4.02M Forecast 4.14M

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories -0.086M Previous -0.654M


6-Month Bill Auction 4.050% Previous 4.060%

A Recession is on the Way - A Wealth of Common Sense
Some thoughts on the timing of the next recession.

Where Will Tariff Rates Settle? 3 Scenarios Explained | J.P. Morgan
Amid rapid policy changes, we’re refining our views on global economies and markets.

Earth Day: Insights for Investors & Businesses | Morgan Stanley
Learn sustainable investing trends and corporate sustainability themes surrounding the future of the energy transition in the age of AI.

Investing in an Uncertain World - A Wealth of Common Sense
Some questions about how to invest in a new regime.

U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 585 Prev 583

Lessons from past trade wars, and what investors can do today - The Fifth Person
We explore examples of protectionism and uncover critical lessons to help investors navigate today’s increasingly fragmented trade landscape.


Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) -2.2% Forecast -2.8%
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (Feb) 112.0B Forecast 35.2B


Industrial Production (M) (Mar) -0.3% Forecast -0.2%

3 lessons from the tariff tantrum | J.P. Morgan Private Bank EMEA
The market cast a loud “no” vote on tariffs, but opportunities emerged. Here are some key takeaways rising from the turmoil.

What Is the Probability of a Recession? | J.P. Morgan Research
Aggressive tariff policy could push the U.S. — and possibly the global economy — into recession this year.


U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 583 Previous 590

Q1 2025 Global PC Shipments Surge on Tariff Fears
Global PC shipments jumped 9.4% in Q1 2025 as firms rushed deliveries to the U.S. ahead of expected tariffs.

Some Early Lessons From the Tariff Tantrum - A Wealth of Common Sense
Some random thoughts and questions about a wild week in the markets.

Five Big-Picture Perspectives on US Tariffs - Deutsche Bank Research
The reciprocal tariffs announced by the US last week represent the biggest shock to the global trading system since the collapse of Bretton Woods in 1971. Taking stock of the tariff policy steps, we offer five big-picture perspectives.

Recession watch: How to hedge now | Goldman Sachs
Recession fears are rising, so how can investors hedge their portfolios?
PODCAST - GOLDMAN SACHS

The Reputational Bankruptcy of the American Dollar - The Intellectual Investor - Value Investing by Vitaliy Katsenelson
The US dollar will likely continue to get weaker, which is inflationary for the US. Let me start with some easily identifiable reasons.

The Reputational Bankruptcy of the American Dollar - The Intellectual Investor - Value Investing by Vitaliy Katsenelson
The US dollar will likely continue to get weaker, which is inflationary for the US. Let me start with some easily identifiable reasons.

A Short History of Tariffs - A Wealth of Common Sense
Widespread tariffs have never worked in America.

My Bear Market Investment Game Plan: Adjusting the Strategy - Financial Samurai
A review of my investment game plan as a bear market looms. You must come up with your own investment game plan to build more wealth.

Latest Market Updates, Economic Insights, & Policy Changes
Find breaking updates on the economy, markets, policy changes and geopolitical events along with insights from Merrill's Chief Investment Office (CIO).

US Tariffs: What’s the Impact? | J.P. Morgan Research
The situation surrounding U.S. tariffs is constantly evolving. Read the latest analysis of their economic impact from J.P. Morgan Research.

US Tariffs: What’s the Impact? | J.P. Morgan Research
The situation surrounding U.S. tariffs is constantly evolving. Read the latest analysis of their economic impact from J.P. Morgan Research.

Consumer Spending: Thoughts on the Market | Morgan Stanley
Listen to our financial podcast with Arunima Sinha, Heather Berger and James Egan to discuss all the factors that have impacted waning consumer confidence.

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories 2.373M Previous -0.755M

Factory Orders (MoM) 0.6% Forecast 0.5%

Navigating Washington's Risks: Mar-a-Lago Accord, Tariffs and Municipal Tax Exemption | J.P. Morgan
Political uncertainty has reached rare heights, with tariffs, munis’ tax status and the value of the dollar the primary risks.

Corporate Credit: Thoughts on the Market | Morgan Stanley
Listen to our financial podcast with Andrew Sheets, who discusses why credit markets could weaken in the face of macro uncertainty.



Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 0.4% Forecast 0.3% Previous 0.3%

What Is the Social Security Fairness Act? | J.P. Morgan
On January 5, 2025, former President Biden signed into law the "Social Security Fairness Act.” Read about how this might impact Social Security benefits.

Economics: Thoughts on the Market | Morgan Stanley
Listen to our financial podcast with Seth Carpenter and Rajeev Sibal, who explain how shifting U.S. tariff policy could transform global trade.



Warning: The U.S. is already in a private-sector recession – Danielle DiMartino Booth | Kitco News
The Kitco News Team brings you the latest news, videos, analysis and opinions regarding Precious Metals, Crypto, Mining, World Markets and Global Economy.

S&P Global Composite PMI (Mar) 53.5 Previous 51.6
S&P Global Services PMI (Mar) 54.3 Forecast 51.2

What to Consider When You’re Considering Alternative Investments | J.P. Morgan
Prioritizing due diligence and manager selection can be key to building an allocation to alternatives that enhances your portfolio’s diversification and outperformance potential.

Industrial Production (Y) 1.44% Previous 1.92%

Fifty Days of Grey | J.P. Morgan Private Bank U.S.
Here’s the interesting thing about the stock market: it cannot be indicted, arrested or deported; it cannot be intimidated, threatened or bullied; it has no gender, ethnicity or religion; it cannot be fired, furloughed or defunded; it cannot be primaried before the next midterm elections; and it cannot be seized, nationalized or invaded.

Core PPI (MoM) (Feb) -0.1% Forecast 0.3%
Initial Jobless Claims 220K Forecast 226K
PPI (MoM) (Feb) 0.0% Forecast 0.3%

Trump Tariffs 2025: A Guide for Investors | Morgan Stanley
Learn how the Trump administration’s tariffs are reshaping financial markets and how investors can navigate the risks and opportunities for their portfolio.

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories -1.228M 1.124M

Core CPI (YoY) (Feb) 3.1% Forecast 3.2%
CPI (MoM) (Feb) 0.2% Forecast 0.3%
CPI (YoY) (Feb) 2.8% Forecast 2.9%

US Economic Insights: An Early Look at the Trump Economy
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A PODCAST FROM DEUTSCHE BANK


February 2025 Jobs Report: Economy Adds 151K Jobs | J.P. Morgan
The February 2025 jobs report was slightly weaker than expected and the unemployment rate ticked up. How might the Fed react and what does the data mean for investors?


Morgan Stanley cuts US growth forecast for 2025 on tariff concerns
"Earlier and broader tariffs should translate into softer growth this year, whereas we previously assumed it would weigh on growth mainly in 2026," said Morgan Stanley economists led by Michael T Gapen. The Wall Street brokerage lowered its Q4/Q4 2025 growth forecast to 1.5% from 1.9% earlier. It also lowered its 2026 growth forecast to 1.2% from 1.3%.

U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 592 Previous 593

Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Feb) 0.3% Forecast 0.3%
Unemployment Rate (Feb) 4.1% Forecast 4.0%

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories 1.124M Previous 1.282M

