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European Investor 30 Jul 2026, 09:28
Arm Stock Falls 5.8% Premarket Despite Record Revenue as Guidance Disappoints Investors

Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM) shares fell 5.8% in premarket trading on Thursday after the chip designer issued weaker-than-expected second-quarter guidance, overshadowing another quarter of record revenue and solid growth in its royalty business.

The company reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of a record $1.29 billion, up 22% year-over-year. Royalty revenue increased 22% to $715 million, supported by broader adoption of higher-value technologies, including Armv9 architecture and Arm Compute Subsystems (CSS), as well as growing deployment of Arm-based chips in AI data centers. License and other revenue also climbed 23% to $574 million, reflecting continued demand for Arm's intellectual property.

AI Momentum Continues, But Outlook Falls Short

Profitability remained strong, with non-GAAP operating income reaching $531 million and non-GAAP earnings per share rising to $0.45 from $0.35 a year earlier. Annualized contract value (ACV), a key indicator of future licensing activity, increased 13% to $1.73 billion.

Despite the solid quarterly performance, investors focused on the company's forward guidance. Arm forecast second-quarter revenue of approximately $1.38 billion, plus or minus $50 million, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.47, a forecast that failed to meet the market's elevated expectations following the stock's strong AI-driven rally over the past year.

Valuation Remains Under Scrutiny

The decline highlights the premium expectations currently embedded in AI-related semiconductor stocks. While Arm continues to benefit from expanding adoption of its technology across smartphones, cloud infrastructure and AI accelerators, investors are increasingly demanding accelerating growth to justify elevated valuations.

What to Watch

The market will now focus on whether Arm can sustain royalty growth as Armv9 adoption expands further and AI infrastructure spending continues to accelerate. Investors will also be watching for larger licensing agreements and stronger guidance in upcoming quarters, which could help restore confidence following the post-earnings pullback.

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