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European Investor 08 Jun 2026, 13:30
Gold Falls Despite Rising Geopolitical Tensions as Rate-Hike Fears Dominate

Gold prices declined today, extending recent losses even as tensions in the Middle East intensified and oil prices surged. Spot gold fell nearly 1%, dropping to its lowest level in more than two months as investors focused on the growing likelihood of higher U.S. interest rates rather than traditional safe-haven demand.

The main driver behind gold's weakness was Friday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep monetary policy tighter for longer. Markets are now pricing in a significantly higher probability of another Fed rate increase later this year.

Gold has now fallen more than 9% over the past month and remains well below the record highs reached earlier this year. While short-term sentiment has weakened, on the longer-term outlook, continued central-bank purchases, reserve diversification away from the U.S. dollar, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty are supportive factors.

Investors will now turn their attention to upcoming U.S. inflation data on Wednesday, which could determine whether gold stabilizes or faces further pressure from rising interest-rate expectations.

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